Mildura - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Mildura - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Mildura - North's population was around 18,198 as of February 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 171 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,027. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,123 in June 2024 and an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 724 persons per square kilometer. Mildura - North's 0.9% growth since the census is within 0.6 percentage points of the SA4 region (1.5%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.6% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Mildura - North is expected to grow above the median non-metropolitan area rate, expanding by 3,902 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 21.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mildura - North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mildura - North averaged approximately 45 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 226 homes approved. In FY26 up to June, there have been 68 approvals. The average construction cost value for new properties is $274,000.

This year has seen $36.5 million in commercial development approvals, indicating strong commercial activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Mildura - North has significantly lower construction levels, at 52.0% below the regional average per person. This limited supply supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. Nationally, new supply is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. Detached dwellings make up 67.0% of new developments, with attached dwellings accounting for 33.0%, offering a mix of housing options across price brackets.

The area has an estimated 650 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mildura - North is projected to add 3,824 residents by 2041. If current construction levels continue, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Mildura - North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely influencing the region. Notable initiatives include Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment - Stage 2, Mildura CBD Revitalisation Project, Mildura Passenger Rail Return, and Big Housing Build - Social Housing Projects. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.4%, Mildura - North has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Mildura - North has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.4% in September 2025, which is 0.4% lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was somewhat below standard at 58.6%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%.

According to Census responses, only 8.1% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in accommodation & food, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. However, construction is under-represented, with only 7.5% of Mildura - North's workforce compared to 10.4% in Rest of Vic..

The ratio of 0.7 workers for each resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. During the year to September 2025, the labour force decreased by 4.1%, alongside a 0.5% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 3.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. experienced an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.6%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Mildura - North's employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The median taxpayer income in Mildura - North SA2 is $46,928 and the average is $55,138 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages. The median income in Rest of Vic., for instance, is $50,954 with an average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates project the median to be approximately $50,800 and the average around $59,687 by September 2025. Census data indicates that incomes in Mildura - North fall between the 14th and 21st percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 28.1% of the population (5,113 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, similar to surrounding regions at 30.3%. Housing affordability is severe with only 84.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 15th percentile.

Mildura - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Mildura - North, as per the latest Census evaluation, 77.8% of dwellings were houses while 22.2% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Non-Metro Vic., where 90.1% of dwellings were houses and 9.9% were other types. Home ownership in Mildura - North was at 29.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.7% and rented ones at 43.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,148, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Mildura - North was $260, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially higher at $375.

Mildura - North features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.6% of all households, including 20.6% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 38.4%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.4% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 2.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - North has 156 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 24 individual routes, collectively providing 588 weekly passenger trips. Residents have good accessibility to transport, typically located within 250 meters of the nearest stop. In this primarily residential area, most residents commute outward using cars as the dominant mode at 92%, with 5% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 8.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 84 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop. The map accompanying this data shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Mildura - North is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura - North faces substantial health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~8,625 people), compared to 50.5% in Rest of Vic., and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.1%) and asthma (9.2%). 63.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Rest of Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (3,384 people), lower than Rest of Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mildura - North records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-North has a cultural diversity above average, with 18.3% of its population born overseas and 16.2% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mildura-North, comprising 44.0%. Buddhism is notably overrepresented compared to Rest of Vic., making up 3.1% versus 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.4%), Australian (27.2%), and Other (8.9%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Australian Aboriginal (4.9% vs regional 1.4%), Vietnamese (0.9% vs 0.2%), and German (3.9% vs 3.5%) are notably overrepresented in Mildura-North.

Mildura - North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mildura - North has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 but equivalent to Australia's national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 17.4% of Mildura - North's population, higher than Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort makes up 9.9%, which is lower. According to the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group has increased from 15.2% to 17.4%, and the 35-44 cohort has risen from 11.6% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 11.9% to 10.4%, and the 5-14 group has fallen from 11.9% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Mildura - North's age profile. The 25-34 group is expected to grow by 28%, adding 890 people and reaching 4,061 from the current 3,170. The 15-24 group will experience more modest growth of 1%, with an increase of only 27 residents.