Mildura - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Mildura - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Mildura - North's population was around 18,191 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 164 people from the 2021 Census count of 18,027. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 18,123 in June 2024 and 88 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 724 persons per square kilometer. Mildura - North's growth rate of 0.9% since the census is within 0.4 percentage points of its SA4 region (1.3%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Mildura - North is expected to expand by 3,902 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 21.1%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mildura - North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mildura - North has averaged approximately 45 new dwelling approvals annually since FY-21. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 226 homes were approved, with an additional 68 approved so far in FY-26. The average construction cost value for these new properties is around $274,000.

This area has seen commercial development approvals totalling $36.5 million in the current financial year, indicating significant commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Mildura - North shows a substantial reduction in construction levels, with 52.0% fewer approvals per person on average. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. Nationally, this level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and potential development constraints. The new development in the area consists of 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% attached dwellings, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options across various price brackets.

As of FY-25, the estimated population per dwelling approval is around 650 people, reflecting a quiet and low activity development environment in Mildura - North. Future projections estimate that Mildura - North will add approximately 3,831 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Mildura - North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 14 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment - Stage 2, Mildura CBD Revitalisation Project, Mildura Passenger Rail Return, and Big Housing Build - Social Housing Projects. The following list details those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.4%, Mildura - North has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Mildura - North has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.4%. Employment stability over the past year is relatively high.

As of September 2025, there are 8,527 residents in work with an unemployment rate of 3.4%, which is 0.4% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is somewhat lower at 58.7% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census responses, a low 8.1% of residents work from home. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

The area has particular employment specialization in accommodation & food with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, construction is under-represented at 7.5% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 10.4%. The ratio of 0.7 workers for each resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. During the year to September 2025, the labour force decreased by 4.1% alongside a 0.5% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 3.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Mildura - North's employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Mildura - North SA2 has a median taxpayer income of $46,928 and an average of $55,138 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Rest of Vic.'s median income being $50,954 and average income being $62,728. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% suggest the median income would be approximately $50,800 and the average income around $59,687. According to census data, incomes in Mildura - North fall between the 14th and 21st percentiles nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. Income distribution shows that 28.1% of the population (5,111 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, consistent with surrounding regions at 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Mildura - North, with only 84.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 15th percentile nationally.

Mildura - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mildura - North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.8% houses and 22.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - North was at 29.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.7% and rented ones at 43.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,148, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Mildura - North was $260, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375.

Mildura - North features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.6% of all households, including 20.6% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 38.4%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high at 29.1%, with 10.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - North has 156 active public transport stops. These are a mix of trains and buses, serviced by 24 routes offering 588 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is good with residents typically 250 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, primarily using cars (92%), with 5% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 8.1% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 84 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 3 weekly trips per stop. The provided map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Mildura - North is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura - North faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (~8,622 people), compared to 50.5% in Rest of Vic., and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (10.1%) and asthma (9.2%). 63.6% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Rest of Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 18.9% (3,438 people), lower than Rest of Vic.'s 23.5%. Senior health outcomes present notable challenges, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mildura - North records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-North has a cultural diversity level above average, with 18.3% of its population born overseas and 16.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mildura-North, comprising 44.0% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented compared to the rest of Victoria, making up 3.1% of Mildura-North's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.4%), Australian (27.2%), and Other (8.9%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 4.9%, Vietnamese at 0.9%, and German at 3.9%.

Mildura - North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mildura - North has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic's figure of 43 but equivalent to Australia's national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group is strongly represented at 16.9%, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent at 9.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group has increased from 15.2% to 16.9% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 11.9% to 10.8%, and the 5-14 group has dropped from 11.9% to 10.9%. Demographic modeling indicates that Mildura - North's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 32%, adding 983 people and reaching a total of 4,061 from its current figure of 3,077. The 15-24 group is expected to grow at a more modest rate of 1%, adding only 24 residents.