Mildura - North
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Mildura - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Mildura - North's population, as of Aug 2025, is around 18,186, reflecting a growth of 159 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 0.9% change from the previously reported figure of 18,027 people. The population estimate for June 2024 was 18,120 according to ABS data, with an additional 75 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 724 persons per square kilometer, which is comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mildura - North's growth rate exceeded that of its SA4 region (0%), with overseas migration contributing approximately 89.6% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041 based on projected demographic shifts. According to these projections, the area is expected to expand by 3,902 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 21.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mildura - North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mildura - North has averaged approximately 45 dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data, sourced from the ABS on a financial year basis, indicates 226 homes approved over the past five years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional five approved in FY-26. Despite population decline, development activity has been relatively adequate, benefiting buyers, with new properties averaging $495,000 in construction cost value. This year, $36.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting strong local business investment.

Compared to the Rest of Vic., Mildura - North shows significantly reduced construction levels, at 52.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. Nationally, this level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% attached dwellings, offering a range of medium-density options across various price brackets. The area's quiet development environment is reflected in its estimated population count per dwelling approval, which stands at 650 people.

Future projections indicate Mildura - North adding 3,836 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and price growth.

Mildura - North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 23rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment - Stage 2, Big Housing Build - Social Housing Projects, Victorian Murray Floodplain Restoration Project, and Mildura CBD Revitalisation Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment drivers in Mildura - North are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Mildura - North has an unemployment rate of 4.8% as of June 2025, with 8,413 residents employed. This is 1.0% higher than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

The workforce participation rate is lower at 53.7%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Accommodation & food services are particularly strong, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, construction is under-represented at 7.5% of Mildura - North's workforce compared to 10.4% in Rest of Vic..

The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating above-normal local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 4.1%, employment declined by 2.7%, leading to a 1.3 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. State-level data from Sep-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts project employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.1% over ten years for Mildura - North, based on its industry mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Mildura - North has a median taxpayer income of $45,758 and an average income of $53,689 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages, with Rest of Vic.'s median income being $48,741 and average income at $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest approximately $50,384 (median) and $59,117 (average) as of March 2025. Census data indicates that incomes in Mildura - North fall between the 14th and 22nd percentiles nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. Distribution data shows that 28.1% of the population (5,110 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.3% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 16th percentile nationally.

Mildura - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Mildura - North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.8% houses and 22.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 85.6% houses and 14.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - North was at 29.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (26.7%) or rented (43.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,148, significantly lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,283 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Mildura - North was $260, slightly below Non-Metro Vic.'s $265 and substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Mildura - North features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.6% of all households, including 20.6% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.4%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has educational challenges with university qualification rates at 17.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high at 29.1%, including 10.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

There are 10 schools operating within Mildura - North, educating approximately 3,024 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 956) with balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision is conventional, split between 4 primary and 6 secondary institutions. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - North has 141 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 29 individual routes in total, providing 640 weekly passenger trips collectively.

The accessibility of these transport services is rated as good, with residents typically located 255 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 91 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mildura - North is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data for Mildura - North indicates significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (~8,547 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues affect 10.1% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.2%. About 63.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.1% in the rest of Victoria. As of June 20XX (exact year not provided), 18.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,437 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally reflecting the overall population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mildura - North was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-North had a cultural diversity index above average, with 18.3% of its population born overseas and 16.2% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mildura-North, comprising 44.0% of its population. Notably, Buddhism was overrepresented at 3.1%, compared to the regional average of 2.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.4%), Australian (27.2%), and Other (8.9%). There were notable divergences in certain ethnic group representations: Australian Aboriginal at 4.9% (vs regional 3.4%), Vietnamese at 0.9% (vs regional 0.5%), and German at 3.9% (vs regional 4.0%).

Mildura - North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Mildura - North is 38, lower than the Rest of Vic's figure of 43 but equivalent to Australia's national norm of 38. In the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group showed strong representation at 16.9%, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort was less prevalent at 9.9%. Post-census, the 25-34 age group grew from 15.2% to 16.9%, the 45-54 cohort declined from 11.9% to 10.8%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 11.9% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Mildura - North's age profile will significantly shift. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 32%, adding 983 people and reaching 4,061 from 3,077. The 15-24 group shows modest growth of 1%, with an increase of 24 residents.