Mildura - North
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Mildura - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Mildura - North's population was around 18,217 as of Nov 2025. This showed an increase of 190 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,027 people. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 18,121 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 725 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mildura - North's growth of 1.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth of 1.0%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Australian non-metropolitan areas. The area is expected to expand by 3,902 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 20.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mildura - North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mildura - North has averaged approximately 45 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25226 homes were approved, with a further 61 approved in FY26 so far. The average construction value of these properties is $274,000.

In terms of commercial development, $36.5 million in approvals have been recorded this financial year. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Mildura - North shows significantly reduced construction levels, at 52.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. Nationally, the level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% attached dwellings, offering a mix of housing options across price brackets.

The area has an estimated 650 people per dwelling approval, indicating a quiet development environment. Future projections suggest Mildura - North will add 3,805 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Mildura - North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 23rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment - Stage 2, Mildura Passenger Rail Return, Big Housing Build - Social Housing Projects, and Mildura CBD Revitalisation Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Mildura - North are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Mildura - North has an unemployment rate of 4.8% as of June 2025, with 8,413 residents employed. This is 1.0% higher than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation in Mildura - North is 53.7%, below the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 57.4%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area has a particular specialization in accommodation & food services, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Construction is under-represented, with only 7.5% of Mildura - North's workforce compared to 10.4% in Rest of Vic..

The ratio of 0.7 workers per resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 4.1%, with an employment decline of 2.7%, resulting in a fall of 1.3 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of Vic. experienced an employment decline of 0.9% and a labour force decline of 0.4%, with a rise of 0.4 percentage points in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mildura - North's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Mildura - North's median taxpayer income was $45,758 and average income was $53,689 in financial year 2022 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Rest of Vic.'s median income being $48,741 and average income $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $51,322 (median) and $60,218 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Mildura - North fall between the 14th and 22nd percentiles nationally. Income distribution data indicates 28.1% of the population (5,118 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to surrounding regions at 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 16th percentile.

Mildura - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mildura - North's dwelling structures in its latest Census report showed 77.8% houses and 22.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 85.6% houses and 14.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - North was at 29.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.7% and rented ones at 43.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,148, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,283. Median weekly rent in Mildura - North was $260, similar to Non-Metro Vic.'s figure of $265. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially higher at $375.

Mildura - North features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 61.6% of all households, including 20.6% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.4%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has lower university qualification rates at 17.6%, significantly below Victoria's average of 33.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 26.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 2.5% in tertiary education. Mildura - North has a robust network of 10 schools educating approximately 3,024 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 956) and balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision is conventional, split between 4 primary and 6 secondary institutions. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - North has 141 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 29 unique routes, facilitating 640 weekly passenger trips in total. Residential accessibility to these stops is rated as good, with an average distance of 255 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 91 daily trips across all routes, equating to roughly four weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mildura - North is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura - North faces significant health challenges, as indicated by data showing high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, with approximately 47% of the total population (~8,561 people) having it, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 10.1 and 9.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 63.6% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, slightly lower than the Rest of Vic's 65.1%. The area has a notable elderly population, with 18.9% of residents aged 65 and over (3,443 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally mirroring those of the wider population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mildura - North was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-North has a cultural diversity above average, with 18.3% of its population born overseas and 16.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mildura-North, accounting for 44.0% of its population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented compared to the rest of Victoria, making up 3.1% of Mildura-North's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.4%), Australian (27.2%), and Other (8.9%). There are also significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 4.9%, Vietnamese at 0.9%, and German at 3.9%.

Mildura - North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age of Mildura - North is 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group has a strong representation in Mildura - North at 16.9%, compared to the Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent at 9.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 15.2% to 16.9% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.9% to 10.8%, and the 5 to 14 group has dropped from 11.9% to 10.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that Mildura - North's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the 25 to 34 group expected to grow by 32%, adding 978 people and reaching a total of 4,061 from 3,082. The 15 to 24 group is projected to have more modest growth at 1%, adding only 21 residents.