Mildura - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Mildura - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Mildura - North's population was approximately 17,762 as of May 2026, marking a decrease of 265 people (1.5%) since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 18,027. This decline is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 17,730 in June 2025 and an additional 98 validated new addresses since the census date. The population density was around 707 persons per square kilometer, aligning with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mildura - North's decline of 1.5% is within 0.5 percentage points of the SA4 region's decline of 1%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 86% of overall population gains recently. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is expected in Australian non-metropolitan areas like Mildura - North, with a projected expansion of 3,735 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 20.8% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mildura - North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mildura - North averaged approximately 45 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY21 and FY25226 homes were approved, with an additional 73 approved in FY26 so far. The average construction cost of these dwellings was $274,000.

Commercial development approvals totalled $36.5 million in FY26. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Mildura - North had 52.0% fewer dwelling approvals per person between FY19 and FY21. This limited supply supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings, reflecting market maturity and potential development constraints. Detached dwellings accounted for 67.0% of new developments, with attached dwellings comprising the remaining 33.0%. The area's population per dwelling approval was estimated at 650 people.

According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, Mildura - North is projected to add 3,691 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, intensifying buyer competition and potentially driving price increases.

Mildura - North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment - Stage 2, Mildura CBD Revitalisation Project, Mildura Passenger Rail Return, and Big Housing Build - Social Housing Projects. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Mildura - North demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Mildura - North has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7%. As of December 2025, 8,609 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0.9% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation is similar to Regional Vic.'s at 61.0%. According to Census responses, 8.1% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area specializes in accommodation & food services with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level, but construction is under-represented at 7.5% compared to Regional Vic.'s 10.4%.

The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating local employment opportunities above average. Between December 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 2.7%, while the labour force decreased by 2.1%, resulting in a 4.5 percentage point drop in unemployment. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s employment contracted by 0.6%, with the labour force falling by 0.7% and unemployment decreasing by 0.1%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mildura - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Mildura - North SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $46,928 and an average income of $55,138 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This was below the national average, compared to Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $51,442 (median) and $60,442 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Mildura - North all fell between the 14th and 21st percentiles nationally. Income analysis showed that the predominant cohort consisted of 28.1% of locals (4,991 people) with incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which was consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.3% in the same income bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 84.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 15th percentile.

Mildura - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Mildura - North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.8% houses and 22.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - North stood at 29.7%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (26.7%) or rented (43.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,148, below Regional Vic.'s average, while median weekly rent was $260, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285 respectively. Nationally, Mildura - North's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mildura - North features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.6% of all households, consisting of 20.6% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.4%, with lone person households at 33.9% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high at 29.1%, with 10.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - North has 156 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 24 routes providing 588 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically located 250 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, primarily using cars (92%), while 5% walk. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average. In 2021 Census data, 8.1% of residents worked from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 84 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 3 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Mildura - North is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura - North faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (~8,419 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.

and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues impact 10.1% of residents, while asthma affects 9.2%. 63.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 19.5% of residents aged 65 and over (3,467 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mildura - North records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-North has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 18.3% of its population born overseas and 16.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mildura-North, accounting for 44.0% of its population. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented, comprising 3.1% compared to Regional Vic's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.4%), Australian (27.2%), and Other (8.9%). There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 4.9% (vs regional 1.4%), Vietnamese at 0.9% (vs 0.2%), and German at 3.9% (vs 3.5%).

Mildura - North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mildura - North's median age is 38, which is lower than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 16.6% of Mildura - North's population compared to Regional Vic., while the 65-74 cohort comprises 10.2%. Post the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group grew from 15.2% to 16.6%, and the 35-44 cohort increased from 11.6% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 11.9% to 10.5%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 11.9% to 10.6%. By 2041, Mildura - North's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 25-34 age group will grow by 28%, adding 823 people and reaching a total of 3,777 from the current figure of 2,953. Meanwhile, the 15-24 group will exhibit modest growth of 1%, with an increase of just 23 residents.