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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Mildura has an estimated 34,680 residents, up from 34,565 at the 2021 Census. 748 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 444 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Mildura has an estimated resident count of around 34,680, calculated by AreaSearch through regional ABS population updates alongside 748 validated new addresses recorded after the Census date. This represents an increase of 115 people (0.3%) from the 34,565 residents counted in the 2021 Census, aligning with an estimated resident population of 34,566 following the ABS ERP release of June 2025. With 444 persons per square kilometer, the locality maintains a density profile that affords substantial personal space and capacity for expansion. While growth remains moderate overall, the 0.3% rise recorded in the suburb of Mildura since the 2021 census outperformed the broader SA4 region (-0.9%), with overseas arrivals serving as the principal driver by accounting for approximately 82.0% of recent population additions.
Projections for the suburb of Mildura utilise 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 figures starting from base year 2022, supplemented where necessary by 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections converted via weighted population aggregation from LGA to SA2 tiers. These aggregations also provide age-cohort expansion rates applied across all locations from 2032 to 2041. Over the 16 years running to 2041, aggregated SA2 estimates position the suburb of Mildura in the highest quartile among non-capital areas for demographic expansion, with the total headcount forecast to increase by 8,111 persons (an overall rise of 23.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
838 new dwellings have been approved in Mildura over the past five years, an average of 167 a year. That places the area in the 58th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 175 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 84% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 266, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Statistical area data processed by AreaSearch indicates that residential building approvals in Mildura have averaged approximately 167 dwellings per year, totalling around 838 approved homes during the 5 financial years from FY-21 through FY-25, alongside 266 recorded to date in FY-25. Amid recent population contraction, this inflow of supply has supported market equilibrium and provided ample buyer options, with new dwellings carrying an average construction value of $434,000. Additionally, non-residential activity has gathered significant pace, registering $74.6 million in commercial development approvals during the current financial year. Per capita residential development in Mildura aligns closely with Rest of Vic.
averages, reinforcing regional stability. Detached dwellings account for 84.0% of new residential approvals while medium and higher density formats represent 16.0%, preserving a low-density character focused on standalone properties that appeal to space-focused purchasers. The area exhibits clear low-density attributes, averaging roughly 173 people per approved dwelling. According to the latest quarterly figures from AreaSearch, Mildura is projected to gain 7,997 residents by 2041. If residential building activity continues at its current rate, future housing delivery may fall behind incoming population demand, potentially tightening market conditions and driving upward momentum in dwelling values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Mildura
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 16 current infrastructure and development projects inside Mildura, worth an estimated $1 billion. A further 52 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.84 billion. 16 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and energy. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital works, public planning policies, and infrastructure upgrades exert a direct influence on property markets and economic performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 21 projects with expected significance for the area, featuring prominent developments such as Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment - Stage 2, Mildura CBD Revitalisation Project, Mildura South Neighbourhood Activity Centre, and Whistlers Ridge Estate, Merbein, with major works outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mildura South Neighbourhood Activity Centre
Approved $150 million mixed-use neighbourhood activity centre comprising four distinct precincts: commercial (supermarket, specialty shops, health services, hospitality), residential (medium density housing), community (hub, childcare, recreation facilities) and village green (public open space, community garden). The 8-hectare development will serve up to 10,000 residents in the growing Mildura South corridor over the next 10 years.
Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment - Stage 2
The Mildura Riverfront Redevelopment Stage 2 focuses on the revitalisation of the Powerhouse Precinct. This major project involves the transformation of the historic Powerhouse building into a multi-use cultural and commercial hub, the creation of a new bespoke playground, a bitumen pump track, and extensive landscaping. The goal is to strengthen the connection between the Mildura CBD and the riverfront, enhancing the area as a key tourism and community destination.
Mildura CBD Revitalisation Project
Comprehensive multi-stage project to revitalise and transform Mildura's Central Business District. Key components include the Feast Street Upgrade with shared street design and dining arbour structures, Langtree Mall placemaking initiatives with grassed areas, lighting and misters, economic feasibility studies, connectivity improvements, and public realm enhancements. The project aims to deliver economic revitalisation, improve access and connectivity, and create a more vibrant, people-oriented centre for community life supported by sustainable economic growth.
Mildura Passenger Rail Return
Long-running advocacy and planning initiative to reinstate passenger rail services between Mildura and Melbourne, restoring a connection that ended in 1993. Mildura remains the largest Victorian regional centre without a passenger rail link. The current focus, as of 2026, has shifted to a staged 'Rails to Recovery' concept circulated by the Rail Revival Alliance Victoria, proposing a standard-gauge locomotive-hauled shuttle between Mildura and Maryborough, connecting with the existing V/Line VLocity service to Melbourne via Ballarat.Two active Victorian Parliament petitions are pushing for the trial: a Legislative Assembly e-petition closing 10 May 2026 and Legislative Council Petition #730 closing 28 February 2026. Mildura MP Jade Benham has renewed parliamentary calls and is meeting rail stakeholders to identify practical pathways. Mildura Rural City Council continues to advocate for the project under its Mildura Future Ready strategy. Significant infrastructure considerations remain, including upgrades at around 145 level crossings, rolling stock provisioning, and operating model. The Victorian Government has not committed funding for delivery as of early 2026.
Hawthorn Ridge Development Plan
The Hawthorn Ridge Development Plan provides a long-term strategic framework for the future subdivision of land bordered by McEdward Street, the Mildura railway line, and Lake Hawthorn. It designates the area for low density residential development with a 0.4 hectare minimum lot size, prioritizing environmental conservation and community access to adjoining recreational reserves.
Big Housing Build - Social Housing Projects
Part of Victoria's Big Housing Build program, delivering new social housing units in Mildura to provide secure, affordable accommodation for vulnerable community members and reduce housing waiting lists. Includes partnerships with MASP and CatholicCare Victoria to build modern, climate-appropriate homes.
Mildura Base Public Hospital Intensive Care Unit Expansion
A $2.48 million expansion of the intensive care unit at Mildura Base Public Hospital, which increased the number of intensive care beds from five to eight and added two short-stay beds. The project involved reconfiguring and upgrading existing rooms to enhance high-quality coronary care capacity, improve patient flow, and reduce waiting times for the Mildura community.
Riverside Ridge Mildura Subdivision
Residential subdivision delivering modern housing lots with river-adjacent amenity, landscaped open space and local park access. Civil design and supervision by MH2 Engineering and Architecture, with development by Fisher Developments.
16,593 residents of Mildura are employed, from a labour force of 17,077. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 60.2%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local workforce figures compiled by AreaSearch show Mildura maintaining a qualified labour pool with notable representation across core services, alongside an unemployment rate of only 2.8%. Employed residents numbered 16,593 as of March 2026, while the jobless rate tracking 0.9% under the 3.7% recorded for Regional Vic., and labour force participation closely aligned with Regional Vic.'s 61.1%. Working from home accounted for a modest 8.5% of responses at the Census, although figures should be interpreted in the context of Covid-19 restrictions. Retail trade, health care & social assistance, and education & training represent the primary sources of employment for local residents.
Meanwhile, the construction industry accounts for 7.4% of resident jobs, trailing the 10.4% benchmark seen across Regional Vic.. A comparison between resident workers and local employment totals indicates that a considerable portion of the community travels outside the locality for work. AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM statistical area data shows that over the 12-month period, the local labour force shrank by 3.6% alongside a 1.4% reduction in employment, which lowered the unemployment rate by 2.1 percentage points. Across Regional Vic., employment fell by 0.1%, the labour force contracted by 0.3%, and unemployment decreased by 0.2 percentage points. Longer-term labour requirements can be evaluated using national industry projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26. Nationally, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with performance varying widely across different fields. Projecting these industry trajectories across Mildura's existing worker distribution suggests potential local employment expansion of 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighting model that does not incorporate localised demographic changes).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Mildura is $1,295 a week (about $67,000 a year), with median personal income at $681 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $45,760 a year against an average of $53,688. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates lower earnings than national benchmarks in the suburb of Mildura, with a median income of $45,760 and a mean of $53,688, compared against Regional Vic. averages of $50,954 (median) and $62,728 (average). Adjusting for a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 brings estimated figures to approximately $50,162 for median earnings and $58,853 on average as of March 2026. At the 2021 Census, personal, family, and household income measures for Mildura ranked within the 19th to 25th percentiles across Australia.
The single largest earnings bracket comprises weekly incomes between $1,500 - 2,999, representing 30.5% of residents (10,577 residents) and matching the 30.3% share observed across the wider region. Mortgage and rental costs impose significant financial strain, leaving 84.7% of earnings unspent and placing the locality in the 21st percentile nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Mildura had 13,319 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 81% detached houses and 7% apartments. 30% are owned with a mortgage, 38% rented and 31% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $280 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 21.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records show that separate houses represented 81.0% of local residential stock in Mildura, while semi-detached dwellings, apartments, and other property types made up 19.0%, compared with 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic.. Full home ownership stood at 31.4%, below the regional benchmark, with 30.3% of homes mortgaged and 38.3% tenanted. Typical housing costs remained below regional medians, with monthly mortgage payments at $1,300 versus $1,430 in Regional Vic., and weekly rent at $280 compared to $285 regionally. Relative to nationwide benchmarks, Mildura's mortgage expenses remain substantially below the Australian average of $1,863, and rental figures are considerably lower than the national level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Mildura counted 13,319 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 24% are couples with children, against 26% couples without children. 31% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Couples and families constitute 65.1% of all households, encompassing couples raising children (23.6%), childless couples (26.4%), and single-parent arrangements (14.0%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 34.9%, predominantly single-person households at 31.0% and shared homes at 3.9%. The median household size of 2.4 people is identical to the average for Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
17.6% of adults in Mildura hold a university qualification, including 12.3% with a bachelor degree and 2.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.9% hold a vocational qualification. 16 schools serve the area, with 5,611 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 954 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher educational attainment presents an area of need, as 17.6% of residents hold university qualifications compared to the broader VIC benchmark of 33.4%, highlighting opportunities for targeted learning programmes. Among tertiary qualifications, bachelor degrees represent 12.3%, postgraduate awards account for 2.9%, and graduate diplomas make up 2.4%. Vocational pathways remain prominent, with 36.2% of individuals aged 15+ possessing technical qualifications, split between certificates (25.9%) and advanced diplomas (10.3%). Community engagement in structured study is widespread, with 29.0% of the population attending an educational institution. Within this cohort, 10.6% are in primary school, 7.9% attend secondary school, and 2.6% are enrolled in tertiary study.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Mildura reaches 294 stops on 27 routes, timetabled for about 1,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 240 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Mildura is served by a public transport network comprising 294 active bus and train stops across 27 routes, generating a combined 1,145 weekly passenger services. Proximity to transit is favourable, with residents situated an average distance of 236 meters from the nearest stop. The local commuting pattern is primarily outbound, with private vehicles serving as the primary transport mode at 94%. Households own an average of 1.3 vehicles, below the regional benchmark, while 8.5% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census, subject to potential COVID-19 influences. Across the entire network, services operate at a rate of 163 trips per day, providing approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop.
The accompanying mapping highlights the 100 nearest transport stops relative to the centrepoint of the area.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
64.6% of residents in Mildura report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 82% of areas nationally. 8.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality patterns and chronic illnesses highlight notable public health needs across Mildura, with common conditions impacting both younger cohorts and older demographics. Private health insurance participation is subdued, covering approximately 48% of the local population (~16,694 people), below the 50.5% recorded across Regional Vic. and the nationwide figure of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent reported illnesses locally, affecting 8.9% and 9.6% of residents, respectively, while 64.6% of individuals reported no long-term medical diagnoses compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Working-age residents experience elevated rates of ongoing health conditions.
Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 20.4% of the population (7,074 people), trailing the 24.0% share seen across Regional Vic., with health metrics for older residents tracking closely with nationwide benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Mildura is largely Australian-born, at 81.4% of residents, with 17.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.9%) and Australian (26.9%). 4.1% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Mildura displays relatively high cultural diversity, with 18.6% of residents born abroad and 17.3% using a language other than English in their households. Christianity is the most widespread religious affiliation, accounting for 46.1% of the population. Notably, Islamic affiliation shows a distinctive presence at 3.3% of the community, compared to 1.0% throughout Regional Vic.. Looking at parental birthplaces, the three most common ancestries in Mildura are English (27.9%), Australian (26.9%), and Other (8.8%). Several other heritage groups show distinctive concentrations within the community, including Italian at 5.4% (compared to 2.9% across the region), Australian Aboriginal at 4.1% (compared to 1.4%), and Samoan at 0.3% (compared to 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Mildura is 39. 26.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Mildura's demographic profile is comparatively younger than Regional Vic.. Updated August 2026 figures show that 28.1% of residents fall into the 25 - 44 age bracket, compared to 23.1% regionally, while those aged 65+ account for 20.4% against a regional benchmark of 24.0%. The median age remains at an estimated 39 as at August 2026, identical to the 2021 Census figure and 4 years below the Regional Vic. median of 43 at that Census. The proportion of residents aged 45 - 64 has reduced from 23.8% at the Census to an estimated 21.9%.
Projections to 2041 indicate that the 25 - 44 bracket will drive the majority of growth, expanding by 3,276 residents (34%) to a total of 13,021.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Mildura
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 16 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 748 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (34,565 at the 2021 Census → 34,680 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21682). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.