Windaroo

An assessment of population growth drivers in Windaroo reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Windaroo's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 3,499 people. This figure reflects a growth of 728 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,771. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,203 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of one new address post-Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,822 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Windaroo's growth rate of 26.3% since the 2021 Census exceeds both the national average (9.7%) and state averages, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Future projections anticipate exceptional growth, placing Windaroo in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analyzed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 3,588 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 106.9% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Windaroo was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Windaroo averaged around 42 new dwelling approvals each year over the past 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, totalling an estimated 213 homes. So far in FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. Over these 5 years, an average of 6.4 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed. This demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $384,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY-26, there have been $9.0 million in commercial approvals, indicating Windaroo's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Windaroo has had 45.0% more development per person over this period, balancing buyer choice with support for current property values, although recent activity has moderated. This level of activity is significantly above the national average, reflecting robust developer interest in the area.

New building activity consists of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% attached dwellings, sustaining Windaroo's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 102 people per approval, Windaroo reflects a developing area. By 2041, AreaSearch quarterly estimates suggest Windaroo is expected to grow by 3,739 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Windaroo has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that may impact the area: Stapylton Industrial Expansion, Bahrs Scrub Road & Wuraga Road Residential Estate, Sequana Logan Reserve, and Queensland Train Manufacturing Program. The following details those likely most relevant.

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The exceptional employment performance in Windaroo places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Windaroo has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 1.4% and estimated employment growth of 3.3% in the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, 2,154 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is 69.0%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction employment is particularly high at 1.6 times the regional average.

Health care & social assistance has a lower presence with 11.7% employment compared to 16.1% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 3.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.8% with a 0.5 percentage point decrease in unemployment. Statewide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Windaroo's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Windaroo suburb's income level aligns with national averages per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2023. Windaroo's median income among taxpayers is $61,061 and average income stands at $68,265, compared to Greater Brisbane's figures of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year ended June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,112 (median) and $75,030 (average). Windaroo's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 67th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows 36.3% of residents (1,270 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with surrounding region trends at 33.3%. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income. Windaroo residents rank in the 75th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Windaroo is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Windaroo's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 97.8% houses and 2.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had a different composition with 78.9% houses and 21.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Windaroo was at 31.7%, higher than Brisbane metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 54.4% and rented dwellings were 13.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Windaroo was $1,850, above the Brisbane metro average of $1,560. The median weekly rent figure was $415 compared to Brisbane metro's $340. Nationally, Windaroo's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Windaroo features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.6% of all households, consisting of 41.2% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single-parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.4%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households making up 1.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Windaroo shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.2%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (30.9%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (10.4%), secondary education (9.8%), and tertiary education (3.1%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of Windaroo's public transport system shows 12 active stops in operation, all serving bus routes. These stops are covered by one route collectively offering 115 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 269 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 16 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Windaroo's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Windaroo's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions among its general population are somewhat typical but higher than the nation's average among older cohorts.

Approximately 54% of Windaroo's total population (~1,898 people) has private health cover, compared to 50.2% across Greater Brisbane. The most common medical conditions in Windaroo are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.7 and 8.6% of residents respectively. 68.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.1% across Greater Brisbane. As of 2021, 15.1% of Windaroo's residents are aged 65 and over (528 people). Health outcomes among seniors in the area require more attention than those of the broader population.

Windaroo ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Windaroo's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 78.0% born in Australia and 90.2% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 95.5%. Christianity was the predominant religion at 50.8%, compared to 45.6% regionally.

The top ancestral groups were English (33.7%), Australian (26.0%), and Scottish (8.3%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Maori (1.9%) were overrepresented in Windaroo compared to regional averages of 0.4% and 3.0%, respectively. New Zealand-born residents also slightly exceeded the regional average at 1.4%.

Windaroo's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Windaroo is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Windaroo has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.4%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 35-44 has increased from 13.1% to 15.2%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 14.6% to 13.3% and the 65-74 age group has dropped from 9.6% to 8.3%. By 2041, Windaroo's population is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition, with the 45-54 age group projected to grow by 133%, reaching 1,083 people from 465.