Windaroo

An assessment of population growth drivers in Windaroo reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Windaroo's population is estimated at around 3,499 as of Feb 2026, reflecting an increase of 728 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,771. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,203 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional validated new address since the Census date. The suburb's population density is calculated at 1,822 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Windaroo's growth rate of 26.3% since the 2021 census exceeds both the national average (9.9%) and state figures, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 79.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings for age cohorts according to ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Demographic trends predict exceptional growth for Windaroo over the period leading up to 2041, with an expected increase of 3,587 persons reflecting a total gain of 106.7% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Windaroo was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Windaroo averaged around 42 new dwelling approvals each year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 213 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved in FY-26. This results in an average of about 6.4 new residents per year for every home built over the past five financial years.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average value of $384,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY-26, there have been $9.0 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Windaroo has slightly more development, with 46.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. The majority of new building activity consists of standalone homes (88.0%), with townhouses or apartments accounting for the remaining 12.0%, sustaining the area's suburban identity. With around 102 people per dwelling approval, Windaroo shows characteristics of a growth area. Population forecasts indicate Windaroo will gain approximately 3,735 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Windaroo has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified three projects likely impacting the area: Stapylton Industrial Expansion, Bahrs Scrub Road & Wuraga Road Residential Estate, Sequana Logan Reserve, and Queensland Train Manufacturing Program. Projects of greatest relevance are detailed below.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Windaroo performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Windaroo has a balanced workforce across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 1.3% and estimated employment growth of 3.3% in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, 2,144 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.7%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%.

Workforce participation is high at 85.6%. Home workership stands at 16.3% (Census data). Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance has lower representation at 11.7%, compared to the regional average of 16.1%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.3% and labour force grew by 2.9%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point drop in unemployment (AreaSearch analysis). National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Windaroo's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years (simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Windaroo suburb has a median taxpayer income of $61,061 and an average income of $68,265 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is comparable to national averages, differing from Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Using a Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $67,112 (median) and $75,030 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, Windaroo's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 67th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 36.3% of locals (1,270 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to regional trends where 33.3% are in the same category. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income. Windaroo residents rank within the 75th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Windaroo is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Windaroo's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 97.8% houses and 2.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Windaroo stood at 31.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.4% and rented ones at 13.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,850, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,863. Median weekly rent was $415, higher than Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Windaroo's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Windaroo features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.6% of all households, including 41.2% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.4%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Windaroo shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.2%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (30.9%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.4% in primary, 9.8% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Windaroo has 12 active public transport stops operating, with a mix of bus services. There is 1 individual route serving these stops, collectively offering 115 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in Windaroo is rated as good, with residents typically located 269 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, some 16.3% of residents work from home, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 16 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Windaroo are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Windaroo's health indicators show below-average outcomes, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (~1,898 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.7 and 8.6% of residents respectively. 68.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 15.1% of residents aged 65 and over (528 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Windaroo ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Windaroo, surveyed in 2016, had a culturally homogeneous population with 78.0% born in Australia, 90.2% being citizens, and 95.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 50.8%, compared to 47.8% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.7%), Australian (26.0%), and Scottish (8.3%).

Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Maori (1.9%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 1.1%, respectively. New Zealand ancestry was also slightly higher at 1.4%.

Windaroo's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Windaroo was 39 years as of a certain date, slightly exceeding Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and closely matching the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Windaroo had a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.4%) but fewer individuals aged 25-34 (9.7%). Between the censuses of 2021 and an unspecified later date, the population aged 35-44 grew from 13.1% to 15.4%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 decreased from 14.6% to 13.2% and the share of those aged 65-74 fell from 9.6% to 8.2%. By a certain date in 2041, Windaroo's age composition is projected to change significantly, with the 45-54 group expected to grow by 135%, reaching 1,086 people from its previous size of 461.