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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Waterford (Qld) has an estimated 5,837 residents, up from 5,796 at the 2021 Census. That puts 934 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on evaluation of ABS population updates for the wider region, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Waterford (Qld) has a population estimated at around 5,837 as of May 2026. This indicates an increase of 41 people (0.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,796 people. The shift is inferred from the resident population of 5,817, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 36 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This level of population equates to a density ratio of 933 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As future population trends are examined, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected for the suburb of Waterford (Qld), with the area expected to grow by 314 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting recording a gain of 5.0% in total over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
182 new dwellings have been approved in Waterford (Qld) over the past five years, an average of 36 a year. That is 6.3 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 39 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 87% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 8, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Waterford has averaged around 36 new dwelling approvals annually, with an estimated 182 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 8 so far in FY-26. With an average of only 0.6 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations, while new homes are being built at an average value of $390,000—moderately above regional levels—indicating an emphasis on quality construction.
Additionally, $20.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity. In comparison with Greater Brisbane, Waterford records 51.0% more building activity (per person). creating greater choice for buyers, though building activity has slowed in recent years. New development consists of 87.0% detached dwellings and 13.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 778 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections show Waterford adding 294 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Waterford (Qld)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Waterford (Qld), worth an estimated $205 million. A further 48 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $10.5 billion. 15 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, retail and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total 11 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Bethania to Logan Village Rail Trail, Holmview Central Shopping Centre Stage 2 Expansion, Beenleigh Train Station Upgrade, and Yarrabilba Town Centre, with the below list detailing those likely to be of most relevance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Holmview Central Shopping Centre Stage 2 Expansion
Proposed expansion of Holmview Central by Lancini Property Group. The proposal includes a second full-line supermarket with click and collect, family hotel, specialty retail, drive-thru food outlets, tyre and auto operator, additional parking, new road connections and supporting infrastructure. The project remains in the planning phase with the expansion continuing to be promoted as a future development.
Beenleigh Train Station Upgrade
The Beenleigh Train Station Upgrade is being delivered as part of the Logan and Gold Coast Faster Rail program. The existing station will be relocated approximately 650 metres north to between Zander Street and Victoria Street, providing a modern accessible station with lifts, improved walking and cycling links, a new bus interchange, expanded park and ride facilities and improved connections to Beenleigh Town Square. The project also supports rail duplication and removal of nearby level crossings.
Bethania to Logan Village Rail Trail
Proposed walking and cycling trail connecting Bethania and Logan Village along the former railway corridor. Will provide safe recreational and commuter pathway through heritage areas.
Brookhaven Master Planned Community
Large-scale master-planned residential community delivering approximately 1,980 lots across a 150-hectare hinterland-fringed site in Bahrs Scrub, Logan City. The estate includes parks, green corridors, a future retail centre, and a display village. Developed by Frasers Property Australia, it holds a 5 Star Green Star Communities rating and is located midway between Brisbane and the Gold Coast, 4.8km from the M1 Motorway.
Holmview Central Shopping Centre Stage 2 Expansion
Major expansion of Holmview Central Shopping Centre by Lancini Property and Development. The proposal includes a second full-line supermarket, new specialty retail, a family hotel, food and beverage outlets, drive-thru tenancies, tyre and auto services, about 475 additional car parks, a new signalised intersection and internal road upgrades. Community updates issued during 2025 indicate the project remains in the development approvals process.
Cantabria Village Estate
Boutique residential community delivering 120 townhomes and apartments with resort-style facilities in the heart of Waterford West, directly opposite the future town centre site.
Logan Water Major Infrastructure Program
Ongoing Logan Water capital works program delivering new water and wastewater infrastructure, including trunk pipelines, pump station upgrades, water main relocations, network renewals and planning for the future Chambers Flat Wastewater Treatment Plant. The program supports population growth, improved water security and long-term servicing of Logan's southern growth corridor.
Rosebank Estate
Boutique residential estate by KDL Property Group with 272 lots across 6 stages. Features lots from 400-550sqm priced from $329,900. Includes community parkland with basketball court, picnic shelters, and exercise equipment. Located by Logan River with proximity to schools and transport.
2,914 residents of Waterford (Qld) are employed, from a labour force of 3,030. Unemployment sits at 3.9%, with participation at 68.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,970, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Waterford features a skilled workforce, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, and an unemployment rate of only 3.9%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 2,914 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.5% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.3%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (68.0% compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 11.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
The area shows particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. On the other hand, professional & technical is under-represented, with only 2.9% of Waterford's workforce compared to 8.9% in Greater Brisbane. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas, the 12-month period saw labour force decreasing by 3.3% while employment declined by 3.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2%, labour force growth of 3.4%, with unemployment rising 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Waterford. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Waterford's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Waterford (Qld) is $1,623 a week (about $84,000 a year), with median personal income at $806 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $57,013 a year against an average of $61,831. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 reveals that income in the suburb of Waterford is below the national average, with the median assessed at $57,013 while the average income stands at $61,831. This contrasts to Greater Brisbane's figures of a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $63,490 (median) and $68,855 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Waterford, between the 42nd and 50th percentiles.
Distribution data shows 38.9% of the population (2,270 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen the metropolitan region where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Waterford (Qld) had 1,917 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 74% detached houses and 5% apartments. 37% are owned with a mortgage, 42% rented and 21% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,700 a month. Rent absorbs 24.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Dwelling structure within Waterford, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 74.4% houses and 25.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Waterford was lagging that of Brisbane metro, at 20.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (37.1%) or rented (42.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Brisbane metro average at $1,700, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380.
Nationally, Waterford's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Waterford (Qld) counted 1,917 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.8 people each. 34% are couples with children, against 23% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households dominate at 75.6% of all households, comprising 34.0% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 17.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.4%, with lone person households at 21.2% and group households comprising 3.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
17.8% of adults in Waterford (Qld) hold a university qualification, including 12.7% with a bachelor degree and 3.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.3% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,964 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,016 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (17.8%) substantially below the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (29.3%). Educational participation is notably high, with 33.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.4% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Waterford (Qld) means driving: households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport analysis reveals 4 active transport stops operating within Waterford comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 1 individual routes, collectively providing 76 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 326 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. A relatively low 11.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions). Service frequency averages 10 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.4% of residents in Waterford (Qld) report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 83% of areas nationally. 6.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Waterford, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts , and the rate of private health cover found to be relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~3,017 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane. The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.3 and 8.9% of residents, respectively, while 68.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane.
Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 11.8% of residents aged 65 and over (688 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
30.6% of Waterford (Qld) residents were born overseas and 18.4% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (26.7%) and Australian (23.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Waterford was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 18.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 30.6% born overseas. The main religion in Waterford was found to be Christianity, which makes up 44.3% of people in Waterford. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 1.9% of the population, compared to 1.3% across Greater Brisbane. In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Waterford are English, comprising 26.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 23.7% of the population, and Other, comprising 12.5% of the population.
Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maori is notably overrepresented at 3.9% of Waterford (vs 1.1% regionally), Samoan at 2.4% (vs 0.9%) and New Zealand at 1.6% (vs 1.0%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Waterford (Qld) is 32, younger than 90% of areas nationally. 31.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
At 32 years, Waterford's median age is notably under the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Waterford has a higher concentration of 0 - 4 residents (8.5%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (4.5%). In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.8% to 14.5% of the population. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 5.9% to 4.5% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 15.9% to 14.7%.
Demographic modeling suggests Waterford's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 138 people (24%) from 577 to 716. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 52% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 cohorts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Waterford (Qld)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 36 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (5,796 at the 2021 Census → 5,837 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL33004). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.