Bahrs Scrub

Bahrs Scrub lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, as of Nov 2025, Bahrs Scrub's estimated population is around 7,263. This reflects a growth of 2,755 people (61.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,508. AreaSearch estimated the resident population at 6,658 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validated an additional 922 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 738 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bahrs Scrub's growth exceeded national (9.7%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections for age cohorts. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period with an expected expansion of 5,165 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 54.5% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Bahrs Scrub was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bahrs Scrub had approximately 212 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 1,062 homes. As of FY-26, 51 approvals have been recorded. On average, each new dwelling accommodates about 2.3 residents annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating steady demand for housing in the area. The average construction cost per dwelling is around $384,000, slightly above the regional average.

In FY-26, commercial development approvals reached $8.3 million, reflecting the primarily residential character of Bahrs Scrub. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bahrs Scrub has 357.0% higher construction activity per capita, offering buyers ample choice, although recent construction activity has slowed down. Nationally, this level of construction activity is well above average and reflects strong developer confidence in the area. Detached houses make up 84.0% of new developments, with attached dwellings comprising the remaining 16.0%, preserving Bahrs Scrub's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The area has approximately 29 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market.

By 2041, AreaSearch projects Bahrs Scrub to add around 3,960 residents based on its latest quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bahrs Scrub has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 12 projects that could impact the area, with key ones being The Heights at Bahrs Scrub, the residential estate along Bahrs Scurb Road and Wuraga Road, Emerald Lakes at Bahrs Scrub, and Brookwater Rise Estate. These are detailed below as they are likely most relevant.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bahrs Scrub rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bahrs Scrub has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.8% in September 2025, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.4%. There were 3,663 residents employed as of September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 2.2%, below Greater Brisbane's rate. Workforce participation in Bahrs Scrub was 74.5%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction shows notable concentration with levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 4.6% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.4% while labour force increased by 3.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment falling by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Bahrs Scrub. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bahrs Scrub's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 on an unknown date. In Bahrs Scrub, median income among taxpayers was $69,895 and average income was $78,141. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. By September 2025, based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated median income in Bahrs Scrub would be approximately $76,822 and average income $85,885. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Bahrs Scrub cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 46.9% of individuals (3,406 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, similar to the metropolitan region's 33.3%. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income in Bahrs Scrub. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 68th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bahrs Scrub is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bahrs Scrub's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 94.7% houses and 5.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had 78.9% houses and 21.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bahrs Scrub was 11.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented ones at 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,863, higher than Brisbane metro's $1,560. Median weekly rent in Bahrs Scrub was $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $340. Nationally, Bahrs Scrub's mortgage repayments were similar to the Australian average of $1,863, but rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Bahrs Scrub features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.2% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 15.3% single parent families. The remaining 17.8% are non-family households, consisting of 14.0% lone person households and 3.8% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Bahrs Scrub shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 18.3%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (31.4%). Educational participation is high at 31.1%, with 11.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Bahrs Scrub's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Bahrs Scrub. Younger cohorts particularly see very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is found to be very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~4,224 people), compared to 50.2% across Greater Brisbane. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 9.5 and 9.4% of residents respectively. A total of 72.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.1% across Greater Brisbane. As of 2021, 6.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (501 people), which is lower than the 16.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bahrs Scrub was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bahrs Scrub's cultural diversity is above average, with 12.2% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 40.8%. The 'Other' religious category comprises 1.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 1.4%.

Top ancestry groups are English (27.0%), Australian (26.6%), and Other (8.7%). Notably, New Zealanders comprise 3.0% vs regional 1.7%, Maori at 3.0% vs 3.0%, and Samoans at 1.1% vs 1.1%.

Bahrs Scrub hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Bahrs Scrub's median age is 28 years, which is lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bahrs Scrub has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (23.5%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.1%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has increased from 13.6% to 15.4%, while the proportion of those aged 45 to 54 has decreased from 9.7% to 8.5%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Bahrs Scrub, with the 35 to 44 age group expected to grow by 57%, reaching a total of 1,756 residents from the current figure of 1,118.