Bahrs Scrub

Bahrs Scrub lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the suburb of Bahrs Scrub's population is estimated at around 7,286 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,778 people (61.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,508 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 6,658 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 931 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 741 persons per square kilometer. Bahrs Scrub's growth exceeded the national average (9.9%) and state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data for years post-2032. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Bahrs Scrub in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation. The suburb is expected to expand by 5,168 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 54.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Bahrs Scrub was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Bahrs Scrub has had around 212 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 1,062 homes. As of FY-26, 51 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of approximately 2.3 new residents per year for each dwelling between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction value of these dwellings is $384,000.

Additionally, $8.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Bahrs Scrub shows 357.0% higher construction activity per person. New developments consist of 84.0% detached houses and 16.0% attached dwellings. The location has approximately 29 people per dwelling approval. Future projections estimate Bahrs Scrub to add 3,937 residents by 2041.

Future projections show Bahrs Scrub adding 3,937 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bahrs Scrub has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 12 projects that could impact the area's performance due to changes in local infrastructure. Key among these are The Heights Bahrs Scrub, Bahrs Scrub Road & Wuraga Road Residential Estate, Emerald Lakes Bahrs Scrub, and Brookwater Rise Estate. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Bahrs Scrub rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bahrs Scrub has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate is 1.8%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.5% in the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 3678 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.2% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation stands at 74.8%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. Census responses show that only 11.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.6% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.5% while labour force grew by 3.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment falling by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bahrs Scrub's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Bahrs Scrub's median income among taxpayers is $69,895, with an average of $78,141. Nationally, these figures are very high compared to Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. By September 2025, current estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest the median income will be approximately $76,822 and the average around $85,885. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Bahrs Scrub cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. The earnings band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 46.9% of the community (3,417 individuals), which aligns with broader metropolitan trends at 33.3%. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 68th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bahrs Scrub is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

As per the most recent Census evaluation, Bahrs Scrub's dwelling structures consisted of 94.7% houses and 5.4% other dwellings (including semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings). This differs from Brisbane metro's composition of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bahrs Scrub stood at 11.4%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 49.2% and rented dwellings making up 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,863, aligning with Brisbane metro's average, while the median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Bahrs Scrub's mortgage repayments were similar to Australia's average of $1,863, but rents were substantially higher at $420 compared to the national figure of $375.

Bahrs Scrub features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.2% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 15.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.8%, with lone person households at 14.0% and group households comprising 3.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Bahrs Scrub shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 18.3%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (31.4%). Educational participation is high, with 31.1% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.4% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 4.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bahrs Scrub has four operational public transport stops, all serving buses. No specific routes or weekly passenger trips are mentioned. Residents primarily use cars for commuting, with a 94% dominance. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. Only 11.5% of residents work from home, as recorded in the 2021 Census.

Health performance in Bahrs Scrub is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bahrs Scrub faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~4,237 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 9.5 and 9.4% of residents respectively. 72.4% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. As of 31 December 20XX, the area has 7.1% of residents aged 65 and over (517 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bahrs Scrub was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bahrs Scrub, surveyed in June 2016, had above-average cultural diversity with 12.2% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 25.7% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 40.8% of people. However, 'Other' religions comprised only 1.1%, compared to 1.3% in Greater Brisbane.

Ancestry-wise, English (27.0%) and Australian (26.6%) were the top groups, followed by 'Other' at 8.7%. Notably, New Zealanders made up 3.0% of Bahrs Scrub's population compared to 1.0% regionally, Maori were 3.0% versus 1.1%, and Samoans were 1.1% versus 0.9%.

Bahrs Scrub hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Bahrs Scrub has a median age of 29, which is lower than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and the Australian median of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are particularly prominent, making up 22.7% of the population, while those aged 65-74 comprise only 4.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's figures. This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.4%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 13.6% to 15.8% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 9.7% to 8.5%. By 2041, Bahrs Scrub's age composition is expected to change significantly, with the 35 to 44 age group projected to rise substantially by 600 people (52%), from 1,151 to 1,752.