Mount Warren Park

Mount Warren Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Mount Warren Park's population is estimated at around 5,990 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase from 5,736 people recorded in the 2021 Census, a growth of 254 people (4.4%). AreaSearch estimates this population based on resident data from June 2024 ABS ERP release and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,429 persons per square kilometer, above national averages. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 are adopted. However, these state projections lack age category splits; AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Future trends indicate a population decline by 227 persons by 2041, with the 75 to 84 age group projected to expand by 228 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Warren Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Mount Warren Park recorded approximately 12 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, around 63 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these five years. However, recent data shows this figure has increased to 14.2 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, reflecting Mount Warren Park's growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

Development projects averaged $439,000 in construction value, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $79,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. When compared to Greater Brisbane, Mount Warren Park records significantly lower building activity, at 80.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Furthermore, this is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

All new construction in Mount Warren Park has been comprised of standalone homes, preserving its suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (79.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With a population density of around 916 people per approval, Mount Warren Park shows a mature, established area. Population projections indicate stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures and benefiting potential buyers in the area.

Mount Warren Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Twelve infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Notable ones include Osprey Waters Retirement Village, Eagleby Shopping Plaza Redevelopment, Beenleigh Marketplace Enhancement, and Kinross Road Residential Estate (AVJennings). The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Mount Warren Park demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Warren Park's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with construction being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate was 2.8% in the past year, showing an employment growth of 3.4%.

As of September 2025, 3,078 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation is lower at 58.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Dominant sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction is strongly specialized here, with a share 1.6 times the regional level.

Professional & technical jobs are under-represented, at 4.6% versus Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by working population vs resident population counts. Over the past year, employment increased by 3.4%, labour force by 1.9%, reducing unemployment by 1.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mount Warren Park's mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Mount Warren Park's median income among taxpayers was $51,944 in financial year 2023. The suburb's average income stood at $58,073 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Brisbane's median and average incomes of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest Mount Warren Park's median income will be approximately $57,092 and average income $63,828, based on a 9.91% wage growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes in Mount Warren Park rank at the 35th percentile, family incomes at the 35th percentile, and personal incomes also at the 35th percentile. Income distribution shows that 33.9% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually (2,030 people), similar to the broader area where 33.3% fall into this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Mount Warren Park, with only 83.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Mount Warren Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mount Warren Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 79.2% houses and 20.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 78.9% houses and 21.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mount Warren Park stood at 32.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.6% and rented ones at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $1,560. The median weekly rent in Mount Warren Park was $340, matching the Brisbane metro figure. Nationally, Mount Warren Park's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Mount Warren Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households make up 71.4% of all households, including 28.9% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.6%, with lone person households at 25.2% and group households at 3.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Mount Warren Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.0%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (32.1%). Educational participation is high at 26.7%, comprising primary education (9.8%), secondary education (7.5%), and tertiary education (3.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 7.5% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mount Warren Park has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together facilitate 374 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically located 212 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, each route provides 53 daily trips and approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mount Warren Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mount Warren Park faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have a notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately half (50%) of Mount Warren Park's total population (~3,080 people) has private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 10.5% and 9.2% of residents respectively. In comparison, 62.2% of Mount Warren Park's residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Brisbane's 63.1%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 22.2% (1,329 people) compared to Greater Brisbane's 16.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, largely aligning with the general population's health profile in Mount Warren Park.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mount Warren Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Warren Park exhibited cultural diversity with 8.7% speaking a language other than English at home and 24.0% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 45.6%. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.1%), Australian (25.3%), and Irish (8.2%).

Notably, Maori (1.7%) and New Zealand (1.3%) populations were higher than regional averages of 3.0% and 1.7%, respectively. Additionally, the German population was higher at 5.1%.

Mount Warren Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

Mount Warren Park has a median age of 41, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and marginally higher than Australia's 38 years. Compared to the Greater Brisbane average, Mount Warren Park has an over-representation of the 75-84 cohort (8.0% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (11.1%). Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group grew from 6.5% to 8.0% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort declined from 12.1% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Mount Warren Park's age profile. The 75-84 age group is expected to expand by 191 people (40%), growing from 479 to 671. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.