Mount Warren Park

Mount Warren Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since Feb 2026, Mount Warren Park's population is estimated at around 5,993. This reflects an increase of 257 people (4.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,736 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,988, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,430 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Examining future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population by 227 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to expand by 228 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Warren Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Warren Park recorded approximately 12 residential properties granted approval per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 63 homes were approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional two approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 1.6 new residents moved into each dwelling constructed annually during these years. However, this figure increased to 14.2 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, reflecting the area's growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

Development projects averaged $439,000 in construction value, indicating a focus on premium segment properties. There were $79,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Mount Warren Park recorded significantly lower building activity compared to Greater Brisbane, at 80.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, which is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. All new construction in Mount Warren Park comprised standalone homes, preserving its suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 916 people per approval, Mount Warren Park shows a mature, established area with stable or declining population projections, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures that could benefit potential buyers.

Mount Warren Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Twelve projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly, with major changes to local infrastructure being a primary factor influencing performance. Key projects include Osprey Waters Retirement Village, Eagleby Shopping Plaza Redevelopment, Beenleigh Marketplace Enhancement, and Kinross Road Residential Estate (AVJennings). The following list details those projected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Mount Warren Park demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Warren Park has a balanced workforce with representation across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is particularly prominent. The unemployment rate was 2.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.4%.

As of September 2025, 3,078 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is lower at 65.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. Only 11.4% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. The dominant employment sectors are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction is strongly specialized with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, while professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.6% compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 3.4%, labour force grew by 1.9%, resulting in a 1.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Mount Warren Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Mount Warren Park had a lower than average national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ended June 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $51,944 and the average income stood at $58,073. These figures compared to those of Greater Brisbane, which were $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $57,092 (median) and $63,828 (average). According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Mount Warren Park ranked modestly, between the 35th and 35th percentiles. Income distribution showed that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 33.9% of residents (2,031 people), similar to the broader area where 33.3% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 83.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Mount Warren Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mount Warren Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 79.2% houses and 20.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Brisbane metro's 79.2% houses and 20.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mount Warren Park was at 32.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.6% and rented ones at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,863. Median weekly rent was $340, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Mount Warren Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,600 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Mount Warren Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.4% of all households, including 28.9% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.6%, with lone person households at 25.2% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Mount Warren Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.0%, significantly lower than the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 32.1%. Educational participation is high, with 26.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.8% in primary, 7.5% in secondary, and 3.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mount Warren Park has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together facilitate 374 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 212 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 91% of residents. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 53 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mount Warren Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mount Warren Park faces significant health challenges as per AreaSearch's assessment, conducted on unknown date(s). The mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions are substantial across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 50% (~3,009 people) have private health cover, lower than Greater Brisbane's 55.8%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (10.5%) and mental health issues (9.2%). Conversely, 62.2% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.2%. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Mount Warren Park has 23.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,378 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mount Warren Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Warren Park, as per the findings, exhibited a higher than average cultural diversity with 8.7% of its residents speaking languages other than English at home and 24.0% being born overseas. Christianity was identified as the predominant religion in Mount Warren Park, comprising 49.4% of the population, slightly higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 47.8%. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.1%), Australian (25.3%), and Irish (8.2%).

Notably, Maori representation was found to be higher in Mount Warren Park at 1.7% compared to the regional average of 1.1%, with similar trends observed for New Zealand (1.3% vs 1.0%) and German (5.1% vs 4.2%) ancestry groups.

Mount Warren Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

Mount Warren Park has a median age of 41, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and Australia's median age of 38. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented in Mount Warren Park at 8.7%, compared to the Greater Brisbane average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 10.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 6.5% to 8.7% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 12.1% to 10.5%. Demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Mount Warren Park's age profile by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, increasing by 174 people (79%) from 221 to 396. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.