Shailer Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Shailer Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Shailer Park's population, as of May 2026, is around 12,728. This figure shows an increase from the 2021 Census count of 12,073 people, representing a rise of 655 individuals (5.4%). The population estimate for June 2025 was 12,717, with an additional 39 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 1,585 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 62.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; therefore, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Looking ahead, population projections indicate a decline by 2041. The area's total population is expected to decrease by 218 persons over this period. However, specific age cohorts are projected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is anticipated to expand by 330 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shailer Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Shailer Park has averaged approximately 27 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 138 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 10 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 3 new residents per year has been gained for each dwelling built, indicating healthy demand that supports property values. New homes are being constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $144,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

In FY-26, $40.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park records roughly half the building activity per person and ranks among the 14th percentile of areas assessed nationally, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With approximately 1098 people per approval, Shailer Park demonstrates a mature, established area. Population projections indicate stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures in the future and benefiting potential buyers.

Shailer Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area performance is greatly influenced by local infrastructure changes. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are M1 Pacific Motorway Upgrade from Daisy Hill to Logan Motorway, INNOVA Shailer Park, Hyperdome Redevelopment at Loganholme, and River Gardens Estate - Stage 3 & 4. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shailer Park performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shailer Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.8%. By this date, 7,525 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation stands at 74.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. A moderate 17.4% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, construction employment is at 1.5 times the regional average.

Health care & social assistance has limited presence with 13.7%, compared to the regional average of 16.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population count vs resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.7% alongside a 1.5% employment decline, resulting in an unemployment rate fall of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.2%, labour force expand by 3.0%, and unemployment fall by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shailer Park's employment mix indicates local employment growth of 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, assuming stable population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Shailer Park SA2's median income among taxpayers was $59,649 and average income stood at $69,705 in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to Greater Brisbane's figures of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated median income is approximately $66,425 and average income is around $77,623 as of March 2026. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Shailer Park are at the 74th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 34.9% of residents (4,442 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, similar to the region where 33.3% occupy this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 32.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income, and residents' strong earnings rank them within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Shailer Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Shailer Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. In Brisbane metro, this was 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shailer Park was 28.0%, similar to Brisbane metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings were 52.3% and rented ones were 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, higher than the Brisbane metro average of $1,863 but lower than the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent was $410, higher than the Brisbane metro figure of $380 and the national average of $375.

Shailer Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Shailer Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 24.7% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA4 region average of 16.2% and the SA3 area average of 18.7%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (27.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.1% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Shailer Park has 59 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by 17 routes, offering 3,142 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically 307 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car use dominates at 91%, with bus at 5%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.9, above regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 17.4% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 448 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 53 weekly trips per stop.

Shailer Park's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Shailer Park.

AreaSearch's assessment indicates low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, particularly among younger cohorts. Private health cover is prevalent at approximately 54% of the total population (~6,860 people), leading the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.1 and 8.0% of residents respectively. 70.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,181 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Shailer Park was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shailer Park's population showed greater linguistic diversity, with 14.6% speaking a language other than English at home, compared to most local markets. Born overseas, 29.4% of Shailer Park residents were born abroad. Christianity was the predominant religion in Shailer Park, accounting for 50.6%.

Islam's representation was slightly higher in Shailer Park at 1.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 2.0%. In terms of ancestry, English (28.5%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (8.5%) were the top groups. Notable differences included New Zealanders (1.4% vs regional 1.0%), Maori (1.7% vs 1.1%), and South Australians (1.0% vs 0.6%).

Shailer Park's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Shailer Park is 39 years, slightly exceeding Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.3% to 5.3%, while the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 11.6% to 10.1% and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 13.0% to 11.7%. By 2041, Shailer Park's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 42%, reaching 954 people from the current 670. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 74% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 15-24 and 0-4 years.