Shailer Park
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Shailer Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Shailer Park's population, as of August 2025, is around 12,651, reflecting a growth of 578 people since the 2021 Census. The population was reported to be 12,073 in the 2021 Census. This increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,640 as of June 2024 and an additional 34 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,575 persons per square kilometer, above the national average according to AreaSearch's assessments. Shailer Park's growth rate of 4.8% since the census places it within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.7%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 52.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 with a base year of 2022. According to these projections, the population is expected to decline by 144 persons by 2041, but specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are projected to grow by 388 people over this period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shailer Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Shailer Park has averaged approximately 27 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, totalling 138 approvals across the past five financial years from FY-2021 to FY-2025, with three approvals so far in FY-2026. An average of three new residents per year has been gained for each dwelling built over the past five financial years. This reflects robust demand that underpins property values, with new homes being constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $367,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

Additionally, $40.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. When compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park records roughly half the building activity per person and places among the 14th percentile of areas assessed nationally, implying somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This lower-than-average national activity reflects the area's maturity and may indicate possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With approximately 1098 people per approval, Shailer Park indicates a mature, established area. Population projections show stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures in the future, which could benefit potential buyers.

Shailer Park has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that may affect this region: INNOVA Shailer Park, Hyperdome Redevelopment (Loganholme), Loganlea Station Relocation Project, and M1 Pacific Motorway Upgrade - Daisy Hill to Logan Motorway. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shailer Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shailer Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.7% as of June 2025.

Employment grew by an estimated 5.1% in the past year. In June 2025, 8,010 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation was higher at 70.3%. Dominant employment sectors included health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Construction had a particularly strong representation, being 1.5 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance showed lower representation at 13.7% compared to the regional average of 16.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 5.1%, while labour force grew by 4.8%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%. State-level data to Sep-25 showed Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, but lags behind national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shailer Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not consider localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 28 June 2022 for financial year 2022, Shailer Park had a median income among taxpayers of $57,217. The average income was $65,926. Nationally, the median and average incomes were $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. By March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $63,917 (median) and $73,646 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.71%. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes rank highly in Shailer Park, between the 71st and 80th percentiles nationally. The largest income segment comprises 34.9% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (4,415 residents). Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 32.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income. Residents rank within the 81st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Shailer Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census revealed that in Shailer Park, 89.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 10.2% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Brisbane's metropolitan area, where 82.9% of dwellings were houses and 17.1% were other types. Home ownership in Shailer Park stood at 28.0%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 52.3% and rented ones 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, higher than Brisbane's average of $1,733. Weekly rent in Shailer Park averaged $410, compared to Brisbane's $360. Nationally, Shailer Park's mortgage repayments ($1,993) exceeded the Australian average ($1,863), and rents ($410) were higher than the national figure of $375.

Shailer Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 42.0% that are couples with children, 29.5% that are couples without children, and 10.9% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Shailer Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 24.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 16.2% and the SA3 area average of 18.7%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.9% and certificates for 27.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education. Shailer Park's four schools have a combined enrollment of 2,183 students. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1010). Educational provision is split between two primary and two secondary institutions. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Shailer Park indicates there are 59 active transport stops currently operating within the area. These stops primarily service buses. There are 19 individual routes that operate through these stops, collectively facilitating 3,094 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as good, with residents typically residing approximately 307 meters away from their nearest transport stop. Across all routes, the average service frequency is 442 trips per day, equating to roughly 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Shailer Park is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Shailer Park shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence rates of common health conditions. It has a private health cover rate of approximately 52% (~6,629 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's average of 50.0%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.1%) and mental health issues (8.0%). Around 70.3% of residents report being free from medical ailments, higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 66.8%. As of 2021, about 16.5% (~2,082 people) of Shailer Park's population is aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with those of the general population.

Shailer Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Shailer Park had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 14.6% of residents speaking a language other than English at home and 29.4% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Shailer Park, comprising 50.6% of its population. Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, making up 1.9% versus 3.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.5%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (8.5%). There were notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: New Zealanders made up 1.4%, Maori 1.7%, and South Africans 1.0%, compared to regional figures of 1.4%, 2.6%, and 0.6% respectively.

Shailer Park's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Shailer Park is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the percentage of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 3.3% to 5.1%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 11.6% to 10.0%. By 2041, Shailer Park's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 53%, reaching 992 from 646. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 74% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 15-24 and 0-4 years old.