Shailer Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Shailer Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Shailer Park's population, according to AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 12,657 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase from the 2021 Census count of 12,073 people, marking a rise of 584 individuals (4.8%). The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,640 in June 2024 and the addition of 36 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,576 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration accounted for roughly 52.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia estimates released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Future population trends indicate a decline of 144 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are projected to grow by 388 people during this period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shailer Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Shailer Park has averaged approximately 27 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 138 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 5 approvals recorded to date. Each year, an average of 3 new residents is gained for each dwelling built in Shailer Park between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating strong demand which supports property values. The average construction cost value for new homes is $144,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

In this financial year alone, $40.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park records roughly half the building activity per person and ranks among the 14th percentile nationally when assessed against other areas. This indicates somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. The area's new building activity is dominated by detached dwellings at 92.0%, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 8.0%, sustaining Shailer Park's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With approximately 1098 people per approval, Shailer Park shows characteristics of a mature, established area. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers in the area.

Shailer Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones are INNOVA Shailer Park, Hyperdome Redevelopment (Loganholme), River Gardens Estate - Stage 3 & 4, and Daisy Hill Estate - Mirvac. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shailer Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shailer Park has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 1.7% as of September 2025. The area's estimated employment growth over the past year is 2.3%. As of this date, 7677 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.3 percentage points lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation in Shailer Park is higher at 76.4% compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 17.4% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 13.7% compared to the regional average of 16.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.3% while labour force increased by 1.8%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced higher employment growth of 3.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shailer Park's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Shailer Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $59,649 and an average income of $69,705. Nationally, the median was $58,236 and the average was $72,799. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth project a median income of approximately $65,560 and an average income of $76,613. Census data indicates Shailer Park incomes cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. The largest income group consists of 34.9% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (4,417 residents), similar to regional patterns at 33.3%. Higher earners make up a substantial 32.1%, suggesting strong purchasing power. Housing consumes 14.4% of income, and residents rank in the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Shailer Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Shailer Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shailer Park was at 28.0%, aligning with Brisbane metro, while mortgaged dwellings were at 52.3% and rented ones at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,993, higher than Brisbane metro's $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was $410, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Shailer Park's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Shailer Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 83.3% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Shailer Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 24.7%, exceeding the SA4 region average of 16.2% and the SA3 area average of 18.7%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 27.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.1% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 59 active transport stops in Shailer Park. These are served by 17 bus routes, providing a total of 3,142 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 307 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode at 91%, while 5% use buses. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 17.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 448 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Shailer Park's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Shailer Park.

AreaSearch's assessment shows low prevalence of common health conditions among both young and old age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~6,822 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.1%) and mental health issues (8.0%). Around 70.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. Shailer Park has 17.2% of residents aged 65 and over (2,173 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings generally in line with the overall population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Shailer Park was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shailer Park had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 14.6% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 29.4% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Shailer Park, accounting for 50.6% of the population. Islam was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, comprising 1.9% versus 2.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.5%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (8.5%). Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.4%, Maori at 1.7%, and South Africans at 1.0%, compared to regional averages of 1.0%, 1.1%, and 0.6% respectively.

Shailer Park's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Shailer Park is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Shailer Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (10.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.6%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population aged 75-84 grew from 3.3% to 5.5%, while the 25-34 age group decreased from 11.6% to 9.6%. By 2041, Shailer Park's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 43%, from 693 to 992 people. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 72% of the population growth. Meanwhile, declines in population are projected for those aged 15-24 and 0-4 years old.