Mount Warren Park

Mount Warren Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Mount Warren Park's population is around 5,993 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 257 people (4.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,736 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,988 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,420 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 53.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Regarding demographic trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to decline by 227 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 228 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Warren Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Warren Park has experienced around 12 dwellings receiving development approval annually, with 64 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 2 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data shows this has intensified to 14.2 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $228,000‚—under regional levels—indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. Additionally, $10.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

Relative to Greater Brisbane, Mount Warren Park records markedly lower building activity (79.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This activity is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. Meanwhile, recent building activity consists entirely of detached houses, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. New construction favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (79.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. With around 1072 people per dwelling approval, Mount Warren Park reflects a highly mature market.

With the population expected to remain stable or decline, Mount Warren Park should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Mount Warren Park has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 12 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Osprey Waters Retirement Village, Eagleby Shopping Plaza Redevelopment, Beenleigh Marketplace Enhancement, and Kinross Road Residential Estate (AVJennings), with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Mount Warren Park ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Mount Warren Park has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, and an unemployment rate of just 2.9%. As of December 2025, 3,019 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.3% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation lags significantly (64.1% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a low 11.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area has particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 4.6% employment compared to 8.9% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.6% while employment declined by 0.5%, resulting in the unemployment rate falling by 1.0 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Mount Warren Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Mount Warren Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Mount Warren Park SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $55,197 while the average income stands at $62,209. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane's figures of a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,667 (median) and $68,374 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Mount Warren Park, between the 35th and 35th percentiles. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 33.9% of the community (2,031 individuals), mirroring the region where 33.3% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Mount Warren Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Mount Warren Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 79.2% houses and 20.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Mount Warren Park was well beyond that of Brisbane metro, at 32.6%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (44.6%) or rented (22.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Brisbane metro average at $1,600, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Mount Warren Park's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Mount Warren Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 71.4% of all households, comprising 28.9% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.6%, with lone person households at 25.2% and group households comprising 3.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Mount Warren Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (14.0%) substantially below the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (32.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 7.5% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 25 active transport stops operating within Mount Warren Park, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 4 individual routes, collectively providing 374 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 212 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 91%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. A relatively low 11.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 53 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mount Warren Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Mount Warren Park, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~3,020 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.5% and 9.2% of residents, respectively, while 62.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 23.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,377 people), which is higher than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mount Warren Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Warren Park was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.0% of its population being citizens, 76.0% born in Australia, and 91.3% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Mount Warren Park is Christianity, which makes up 49.4% of the population. This compares to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Mount Warren Park are English, comprising 31.1% of the population, Australian, comprising 25.3% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maori is notably overrepresented at 1.7% of Mount Warren Park (vs 1.1% regionally), New Zealand at 1.3% (vs 1.0%) and German at 5.1% (vs 4.2%).

Mount Warren Park's population is slightly older than the national pattern

With a median age of 41, Mount Warren Park is considerably higher than the Greater Brisbane figure of 36 and similarly marginally higher than Australia's 38 years. Compared to the Greater Brisbane average, the 75 - 84 cohort is notably over-represented (8.7% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (10.5%). In the period since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.5% to 8.7% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 12.1% to 10.5%. Demographic modeling suggests Mount Warren Park's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 175 people (80%) from 221 to 397. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.