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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Warialda is $320k. House values have moved 6.4% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Warialda has an estimated 1,506 residents, up from 1,480 at the 2021 Census — a change of 26 people, or 1.8%. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Warialda is around 1,506 people. This figure represents an increase of 26 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,480 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,487 following their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 23 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1.3 persons per square kilometer.
Warialda's 1.8% growth since census is within 1.3 percentage points of the SA3 area's 3.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Interstate migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the suburb. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth for Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with Warialda expected to increase by 189 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 11.3% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Warialda had 2 dwelling approvals annually between 2016 and 2020 inclusive, totalling 12 dwellings over the five-year period. This low development level is typical of rural areas with modest housing needs and limited construction activity due to local demand and infrastructure capacity. Yearly growth figures and relativities can vary considerably based on individual projects given such low approval numbers. Warialda's development activity is much lower than that of Rest of NSW, and it is also below national patterns. Recent building activity consists solely of detached houses, preserving the area's rural character with an emphasis on space.
As of 2021, there are approximately 994 people per dwelling approval in Warialda, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Warialda is projected to add 170 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the area.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warialda
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 83 current infrastructure and development projects close to Warialda, worth an estimated $28.7 billion. 16 are already under construction and 30 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, energy and residential development. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area. Key projects include Inland Rail from North Star to the NSW-Queensland border, Inland Rail Phase One from Narrabri to North Star in Queensland, regional road safety improvements across Queensland, and the Queensland New South Wales Interconnector.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Bunnings Warehouse Inverell
Relocation and expansion of the existing Inverell Bunnings store to a new 8,497 square metre facility. The development features a 3,770 square metre main warehouse, a 621 square metre outdoor nursery, and a 1,697 square metre timber trade sales area. Environmental features include 1,400 square metres of solar panels and rainwater harvesting for irrigation and onsite reuse. The project involves significant road upgrades at the intersection of Gwydir Highway and Jardine Road, managed under a Works Authorisation Deed with Transport for NSW.
Sapphire City Lifestyle Village
A greenfield residential land lease community development approved for 76 manufactured homes targeting retirees aged 50+, including resort-style facilities such as pool, bowling green, kitchen, bar and workshop areas on a 4.32 hectare site. The project features existing sewer infrastructure and potential for Stage 2 childcare development.
Inverell Town Centre Renewal Plan
A multi-stage upgrade of the Inverell CBD designed to improve streetscapes, pedestrian safety and overall amenity. Stage 1 along Otho Street was completed in 2018 and Stage 2 along Byron Street was completed in 2020, both featuring an at-grade central median and new Pin Oak street trees supported by a sub-surface root vault system. In December 2025, following the under-budget delivery of the Inverell Aquatic Centre Redevelopment, Council resolved to transfer 517,434 dollars of the surplus to the Economic Development and Growth Assets reserve specifically earmarked for Stage 3 of the Town Centre Renewal Plan.Stage 3 is in the planning phase and is expected to extend the Otho and Byron Street treatment to additional CBD blocks, with new street plantings, public art and improved pedestrian amenity.
New Residential Areas Structure Plans
Inverell Shire Council is implementing structure plans for three strategic urban expansion precincts across Inverell to guide future residential growth. The initiative establishes master planned frameworks for local road linkages, stormwater management, and public open spaces to unlock long-term housing supply. The planning is supported by the NSW Government's Regional Housing Strategic Planning Fund for essential infrastructure and drainage assessments.
Main Road Gilgai South Rehabilitation
Rehabilitation of Main Road Gilgai South including pavement reconstruction, drainage improvements, and safety enhancements. The project will improve road safety and transport connectivity for the southern rural communities.
Inverell Hospital Redevelopment
The $60 million Inverell Hospital Redevelopment modernized local healthcare services through a two-stage process. Stage 1A delivered a new three-story acute services building featuring a state-of-the-art emergency department, inpatient unit, maternity ward, and expanded renal dialysis and day surgery units. Stage 1B involved the extensive refurbishment of the original 1930s hospital building to co-locate community health services, including oral health, ambulatory care, and pediatric zones, creating a unified health precinct.
Gwydir Highway Improvements, Inverell Town Centre
The Gwydir Highway Improvements project in the Inverell Town Centre is a strategic planning study focused on enhancing traffic flow, pedestrian safety, and intersection efficiency. Key features include proposed upgrades to major intersections, the installation of new pedestrian crossings, and general traffic flow enhancements to manage peak congestion. Transport for NSW is leading the planning in collaboration with Inverell Shire Council to ensure the highway safely supports both local and regional transit requirements.
Victoria Park and Campbell Park All-Abilities Playground Enhancement
Enhancement of playground facilities at Victoria Park and Campbell Park with all-abilities equipment, improved pathways, seating areas, and landscaping. The project focuses on inclusive design to ensure accessibility for children and families of all abilities.
649 residents of Warialda are employed, from a labour force of 667. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 54.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,298, about 86% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Warialda has a balanced workforce consisting of both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented in the town, with an unemployment rate of 2.8% as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 649 residents employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.1% lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. However, workforce participation in Warialda lags behind Regional NSW at 54.4%, compared to the regional average of 61.3%. According to Census responses, a moderate 14.1% of residents work from home. The leading employment industries among residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing; health care & social assistance; and education & training.
Warialda has a particular specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share that is 3.6 times higher than the regional level. Conversely, accommodation & food services employ only 4.2% of local workers, which is lower than Regional NSW's rate of 7.8%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels in Warialda decreased by 1.8%, with a corresponding 2.1% decline in employment, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW experienced a 1.2% employment decline, a 0.8% labour force decrease, and an unemployment rate rise of 0.4 percentage points over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide insights into potential future demand within Warialda. These projections suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Warialda's employment mix indicates that local employment should increase by approximately 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, although it is important to note that this extrapolation does not take into account localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warialda is $964 a week (about $50,000 a year), with median personal income at $515 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $37,459 a year against an average of $43,534. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The suburb of Warialda's income level is below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Warialda is $37,459 and the average income stands at $43,534. These figures compare to Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Warialda would be approximately $40,778 (median) and $47,391 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Warialda all fall between the 2nd and 4th percentiles nationally.
The largest segment comprises 31.4% earning $400 - $799 weekly (472 residents), contrasting with the broader area where the $1500 - $2999 bracket leads at 29.9%. With 41.9% earning under $800 per week, Warialda faces considerable income constraints affecting local spending patterns. While housing costs are modest with 88.9% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 5th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warialda had 591 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 2% apartments. 24% are owned with a mortgage, 22% rented and 53% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $230 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,000 a month. Rent absorbs 23.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
In Warialda, as per the latest Census, 96.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 4.1% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Regional NSW's figures of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warialda stood at 53.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.3% and rented ones at 22.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,000, lower than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Warialda was $230, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Warialda's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warialda counted 591 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.2 people each. 21% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.2 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households constitute 62.8% of all households, including 20.9% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.2%, with lone person households at 34.1% and group households making up 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
12.2% of adults in Warialda hold a university qualification, including 9.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.1% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 96% of areas nationally. A further 29.0% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 423 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 908 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The area's university qualification rate is 12.2%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (29.0%). Educational participation is high at 26.6%, with 12.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 1.5% pursuing tertiary education. Educational participation is notably high, with 26.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 1.5% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warialda reaches 73 stops on 13 routes, timetabled for about 150 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The analysis of public transport in Warialda shows that there are currently 73 active transport stops operating within the area. These include a mix of train and bus services. The town is serviced by 13 individual routes which collectively provide 150 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 211 meters from their nearest transport stop. As Warialda is primarily residential, most commuters travel outward. The dominant mode of transport remains the car, used by 88% of residents, while 8% walk. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area.
According to the 2021 Census, some 14.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect conditions related to COVID-19. Service frequency averages approximately 21 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 2 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
57.0% of residents in Warialda report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 88% of areas nationally. 11.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 44.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Warialda faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 44% of the total population (~666 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 12.0% of residents) and asthma (9.3%), while 57.0% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age population health is notably challenging due to high chronic condition rates.
The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.0% (466 people), compared to 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warialda is largely Australian-born, at 95.5% of residents, with 1.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (38.8%) and English (32.8%). 5.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Warialda's population was found to be predominantly homogeneous, with 92.6% being citizens, 95.5% born in Australia, and 98.7% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion was Christianity, practiced by 69.8%, compared to the regional average of 55.9%. In terms of ancestry, Australian was the most prevalent (38.8%), significantly higher than the regional average of 30.0%. This was followed by English (32.8%) and Scottish (8.4%). Notably, Hungarian representation was higher in Warialda at 0.4% compared to the regional average of 0.2%, Australian Aboriginal was at 5.6% versus 4.6%, and Maori was at 0.5% compared to 0.3%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warialda is 51, older than 93% of areas nationally. 19.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Warialda's median age is 51 years, significantly higher than the Regional NSW average of 43 and the Australian median of 38. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Warialda at 15.7%, compared to the Regional NSW average, and well above the national average of 9.5%. Conversely, the 35-44 age group is under-represented at 7.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 0-4 age group grew from 4.7% to 5.4%, while the 45-54 cohort declined from 11.8% to 10.2%. By 2041, Warialda's population is expected to shift notably, with the 75-84 age group growing by 24 people to reach 208 from 167.
Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 66% of this growth. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warialda
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2024 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2024 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 23 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Feb 2026, not a 2021 count (1,481 at the 2021 Census → 1,506 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Feb 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL14167). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.