Goondiwindi

Goondiwindi has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of Goondiwindi as of February 2026 is around 6,320. This figure represents an increase of 90 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,230. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 6,308 in June 2024 and 96 additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 7.6 persons per square kilometer. Goondiwindi's growth rate of 1.4% since the census is within 2.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.8%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Population projections indicate a decline of 143 persons by 2041, but specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 25 to 34 age group projected to expand by 191 people.

The level of residential development activity in Goondiwindi is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Goondiwindi has seen around 12 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 64 homes. So far in FY-2025/26, 1 approval has been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $756,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

Additionally, $6.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Goondiwindi has slightly more development activity, at 25.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period ending FY-2020/21. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. However, building activity has slowed in recent years, which is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity shows 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 700 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Goondiwindi may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Goondiwindi has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. One major project identified by AreaSearch impacts this area: Goondiwindi Hydrogen. Key projects include Yelarbon and Talwood water quality initiative, Queensland Southern Rez, and Queensland New South Wales Interconnector.

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AreaSearch analysis places Goondiwindi well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Goondiwindi has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 3.2% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8%. As of September 2025, 3,525 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation is higher at 72.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. According to Census responses, 6.1% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing (3.6 times the regional level), but limited presence in health care & social assistance (11.8% vs regional 16.1%).

Employment opportunities may be limited locally, as indicated by working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8%, labour force by 6.7%, resulting in a 1.8 percentage point rise in unemployment. In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Goondiwindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Goondiwindi suburb's income level is lower than average nationally, per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Median income among taxpayers is $51,168, while the average income stands at $62,213. This compares to Rest of Qld's median and average incomes of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes are approximately $56,239 (median) and $68,378 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, personal income ranks at the 60th percentile ($859 weekly), with household income at the 43rd percentile. Predominant income cohort spans 36.1% of locals (2,281 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with surrounding region's 31.7%. After housing, 86.5% of income remains for other expenses. Area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Goondiwindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Goondiwindi's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Goondiwindi was at 31.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.9% and rented ones at 36.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent figure was $295, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Goondiwindi's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Goondiwindi has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.9% of all households, including 29.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 26.6% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, matching the average for the Rest of Qld.

Educational outcomes in Goondiwindi fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (29.7%). Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 13.5% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 2.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.5% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates six active transport stops operating within Goondiwindi. These stops are served by three individual bus routes, collectively offering 30 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 842 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 94%, with 5% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 6.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages four trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately five weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Goondiwindi are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Goondiwindi's health indicators show below-average results based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be higher than average across both younger and older age groups. Common health conditions were slightly more prevalent in Goondiwindi compared to other areas. Approximately 52% of the total population (~3,277 people) had private health cover, which is relatively low. The most common medical conditions were asthma (8.3%) and arthritis (8.1%). 69.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among the working-age population were broadly typical. The area has 19.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,207 people), lower than the 20.4% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Goondiwindi placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Goondiwindi, as per the census data from June 2016, had a low cultural diversity with 88.6% of its population being Australian citizens, 93.1% born in Australia, and 95.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 68.9%, compared to the regional average of 52.2%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.4%), English (29.6%), and Irish (9.7%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal (5.9%) and German (4.4%) groups were overrepresented in Goondiwindi compared to the region's averages of 3.9% and 4.7%, respectively.

Goondiwindi's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Goondiwindi is 38 years, slightly below Rest of Queensland's average of 41 but in line with Australia's median age of 38. The 0-4 age group constitutes 7.8% of the population compared to Rest of Queensland's figure, while the 55-64 cohort makes up 10.9%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 25-34 age group grew from 12.5% to 14.1%, and the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.5% to 12.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 14.7% to 12.4%, and the 55-64 group decreased from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Goondiwindi, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 15 people (reaching 1,023 from 891). Conversely, the 0-4 and 45-54 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.