Goondiwindi

Goondiwindi has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of May 2026, the estimated population of Goondiwindi is around 6,251. This reflects an increase of 21 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,230. The change is inferred from the resident population of 6,251, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 92 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 7.5 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for Goondiwindi was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data are applied for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population by 150 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 25 to 34 age group, projected to expand by 157 people.

The level of residential development activity in Goondiwindi is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates approximately 12 new homes approved annually in Goondiwindi over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 64 homes. As of FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice while developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties, evidenced by an average value of $756,000 for new homes. This financial year, $6.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature.

Compared to the Rest of Qld, Goondiwindi has slightly more development, with 25.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, preserving reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. However, building activity has slowed in recent years, which is also lower than nationally, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population of 700 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Goondiwindi may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Goondiwindi has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely impacting the region: Goondiwindi Hydrogen. Other key projects include Yelarbon and Talwood water quality improvement initiative, Queensland Southern Rez, and Queensland New South Wales Interconnector. The following details projects most relevant to the area.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Goondiwindi well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Goondiwindi has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 3.4%. In the past year, estimated employment growth was 4.8%.

As of December 2025, 3,533 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is high at 73.2%, compared to Regional Qld's 64.5%. Only 6.1% of residents work from home. Leading industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a strong presence with an employment share 3.6 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 11.8% compared to 16.1% regionally. Employment opportunities locally may be limited based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8%, labour force by 6.3%, leading to an unemployment rise of 1.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Qld's growth rates of 0.7% for employment, 1.0% for labour force, and a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Goondiwindi's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Goondiwindi had an income level lower than average nationally according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ended 30 June 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Goondiwindi was $51,168 and the average income stood at $62,213. In comparison, Regional Queensland's figures were $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% between financial years 2023 and 2026, current estimates for Goondiwindi would be approximately $56,981 (median) and $69,280 (average) as of March 2026. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, personal income ranked at the 60th percentile ($859 weekly), while household income sat at the 43rd percentile. The earnings profile showed that 36.1% of locals (2,256 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which was consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 31.7% in the same category. After housing expenses, 86.5% of income remained for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Goondiwindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Goondiwindi, as per the latest Census, 87.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 13.0% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Regional Queensland's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Goondiwindi stood at 31.3%, with mortgaged properties at 31.9% and rented ones at 36.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Regional Queensland's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Goondiwindi was $295, compared to Regional Queensland's $345. Nationally, Goondiwindi's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,517 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Goondiwindi has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 69.9% of all households, including 29.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 26.6% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Regional Queensland average.

Educational outcomes in Goondiwindi fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 8.5% and certificates at 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.5% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows six operational public transport stops in Goondiwindi, serving a mix of bus routes. These routes provide 30 weekly passenger trips collectively. The accessibility is rated limited, with residents located an average of 842 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars dominate as the primary mode at 94%, while walking accounts for 5%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census data (which may reflect COVID-19 conditions), only 6.1% of residents work from home. The service frequency averages four trips daily across all routes, resulting in approximately five weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Goondiwindi are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Goondiwindi's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age groups. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent in Goondiwindi compared to average across Queensland regions. The most common medical conditions are asthma (8.3%) and arthritis (8.1%). 69.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% (~3,241 people). The working-age population's health outcomes are broadly typical. 19.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,225 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Goondiwindi placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Goondiwindi's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.6% of its population being citizens, 93.1% born in Australia, and 95.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Goondiwindi, comprising 68.9% of people, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (33.4%), English (29.6%), and Irish (9.7%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 5.9%, while German stands at 4.4%. South Australian representation remains the same at 0.5% compared to regional averages.

Goondiwindi's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Goondiwindi is 38 years, slightly below Regional Queensland's average of 41 but in line with Australia's median age of 38. The 0-4 age group constitutes 7.6% of the population compared to Regional Queensland's percentage. Meanwhile, the 55-64 age cohort comprises 10.8%, which is less prevalent than Regional Queensland's figure. Post-2021 Census data reveals that the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 12.5% to 13.7%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 11.5% to 12.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 14.7% to 13.2%, and the 55 to 64 age group has fallen from 12.1% to 10.8%. Population forecasts for Goondiwindi in 2041 anticipate significant demographic changes. Notably, the 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 14%, adding 121 people to reach a total of 978 from its current figure of 856. Conversely, the 0-4 and 45-54 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.