Goondiwindi

Goondiwindi has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Goondiwindi's estimated population is around 6,320. This shows an increase of 90 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,230. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 6,308 in Jun 2024, using latest ERP data from ABS and 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 7.6 persons per square kilometer. Goondiwindi's 1.4% growth positions it within 2.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.8%). Natural growth contributed approximately 75.0% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 (based on 2021 data) are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. By 2041, the population is projected to decline by 143 persons overall, but the 25 to 34 age group is expected to expand by 191 people.

The level of residential development activity in Goondiwindi is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Goondiwindi has seen approximately 12 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 64 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $756,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $6.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Goondiwindi has seen slightly more development, at 25.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

However, building activity has slowed in recent years, which may indicate market maturity or possible development constraints. New building activity in Goondiwindi shows that 89.0% of dwellings are detached and 11.0% are attached, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is around 700 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Goondiwindi may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Goondiwindi has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to impact the region: Goondiwindi Hydrogen, Yelarbon and Talwood water quality project, Queensland Southern Rez, and Queensland New South Wales Interconnector are key initiatives, with the following projects being particularly relevant.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Goondiwindi well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Goondiwindi has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate is 3.2%.

Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 4.8%. As of September 2025, 3,525 residents are employed. The unemployment rate in Goondiwindi is 0.9% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is higher at 64.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%.

Leading employment industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Goondiwindi has a high specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing with an employment share of 3.6 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 11.8%, compared to the regional level of 16.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8% while labour force increased by 6.7%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 1.8 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Goondiwindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Goondiwindi had a median income among taxpayers of $51,168 and an average income of $62,213 in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures compare to Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593 during the same period. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Goondiwindi would be approximately $56,239 (median) and $68,378 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 60th percentile ($859 weekly), while household income sits at the 43rd percentile. The earnings profile shows that 36.1% of locals (2,281 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. After housing expenses, 86.5% of income remains for other expenses. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Goondiwindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Goondiwindi, as per the latest Census evaluation, 87.1% of dwellings were houses while 13.0% were other types such as semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Non-Metro Qld's figures of 90.3% houses and 9.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Goondiwindi stood at 31.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.9% and rented ones at 36.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,300. Weekly rent in Goondiwindi was recorded at $295, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $230. Nationally, Goondiwindi's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $295 compared to the national figure of $375.

Goondiwindi has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.9% of all households, including 29.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 26.6% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

Educational outcomes in Goondiwindi fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 8.5% and certificates for 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.5% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 2.5% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows six active public transport stops operating in Goondiwindi. These stops offer a mix of bus services, with three individual routes providing a total of thirty weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 842 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages four trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately five weekly trips per individual stop.

Goondiwindi's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Goondiwindi's health metrics closely match national benchmarks. Common health conditions are similarly distributed across both young and older age groups.

Approximately 52% (~3,277 people) have private health cover, compared to 49.4% in the rest of Queensland. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.3%) and arthritis (8.1%). About 69.5% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than the 67.6% in the rest of Queensland. Around 18.7% (1,181 people) are aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors exceed average levels, outperforming even those of the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Goondiwindi placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Goondiwindi, as per the census conducted on 28 June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 88.6% of its population being Australian citizens, 93.1% born in Australia, and 95.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 68.9%, compared to 64.6% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.4%), English (29.6%), and Irish (9.7%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 5.9% in Goondiwindi than regionally at 6.7%. Similarly, German ancestry was represented at 4.4%, compared to the regional average of 5.3%, and South African ancestry was slightly overrepresented at 0.5% versus 0.3%.

Goondiwindi's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Goondiwindi is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38. The 0-4 age group comprises 7.6% of the population compared to Rest of Qld, while the 55-64 cohort makes up 10.9%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 25-34 age group has increased from 12.5% to 13.6%, but the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 14.7% to 13.0%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Goondiwindi, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 19% (an increase of 163 people), reaching a total of 1,023 from 859. Conversely, the 65-74 and 45-54 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.