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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Southern Downs - West has an estimated 5,408 residents, up from 4,991 at the 2021 Census — a change of 417 people, or 8.4%. Growth has averaged 1.6% a year over five years. 207 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 88.5% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population of Southern Downs - West sits at approximately 5,408 according to AreaSearch research. Compared to the 4,991 residents recorded during the 2021 Census, this represents an expansion of 417 people (8.4%). This shift is determined using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population count of 5,347 alongside 207 validated new addresses identified post-Census. With a population density of 2.0 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers considerable space per inhabitant. The post-2021 census expansion rate of 8.4% positioned Southern Downs - West ahead of both the broader SA4 region (5.0%) and the SA3 area, establishing it as a regional growth frontrunner.
Net interstate arrivals served as the principal driver of this demographic growth, accounting for roughly 88.5% of overall population gains across recent periods. Projections developed by the ABS and Geoscience Australia (published in 2024 utilizing 2022 as baseline data) are applied by AreaSearch across SA2 zones. When SA2 territories lack coverage or extend beyond 2032, figures rely on 2023 Queensland State Government SA2 projections founded on 2021 data. Because these state figures omit age cohort breakdowns, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings sourced from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (utilizing 2022 data) across each demographic band. Looking ahead, population growth is projected to track slightly below the national regional benchmark, adding 260 persons by 2041 based on recent annual ERP statistics, representing an overall increase of 3.7% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
129 new dwellings have been approved in Southern Downs - West over the past five years, an average of 25 a year. That places the area in the 67th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 26 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Dwelling approvals in Southern Downs - West have averaged roughly 25 dwellings each year, totaling 129 homes over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). With approximately 3.2 new residents arriving annually per residential completion across the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), additions to local supply have trailed incoming demand, fostering buyer competition and upward pricing pressure. Newly approved homes register an average expected construction cost of $304,000—a figure below broader regional benchmarks that highlights comparatively affordable building options. Meanwhile, commercial construction approvals totaled $4.0 million during this financial year, underscoring the predominantly residential focus of local activity.
Per-capita development activity in Southern Downs - West aligns closely with the Rest of Qld benchmark, fostering sustained market stability consistent with broader regional dynamics. Recent building approvals have centered entirely on detached single-family dwellings, preserving the district's low-density neighborhood fabric and catering to households seeking generous allotments. Reflecting an emerging market, the district averages approximately 190 people per dwelling approval. Over the period running through to 2041, Southern Downs - West is anticipated to add 199 residents according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Provided present building rates persist, residential capacity should satisfy anticipated demand, supporting buyer-friendly conditions and creating scope for expansion beyond baseline forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Southern Downs - West
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Southern Downs - West, worth an estimated $2 billion. A further 75 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $7.98 billion. 18 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure investment, urban planning, and development initiatives exert a critical influence over area performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 19 projects positioned to impact the district. Among the most notable works are the Allora Precinct Redevelopment, The Crossroads Development, The Rose Estate Residential Subdivision, and the Warwick Home & Co Retail Centre, with the major highlights outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Allora Precinct Redevelopment
The Allora Precinct Redevelopment is a $0.77 million project that transformed the former Allora Senior Citizen Centre into a state-of-the-art multi-purpose community hub and new home for the Allora Library. The upgraded precinct features improved accessibility, flexible meeting spaces, upgraded lighting and systems, and after-hours access to support essential services and community connection.
Warwick Solar Farm
A 64 MW solar photovoltaic facility located at Sladevale in Queensland's Southern Downs region, approximately 160 km west of Brisbane. Developed by Terrain Solar and acquired by the University of Queensland in 2018, the farm was constructed by Lendlease and officially opened in July 2020. Comprising over 200,000 single-axis tracking solar panels, it generates approximately 160,000 MWh of clean energy annually - enough to power more than 25,000 homes - and made UQ the first major university in the world to offset 100 per cent of its electricity use with its own renewable energy asset.In June 2024 UQ announced a market review for a possible sale of the asset, and the University Senate has since approved the divestment.
Herries Range Wind Farm
A 1,000MW renewable energy project featuring up to 180 wind turbines within the MacIntyre Wind Precinct. The project is in advanced development with social impact assessments and engineering studies underway, aiming to power approximately 700,000 homes. It is part of the Southern Queensland Renewable Energy Zone and is designed to allow workers to transition directly from the nearly completed MacIntyre Wind Farm.
Warwick Industrial Estate Water Recycling Pipeline
The Warwick Industrial Estate Water Recycling Pipeline project involves the design and construction of a dedicated recycled water distribution pipeline network to deliver high-quality treated effluent from the local wastewater treatment plant directly to industrial lots within the Warwick Industrial Estate. The infrastructure will provide reliable non-potable water supplies for manufacturing, cooling, and processing operations while preserving drinking water security for the broader Southern Downs region.
Warwick Home & Co Retail Centre
A fully refurbished 2,522sqm large format retail centre completed in March 2025, anchored by national tenants Repco and Choice The Discount Store. The centre was transformed from a former Bunnings warehouse and features 41 on-grade car spaces. Stage Two development is underway with DA approval imminent for an additional 1,895sqm retail centre with 46 car parks, pre-committed to SNAP Fitness and other national retailers. Located on Warwick's main thoroughfare with excellent visibility and access via three street frontages.
Sovereign Downs Estate
Premium residential estate development on the outskirts of Warwick featuring modern homes and community facilities. The estate is designed to provide quality housing options for families looking to move to the growing Warwick region. Features include landscaped parks, walking trails and proximity to schools and shopping.
Aleva Estate Residential Development
Master-planned residential estate in Warwick offering large residential blocks with elevated views and walking distance to Warwick town centre. Development by UKL Developments features lot sizes from 533m2 to 1219m2 with prices from $199,000. The estate offers a rural setting with modern amenities and a great community feel.
The Rose Estate Residential Subdivision
A concept plan for a 411 lot residential subdivision on 38.85ha, with lots ranging from 450m2 to 1,032m2 (average 589.6m2), located in the SEQld Western Growth Corridor approximately 4 minutes drive from Warwick town centre. The site was offered for sale via Expressions of Interest (closed May 2025) and remains listed for sale without a disclosed price. No development application has been lodged. Warwick is experiencing strong housing demand, with median house prices rising 16% in 12 months and a vacancy rate of 0.3%.
2,439 residents of Southern Downs - West are employed, from a labour force of 2,548. Unemployment sits at 4.3%, with participation at 56.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,819, about 89% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Southern Downs - West maintains a balanced labor market across blue and white collar roles, marked by wide industry representation, a 4.3% unemployment rate, and a 1.0% annual increase in employment. By March 2026, employed residents reached 2,439, with the local jobless rate sitting 0.4% higher than the Regional Qld benchmark of 3.9%, while labor force participation (56.6%) remained notably lower than the 64.2% recorded for Regional Qld. Census records indicate that 18.2% of workers operated from home, though period Covid-19 lockdown restrictions formed relevant context for those figures. The primary employment sectors for local residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
Agricultural industries exhibit extreme concentration, generating an employment concentration 5.0 times the regional norm. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for 13.3% of the resident workforce, trailing the Regional Qld figure of 16.1%. Comparisons between resident counts and Census workplace counts point to a constrained internal job base. According to AreaSearch evaluations of ABS and SALM releases, the preceding 12-month timeframe recorded 1.0% employment growth against a 2.3% expansion in the total labor force, pushing the unemployment rate up by 1.2 percentage points. Over the same span, Regional Qld posted 0.1% employment growth alongside a 0.3% labor pool increase, resulting in a 0.1 percentage point rise. Broader trajectory indications stem from Jobs and Skills Australia national forecasts issued in Mar-26. Mapping these five-year and ten-year national trajectories against local industry weights provides an indicative outlook. Nationally, overall jobs are projected to rise by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years, with marked variation by sector. Applying these sectoral trajectories to the Southern Downs - West industry profile suggests local job numbers could lift by 5.4% across five years and 11.9% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighting model that excludes localized population changes).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Southern Downs - West is $1,096 a week (about $57,000 a year), with median personal income at $552 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $42,489 a year against an average of $48,346. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer earnings across the Southern Downs - West SA2 rank below the national benchmark according to financial year 2023 ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch. Median taxable earnings in the Southern Downs - West SA2 reached $42,489 alongside an average of $48,346, whereas Regional Qld recorded $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Accounting for an 11.36% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 stand at roughly $47,316 (median) and $53,838 (average). Based on the 2021 Census, personal, family, and household earnings throughout Southern Downs - West sit between the 6th and 7th percentiles nationwide.
The $800 - 1,499 weekly bracket encompasses 28.4% of local earners (1,535 individuals), whereas the wider region is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 band at 31.7%. Although residents retain 87.1% of income after housing outlays, overall disposable income places at the 11th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Southern Downs - West had 1,881 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 0% apartments. 34% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 50% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $250 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 22.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the housing inventory in Southern Downs - West consisted of 97.3% standalone houses and 2.7% other dwellings including apartments and semi-detached structures, contrasting with 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings across Regional Qld. Outright ownership was elevated at 50.1%, notably exceeding Regional Qld rates, while the balance of properties were mortgaged (33.7%) or occupied by tenants (16.1%). Typical monthly mortgage commitments stood at $1,300, well beneath the Regional Qld figure of $1,655, while weekly median rents sat at $250 against $345 regionally. Relative to the Australian medians of $1,863 for home loans and $375 for weekly rents, housing costs in Southern Downs - West are substantially lower.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Southern Downs - West counted 1,881 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,038 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 24% are couples with children, fewer than in 75% of areas nationally, against 37% couples without children. 26% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.1 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of local households at 71.8%, including couples without children (37.4%), couples with children (23.5%), and single parent families (10.0%). The remaining 28.2% comprises non-family arrangements, formed by lone person households (26.4%) and group households (1.7%). With a median size of 2.4 people, households are slightly smaller than the 2.5 average seen across Regional Qld.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
14.0% of adults in Southern Downs - West hold a university qualification, including 10.3% with a bachelor degree and 2.2% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 86% of areas nationally. A further 30.6% hold a vocational qualification. 6 schools serve the area, with 380 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 927 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational profiles indicate lower levels of higher tertiary qualifications, with university graduation rates at 14.0% compared against the Australian benchmark of 30.4%, presenting clear scope for future educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees represent 10.3%, followed by postgraduate credentials (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Technical and trade training is widespread, with 41.2% of inhabitants aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, comprising certificates (30.6%) and advanced diplomas (10.6%). Formal study engagement is substantial, encompassing 27.6% of area inhabitants. By sector, this comprises 11.3% enrolled in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 1.8% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Southern Downs - West means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
61.7% of residents in Southern Downs - West report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 87% of areas nationally. 7.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 45.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch assessments of chronic health conditions and mortality rates highlight notable health challenges in Southern Downs - West, with health issues prevalent across younger and older demographics alike. Private health insurance coverage is notably restrained, held by roughly 46% of inhabitants (~2,476 people), which compares against 52.5% across Regional Qld and 55.7% nationally. Arthritis and mental health conditions rank as the leading health concerns, diagnosed in 11.7 and 8.3% of the local population respectively, whereas 61.7% of residents reported having no medical ailments compared with 67.6% across Regional Qld. Working-age residents record elevated rates of chronic illness, and the area includes a substantial senior demographic, with 28.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,514 people) versus 20.3% regionally, tracking even higher on national rankings.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Southern Downs - West is largely Australian-born, at 90.1% of residents, with 2.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.6%) and English (31.6%). 3.8% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Demographic diversity markers in Southern Downs - West are comparatively low, with Australian citizens making up 88.9% of the population, 90.1% born in Australia, and 97.6% using only English at home. Christianity forms the predominant faith, practiced by 65.4% of residents in Southern Downs - West compared with 52.2% across Regional Qld. Examining parental birthplaces, the primary ancestries in Southern Downs - West are Australian at 31.6% (exceeding the 26.5% regional proportion), English at 31.6%, and Irish at 10.9%. Other cultural groups exhibit notable presence across the area, including German ancestry at 5.6% (compared to 4.7% regionally), Scottish at 8.0% (vs 7.8%), and Australian Aboriginal representation at 3.8% (vs 3.9%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Southern Downs - West is 50, older than 91% of areas nationally. 17.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Southern Downs - West presents an older age distribution centered on mature households. Seniors and retirees aged 65+ comprise 28.0% of the community as at August 2026, outstripping the 20.4% recorded across Regional Qld, while adults aged 25 - 44 account for 17.3% against a wider regional share of 25.5%. The estimated median age is 50, holding steady from the 2021 Census, 9 years older than the Regional Qld median of 41 and above the national Census median of 38. Residents aged 45 - 64 have reduced their share from 30.6% at the Census to an estimated 29.2%.
Growth to 2041 will be dominated by the 65+ cohort, forecast to rise by 200 residents (13%) to 1,715, while youth, young adult, and 45 - 64 age groups are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Southern Downs - West
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 207 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (4,991 at the 2021 Census → 5,408 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (307031186). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.