Kearneys Spring

Kearneys Spring lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Kearneys Spring is around 10,807, reflecting an increase of 1,388 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 14.7% increase from the previous population count of 9,419 people. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, following examination of the June 2024 ABS ERP data release and validation of additional addresses, is 10,549. This results in a density ratio of 1,662 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kearneys Spring's population growth of 14.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the Rest of Qld (9.1%) and the national average, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking ahead, a significant population increase is forecasted for Kearneys Spring, with an expected increase of 4,103 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 33.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kearneys Spring among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Kearneys Spring shows an average of approximately 57 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 289 homes. As of FY-26, 81 approvals have been recorded. This averages out to around 2.7 new residents per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting solid demand supporting property values. The average construction cost value of new homes is $461,000, which is moderately above regional levels, indicating an emphasis on quality construction.

In the current financial year, there have been $19.7 million in commercial approvals, showing steady commercial investment activity. When compared to the Rest of Qld, Kearneys Spring has similar development levels per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. New development consists of 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

This is despite current patterns suggesting a higher proportion of detached housing (59.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 188 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Looking ahead, Kearneys Spring is projected to grow by 3,664 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kearneys Spring has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that could affect the area. Notable ones include Kearney West Estate, Ladbroke Grove Estate, Platz Street - Wuth Street Intersection Upgrade, and Pinnacle of Kearneys. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Kearneys Spring maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Kearneys Spring has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.2%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 5.5%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 5,288 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation is lower at 62.9%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. Census responses indicate that only 6.0% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

The area has a high specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, construction employs just 5.1%, below Rest of Qld's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5% and labour force by 4.5%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.9 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment grew by 1.7%, labour force expanded by 2.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Kearneys Spring's employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

In financial year 2023, Kearneys Spring had a median taxpayer income of $51,952 and an average income of $63,834. These figures are lower than the national averages of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively for Rest of Qld. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $57,100 and $70,160 based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data shows personal income ranks at the 38th percentile ($746 weekly) and household income at the 22nd percentile. The majority of residents (32.7%, or 3,533 individuals) earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, similar to the broader area's pattern (31.7%). Housing affordability is severe, with only 82.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 21st percentile.

Kearneys Spring displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Kearneys Spring, as per the latest Census, consisted of 59.4% houses and 40.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kearneys Spring was at 28.2%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (26.2%) or rented (45.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $310, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Kearneys Spring's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kearneys Spring features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.5% of all households, including 24.5% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.5%, with lone person households at 33.5% and group households making up 3.9%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Kearneys Spring exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 28.3% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Rest of Qld average of 20.6% and the SA3 area rate of 23.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.8% and certificates at 23.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.9% in primary, 7.5% in secondary, and 6.7% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

A total of 50 active public transport stops are currently operating within Kearneys Spring. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with five individual routes in operation. Collectively, these routes facilitate 626 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 223 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commutes are outward-bound, and car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 94%. On average, there is vehicle ownership of 1.1 per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 6% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 89 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kearneys Spring is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

AreaSearch's health assessment for Kearneys Spring shows significant health challenges.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantially higher than average, with older age cohorts experiencing this to an even greater extent. Private health cover is at approximately 52% of the total population (~5,673 people), slightly above the average SA2 area rate. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.6%) and mental health issues (9.2%). Conversely, 66.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. There is a notable senior population, with 19.4% being aged 65 and over (2,096 people). While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kearneys Spring was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kearneys Spring had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 28.7% of its population born overseas and 26.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 53.9% of people in Kearneys Spring. The category 'Other' was notably overrepresented, comprising 5.4% of the population compared to 0.8% across Rest of Qld.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (24.6%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (15.8%). Notably, German (6.2%) and Indian (3.9%) groups were overrepresented in Kearneys Spring compared to regional averages of 4.7% and 0.7%, respectively. Korean representation was also higher at 0.4%.

Kearneys Spring's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kearney Springs was 34 years as of 2021, notably lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of Qld, Kearney Springs had a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (20.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.5%). This 25-34 concentration was well above the national average of 14.4%. Since the Census conducted on August 9, 2021, a rejuvenation of the population is evident as the median age fell from 35 to 34 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 grew from 16.9% to 20.3%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 11.8% to 13.9%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55-64 declined from 8.3% to 6.5%, and those aged 5-14 dropped from 12.7% to 10.9%. By June 30, 2041, Kearney Springs is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading this demographic shift, the number of residents aged 25-34 is projected to grow by 48%, reaching 3,251 from 2,193.