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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Kearneys Spring has an estimated 10,869 residents, up from 9,419 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,450 people, or 15.4%. Growth has averaged 2.4% a year over five years, faster than 85% of areas nationally. 282 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 77.0% of that increase. That puts 1,672 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Following assessment of ABS demographic releases for the wider region, alongside newly confirmed locations verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the resident count of the suburb of Kearneys Spring is projected to be approximately 10,869 as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 1,450 people (15.4%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a total of 9,419 individuals. The adjustment is determined from a resident population baseline of 10,770 estimated by AreaSearch using the ABS ERP release from June 2025, combined with an extra 282 validated new addresses recorded after the Census.
This count represents a density of 1,672 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the typical figure for Australian locations evaluated by AreaSearch. The 15.4% expansion of the suburb of Kearneys Spring since the 2021 census was faster than the SA3 area (9.2%) and the SA4 region, establishing it as a regional growth leader. The primary driver of this population growth was overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 77.0% of the overall population gains in recent times. AreaSearch implements projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for every SA2 area, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For any SA2 regions lacking this coverage, and for any years beyond 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 and based on 2021 numbers are used. These state-level projections do not segment by age cohorts; consequently, where they are applied, AreaSearch distributes growth across age brackets using proportions from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Future demographic forecasts indicate substantial population gains within the upper quartile of Australian non-metropolitan locations, with the suburb of Kearneys Spring projected to grow by 4,047 persons by 2041 according to combined SA2 projections, representing a total increase of 36.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
305 new dwellings have been approved in Kearneys Spring over the past five years, an average of 61 a year. That places the area in the 86th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 58 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 90% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 116, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An evaluation of ABS building approval records distributed from statistical areas indicates that the suburb of Kearneys Spring recorded an annual average of about 61 new home approvals, summing to approximately 305 residences over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 107 approvals have been logged. Because an average of 3.9 individuals moved to the district for every home completed during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, residential supply is falling short of demand. This imbalance typically intensifies purchaser competition and places upward pressure on prices, even as new residences are built with an average construction cost of $461,000, which is moderately higher than regional averages and points to a focus on higher-quality builds.
Additionally, commercial approvals reached $19.7 million this financial year, indicating steady activity in commercial property development. When compared to Rest of Qld, construction activity in the suburb of Kearneys Spring is somewhat elevated, running 11.0% higher than the regional average per capita over the 5 year timeframe, which helps preserve choice for buyers while reinforcing existing real estate values. New residential construction consists of 90.0% standalone houses and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the suburban character of the neighborhood through a concentration of detached family properties for buyers wanting extra space. Notably, building firms are developing standalone houses at a higher rate than the baseline proportion recorded at the Census (which stood at 59.0%), showing a sustained demand for family residences despite broader trends toward higher density. The area has approximately 185 people per dwelling approval, showing a growing market profile. Long-term forecasts indicate the suburb of Kearneys Spring will add 3,948 residents by 2041, according to the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. If current building rates do not accelerate, residential supply may fail to keep pace with population growth, which is expected to trigger stronger buyer competition and support price appreciation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kearneys Spring
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Kearneys Spring, worth an estimated $376 million. A further 56 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $2.25 billion. 15 are already under construction and 13 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and planning policies significantly affect real estate dynamics. In total, 24 projects have been tracked by AreaSearch that are expected to influence this neighborhood. Important projects include Kearney West Estate, Ladbroke Grove Estate, Platz Street - Wuth Street Intersection Upgrade, and Pinnacle of Kearneys, with the following list detailing those expected to have the most direct impact.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Kearney West Estate
A master-planned residential estate comprising 350 lots across 8 stages in Kearneys Spring, Toowoomba. Stages 1-4 are fully sold with civil construction complete. Stage 5 (34 lots, 540-977m2) is approved but on hold pending Ergon Energy lowering high-voltage underground cables to allow construction of a new roundabout at West Street, Handley Street and Cadel Evans Drive. Remaining stages 6-8 are yet to be released. All lots feature levelled building pads, reticulated sewerage, underground power, NBN connectivity, landscaped detention basins, and pedestrian links to Carly Hibberd Park.
542-558 Hume Street Residential Development
8.55ha landholding with 625m of dual street frontage to Hume Street and Pillar Street, zoned Low-Medium Density Residential and permitting up to 342 dwellings across a range of typologies including house and land, townhouses, and land lease community. The site sold on 13 June 2025 for 23.7 million dollars, achieving 277 dollars per square metre and setting a new suburb record as the largest development site transaction in Toowoomba since 2007. The Expressions of Interest campaign generated 19 competitive bids with a combined value of 338 million dollars.The site was acquired by a private developer whose identity has not been publicly disclosed. No development application has yet been lodged.
Pinnacle of Kearneys
A premium residential subdivision offering 78 allotments ranging from 600m to 834m in Stage 2, combining tranquil country living with modern urban amenities. Located minutes from Toowoomba Base Hospital, University of Southern Queensland, City Golf Club and Toowoomba CBD. Features include proximity to parks, walking trails, shopping centers and excellent transport connections.
Ladbroke Grove Estate
Exclusive acreage estate offering 12 large lots ranging from 4,039sqm to 4,558sqm (approximately 1 acre each) for residential development in the serene outskirts of Darling Heights. Located just 10 minutes from the Toowoomba CBD, this estate combines tranquil countryside living with modern convenience. Each expansive lot provides the perfect canvas for crafting bespoke residences with space for gardens, outdoor entertaining, and pools. The estate is thoughtfully designed to offer a tranquil escape while maintaining easy access to schools, shops, and major employment hubs.
Kearneys Spring Recreation Park Clubhouse Upgrade
A $3.66 million clubhouse upgrade at Kearneys Spring Recreation Reserve, officially opened March 1, 2025. Features new amenities including canteen, first aid room, toilets with disability access, player and unisex changerooms with moveable walls, multi-purpose room, and storage areas. Project includes energy efficient LED lights, perforated screening, and over 500 meters of shared pathways. Serves touch football, softball, and other sporting groups.
UniSQ Aviation Education Precinct - Flight Simulator Facilities
State-of-the-art aviation education facilities at the University of Southern Queensland Toowoomba campus, featuring Boeing 737-800 and Airbus A320 flight simulators - the first of their kind in Queensland. The Aviation Education Precinct provides world-class training facilities for Bachelor of Aviation students in flight operations and aviation management. The A320 simulator was unveiled in July 2020 as part of over $1 million investment in aviation education infrastructure, making UniSQ Australia's only university with both Boeing and Airbus simulators on campus.
Aurrum Kids Toowoomba Childcare Centre
A purpose-built childcare facility offering 102 places for children aged 6 weeks to 6 years. Features include state-of-the-art facilities, natural light-filled indoor and outdoor spaces, custom playground with raised garden beds, climbing equipment, rainbow bike track, water play area, creek bed, art spaces, covered timber deck, greenhouse, and fresh on-site meal preparation. Located within the HomeCo Toowoomba precinct.
Highlands Christian College Masterplan
A completed masterplan for alterations and additions to Highlands Christian College, featuring modern educational facilities including science labs, library, dance studios, and multi-purpose centre. The college now serves 661 students from Prep to Year 12 with exceptional facilities and resources for academic excellence in a Christian educational environment.
5,232 residents of Kearneys Spring are employed, from a labour force of 5,453. Unemployment sits at 4.1%, with participation at 61.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 9,601, about 88% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is well-educated with significant employment in essential services, showing an unemployment rate of 4.1% based on AreaSearch calculations of statistical area data. In March 2026, there were 5,232 employed residents, representing an unemployment rate 0.2% higher than the 3.9% recorded in Regional Qld, while participation in the labour force is slightly lower than typical levels, standing at 61.9% compared to 64.3% across Regional Qld. Census data indicates that a low share of 6.0% of the working population performed their jobs from home, although this should be interpreted alongside potential COVID-19 restriction impacts.
The primary sectors employing local residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The community shows a high concentration in health care & social assistance jobs, which employ residents at 1.7 times the regional average rate. By contrast, the building sector is underrepresented, accounting for 5.1% of employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. This highly residential district appears to have a low volume of local employment opportunities, as shown by comparing the count of census workers to the resident population. Based on AreaSearch research using SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader regions, the recent 12-month period saw a contraction of 5.9% in the labour force and a decrease of 7.3% in total employment, which raised the local unemployment rate by 1.4 percentage points. Conversely, Regional Qld experienced an increase in employment of 0.1% and labor force growth of 0.3%, with a small unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. National forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide a projection of future employment trends in the suburb of Kearneys Spring. These estimates, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been aligned with the local industry mix to model potential growth. Although the nationwide workforce is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary by industry. Applying these sectoral projections to the local employment distribution suggests that employment among residents of the suburb of Kearneys Spring could rise by 7.0% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, representing a basic weighting extrapolation for comparison that does not incorporate local demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kearneys Spring is $1,335 a week (about $69,000 a year), with median personal income at $746 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $51,952 a year against an average of $63,834. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The latest postcode-level ATO data compiled for financial year 2023 shows that incomes in the suburb of Kearneys Spring are below the national average, with a median of $51,952 and an average of $63,834. This is lower than the Regional Qld median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 would be roughly $57,854 for the median and $71,086 for the average. According to the 2021 Census, individual weekly income sits at the 38th percentile ($746), while household weekly income is at the 22nd percentile.
Examining the income brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 range includes 32.7% of the local population (3,554 people), which aligns closely with the metropolitan average of 31.7% in this bracket. Housing affordability pressure is significant, leaving residents with only 82.6% of their income, which ranks at the 21st percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kearneys Spring had 3,708 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 59% detached houses and 6% apartments. 26% are owned with a mortgage, 46% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $310 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,517 a month. Rent absorbs 23.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, the residential mix in the suburb of Kearneys Spring consisted of 59.4% standalone houses and 40.7% other structures such as duplexes, townhouses, and apartments, compared to Regional Qld where standalone houses made up 76.4% and other housing styles accounted for 23.6%. Home ownership rates in the suburb of Kearneys Spring were lower than the Regional Qld average, standing at 28.2%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (26.2%) or tenants renting their homes (45.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,517, which is lower than the Regional Qld average of $1,655, while the median weekly rent was $310, compared to $345 in Regional Qld.
On a national level, mortgage outlays in the suburb of Kearneys Spring are notably below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also well below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kearneys Spring counted 3,708 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 4,279 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 25% are couples with children, against 25% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 62.5% of the total, consisting of 24.5% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 12.4% single-parent households. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 37.5%, with single-person households representing 33.5% and group share houses making up 3.9%. The median household size of 2.4 persons is slightly smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
28.3% of adults in Kearneys Spring hold a university qualification, including 18.4% with a bachelor degree and 7.3% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 23.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 661 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,070 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational profile of the suburb of Kearneys Spring is highly distinct within the region, as university attainment rates (28.3% of residents aged 15 and over) exceed the Rest of Qld average of 20.6% and the SA3 average of 23.1%, showing a strong orientation toward higher education. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 7.3% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are also common, with 32.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding qualification credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (23.1%).
Enrolment rates in education are high, with 31.1% of the population currently undertaking formal studies. This student population includes 9.9% attending primary school, 7.5% in secondary education, and 6.7% enrolled in tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Kearneys Spring reaches 50 stops on 5 routes, timetabled for about 630 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of local public transport shows 50 active transit stops located in the suburb of Kearneys Spring, utilizing a network of buses. These stops are served by 5 distinct routes that provide a total of 626 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is classified as good, with residents living an average of 223 meters from the nearest stop. Because this is a residential district, most workers commute out of the suburb, and cars remain the main mode of travel for 94% of commuters. Private vehicle ownership averages 1.1 cars per household, which is below the regional average.
A relatively low 6.0% of the population worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 89 runs per day, which translates to approximately 12 weekly trips per transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.3% of residents in Kearneys Spring report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 82% of areas nationally. 7.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators show notable difficulties facing the suburb of Kearneys Spring, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality levels and the prevalence of chronic illnesses, which affect both younger and older demographics, while the share of residents holding private health insurance is slightly above the SA2 average at approximately 52% of the population, representing about 5,706 individuals. The most prevalent health issues recorded in the district were arthritis and mental health challenges, affecting 9.6% and 9.2% of residents respectively, whereas 66.3% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Health profiles among working-age individuals are generally standard. Residents aged 65 and older make up 19.3% of the community (2,097 people), which is below the Regional Qld proportion of 20.4%. Health indicators for senior residents present some challenges, with national rankings matching those of the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
28.7% of Kearneys Spring residents were born overseas and 26.2% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (24.6%) and Australian (23.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Kearneys Spring displays higher levels of cultural diversity than most regional markets, with 28.7% of residents born outside Australia and 26.2% using a language other than English in their homes. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, practiced by 53.9% of the population in the suburb of Kearneys Spring. The most notable variance from regional norms is in the Other category, which represents 5.4% of the population compared to 0.8% across Regional Qld. Ancestry details reveal that the three largest groups in the suburb of Kearneys Spring are English at 24.6% of the population (below the regional average of 29.6%), Australian at 23.7%, and Other at 15.8% (substantially higher than the regional average of 6.9%).
There are also distinct concentrations of other ethnic backgrounds, with German ancestry represented at 6.2% of the suburb of Kearneys Spring (compared to 4.7% regionally), Indian ancestry at 3.9% (compared to 0.7% regionally), and Korean ancestry at 0.4% (compared to 0.2% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kearneys Spring is 34, younger than 76% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 33.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 34 years in the suburb of Kearneys Spring is lower than the Regional Qld average of 41 and the national median of 38. Compared to Regional Qld, the suburb of Kearneys Spring has a larger proportion of residents aged 25 - 34 (20.1%) but fewer aged 55 - 64 (6.6%). This concentration of 25 - 34 year-olds is higher than the national share of 14.6%. Rejuvenation has occurred since the 2021 Census, with the median age dropping from 35 to 34 years. The 25 to 34 age bracket expanded from 16.9% to 20.1% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort grew from 11.8% to 13.3%.
In contrast, the 55 to 64 group decreased from 8.3% to 6.6%, while the 65 to 74 demographic declined from 9.5% to 8.2%. By 2041, the age structure is projected to shift, with the 25 to 34 bracket growing by 51% (an increase of 1,104 people) to reach 3,289, up from 2,184.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kearneys Spring
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 282 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (9,419 at the 2021 Census → 10,869 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL31496). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.