Kearneys Spring

Kearneys Spring lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Kearneys Spring's estimated population is around 10,801. This reflects a 14.7% increase since the 2021 Census (9,419 people). The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 10,549 residents following examination of ABS' ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 211 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,661 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Kearneys Spring's growth exceeded both non-metro areas (8.8%) and SA3 areas. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. By 2041, the Kearneys Spring SA2 is forecast to increase by 4,081 persons, reflecting a total increase of 33.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kearneys Spring among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Kearneys Spring averaged around 57 new dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 289 homes. As of FY-26, 81 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built has resulted in an average of 2.7 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating solid demand supporting property values. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $461,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting quality construction emphasis.

This financial year has seen $19.7 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Kearneys Spring maintains similar development levels per person, preserving market equilibrium with surrounding areas. New development consists predominantly of detached dwellings (89.0%) and townhouses or apartments (11.0%), maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

Detached housing favours new construction more than current patterns suggest (59.0% at Census), indicating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 188 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kearneys Spring is expected to grow by 3,660 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kearneys Spring has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Kearney West Estate, Ladbroke Grove Estate, Platz Street - Wuth Street Intersection Upgrade, and Pinnacle of Kearneys. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Kearneys Spring maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Kearneys Spring has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 3.1% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.5%. The area had a lower unemployment rate than Rest of Qld, which stood at 4.1%, and its workforce participation matched Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Health care & social assistance was particularly specialized, employing 1.7 times more residents than the regional level.

Conversely, construction employed only 5.1% of local workers compared to Rest of Qld's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population with resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5% while the labour force grew by 4.5%, reducing unemployment by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from November 25 showed Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Kearneys Spring's employment could increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.8% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Kearneys Spring had a median taxpayer income of $51,952 and an average income of $63,834. Nationally, the median was $53,146 and the average was $66,593. By September 2025, estimates suggest Kearneys Spring's median income will be approximately $57,100 and average $70,160, based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data indicates personal income ranks at the 38th percentile ($746 weekly) and household income at the 22nd percentile. The largest income segment is 32.7%, earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (3,531 residents), similar to the broader area's 31.7%. Income remaining after housing affordability pressures ranks at the 21st percentile with only 82.6% left.

Kearneys Spring displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Kearneys Spring, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 59.4% houses and 40.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kearneys Spring was at 28.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.2% and rented dwellings at 45.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average. The median weekly rent was $310, matching Non-Metro Qld's figure. Nationally, Kearneys Spring's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kearneys Spring features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.5 percent of all households, including 24.5 percent couples with children, 24.6 percent couples without children, and 12.4 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 37.5 percent, with lone person households at 33.5 percent and group households comprising 3.9 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Kearneys Spring exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 28.3% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6% and the SA3 area rate of 23.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.9% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (23.1%).

Educational participation is high with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.9% in primary, 7.5% in secondary, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Kearneys Spring shows that there are 50 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of bus services. The area is served by 5 individual routes which together facilitate 626 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is considered good with residents typically situated approximately 223 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages at 89 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kearneys Spring is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Kearneys Spring faces significant health challenges.

Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent throughout the area but to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~5,670 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.6% and 9.2% of residents respectively. A total of 66.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 65.3% across Rest of Qld. The area has 19.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,095 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kearneys Spring was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kearneys Spring had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 28.7% of its population born overseas and 26.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kearneys Spring, comprising 53.9% of the population. The 'Other' category was notably overrepresented at 5.4%, compared to the regional average of 2.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (24.6%), Australian (23.7%), and Other (15.8%), which was significantly higher than the regional average of 7.2%. There were also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: German at 6.2% (vs regional 8.0%), Indian at 3.9% (vs regional 1.0%), and Korean at 0.4% (vs regional 0.2%).

Kearneys Spring's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kearney Springs is 34 years, which is notably lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of Qld, Kearney Springs has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (19.7%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.8%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.5%. Since the Census in 2021, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has grown from 16.9% to 19.7%, while those aged 15 to 24 increased from 11.8% to 13.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55 to 64 has declined from 8.3% to 6.8%, and the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 has dropped from 12.7% to 11.3%. By 2041, Kearney Springs is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 53%, reaching 3,252 residents from 2,127.