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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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North Toowoomba - Harlaxton has an estimated 6,738 residents, up from 6,426 at the 2021 Census — a change of 312 people, or 4.9%. Growth has averaged 0.7% a year over five years. That puts 654 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to demographic findings by AreaSearch, the resident count of North Toowoomba - Harlaxton stands at roughly 6,738 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 312 people (4.9%) relative to the 2021 Census benchmark of 6,426 people. That figure builds on an ABS estimated resident population figure of 6,596 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 71 validated new addresses registered following the Census. The local population density reaches 653 persons per square kilometer, indicating generous space per inhabitant and substantial capacity for upcoming development. Population gains have been steered mainly by overseas migration, which made up around 63.3% of total net expansion during recent periods.
Projections published by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 (using 2022 as their baseline) are utilized by AreaSearch across SA2 locations. In SA2 zones without this coverage, or across periods beyond 2032, Queensland State Government projections released in 2023 (utilizing 2021 data) serve as the basis. Because state projections lack age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch incorporates age-cohort growth weightings derived from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections published in 2023 (based on 2022 data). Long-term projections indicate growth exceeding the national regional median, with the community expected to expand by 1,147 persons to 2041 according to current annual ERP figures, corresponding to an overall rise of 14.9% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
136 new dwellings have been approved in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton over the past five years, an average of 27 a year. That places the area in the 53rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 28 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 75% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton have averaged approximately 27 new homes annually, amounting to 136 homes across the previous 5 financial years. With an average of 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed across the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), local demand and supply have maintained sound equilibrium and price stability, though this ratio has shifted to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, pointing toward even more balanced conditions. Residential builds feature an average expected construction cost of $424,000, sitting below regional benchmarks and providing accessible pricing.
Concurrently, commercial approvals totaling $12.1 million this financial year demonstrate sustained non-residential building momentum. In comparison to Rest of Qld, new residential approvals per capita in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton run at roughly three-quarters the regional pace, placing the suburb in the 70th percentile across the country despite a recent acceleration in building approvals. Detached houses account for 75.0% of recent residential activity while 25.0% consists of attached dwellings, reinforcing traditional low-density residential patterns oriented toward spacious family living. The ratio of 518 people per dwelling approval highlights a relatively measured, low-density pace of building. Looking forward, the population of North Toowoomba - Harlaxton is projected to rise by 1,005 residents through to 2041 according to the most recent AreaSearch quarterly release. While local construction activity is keeping reasonable step with demographic expansion, property buyers may encounter heightened competition as local numbers grow.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around North Toowoomba - Harlaxton
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside North Toowoomba - Harlaxton, worth an estimated $503 million. A further 83 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $8.39 billion. 25 are already under construction and 27 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and health & medical. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic planning initiatives, public works, and major capital investments play a decisive role in shaping the area's development trajectory. AreaSearch has tracked 27 projects with the capacity to influence local conditions. Prominent undertakings include Habitat Mt Kynoch, The Willows, Harlaxton (formerly Northgate Vista Estate), North Street Warehouse Development, and Toowoomba Regional Aquatic Centre, with key developments summarized below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Habitat Mt Kynoch
Masterplanned residential community at Mount Kynoch delivering more than 800 residential lots with future retail, community and open space facilities. Stage releases continue to be marketed, with the Haven Precinct Release I and Vast Precinct Release II now selling while civil works and new residential construction continue across the estate.
Highcrest Estate
A modern residential estate offering contemporary living with community facilities and convenient access to Toowoomba's amenities.
The Willows, Harlaxton
The Willows is a proposed master planned residential community across approximately 54.9 hectares at Harlaxton. The project replaces the former Northgate Vista Estate proposal and seeks a Preliminary Approval with a Variation Request to facilitate around 700 dwellings, mixed housing, neighbourhood scale mixed use areas, open space along Gowrie Creek, parks and an internal road and pathway network. The application remains under assessment by Toowoomba Regional Council. Public notification has been completed and State Assessment and Referral Agency conditions have been issued while the decision process continues.
New Toowoomba Hospital
The $1.98 billion New Toowoomba Hospital is a major redevelopment at the Baillie Henderson Hospital campus. Under the Queensland Government Hospital Rescue Plan, the facility will feature 538 overnight beds, including an 84-bed acute mental health facility. The project consolidates health services onto a single site, including a new cardiac catheterisation lab, expanded emergency department, surgical suites, and a multi-storey car park.
Kearney West Estate
Master-planned residential estate by Clive Berghofer Land Sales in Kearneys Spring, Toowoomba. The estate comprises approximately 350 residential lots delivered over multiple stages. Stages 1 to 4 are sold and completed. Stage 5, comprising 34 lots and a new West Street roundabout connection, remains on hold pending Ergon Energy relocation of underground high voltage power infrastructure.
Toowoomba Regional Aquatic Centre
State-of-the-art aquatic facility featuring Olympic-standard pools, leisure facilities, and community programs.
Toowoomba Escarpment Mountain Bike Trails (Jubilee Park)
Development of new and upgraded mountain bike trails focused on Jubilee Park as part of the Toowoomba and Lockyer Valley Escarpment Mountain Bike Master Plan. Planning is currently underway for Stage 1. With 6.6 million in secured funding, the project aims to expand the existing 28 km of single track into a mountain bike centre of excellence ahead of the Brisbane 2032 Olympics.
The Willows Master Planned Residential Community
A revised master planned residential community on approximately 54.9 hectares in Harlaxton, replacing the earlier Northgate Vista proposal. The current Preliminary Approval and Variation Request seeks to facilitate a staged residential community of approximately 500-700 dwellings with low and medium density housing, mixed use areas, parks, open space along Gowrie Creek and walking and cycling connections. The application remains under assessment while the land has been marketed for sale to a future development partner.
3,032 residents of North Toowoomba - Harlaxton are employed, from a labour force of 3,237. Unemployment sits at 6.3%, with participation at 60.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton features a capable workforce with solid representation in frontline public and social services, alongside an unemployment rate of 6.3%. As of March 2026, employed residents count 3,032 people, though the jobless rate sits 2.4% higher than the Regional Qld benchmark of 3.9%, and the participation rate is comparatively subdued at 60.1% against 64.2% in Regional Qld. Census records indicate that merely 7.7% of workers performed their duties from home, an outcome potentially shaped by Covid-19 restrictions. Key employment sectors for local workers include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.
Specialisation in health care & social assistance is particularly pronounced, registering an employment share 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, the mining sector is largely underrepresented, employing only 0.9% of the local workforce compared with 3.6% in Regional Qld. Although employment options exist locally, Census comparisons between resident workers and local job counts suggest a substantial proportion of workers travel out of the area for work. Analysis of SALM and ABS data by AreaSearch indicates that the labour force fell by 6.7% during the year ending March 2026, while employment dropped by 8.7%, which pushed the unemployment rate up by 2.0 percentage points. By comparison, employment in Regional Qld grew by 0.1% and the labour force expanded by 0.3%, resulting in a 0.1 percentage point increase. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Mar-26 provide additional perspective on potential future demand within North Toowoomba - Harlaxton. These projections, which span five and ten-year horizons, have been overlaid onto the local employment profile to estimate growth trajectories. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, expansion varies considerably across industry sectors. When these sector-specific forecasts are applied to the employment mix of North Toowoomba - Harlaxton, local employment is expected to rise by 6.7% over five years and by 14.1% over ten years (this represents a basic weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate local population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton is $1,232 a week (about $64,000 a year), with median personal income at $673 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,036 a year against an average of $60,122. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO tax data at the postcode level compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 records a median taxable income of $49,036 and an average of $60,122 across the North Toowoomba - Harlaxton SA2. These figures track below national averages and trail Regional Qld, which recorded a median of $53,146 and an average of $66,593. Accounting for an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach approximately $54,606 for median earnings and $66,952 for average earnings as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household levels, Census earnings place the area between the 15th and 23rd percentiles nationwide.
The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket accounts for 29.2% of the local population (1,967 individuals), mirroring the broader regional proportion of 31.7%. Household budgets face considerable strain, with residual income at 82.3%, placing the district in the 14th percentile for housing affordability.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
North Toowoomba - Harlaxton had 2,494 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 79% detached houses and 2% apartments. 30% are owned with a mortgage, 46% rented and 24% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $280 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,301 a month. Rent absorbs 22.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, separate houses made up 79.4% of the housing stock in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton, with medium- and high-density options comprising 20.5%, compared with 76.4% separate houses and 23.6% other dwellings across Regional Qld. Outright home ownership stood at 24.2%, trailing the Regional Qld rate, while mortgaged properties accounted for 29.7% and rental properties constituted 46.1%. Monthly mortgage commitments averaged a median of $1,301, well under the Regional Qld figure of $1,655 and the nationwide level of $1,863. Median weekly rent was reported at $280, substantially below the Regional Qld figure of $345 and the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
North Toowoomba - Harlaxton counted 2,494 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 21% are couples with children, fewer than in 83% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 35% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households constitute the largest living arrangement at 61.1% of all occupied residences, comprising couples without children (23.4%), couples with children (21.4%), and single parent families (14.7%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 38.9%, driven by single-person residences at 34.5% and shared households at 4.5%. With a median household size of 2.3 people, local homes are somewhat smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
21.3% of adults in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton hold a university qualification, including 15.0% with a bachelor degree and 3.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 27.3% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,406 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 952 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton sits below broader standards, with 21.3% of inhabitants aged 15+ holding a university degree relative to 30.4% nationwide, indicating scope for further educational and workforce upskilling. Bachelor degrees form the largest segment at 15.0%, accompanied by postgraduate degrees (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Technical and practical training is well established, with 36.9% of residents aged 15+ having vocational credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (27.3%). A substantial 32.4% of the population is actively engaged in formal study. Within this group, 10.7% are enrolled in secondary education, 9.8% attend primary schooling, and 4.7% are undertaking higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton reaches 43 stops on 3 routes, timetabled for about 380 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton is supported by 43 bus stops distributed across the suburb. These stops are linked by 3 individual routes that provide a total of 380 weekly passenger trips. Transit access is very convenient, with residents situated an average distance of 179 meters from their closest stop. Commuters travel primarily outside the suburb for work, with private motor vehicles accounting for 91% of journeys and walking representing 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling, trailing regional figures. In addition, 7.7% of residents worked from home at the 2021 Census, a figure potentially influenced by COVID-19.
Across all transit lines, service frequency averages 54 trips per day, translating to around 8 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.9% of residents in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 95% of areas nationally. 7.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 8.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality statistics and chronic health patterns indicate notable community health challenges in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton across both younger and older demographics, while private health insurance coverage is subdued at approximately 49% of all residents (~3,294 people). This sits below the Regional Qld proportion of 52.5% and the national rate of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and asthma represent the most widespread medical issues locally, diagnosed in 11.8% and 8.7% of residents respectively, whereas 63.9% of the local population reported no long-term medical conditions compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Chronic illness remains an ongoing concern among working-age individuals. Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 16.2% of the community (1,093 people), below the Regional Qld figure of 20.3%, with elderly health measures generally tracking consistent with broad population benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
North Toowoomba - Harlaxton is largely Australian-born, at 84.2% of residents, with 10.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (28.2%) and Australian (27.6%). 4.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Measures of cultural diversity in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton remain comparatively modest, with Australian citizens making up 84.8% of residents, 84.2% having been born in Australia, and 89.9% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the predominant religious faith, representing 51.9% of the local community. The most distinct demographic variance appears in the Other religious category, which accounts for 5.0% of local residents compared to 0.8% across Regional Qld. Examining parental background and ancestry, English background leads locally at 28.2% of the population, followed by Australian ancestry at 27.6% and Irish ancestry at 9.4%.
Other ancestral backgrounds show distinctive representation, including German heritage at 6.8% of North Toowoomba - Harlaxton (against 4.7% regionally), Australian Aboriginal at 4.4% (against 3.9%), and Scottish at 8.0% (against 7.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of North Toowoomba - Harlaxton is 34, younger than 84% of areas nationally. 32.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in North Toowoomba - Harlaxton leans toward younger demographics. Children and youth aged 0 - 24 represent 33.9% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 29.6% across Regional Qld, while residents aged 65+ make up 16.2% versus 20.4% regionally. The estimated median age is 34 as at August 2026, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 7 years below the Regional Qld median of 41 from that Census. Adults aged 25 - 44 have increased from 27.0% of the population to an estimated 29.3% since the Census and are projected to generate the largest growth by 2041, increasing by 582 (29%) to 2,557.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for North Toowoomba - Harlaxton
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 71 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,426 at the 2021 Census → 6,738 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (317011454). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.