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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Cranley has an estimated 2,656 residents, up from 2,281 at the 2021 Census — a change of 375 people, or 16.4%. Growth has averaged 4.2% a year over five years, faster than 86% of areas nationally. 159 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 46.0% of that increase. That puts 255 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Cranley has an estimated population of around 2,656, according to AreaSearch analysis of ABS wider regional updates and 159 validated new addresses recorded since the Census. This total represents an expansion of 375 people (16.4%) compared to the 2,281 people counted at the 2021 Census. AreaSearch derived this resident population estimate of 2,656 by assessing the June 2025 ABS ERP release alongside post-Census address additions. The local population density stands at 254 persons per square kilometer, offering ample room per resident as well as scope for future expansion.
Outperforming both the wider SA4 region and the SA3 area (9.3%), the suburb of Cranley emerged as a regional growth leader with its 16.4% surge since the 2021 census. Inbound interstate migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating approximately 46.0% of recent population increases, alongside positive contributions from natural growth and overseas migration. For demographic forecasting, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections published in 2024 using 2022 as a base year. Where SA2 coverage is missing or for timeframes post-2032, figures rely on Queensland State Government SA2 projections issued in 2023 from 2021 data. Because these state figures omit age breakdowns, AreaSearch allocates proportional growth across cohorts using ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Demographic outlooks indicate that the suburb of Cranley will experience growth slightly beneath the non-capital city median, with aggregated SA2-level modeling anticipating an addition of 249 persons up to 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 9.4% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
103 new dwellings have been approved in Cranley over the past five years, an average of 20 a year. That places the area in the 75th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 19, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals aggregated by AreaSearch indicates that Cranley records development approval for around 20 dwellings annually, totaling an estimated 103 homes across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), including 19 so far in FY-25. Across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), an average of 12.9 people moved in each year for every newly built home, creating a scenario where resident demand outpaces residential supply and typically fuels buyer competition. Concurrently, new residential builds exhibit an average construction cost of $314,000, sitting beneath broader regional benchmarks and delivering relatively accessible price points.
Per capita residential construction in Cranley runs at roughly half the rate seen across Rest of Qld and trails national figures, placing in the 77th percentile nationwide despite recent building acceleration, which highlights planning limitations and a mature urban fabric. Recent building approvals are evenly split, featuring 50.0% detached dwellings alongside 50.0% medium and high-density housing. This transition toward higher-density dwelling options opens entry-level opportunities for first-time buyers, investors, and downsizers. It also diverges markedly from the established urban form (currently 68.0% houses), reflecting tightening land supply alongside shifting buyer lifestyles and affordability requirements. Furthermore, the presence of approximately 138 people per dwelling approval demonstrates steady market expansion. The latest quarterly estimates from AreaSearch project Cranley will gain 249 residents by 2041. Given existing construction momentum, incoming residential supply is well positioned to satisfy upcoming demand, fostering favorable purchasing conditions and potentially enabling growth exceeding current demographic targets.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Cranley
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 3 current infrastructure and development projects inside Cranley, worth an estimated $100 million. A further 55 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $8.93 billion. 18 are already under construction and 16 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities and health & medical. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic planning developments, infrastructure upgrades, and capital works play a pivotal role in shaping local community performance. AreaSearch has recorded 10 projects expected to influence the surrounding region, highlighted by New Toowoomba Hospital, Kearney West Estate, Toowoomba Fairways Country Club Retirement Village, and Palm Lake Resort Toowoomba, with prominent undertakings outlined below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Toowoomba Fairways Country Club Retirement Village
A $100 million retirement village development featuring 183 units by Country Club Living. This major aged care and lifestyle project provides modern retirement living options in the Cotswold Hills area with resort-style amenities, including a private 9-hole golf course, swimming pool, and clubhouse.
New Toowoomba Hospital
The $1.98 billion New Toowoomba Hospital is a major redevelopment at the Baillie Henderson Hospital campus. Under the Queensland Government Hospital Rescue Plan, the facility will feature 538 overnight beds, including an 84-bed acute mental health facility. The project consolidates health services onto a single site, including a new cardiac catheterisation lab, expanded emergency department, surgical suites, and a multi-storey car park.
Kearney West Estate
Master-planned residential estate by Clive Berghofer Land Sales in Kearneys Spring, Toowoomba. The estate comprises approximately 350 residential lots delivered over multiple stages. Stages 1 to 4 are sold and completed. Stage 5, comprising 34 lots and a new West Street roundabout connection, remains on hold pending Ergon Energy relocation of underground high voltage power infrastructure.
Palm Lake Resort Toowoomba
A luxury over-50s lifestyle resort in Cranley, featuring designer homes and world-class facilities including an award-winning Pinnacle Country Club with an infinity-edge pool. Offers a pet-friendly community.
Bridge Street Community
Extension to the existing relocatable home park providing an additional 60 dwelling sites for over 50s lifestyle village, increasing total sites to 245. Includes new community facilities such as pool, multi-purpose room, library/craft area, alfresco seating, BBQ area, bar, and amenities, with refurbishment of some existing facilities.
Toowoomba Day Surgery Theatre
$42 million over four years to construct a two-theatre day surgery unit at Baillie Henderson Hospital Campus.
Hill Street Social and Affordable Housing
Development of 27 purpose-built residential units for social and affordable housing across two buildings, including 19 one-bedroom units, six two-bedroom units, and two four-bedroom townhouses, designed to meet accessibility standards.
Glenvale Town Centre
A 6.06-hectare master-planned mixed-use precinct designed to serve the expanding Toowoomba community. The development is anchored by a full-line Woolworths supermarket with an innovative e-commerce hub. The centre includes specialty retail, fast food outlets, a 7-Eleven service station, a tavern, and essential services such as medical facilities, childcare, and indoor sports spaces. It is estimated to create over 700 jobs during construction and operation.
939 residents of Cranley are employed, from a labour force of 995. Unemployment sits at 5.6%, with participation at 41.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 4,522, about 170% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Statistical area aggregates compiled by AreaSearch show that Cranley maintains a skilled labour pool with strong representation in essential service industries, alongside an unemployment rate of 5.6%. In March 2026939 residents were employed; however, unemployment was 1.7% higher than the Regional Qld benchmark of 3.9%, and labour force participation stood at 41.8%, trailing Regional Qld's 64.2%. Census figures also indicated that a modest 5.9% of workers performed their jobs from home, an outcome potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown measures. The leading sectors employing local residents comprise health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade.
Workforce representation in health care & social assistance is particularly pronounced, reaching 1.4 times the regional average, whereas agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 1.6% of employment compared to 4.5% across Regional Qld. Operating as an employment destination, the locality recorded 1.8 workers for every resident as at the Census, providing more workplace positions than resident workers and drawing commuters from neighboring communities. Evaluating SALM and ABS data aggregated across broader regions, AreaSearch identified that over the year to March 2026, local labour supply contracted by 4.6% and employment fell by 6.4%, causing the unemployment rate to climb by 1.8 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld saw employment rise 0.1%, the labour force expand 0.3%, and unemployment edge up 0.1 percentage points. Longer-term hiring outlooks can be gauged via Jobs and Skills Australia national forecasts from Mar-26 across five- and ten-year horizons. Across Australia, overall job growth is projected at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying widely by sector. When mapped onto the local industrial mix, these sector projections suggest local employment could rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (noting this illustrative weighting exercise excludes localized population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Cranley is $1,112 a week (about $58,000 a year), with median personal income at $634 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,152 a year against an average of $54,251. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates that Cranley recorded a taxpayer median income of $44,152 and an average income of $54,251, trailing the national benchmark as well as Regional Qld figures of $53,146 and $66,593. Factoring in Wage Price Index increases of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated earnings as of March 2026 stand at approximately $49,168 for the median and $60,414 for the average. In the 2021 Census, personal, family, and household earnings all tracked between the 8th and 16th percentiles across Australia. Income distribution is concentrated in the $800 - 1,499 tier, encompassing 34.3% of residents (911 people), whereas the surrounding region is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 band at 31.7%.
Even though households retain 87.0% of income after modest housing outlays, overall disposable income sits at the 11th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Cranley had 950 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 68% detached houses and 1% apartments. 16% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 57% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $330 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,517 a month. Rent absorbs 29.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 31.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records indicate that the residential stock in Cranley consists of 67.8% separate houses and 32.3% other dwellings (including apartments, semi-detached, and alternative dwelling types), whereas Regional Qld shows 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Outright property ownership in Cranley reached 57.1%, substantially exceeding the Regional Qld rate, while 15.7% of homes were mortgaged and 27.2% were rented. Typical housing expenses remained comparatively affordable, with median monthly mortgage payments at $1,517 and median weekly rent at $330, sitting under Regional Qld figures of $1,655 and $345. Both metrics also sit well below Australian nationwide averages of $1,863 for mortgages and $375 for weekly rents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Cranley counted 950 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,106 today, averaging 2.1 people each. 14% are couples with children, fewer than in 95% of areas nationally, against 40% couples without children. 33% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 63.6% of all local households, divided into couples without children (39.6%), couples with children (13.7%), and single parent families (8.9%). The other 36.4% consists of non-family arrangements, dominated by lone person households at 32.8% alongside group households at 3.7%. With an average of 2.1 people per home, the median household size sits below the Regional Qld benchmark of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.6% of adults in Cranley hold a university qualification, including 13.7% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.5% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Higher education attainment levels present targeted development opportunities, with university qualifications held by 18.6% of residents compared to the national rate of 30.4%. Within tertiary degrees, bachelor degrees account for 13.7%, postgraduate qualifications represent 2.8%, and graduate diplomas make up 2.1%. Conversely, technical and vocational training is strongly represented, with 35.6% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, divided between certificates (24.5%) and advanced diplomas (11.1%). Active enrollment in formal schooling and study encompasses 21.6% of the local population. Breaking this down by level, 7.2% attend primary education, 5.0% are enrolled in secondary education, and 3.6% are engaged in tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Cranley means driving: households keep an average of 1.0 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure within Cranley features 2 active transport stops offering bus services. These locations are connected by 1 individual routes delivering a combined total of 112 weekly passenger trips. Commuter accessibility is classified as moderate, with an average distance of 592 meters to the nearest boarding point. Private motor vehicles serve as the principal travel mode for outward commuting, utilized by 97% of traveling residents, while household vehicle ownership stands at 1.0 per dwelling, below regional figures. Furthermore, 5.9% of workers operated from home at the 2021 Census, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions.
Across all available routes, transit scheduling averages 16 trips per day, which corresponds to approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
50.8% of residents in Cranley report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 92% of areas nationally. 14.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Assessment of chronic illnesses and mortality figures by AreaSearch highlights notable health considerations in Cranley, where varied medical issues affect both younger and older demographics. Furthermore, private health insurance coverage is limited, held by approximately 49% of residents (~1,293 people), which falls below the 52.5% recorded in Regional Qld and the 55.7% national average. Arthritis and mental health conditions rank as the most prevalent diagnoses locally, affecting 14.0 and 11.3% of the community, respectively, while 50.8% reported having no diagnosed long-term conditions against 67.6% across Regional Qld. Chronic illness rates remain elevated across the working-age cohort.
Furthermore, seniors aged 65 and over constitute 46.9% of the population (1,245 people), substantially exceeding the 20.3% share in Regional Qld, with health outcomes in this age group aligning broadly with wider national patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cranley is largely Australian-born, at 83.7% of residents, with 7.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.7%) and Australian (27.1%). 3.1% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics in Cranley track below broader averages, with Australian citizens making up 88.6% of residents, Australian-born individuals representing 83.7%, and 92.8% of the population speaking English only at home. Christianity stands as the predominant religious affiliation, adhered to by 68.0% of the community compared to 52.2% throughout Regional Qld. Regarding parental ancestry, the primary reported backgrounds in Cranley are English (31.7%), Australian (27.1%), and Irish (8.9%). Specific ancestral backgrounds show higher concentrations relative to regional levels, including German at 7.4% (vs 4.7% regionally), Filipino at 1.9% (vs 0.9%), and Hungarian at 0.3% (vs 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Cranley is 60, older than 98% of areas nationally. 22.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographically, Cranley displays a prominent concentration of older residents. According to August 2026 figures from AreaSearch, 46.9% of the population belongs to retiree and elderly cohorts (65+), compared to 20.4% across Regional Qld, while middle aged and young retiree cohorts (45 - 64) account for 12.8% versus 24.6% regionally. The estimated median age reaches 60 as at August 2026, mirroring the 2021 Census level and sitting 19 years above the Regional Qld median of 41 recorded at that Census, as well as the national median of 38 at the same Census.
Following the Census, middle aged and young retiree cohorts declined from 15.2% to an estimated 12.8%. Projections to 2041 indicate that retiree and elderly cohorts will drive growth by expanding by 242 (19%) to 1,488, while cohorts comprising children and young adults along with middle aged and young retiree cohorts are anticipated to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Cranley
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 4 months ago all 3 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 159 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,281 at the 2021 Census → 2,656 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30744). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.