Cotswold Hills

Cotswold Hills lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Cotswold Hills is around 2,102. This represents an increase of 482 people from the 2021 Census figure of 1,620, marking a growth rate of 29.8%. AreaSearch's resident population estimate for June 2024 was 2,030, based on ABS ERP data and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 374 persons per square kilometer. Cotswold Hills' growth rate exceeded both the non-metro area's 8.8% and national averages, making it a notable growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 78.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as natural growth and overseas migration also positive influences.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area until 2032, after which Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted for years post-2032. For areas not covered by these data or where age category splits are unavailable, proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of regional areas nationwide, with Cotswold Hills expected to grow by 723 persons to reach 2,825 by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 20.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Cotswold Hills among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Cotswold Hills had approximately 71 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 356 homes. By FY26, 16 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.8 people moved to the area per dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of these dwellings was $408,000.

Commercial approvals in FY26 reached $98.0 million, demonstrating high local commercial activity. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Cotswold Hills records 682.0% more building activity per person. Recent construction comprises 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low-density nature. The location has approximately 38 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Cotswold Hills is expected to grow by 432 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Cotswold Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

By 2025, three significant infrastructure projects are expected to influence the area's performance: InterLinkSQ Terminal Precinct, Toowoomba Sports Precinct Masterplan (scheduled for completion in mid-2023), and New Toowoomba Hospital (commencing late 2024). Additionally, plans for a retirement village at Toowoomba Fairways Country Club are underway.

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Employment conditions in Cotswold Hills rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Cotswold Hills has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% as of June 2025.

This is below the Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 14.3%. Workforce participation in Cotswold Hills is high, at 68.5%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Major employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food employs just 5.2% of local workers, below Rest of Qld's 8.3%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 14.3%, while labour force increased by 13.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cotswold Hills' employment mix indicates a potential local employment increase of 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that median income in Cotswold Hills is $54,937, with an average income of $67,495. This is higher than the national averages of $50,780 and $64,844 respectively, for Rest of Qld. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $62,623 (median) and $76,938 (average). Census data indicates that household, family and personal incomes in Cotswold Hills are around the 73rd percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 34.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999 per week, mirroring the surrounding region's 31.7%. Notably, 32.4% of residents earn over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 89.5% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Cotswold Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cotswold Hills' dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings. Non-Metro Qld had 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cotswold Hills was 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.9% and rented ones at 15.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,785, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Cotswold Hills was $390, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $310. Nationally, Cotswold Hills' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Cotswold Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 86.7% of all households, including 34.7% couples with children, 43.5% couples without children, and 5.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.3%, with lone person households at 11.6% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Cotswold Hills shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 19.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (29.0%). Educational participation is high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.1% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education. Educational facilities seem to be located outside the immediate catchment area, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Cotswold Hills are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators show below-average outcomes in Cotswold Hills. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is found to be high at approximately 54% of the total population (around 1,134 people), compared to 51.0% across Rest of Qld. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.4% and 8.4% of residents respectively. 67.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.3% across Rest of Qld. The area has 19.7% of residents aged 65 and over (414 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Cotswold Hills is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Cotswold Hills had a cultural diversity level below average, with 89.8% of its population born in Australia, 93.6% holding citizenship, and 94.7% speaking English exclusively at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Cotswold Hills, comprising 71.9%, compared to 58.8% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.9%), English (29.7%), and German (9.5%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry was relatively higher at 8.5% in Cotswold Hills than the regional average of 7.9%. Filipino ancestry was also higher at 1.5%, compared to the regional figure of 0.8%. Korean ancestry stood at 0.2%, matching the regional percentage.

Cotswold Hills hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Cotswold Hills is 42 years, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 and well above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Rest of Qld's average, the 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.4% locally while the 35-44 age group is under-represented at 10.4%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 12.6% to 14.7%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 11.9% to 10.6% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 13.2% to 11.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Cotswold Hills, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 111 people (36%), from 308 to 420. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort is projected to decline by 0 people.