Harlaxton

Population growth drivers in Harlaxton are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Harlaxton's population is estimated at around 2,980. This reflects an increase of 156 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,824. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,968, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), and an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 602 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of Australia's regional areas is projected for Harlaxton (SA2), expected to expand by 520 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 15.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Harlaxton according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Harlaxton experiencing around 7 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), an estimated 38 homes were approved, with a further 27 approved in FY-26 to date. This results in an average of approximately 3 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over these years, indicating healthy demand which should support property values.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $411,000. In terms of commercial development activity, there have been $9.7 million in approvals this financial year. Comparatively, Harlaxton records markedly lower building activity when measured against the Rest of Qld region (53.0% below regional average per person), suggesting constrained new construction which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This is also lower than national averages, reflecting market maturity and potentially pointing to development constraints. The type of new building activity in Harlaxton shows 78.0% standalone homes and 22.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated population count per dwelling approval is around 725 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections estimate Harlaxton adding approximately 458 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Harlaxton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Habitat Mt Kynoch, The Willows, Harlaxton (formerly Northgate Vista Estate), Northgate Vista Master Planned Residential Community, and Highcrest Estate. The following list highlights those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Harlaxton faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Harlaxton has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent essential services sectors, an unemployment rate of 7.4%, and a 6.3% employment growth over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, there are 1,266 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 3.3% higher than Rest of Qld's 4.1%.

Workforce participation is lower at 53.6%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Notably, education & training has a strong presence with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Mining, however, has limited presence at 0.7% compared to regionally at 3.6%.

The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.8, indicating substantial local job opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 6.3%, while labour force grew by 3.9%, leading to a 2.1 percentage point unemployment decrease (AreaSearch data). In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment growth of 1.7% with a slight unemployment increase of 0.3%. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Harlaxton's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.6% in five years and 13.8% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Harlaxton had a median income among taxpayers of $42,550 and an average level of $52,283. This is lower than the national average of $53,146 and compares to levels of $53,146 in Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since June 30, 2023, current estimates would be approximately $46,767 (median) and $57,464 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes in Harlaxton fall between the 10th and 13th percentiles nationally. Family incomes also fall within this range. Personal incomes in Harlaxton are at the 10th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the $800 - 1,499 bracket dominates with 29.6% of residents (882 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Harlaxton, with only 82.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 10th percentile nationally.

Harlaxton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Harlaxton's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.8% houses and 21.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Harlaxton stood at 25.8%, with the rest being mortgaged (26.1%) or rented (48.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,205, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Harlaxton was $280, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $310. Nationally, Harlaxton's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Harlaxton features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.5% of all households, including 21.3% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 16.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.5%, with lone person households at 33.4% and group households at 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Harlaxton faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (29.2%). Educational participation is high, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 14.5% in secondary education, 10.4% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 20 operational stops in Harlaxton, serving a mix of buses. These stops are covered by three distinct routes, offering a total of 316 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents on average situated 171 meters from the closest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 45 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Harlaxton is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Harlaxton faces significant health challenges, as indicated by recent data. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is low at approximately 48% (around 1,428 people), compared to 51.5% in the rest of Queensland and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 12.2% and 9.1% of residents respectively. However, 63.2% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 65.3% in the rest of Queensland. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.4% (458 people), compared to 18.8% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors show some challenges, generally aligning with the overall population's health profile.

Harlaxton ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Harlaxton's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.9% of its population being citizens and 87.1% born in Australia. A total of 91.5% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, making up 54.0% of Harlaxton's population.

The most notable overrepresentation was in the 'Other' category, comprising 3.8% compared to 2.2% across the rest of Queensland. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian at 29.3%, English at 27.9%, and Irish at 8.9%. There were notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: German was overrepresented at 6.6% (vs regional 8.0%), Australian Aboriginal at 6.2% (vs regional 3.3%), and Korean at 0.2% (vs regional 0.2%).

Harlaxton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Harlaxton's median age of 31 years is significantly younger than Rest of Qld's 41 and considerably younger than Australia's average age of 38. The percentage of residents aged 15-24 is 18.0%, higher than Rest of Qld, while those aged 55-64 make up 9.6%. This compares to a national figure of 12.5% for the 15-24 age group. Between 2021 and now, Harlaxton's 15-24 population has increased from 17.0% to 18.0%, while the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 15.2% to 12.7%. By 2041, projections indicate significant demographic shifts in Harlaxton. The number of residents aged 25-34 is expected to rise by 187 people (a 39% increase) from 476 to 664. Conversely, the 15-24 age group is projected to decrease by 20.