Harlaxton

Population growth drivers in Harlaxton are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Harlaxton's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 2,932. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 2,824 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,917 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, with an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 592 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort are applied where utilised. Looking ahead, demographic trends project an above median population growth for Australia's regional areas. The suburb of Harlaxton is expected to expand by 523 persons to reach a total population of around 3,455 by the year 2041, reflecting a gain of approximately 17.4% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Harlaxton according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Harlaxton has experienced around 6 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY21 and FY25, approximately 33 homes were approved, with a further 11 approved in FY26 to date. On average, about 3.5 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years, indicating that demand significantly outpaces supply.

This typically exerts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $411,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $44,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus in Harlaxton. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Harlaxton records markedly lower building activity, at 59.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes.

Nationally, Harlaxton's building activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity in Harlaxton shows 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options that create a mix of opportunities across price brackets. The estimated count of 414 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections show Harlaxton adding 509 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the area.

Harlaxton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Habitat Mt Kynoch, The Willows, Harlaxton (formerly Northgate Vista Estate), Northgate Vista Master Planned Residential Community, and Highcrest Estate. Below is a list of projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Harlaxton shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Harlaxton has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 6.7% as of the latest data.

In the past year, estimated employment growth was 17.4%. As of June 2025, 1,325 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.5%, which is 2.8% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Harlaxton is lower at 53.6% compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Major industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

Notably, education & training has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, mining shows lower representation at 0.7% versus the regional average of 3.6%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.8, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Over the past year, employment increased by 17.4%, while labour force grew by 13.1%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 3.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment grew by 1.8% and unemployment rose slightly. For future insights, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-2022 suggest that national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Harlaxton's current employment mix indicates potential local employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 30, 2022 shows Harlaxton had a median taxpayer income of $42,550 and an average income of $52,283. These figures are below the national averages of $50,780 and $64,844 for Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% from July 1, 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $48,503 and average income is $59,597 as of that date. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, Harlaxton incomes fall between the 10th and 13th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution data indicates 29.6% of Harlaxton's population (867 individuals) earn within the $800 - $1,499 range, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Harlaxton, with only 82.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 10th percentile nationally.

Harlaxton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Harlaxton's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.8% houses and 21.2% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Non-Metro Qld had 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Harlaxton was at 25.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.1% and rented ones at 48.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,205, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Harlaxton was $280, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $310. Nationally, Harlaxton's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,205 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Harlaxton features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.5% of all households, including 21.3% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 16.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 37.5%, with lone person households at 33.4% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Harlaxton faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (29.2%). Educational participation is high at 34.3%, with 14.5% in secondary education, 10.4% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Harlaxton's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,406 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 952) with balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 48.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 17.2, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Harlaxton has 21 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by three routes that together facilitate 316 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 174 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency is 45 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Harlaxton is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Harlaxton faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Both younger and older age groups are affected by various health conditions. The rate of private health cover is low at approximately 48% (around 1,405 people), compared to 51.0% in the rest of Queensland and a national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 12.2% and 9.1% of residents respectively. However, 63.2% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.3% in the rest of Queensland. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.4% (around 451 people), compared to 18.8% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors are generally aligned with those of the overall population.

Harlaxton ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Harlaxton's cultural diversity was found to be below average. As of the census, 86.9% of its population were citizens, with 87.1% born in Australia and 91.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 54.0% of Harlaxton's population.

The most notable overrepresentation was seen in the 'Other' category, which made up 3.8% of Harlaxton's population compared to 2.2% across the rest of Queensland. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (29.3%), English (27.9%), and Irish (8.9%). There were notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: German was overrepresented at 6.6%, compared to 8.0% regionally; Australian Aboriginal was also overrepresented at 6.2%, compared to 3.3%; Korean remained relatively consistent, with 0.2% in Harlaxton and regionally.

Harlaxton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Harlaxton's median age is 31 years, which is younger than Rest of Qld's 41 and considerably younger than the national average of 38 years. The percentage of Harlaxton's population in the 15-24 age group is 18.0%, higher than Rest of Qld's but lower than the national average of 12.5%. The 55-64 age cohort makes up 9.6% of Harlaxton's population, which is less prevalent compared to Rest of Qld. Between 2021 and the present day, the percentage of the population in the 35-44 age group has increased from 10.8% to 11.9%, while the 5-14 age cohort has declined from 15.2% to 12.7%. By 2041, demographic forecasts suggest that Harlaxton's 25-34 age cohort will increase significantly, adding 195 people (a 42% rise) to reach a total of 665 individuals. Conversely, the number of individuals in the 15-24 age range is expected to decrease by 10.