Gowrie Junction

Population growth drivers in Gowrie Junction are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Gowrie Junction statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,383. This figure represents an increase of 141 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,242. The latest estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the ABS' ERP data release from June 2024, along with additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 92 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, ending in 2021, Gowrie Junction (SA2) has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.4%, outpacing its SA3 area. The primary driver for this growth was interstate migration, contributing approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

However, all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. Age category splits are applied proportionally in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023. Population projections indicate an above median growth for regional areas nationally. By 2041, the Gowrie Junction (SA2) is expected to expand by 530 persons, reflecting a total increase of 26.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Gowrie Junction among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Gowrie Junction had around 16 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 82 homes. As of FY-26, three approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.5 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. This has led to demand significantly exceeding new supply, typically resulting in price growth and increased buyer competition.

New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $469,000, which is moderately above regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction. In the current financial year, there have been $18,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Gowrie Junction shows moderately higher development activity, with 27.0% more per person over the five-year period.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. New development consists of 94.0% standalone homes and 6.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 106 people per dwelling approval, Gowrie Junction exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 640 residents through to 2041. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Gowrie Junction has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 12 projects potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Habitat - Mt Kynoch Masterplan, Queens Park Estates, Toowoomba Sports Precinct Masterplan, and InterLinkSQ Terminal Precinct. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Gowrie Junction rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Gowrie Junction has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented.

The unemployment rate is 0.3% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year is estimated at 4.9%. This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. There are 1,466 residents in work currently, with an unemployment rate of 3.8%, which is below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation is high at 72.8% compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Manufacturing shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, accommodation & food services have lower representation at 4.8% versus the regional average of 8.3%. Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.9% and labour force increased by 4.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7%, labour force growth of 2.1%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.1% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gowrie Junction's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that income in Gowrie Junction is below the national average. The median income is $53,349 and the average income stands at $63,520. This contrasts with Rest of Qld's figures where the median income is $53,146 and the average income is $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $58,636 for median income and $69,815 for average income as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Gowrie Junction cluster around the 68th percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 40.0% of residents (953 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 31.7% in the same category. After housing costs, residents retain 87.5% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Gowrie Junction is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Gowrie Junction, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted entirely of houses (100.0%) with no other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This is in contrast to Non-Metro Qld's mix of 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gowrie Junction stood at 32.5%, mirroring the rate in Non-Metro Qld, with mortgaged properties making up 60.1% and rented dwellings accounting for 7.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, notably higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure in Gowrie Junction was recorded at $400, surpassing Non-Metro Qld's $310. Nationally, Gowrie Junction's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Gowrie Junction features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.0% of all households, including 45.6% couples with children, 34.5% couples without children, and 6.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.5% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Gowrie Junction aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (34.4%). Educational participation is high, with 32.8% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.7% in primary, 10.7% in secondary, and 2.9% in tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

The level of general health in Gowrie Junction is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Gowrie Junction shows superior health outcomes with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence rates for common health conditions.

The area has a private health cover rate of approximately 52%, which is higher than the average SA2 area (~1,247 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 8.7% and 7.7% of residents respectively. A total of 71.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 65.3% in the rest of Queensland. As of 2016 data, 12.9% of residents are aged 65 years or older (307 people), which is lower than the 18.8% figure for the rest of Queensland. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Gowrie Junction are notably strong and outperform those of the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Gowrie Junction placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gowrie Junction had a low level of cultural diversity, with 93.6% of its residents born in Australia, 94.2% being citizens, and 97.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 67.8% of the population, compared to 58.8% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (32.7%), English (29.3%), and German (9.8%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry was slightly higher than the regional average at 8.3%, while Irish ancestry was 8.8%. Australian Aboriginal ancestry was present at 2.7%.

Gowrie Junction's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Gowrie Junction, with a median age of 37, is notably younger than the Rest of Qld average of 41 and closely aligns with Australia's median age of 38. The 5-14 age cohort stands out at 16.2%, significantly higher than the Rest of Qld average, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 3.4%. Post the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 11.7% to 13.0%, and the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 10.5% to 11.7%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 18.4% to 16.2%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 13.7% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Gowrie Junction's age profile, with the strongest growth expected in the 35 to 44 cohort, projected to grow by 39%, adding 132 residents to reach a total of 476.