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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Gowrie Junction has an estimated 2,442 residents, up from 2,242 at the 2021 Census — a change of 200 people, or 8.9%. Growth has averaged 1.6% a year over five years. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 61.0% of that increase. Density is about 95 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to assessments of ABS data updates covering the surrounding region, alongside new address records verified by AreaSearch subsequent to the Census, the resident count for the suburb of Gowrie Junction is approximately 2,442 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 200 people (8.9%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 2,242 people. The figure is derived from a resident base of 2,426 calculated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with an extra 46 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This population size equates to 95 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and capacity for further expansion. Throughout the last ten years, the suburb of Gowrie Junction has shown consistent development with a 1.5% compound annual growth rate, exceeding the Rest of Qld average. Growth was largely propelled by interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 61.0% of the overall population rise in recent times, though natural increase and overseas migration also made positive contributions. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are utilized for each SA2 region. For locations lacking this data or for projections beyond 2032, the Queensland State Government's SA2 projections from 2023 (using 2021 data) are substituted. Because these state-level figures do not specify age brackets, cohort growth weightings are aligned with the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (using 2022 data). Looking forward, the suburb of Gowrie Junction is projected to experience population growth exceeding the national regional median, with a forecast increase of 486 residents by 2041, representing a total expansion of 19.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
85 new dwellings have been approved in Gowrie Junction over the past five years, an average of 17 a year. That is 7.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 5, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to building approval figures compiled by AreaSearch from local statistical reports, the suburb of Gowrie Junction averages approximately 17 residential approvals per year, resulting in an estimated 85 home approvals over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 5 during the current FY-26 period. Reflecting strong demand that supports local property values, the average expected construction cost for these new homes is $469,000, which is higher than typical regional averages and suggests a focus on quality. Commercial development remains low, with only $18,000 in commercial approvals recorded this financial year.
In comparison to the Rest of Qld, the suburb of Gowrie Junction has experienced slightly elevated development rates, tracking 34.0% above the regional per capita average over the 5 year period. This has maintained options for buyers while bolstering local property values, although construction momentum has slowed recently. The recent additions to supply have consisted entirely of detached houses, maintaining the low-density character of the neighborhood. The ratio of residents to each home approval stands at approximately 267 people, suggesting capacity for expansion. Projections indicate that the suburb of Gowrie Junction is set to add 470 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations. Current construction rates indicate that future housing supply will easily accommodate this demand, which should support favorable buying conditions and potentially drive gains beyond current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Gowrie Junction
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Gowrie Junction, worth an estimated $4.01 billion. A further 50 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $8.61 billion. 27 are already under construction and 16 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, health & medical and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major works have a significant influence on property market conditions. AreaSearch has identified 12 active projects likely to affect the local area. Key developments include the Habitat - Mt Kynoch Masterplan, Queens Park Estates, the Toowoomba Sports Precinct Masterplan, and the InterLinkSQ Terminal Precinct, with details on the most relevant projects listed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Habitat - Mt Kynoch Masterplan
A $200 million masterplanned residential estate north of Toowoomba comprising approximately 1,000 lots across 145.97 hectares. Developed by Habitat Mt Kynoch Pty Ltd, the community is situated atop the Great Dividing Range offering elevated lifestyle living with sweeping views. Stage 1 (81 lots) was completed in April 2025, Stage 2 is currently under construction, and Stage 3 is now selling. A future medical and retail precinct is planned within the estate.
Toowoomba Region Sports Precinct
A $197 million multi-stage regional sports and recreation precinct being developed by Toowoomba Regional Council on Council-owned land at Charlton, adjacent to the Toowoomba Bypass and Toowoomba Connection Road. The precinct features high-quality rectangular fields, a tartan athletics track, a premier hub clubhouse, parking, and a District Recreation Park incorporating cultural and indigenous landmarks. Planned for delivery across seven stages over approximately 20 years, the facility is designed to meet growing regional demand and attract state and national sporting events to the Darling Downs.An updated Master Plan was endorsed by Council in June 2025, enabling pursuit of Local Government Infrastructure Designation to streamline approvals. Detailed design of Precinct A is on track for completion by late 2025, with $2.1 million allocated in the 2025-26 budget for Precincts A and B design.
Queens Park Estates
Queens Park Estates is a 204 lot residential subdivision on the northside of Toowoomba at Meringandan West, close to the new $1.3Bn Toowoomba hospital under construction. Stage 1 and 2 are sold out and Stage 3 is now selling, with construction underway across all three stages. The estate sits next to Meringandan State School and future approved supermarket, dining, medical, childcare and private school amenity, with elevated H Class soil blocks and eligibility for the $30,000 first home owners grant.
The Views Sanctuary Rise Estate
A residential estate with 97 homes across 9.54 hectares, featuring elevated land with views towards Toowoomba Ranges and Gowrie Mountain, integrated with Cranley Park. Located 6km from Toowoomba's CBD.
Toowoomba Fairways Country Club Retirement Village
A $100 million retirement village development featuring 183 units by Country Club Living. This major aged care and lifestyle project provides modern retirement living options in the Cotswold Hills area with resort-style amenities, including a private 9-hole golf course, swimming pool, and clubhouse.
InterLinkSQ Terminal Precinct
InterLinkSQ is a proposed 200 hectare intermodal freight terminal and logistics precinct at Charlton, west of Toowoomba. The masterplanned development includes a 24 hectare intermodal terminal, warehousing and industrial land with road and rail connections intended to integrate with Inland Rail. While planning approvals remain in place and the project website is still active, the project has suffered a major setback following the 2026 cancellation of the Queensland section of Inland Rail funding. InterLink Pty Ltd has entered liquidation and the future delivery of the terminal in its originally proposed form is uncertain.
Walermare
Premium acreage residential estate in Highfields, Toowoomba, offering 93 large lots ranging from 0.5 to 2.5 acres with panoramic mountain views, spacious layouts, and proximity to amenities including schools, shopping, and recreational parks.
Country Club Living Retirement Village (Cotswold Hills)
A proposed 183-unit retirement village with a residents' private nine-hole golf course, planned for a 14.551-hectare site.
1,356 residents of Gowrie Junction are employed, from a labour force of 1,362. Unemployment sits at 0.4%, with participation at 71.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,025, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce displays a balanced mix of professional and manual occupations, with a solid representation in essential services. The unemployment rate stands at just 0.4%, based on aggregated statistical area statistics. As of March 2026, there are 1,356 employed residents. The local unemployment rate is 3.5% below the Regional Qld rate of 3.9%, and the participation rate of 71.8% is significantly higher than the regional average of 64.3%. Only a low 8.8% of the workforce reported working from home during the Census, though this was likely affected by pandemic restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Manufacturing jobs are notably prominent, appearing at 1.4 times the regional rate. In contrast, accommodation & food services accounts for only 4.8% of local employment compared to 8.3% regionally. The comparison between the locally employed population and the total resident workforce indicates that local job opportunities within the area are limited. Analysis of SALM and ABS data for the 12 months leading to March 2026 shows that the local labor force contracted by 7.7% and total employment fell by 7.8%, leading to a 0.1 percentage point increase in unemployment. In comparison, Regional Qld experienced a 0.1% increase in employment, a 0.3% increase in the labor force, and a 0.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context for future trends. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce structure. Although overall national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary by industry. Projecting these trends onto the local industry mix suggests employment among residents could rise by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Gowrie Junction is $2,164 a week (about $113,000 a year), with median personal income at $861 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,349 a year against an average of $63,520. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated postcode-level ATO data from the financial year 2023 shows that the suburb of Gowrie Junction had a median taxpayer income of $53,349, with an average income of $63,520. These figures are below the national averages and compare to Regional Qld levels of $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average). Factoring in a Wage Price Index rise of 11.36% since financial year 2023, the estimated figures for March 2026 are approximately $59,409 for the median and $70,736 for the average. Census data from 2021 places local incomes around the 68th percentile nationally.
The data shows that 40.0% of the population (976 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, compared to 31.7% in this bracket across the wider region. Residents retain 87.5% of their income after meeting housing costs, indicating favorable disposable income levels, and the area is positioned in the 6th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Gowrie Junction had 709 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 60% are owned with a mortgage, 8% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 18.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential dwellings in the suburb of Gowrie Junction at the time of the latest Census were composed of 100.0% standalone houses and no other housing types, compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% alternative dwellings in Regional Qld. Home ownership rates matched the regional average at 32.5%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (60.1%) or rented (7.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,733 was higher than the Regional Qld average of $1,655, while the median weekly rent of $400 also exceeded the regional benchmark of $345. Locally, mortgage repayments are lower than the national average of $1,863, while rental costs are higher than the Australian median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Gowrie Junction counted 709 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 772 today, averaging 3.0 people each. 46% are couples with children, more than in 90% of areas nationally, against 35% couples without children. 12% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 87.0% of households, consisting of couples with children at 45.6%, couples without children at 34.5%, and single parent households at 6.2%. The remaining 13.0% consists of non-family households, with single person households representing 11.5% and group households at 1.7%. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
16.6% of adults in Gowrie Junction hold a university qualification, including 12.2% with a bachelor degree and 2.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.4% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 203 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,008 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education rates are low, with 16.6% of residents holding a university qualification compared to the national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational skills are highly represented, with 44.9% of residents aged 15+ holding trade qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificate-level qualifications (34.4%). Enrolment in education is high, with 32.8% of the population participating in study. This group is composed of 13.7% in primary school, 10.7% in high school, and 2.9% in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Gowrie Junction means driving: households keep an average of 2.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.1% of residents in Gowrie Junction report no long-term health condition. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators for the suburb of Gowrie Junction are positive, with mortality rates and medical conditions closely matching national standards. Common health conditions are typical across all age groups, and private health insurance rates are slightly above the average SA2 region, covering approximately 52% of the population (~1,278 people). Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent health conditions, affecting 8.7% and 7.7% of residents respectively. However, 71.1% of the population reported no chronic health issues, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Working-age residents experience chronic health conditions at a rate above the average.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 13.9% of the population (339 people), which is lower than the Regional Qld level of 20.4%. Senior citizens in the area register particularly strong health outcomes, ranking higher than the general population database.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Gowrie Junction is largely Australian-born, at 93.6% of residents, with 2.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (32.7%) and English (29.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Gowrie Junction shows lower levels of cultural diversity than average. The data indicates that 93.6% of residents were born in Australia, 94.2% hold citizenship, and 97.3% speak only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 67.8% of the population, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. Regarding family heritage, the primary ancestries are Australian at 32.7% (above the regional average of 26.5%), English at 29.3%, and German at 9.8% (well above the regional average of 4.7%). Other ancestries show distinct patterns, with Scottish backgrounds accounting for 8.3% (against 7.8% regionally), Irish at 8.8% (against 8.2%), and Australian Aboriginal ancestry at 2.7% (against 3.9%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Gowrie Junction is 37. 24.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in the suburb of Gowrie Junction is 37 years, which sits below the Regional Qld average of 41 and aligns closely with the national median of 38. The 5 - 14 age bracket is highly represented at 15.8%, while the 75 - 84 cohort is low at 3.4% compared to Regional Qld. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket rose from 11.7% to 13.3%, and the 65 to 74 cohort grew from 7.8% to 9.3%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 13.7% to 10.7%, and the 5 to 14 group decreased from 18.4% to 15.8%.
Projections for 2041 indicate demographic shifts, with the 35 to 44 age group expected to grow by 27% (adding 98 residents to reach 457), while the 15 to 24 group is projected to decrease by 3 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Gowrie Junction
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 46 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,242 at the 2021 Census → 2,442 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL31215). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.