Kingsthorpe

Kingsthorpe lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Kingsthorpe is around 2,318. This reflects an increase of 159 people since the Census in 2021, which reported a population of 2,159. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,311 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional seven validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 50 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Kingsthorpe has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.2%, outpacing the Rest of Queensland. Interstate migration contributed approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings are applied in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with Kingsthorpe expected to increase by 525 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 27.1% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kingsthorpe when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Kingsthorpe had approximately 8 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 41 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved in FY-26. On average, about 6.5 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This high demand relative to supply typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost of new homes was approximately $469,000, slightly above the regional average.

Commercial approvals totaled $5.0 million in FY-26, indicating limited commercial development focus. All new constructions were standalone homes, maintaining Kingsthorpe's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of 176 people per approval. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Kingsthorpe to grow by 629 residents by 2041. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsthorpe has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that could impact the area's performance significantly due to changes in local infrastructure. These key projects are Country Club Living Retirement Village (Cotswold Hills), Toowoomba Second Range Crossing (TSRC), Habitat - Mt Kynoch Masterplan, and Wellcamp Entertainment Precinct. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Kingsthorpe shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Kingsthorpe has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors, and an unemployment rate of 2.9%. In the year ending September 2025, employment grew by 4.3%. As of this date, 1,257 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% lower than Rest of Qld's 4.1%.

Workforce participation is high at 73.0%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. Home-based work accounts for a low 6.3% of jobs, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing employment is particularly high at 2.3 times the regional level, while accommodation & food services employ just 4.0%, below Rest of Qld's 8.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.3% while labour force grew by the same rate, keeping unemployment stable. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment rose by 1.7%, labour force grew by 2.1%, and unemployment rose slightly. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsthorpe's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.7% in five years and 12.6% in ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Kingsthorpe's median income in financial year 2023 was $49,047, with an average income of $58,078. This is below the Rest of Qld figures of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $53,908 and average income $63,834, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 9.91%. According to the 2021 Census, Kingsthorpe's household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly, between the 44th and 46th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 40.2% of residents (931 people), similar to the regional figure of 31.7%. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Kingsthorpe is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kingsthorpe's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses (100.0%), with no other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings recorded. This is in contrast to Non-Metro Qld's composition of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsthorpe stood at 29.6%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 54.8% and rented dwellings making up 15.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. Weekly rent figures showed a median of $310 in Kingsthorpe, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Kingsthorpe's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kingsthorpe features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 81.2% of all households, including 37.4% couples with children, 32.6% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Kingsthorpe fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 10.0%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 49.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (38.4%). Educational participation is high at 31.5%, comprising 13.1% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingsthorpe is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Kingsthorpe faces substantial health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~1,164 people), compared to 52.5% in Rest of Qld and 55.7% nationally. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 10.9% and 9.9% of residents respectively, while 65.0% report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% in Rest of Qld.

Working-age population health is notably challenged with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 14.4% of residents aged 65 and over (333 people), lower than the 20.4% in Rest of Qld. Senior health outcomes present challenges, generally aligning with national rankings.

The latest Census data sees Kingsthorpe placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsthorpe's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 92.1% of its population being citizens, 92.9% born in Australia, and 97.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Kingsthorpe, comprising 55.3% of people, compared to 52.2% across Rest of Qld. The top three represented ancestry groups are Australian (32.6%), English (29.4%), and Irish (8.5%).

Notably, German is overrepresented at 8.2%, Australian Aboriginal at 5.0%, and Scottish at 8.4%.

Kingsthorpe's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kingsthorpe is 35 years, which is lower than the Rest of Queensland's average of 41 and also under the national average of 38. The 0-4 age cohort is notably over-represented in Kingsthorpe at 8.4%, compared to the Rest of Queensland average, while the 75-84 year-old group is under-represented at 3.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15-24 age group has grown from 10.9% to 12.6%, and the 65-74 cohort has increased from 7.9% to 9.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 16.8% to 13.3%, and the 45-54 age group has dropped from 14.1% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Kingsthorpe, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 43% (adding 141 people), reaching 471 from 329. The 15-24 age group is projected to grow more modestly at 4%, adding only 11 residents.