Kingsthorpe

Kingsthorpe lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kingsthorpe's population, as of Nov 2025, is estimated at around 2,192 people. This reflects an increase of 33 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,159 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,176 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 6 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 48 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Kingsthorpe has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.2%, outpacing non-metro areas. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth is projected for Australia's non-metropolitan areas. The suburb of Kingsthorpe is expected to increase by 520 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 34.2% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsthorpe according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kingsthorpe has seen approximately 6 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 33 homes were approved, with none yet in FY-26.

On average, 8.1 people have moved to Kingsthorpe for each dwelling built over these years. New supply has not kept pace with demand, potentially driving price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average construction cost of new homes is $469,000, aligning with regional trends. Recent building activity consists solely of detached houses, maintaining the area's low-density character and appealing to space-seeking buyers. As of now, there are an estimated 951 people in Kingsthorpe per dwelling approval. By 2041, AreaSearch projects a population growth of 749 residents. If current construction levels continue, housing supply may lag behind population growth, further intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Kingsthorpe has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified three projects likely affecting this region: Country Club Living Retirement Village in Cotswold Hills, Toowoomba Second Range Crossing (TSRC), Habitat - Mt Kynoch Masterplan, and Wellcamp Entertainment Precinct. The following details those most relevant.

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Employment performance in Kingsthorpe ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Kingsthorpe has a diverse workforce with balanced white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 12.3%. The area's employment rate is below Rest of Qld's, at 1.4%, with workforce participation at 64.5%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong, with an employment share 2.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services are under-represented, at 4.0% compared to Rest of Qld's 8.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as suggested by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 12.3%, labour force by 11.7%, leading to a 0.6 percentage point unemployment decrease. Rest of Qld, however, saw employment grow by 1.8% and labour force by 2.0%, with a 0.2 percentage point unemployment rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsthorpe's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Kingsthorpe has lower incomes than the national average. The median income is $49,060 and the average is $58,080. In contrast, Rest of Qld has a median income of $50,780 and an average of $64,844. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $55,923 (median) and $66,205 (average). The 2021 Census ranks Kingsthorpe's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 44th and 46th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 40.2% of individuals in Kingsthorpe earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the surrounding region at 31.7%. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Kingsthorpe is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kingsthorpe's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses with no other dwellings. This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld which had 0% houses and other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsthorpe stood at 29.6%, higher than Non-Metro Qld, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.8% and rented ones at 15.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, matching Non-Metro Qld's average, while the median weekly rent was $310 compared to Non-Metro Qld's $0 and $0. Nationally, Kingsthorpe's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $310 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kingsthorpe features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.8 people

Family households constitute 81.2% of all households, including 37.4% couples with children, 32.6% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people.

Educational outcomes in Kingsthorpe fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is significantly lower than the Australian average, at 10.0% compared to 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common among residents with higher education qualifications, at 7.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 49.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (38.4%). Educational participation is high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (13.1%), secondary (8.9%), and tertiary (2.8%) levels.

Kingsthorpe State School serves the local community within Kingsthorpe, enrolling 210 students. The school caters to primary education exclusively, with secondary options available nearby. It operates under typical Australian school conditions, as indicated by its ICSEA score of 959, suggesting balanced educational opportunities.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingsthorpe is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Kingsthorpe faces significant health challenges, with a substantially higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to average, particularly amongst older age groups. Approximately half of Kingsthorpe's total population (~1,100 people) has private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions in the area, affecting 10.9% and 9.9% of residents respectively. Conversely, 65.0% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 0% across Rest of Qld. Kingsthorpe's population comprises 14.1% of residents aged 65 and over (309 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Kingsthorpe placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsthorpe, surveyed between 2016-2021, had a low cultural diversity with 92.1% citizens, 92.9% born in Australia, and 97.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (55.3%). Compared to Rest of Qld, this figure is notably higher as None% were reported there.

For ancestry, Australian (32.6%), English (29.4%), and Irish (8.5%) were the top groups. Notably, German (8.2%), Australian Aboriginal (5.0%), and Scottish (8.4%) groups had higher representation in Kingsthorpe compared to regional averages of None%.

Kingsthorpe's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kingsthorpe is 35 years, which is lower than Queensland's average of 41 and under the national average of 38. The 0-4 age cohort is over-represented at 8.4% compared to the rest of Queensland's average. Conversely, the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 3.8%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 10.9% to 12.2%, while the 5-14 cohort has declined from 16.8% to 14.0%. The 45-54 age group has also decreased from 14.1% to 12.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 50%, reaching 466 people from 311.