Kingsthorpe

Kingsthorpe lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kingsthorpe's population, as of Nov 2025, is estimated at around 2,317 people. This reflects an increase of 158 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,159 people. The current resident population estimate of 2,311 comes from AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional six validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 50 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Kingsthorpe has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.2%, outpacing non-metro areas. Interstate migration contributed about 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. However, these state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for Australia's non-metropolitan areas. Kingsthorpe is expected to increase by 519 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 26.9% over the 17 years based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kingsthorpe when compared nationally

Kingsthorpe has seen approximately 8 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 41 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. Each year, an average of 6.5 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built during this period.

This significant demand exceeds new supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost value of new homes is $469,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $5.0 million, suggesting limited commercial development focus. All new constructions have been standalone homes, maintaining Kingsthorpe's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of 176 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingsthorpe is projected to grow by 623 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsthorpe has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Three projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Country Club Living Retirement Village in Cotswold Hills, Toowoomba Second Range Crossing (TSRC), Habitat - Mt Kynoch Masterplan, and Wellcamp Entertainment Precinct. These are the key initiatives likely to have significant influence on the area's performance.

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The labour market in Kingsthorpe shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Kingsthorpe has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominently featuring manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.2%.

As of September 2025, 1,252 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Rest of Qld's 4.1%, and a workforce participation rate of 64.5%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized, employing 2.3 times the regional level. Conversely, accommodation & food services employ only 4.0% of local workers, lower than Rest of Qld's 8.3%.

Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 4.0%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. This contrasts with Rest of Qld, where employment rose by 1.7% and unemployment increased slightly. State-wide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsthorpe's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Kingsthorpe's income level is below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Kingsthorpe is $49,047, with an average income of $58,078. These figures compare to Rest of Qld's median and average incomes of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kingsthorpe would be approximately $53,908 (median) and $63,834 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Kingsthorpe rank modestly, between the 44th and 46th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 40.2% of residents (931 people), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 31.7%. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Kingsthorpe is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile

Kingsthorpe's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses with no other types recorded. Home ownership stood at 29.6%, with mortgage rates at 54.8% and rentals at 15.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, significantly lower than Australia's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Kingsthorpe was $310, substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kingsthorpe features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.8 people

Family households account for 81.2% of all households, including 37.4% couples with children, 32.6% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people.

Educational outcomes in Kingsthorpe fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 10.0%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 49.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (38.4%). Educational participation is high at 31.5%, comprising 13.1% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Kingsthorpe is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Kingsthorpe faces significant health challenges, with a higher prevalence of common conditions compared to the average. This is particularly true for older age groups.

Approximately half of Kingsthorpe's population has private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 10.9% and 9.9% of residents respectively. Only 65.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 0% in the rest of Queensland. Kingsthorpe has a higher proportion of seniors, with 14.0% of its population aged 65 and over (324 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Kingsthorpe placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsthorpe's cultural diversity was below average, with 92.1% being citizens, 92.9% born in Australia, and 97.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 55.3%. This compares to None% across Rest of Qld.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (32.6%), English (29.4%), and Irish (8.5%). Notably, German (8.2%) and Australian Aboriginal (5.0%) were overrepresented in Kingsthorpe compared to regional averages. Scottish representation was also notable at 8.4%.

Kingsthorpe's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kingsthorpe is 35, which is lower than the Rest of Queensland's average of 41 and also under the national average of 38. In comparison to the Rest of Queensland average, the 0-4 cohort is notably higher at 8.4% locally, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 3.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 10.9% to 12.2% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 16.8% to 14.0%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 14.1% to 12.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Kingsthorpe, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 42%, adding 137 people and reaching a total of 467. The 15 to 24 group is expected to grow more modestly at 6%, adding only 18 residents.