Centenary Heights

Centenary Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, the Centenary Heights statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 6,270. This reflects an increase of 118 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,152. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 6,262 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,022 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 and based on 2022 data. Looking at population projections moving forward, lower quartile growth of regional areas across the nation is anticipated. The Centenary Heights (SA2) is expected to increase by 228 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 4.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Centenary Heights, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Between FY21 and FY25, Centenary Heights averaged approximately 5 new dwelling approvals per year, totalling an estimated 29 homes. In FY26 alone, 16 dwellings have been approved so far. Each new home constructed over these years has attracted an average of 2 people to the area, reflecting robust demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value of these new homes is $380,000. This financial year has seen $26.8 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Rest of Qld, Centenary Heights has significantly less development activity, at 83.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, Centenary Heights also reflects below-average development activity, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints. New developments consist of 43.0% detached dwellings and 57.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 77.0% houses. This skew towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

With around 969 people per dwelling approval, Centenary Heights indicates a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 258 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Centenary Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nine projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Key projects include Retirement Village (86 Units) - Single Storey, Ruthven Street Social and Affordable Housing Development, Mater Dei Primary School Early Years Precinct, and Parque Toowoomba. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Centenary Heights shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Centenary Heights has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 3.9% as of an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over the previous year was estimated at 5.4%. As of September 2025, 3,266 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.2% below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation was 62.1%, slightly higher than Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Employment was concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade, with healthcare employment being particularly notable at 1.5 times the regional average.

Mining had limited presence with only 1.1% employment compared to the regional average of 3.6%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 5.4%, labour force grew by 4.1%, and unemployment fell by 1.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment rose by 1.7%, labour force grew by 2.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Centenary Heights' employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.6% over ten years based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb Centenary Heights has an income level below the national average, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Centenary Heights is $52,300, with an average income of $64,262. These figures compare to Rest of Qld's median and average incomes of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on a 9.91% growth in wages since financial year 2023, current estimates for Centenary Heights' median income are approximately $57,483 by September 2025, with an average of around $70,630. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Centenary Heights rank modestly, between the 31st and 38th percentiles. The largest income bracket comprises 36.4% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a total of 2,282 residents falling into this category. This aligns with broader trends across the area, where 31.7% fall within the same income range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Centenary Heights, with only 84.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 31st percentile.

Centenary Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Centenary Heights, as evaluated at the Census conducted on 9 August 2016, comprised 77.2% houses and 22.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Centenary Heights was 30.8%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (31.1%) or rented (38.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,408, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $320. Nationally, Centenary Heights's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, as reported on 27 June 2021, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375 for the same period.

Centenary Heights features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 64.7% of all households, including 23.5% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 35.3%, with lone person households at 32.3% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Centenary Heights aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 26.1%, exceeding the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 35.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 25.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Centenary Heights has 33 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two routes that together provide 132 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in the area is rated as good, with residents typically located 210 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 18 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately four weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Centenary Heights is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Centenary Heights faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~3,302 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues impact 9.3% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.8%. A total of 65.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.3% across Rest of Qld. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,166 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally in line with the overall population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Centenary Heights records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Centenary Heights' population, born in Australia, was approximately 82.6%. Citizenship stood at 88.8%, with English as the sole language spoken at home by 88.4%. Christianity dominated religious affiliation, accounting for 56.8% of residents.

The 'Other' religion category comprised 1.7%, slightly higher than the regional average of 2.2%. Top ancestral groups were English (27.8%), Australian (26.1%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 7.4% compared to 8.0% regionally, Scottish at 9.3% versus 7.9%, and Australian Aboriginal at 2.6% against the regional average of 3.3%.

Centenary Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Centenary Heights has a median age of 36, which is lower than the Rest of Qld figure of 41 and Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Centenary Heights at 17.6%, compared to the Rest of Qld average. Meanwhile, the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 9.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has grown from 14.2% to 17.6% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 12.1% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Centenary Heights' age profile will evolve significantly. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to expand by 261 people (24%) from 1,103 to 1,365. Conversely, both the 5-14 and 65-74 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.