Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
Find a Recent Sale
Sales Detail
Centenary Heights has an estimated 6,293 residents, up from 6,152 at the 2021 Census — a change of 141 people, or 2.3%. That puts 2,030 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Drawing on ABS population revisions for the broader region alongside post-Census address verification by AreaSearch, the suburb of Centenary Heights is assessed to have a resident count of approximately 6,293 as of Aug 2026. This indicates an expansion of 141 residents (2.3%) relative to the 2021 Census, when 6,152 residents were recorded. This updated estimate incorporates an Estimated Resident Population figure of 6,292 determined by AreaSearch via ABS data from June 2025, combined with 14 validated new addresses recorded since the Census date. Consequently, population density stands at 2,030 persons per square kilometer, placing the suburb of Centenary Heights above typical levels observed across AreaSearch benchmark areas.
Inward overseas migration served as the primary growth driver, accounting for roughly 81.0% of total population additions over recent assessment periods. Projections for each SA2 region rely on modeling published by the ABS and Geoscience Australia in 2024 (using 2022 as a base year). For timeframes beyond 2032 or locations absent from this series, AreaSearch incorporates Queensland State Government SA2 forecasts published in 2023 (utilising 2021 baseline figures). Because these state forecasts lack age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch applies age-cohort growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 from 2022 benchmark data. Under these projected demographic trajectories, growth is expected to track in the lower quartile of non-metropolitan Australian localities, with aggregated SA2 modeling indicating the suburb of Centenary Heights will expand by 92 persons to 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 1.4% across the 16-year horizon.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential building approvals in Centenary Heights remain minimal, tracking at an annual average of 2 permits (yielding 11 over the preceding five-year span). Such modest construction figures are consistent with the district's rural setting, in which development occurs primarily in response to discrete local housing requirements instead of wider market appetite. Due to these low volumes, annual growth metrics and comparative indicators can fluctuate substantially based on single developments. Residential building output in Centenary Heights tracks well below the Rest of Qld, whilst also lagging behind broader Australian benchmarks. Recent residential building activity comprises 20.0% detached houses and 80.0% medium-to-high-density formats including townhouses and apartments.
This orientation toward higher-density stock creates accessible price points for first-home buyers, downsizers, and investors. It marks a significant transition from the current housing composition (in which houses make up 77.0%), reflecting a tightening supply of greenfield sites, evolving household preferences, and the demand for diverse, cost-effective residential options. The presence of roughly 524 residents per building approval highlights a mature residential market. Looking forward, the population of Centenary Heights is forecast to expand by 91 residents through to 2041 according to the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. Should building approvals remain at current low levels, new dwelling supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and placing upward pressure on property prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Centenary Heights
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Centenary Heights, worth an estimated $17 million. A further 56 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $2.28 billion. 10 are already under construction and 12 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Capital works, major developments, and strategic urban planning exert a profound influence on community outcomes. AreaSearch has pinpointed 9 local projects expected to shape the district. Prominent initiatives include Parque Toowoomba, the Ruthven Street Social and Affordable Housing Development, the Mater Dei Primary School Early Years Precinct, and a Single Storey Retirement Village (86 Units), with detailed summaries provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Retirement Village (86 Units) - Single Storey
86-unit single-storey retirement village providing aged care accommodation and community facilities for seniors in the Toowoomba region.
East Creek Linear Corridor Masterplan
Upgrade of three parks along the East Creek linear corridor including Lake Annand Park, Emmerson Park, and Toowoomba Waterbird Habitat to improve recreational spaces and community facilities.
Fairleigh Residences (The Kitchener)
Boutique luxury apartment development by FKG Group, constructed by wholly-owned subsidiary GFG Projects, featuring 18 exquisitely designed residences across 6 levels. The development offers sweeping views of the Mothers Memorial and Queens Park, with amenities including a private roof terrace, pool, gym, yoga room and entertainment area. Features 2-4 bedroom apartments with generous balconies and media rooms. Prices start from $1.75 million. Only 5 residences remaining as of mid-2025.
Parque Toowoomba
Development of 11 three-bedroom townhouses designed to address rental market demand in Centenary Heights, Toowoomba, featuring high-quality finishes, European appliances, Caesar stone bench tops, and proximity to Thoms Park.
Emmerson Park District Park Upgrade
Upgrade of Emmerson Park from a local to a district level recreation park, including installation of toilet amenities building, pathways, playground, BBQ area with shelters and seating, and landscaping.
Kearney West Estate
A master-planned residential estate comprising 350 lots across 8 stages in Kearneys Spring, Toowoomba. Stages 1-4 are fully sold with civil construction complete. Stage 5 (34 lots, 540-977m2) is approved but on hold pending Ergon Energy lowering high-voltage underground cables to allow construction of a new roundabout at West Street, Handley Street and Cadel Evans Drive. Remaining stages 6-8 are yet to be released. All lots feature levelled building pads, reticulated sewerage, underground power, NBN connectivity, landscaped detention basins, and pedestrian links to Carly Hibberd Park.
Bernoth Centre & Inspire South Central
A $10 million mixed-use development featuring retail showrooms, 25 apartments, office/medical centre and caf'/restaurant facilities in a 5-storey building. Located in the heart of South Toowoomba.
Mission Australia Toowoomba Social and Affordable Housing
A $150 million development delivering 185 social and affordable housing units across four apartment buildings of five to six storeys in Newtown, Toowoomba. Comprising 89 social housing dwellings and 96 affordable housing dwellings, the project is led by Mission Australia Housing with financing from Palisade Investment Partners and support from the Queensland Government under its Securing Our Foundations Housing Plan. Construction commenced April 2025 with completion expected mid-2027.
2,941 residents of Centenary Heights are employed, from a labour force of 3,102. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 60.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Centenary Heights features a skilled local workforce with strong representation in key public service sectors and an unemployment rate of 5.2%, based on AreaSearch statistical aggregations. By March 2026, employed residents totaled 2,941, while the jobless rate stood 1.3% above the 3.9% recorded for Regional Qld. Labour force participation was comparatively subdued, sitting at 60.7% versus 64.2% across Regional Qld. Census data indicated that 6.9% of workers operated from home, though this figure was influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. Key sectors employing local workers include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.
The suburb displays a distinct workforce concentration in health care & social assistance, capturing an employment share 1.5 times the wider regional baseline. In contrast, mining represents a minor component of the local labor pool, accounting for 1.1% of the workforce in Centenary Heights against 3.6% in Regional Qld. Although some local employment options exist, Census comparisons of resident workers to local job numbers suggest a substantial portion of the community commutes outside the area for employment. AreaSearch evaluations of ABS and SALM statistical data indicate that throughout the 12 months leading up to March 2026, the local workforce contracted by 7.5% and total employment fell by 9.1%, resulting in a 1.7 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. This trend diverged from Regional Qld, which saw a 0.1% lift in employment, a 0.3% increase in the labor supply, and a 0.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide additional context regarding forward workforce demand in Centenary Heights. These five- and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local industrial makeup to project industry-led expansion. Nationally, jobs are expected to grow by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over a decade, though pace varies by industry. Mapping these sector-specific trajectories across the local industry profile indicates employment could expand by 7.0% across five years and 14.6% across ten years (representing an illustrative weighting calculation that does not factor in local demographic forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Centenary Heights is $1,432 a week (about $74,000 a year), with median personal income at $751 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,300 a year against an average of $64,262. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated postcode figures from the ATO for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch show that taxpayers in the suburb of Centenary Heights recorded a median income of $52,300 and an average income of $64,262. These amounts trail national benchmarks as well as the respective Regional Qld figures of $53,146 and $66,593. Factoring in Wage Price Index expansion of 11.36% since financial year 2023, updated values reach roughly $58,241 for the median and $71,562 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed personal, family, and household earnings modestly between the 31st and 38th percentiles.
A substantial 36.4% of the population (2,290 people) falls into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, aligning with the 31.7% observed across the wider region. Housing affordability constraints are marked, with residual income at 84.4%, ranking at the 31st percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Centenary Heights had 2,563 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 77% detached houses and 3% apartments. 31% are owned with a mortgage, 38% rented and 31% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $320 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,408 a month. Rent absorbs 22.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the residential landscape of Centenary Heights was made up of 77.2% stand-alone houses and 22.8% alternative housing formats (such as apartments, semi-detached properties, and other structures), compared with 76.4% houses and 23.6% other residential types in Regional Qld. Fully owned homes accounted for 30.8% of properties, slightly lower than the regional rate, while mortgaged properties represented 31.1% and rental housing accounted for 38.1%. Local monthly mortgage repayments carried a median of $1,408, noticeably below the Regional Qld figure of $1,655, whereas median weekly rent was $320 versus $345 regionally.
Relative to countrywide metrics, monthly mortgage payments in Centenary Heights sat far below the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents remained well under the national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Centenary Heights counted 2,563 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 24% are couples with children, fewer than in 75% of areas nationally, against 27% couples without children. 32% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 64.7% of all households, broken down into couples without children at 26.5%, couples with children at 23.5%, and single parent families at 13.2%. The remaining 35.3% consists of non-family living arrangements, primarily single-person dwellings at 32.3% and group shared accommodations at 3.3%. An average household accommodates 2.3 people, tracking slightly smaller than the Regional Qld benchmark of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
26.1% of adults in Centenary Heights hold a university qualification, including 17.9% with a bachelor degree and 4.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.7% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 2,475 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,015 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment in the area is robust compared to regional benchmarks, with tertiary degree holders making up 26.1% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the 20.6% seen in Rest of Qld. Bachelor qualifications are held by 17.9% of the population, followed by postgraduate degrees at 4.9% and graduate diplomas at 3.3%. Vocational training is likewise well established, with 35.9% of individuals aged 15+ possessing technical qualifications, including 10.2% with advanced diplomas and 25.7% with certificates. A significant 29.3% of the local population is actively engaged in studies. This comprises 9.4% enrolled in primary education, 8.6% attending secondary schooling, and 5.2% participating in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Centenary Heights reaches 33 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 130 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Centenary Heights is served by 33 operational public transport stops catering to bus travel. These points of access are connected by 2 specific routes that generate 132 weekly passenger trips in aggregate. Public transit convenience is solid, with local residents living an average of 210 meters from their closest boarding point. Given the residential makeup of the area, external commuting is typical, with private vehicle transport accounting for 94% of trips. Average motor vehicle ownership is 1.2 per dwelling, below the broader regional standard. A modest 6.9% of the workforce worked remotely based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Transit schedules maintain an average of 18 trips per day across the network, corresponding to roughly 4 weekly trips for each designated stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
65.6% of residents in Centenary Heights report no long-term health condition. 6.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Assessment of chronic conditions and mortality figures by AreaSearch highlights notable health considerations for Centenary Heights, with common illnesses presenting across younger and older demographics alike, while private health insurance uptake sits marginally above the typical SA2 standard at roughly 53% of all residents (~3,314 people). Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the primary chronic medical diagnoses, recorded among 9.3 and 8.8% of the population respectively, whilst 65.6% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, slightly below the 67.6% recorded across Regional Qld. Working-age cohorts experience an above-average incidence of long-term health issues.
Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 19.2% of the local population (1,208 people), compared to 20.3% in Regional Qld. Health metrics for elderly residents show some challenges, with performance indicators broadly mirroring broader national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Centenary Heights is largely Australian-born, at 82.6% of residents, with 11.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.8%) and Australian (26.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Centenary Heights largely mirrors the surrounding regional profile, with Australian-born residents accounting for 82.6% of the population, Australian citizens comprising 88.8%, and households speaking only English at home standing at 88.4%. Christianity forms the predominant faith, representing 56.8% of local residents. The most noticeable variation occurs within the Other religious classification, which encompasses 1.7% of residents in Centenary Heights compared to 0.8% across Regional Qld. Looking at parental lineage, the three largest ancestral groups in Centenary Heights are English at 27.8%, Australian at 26.1%, and Irish at 10.3%.
Other distinct cultural representations include German heritage at 7.4% (above the 4.7% regional rate), Scottish background at 9.3% (against 7.8% regionally), and Australian Aboriginal ancestry at 2.6% (compared to 3.9% across the region).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Centenary Heights is 36. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 26.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographically, Centenary Heights leans toward a younger population profile. Based on figures updated to August 2026, 29.9% of residents belong to the 25 - 44 age bracket, outstripping the 25.5% share across Regional Qld, whereas 20.9% are aged 45 - 64, below the 24.6% regional standard. As at August 2026, AreaSearch estimates the median age at 36, decreasing from 37 recorded at the 2021 Census and sitting 5 years beneath the Regional Qld figure of 41 from that same Census. Since the Census, the share of residents aged 25 - 44 expanded from 26.5% to an estimated 29.9%.
Within this segment, the 15 to 24 cohort contracted from 13.4% to an estimated 11.2%, while the 25 to 34 group increased from 14.2% to 15.7%, reflecting a maturing existing demographic alongside lower inflows of replacement youth. Projections to 2041 indicate the strongest population growth will occur among adults aged 25 - 44, adding 174 residents (9%) to reach 2,056, whereas numbers of youth, children, and residents aged 45 - 64 are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Centenary Heights
8 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 8 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 3 sections | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2025 about a year ago all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2025. | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 14 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,152 at the 2021 Census → 6,293 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30574). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.