Centenary Heights

Centenary Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for Centenary Heights, its population is estimated at around 6294 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 142 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6152 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 6285, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest Education Region Population (ERP) data release by ABS in June 2024, and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2030 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for Centenary Heights was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 81% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 based on 2021 data, are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, lower quartile growth of regional areas across the nation is anticipated. Centenary Heights is expected to increase by 228 persons to reach a total population of 6522 by 2041, reflecting a gain of approximately 3.7% over the 17-year period based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Centenary Heights, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Centenary Heights averaged approximately five new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 26 homes were approved, with three more in FY26 to date. This results in an average of about 2.3 people moving to the area per new home constructed over these years.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $380,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. Commercial approvals totaled $17.2 million this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Comparatively, Centenary Heights has significantly less development activity than the Rest of Qld, with 85.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, also reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints nationally. New developments consist of 43.0% detached dwellings and 57.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from current housing patterns (77.0% houses). This suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs, with around 1260 people per dwelling approval. Future projections estimate Centenary Heights will add approximately 234 residents by 2041.

If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Centenary Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact the area, with key ones including Retirement Village (86 Units) - Single Storey, Ruthven Street Social and Affordable Housing Development, Mater Dei Primary School Early Years Precinct, and Parque Toowoomba. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Centenary Heights well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Centenary Heights has a skilled labour force with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over the same period was estimated at 15.2%. As of June 2025, 3438 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below the Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Centenary Heights was 62.1%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade, with health care & social assistance employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Mining has limited presence, with only 1.1% of residents employed in this sector compared to 3.6% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12 months prior to an unspecified date, employment increased by 15.2%, while labour force grew by 13.4%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate of 1.5 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment rose by 1.8% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Centenary Heights's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Centenary Heights' income level aligns with national averages, per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Centenary Heights' median income among taxpayers is $52,300, average income stands at $64,262. Rest of Qld's figures are $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,617 (median) and $73,252 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes rank modestly in Centenary Heights, between the 31st and 38th percentiles. Income brackets indicate largest segment comprises 36.4% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (2,291 residents), consistent with broader trends showing 31.7% in same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 31st percentile.

Centenary Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Centenary Heights, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, consisted of 77.2% houses and 22.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in Centenary Heights was 30.8%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (31.1%) or rented (38.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area, as of June 2021, was $1,408, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $320 during this period. Nationally, Centenary Heights's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, as reported in December 2020, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375, also reported in December 2020.

Centenary Heights features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 64.7% of all households, including 23.5% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 35.3%, with lone person households at 32.3% and group households making up 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Centenary Heights aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.1% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.9% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (25.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.4% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 5.2% in tertiary education. Centenary Heights has four schools with a combined enrollment of 2,475 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1015) with balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 39.3 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.2, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Centenary Heights has 37 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two routes that together offer 132 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 207 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 18 trips per day across both routes, equating to approximately three weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Centenary Heights is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Centenary Heights faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~3,315 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues impact 9.3% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.8%. About 65.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.3% across Rest of Qld. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,170 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Centenary Heights records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Centenary Heights, as per the data provided, aligns with its broader regional averages in terms of cultural diversity. It has 82.6% of its population born in Australia, with 88.8% being citizens and 88.4% speaking English at home exclusively. Christianity is the predominant religion in Centenary Heights, accounting for 56.8% of the population.

However, there's an overrepresentation in the 'Other' category, which constitutes 1.7% compared to the regional average of 2.2%. The top three ancestry groups are English (27.8%), Australian (26.1%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, German (7.4%) and Scottish (9.3%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Centenary Heights compared to their regional averages of 8.0% and 7.9%, respectively. Additionally, the representation of Australian Aboriginal individuals is lower at 2.6% compared to the regional average of 3.3%.

Centenary Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Centenary Heights has a median age of 36, which is lower than the Rest of Qld figure of 41 and Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 cohort is over-represented in Centenary Heights at 17.6%, compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 9.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has increased from 14.2% to 17.6% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 12.1% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Centenary Heights' age profile will change significantly. The 25-34 age group is projected to expand by 257 people (23%), from 1,107 to 1,365. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 65-74 age groups are expected to decrease in number.