Warwick (Qld)

Warwick is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Warwick's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 13,059 people. This figure reflects an increase of 765 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,294. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 12,763 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024, and an additional 167 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 444 persons per square kilometer. Warwick's growth rate of 6.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's 5.2%, marking it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied where utilised. Looking ahead, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected for Warwick (Qld) SA2, with an anticipated increase of 1,071 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 6.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Warwick when compared nationally

Between FY-21 and FY-25, Warwick had approximately 58 new homes approved annually. This totals an estimated 294 homes over the past five financial years. As of FY-26, 53 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.6 people moved to the area per dwelling built during this period.

Commercial approvals registered in FY-26 amounted to $30.5 million. Warwick's construction activity is comparable to that of the rest of Queensland. New building activity consists of 72.0% standalone homes and 28.0% medium and high-density housing.

As of the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Warwick will gain approximately 828 residents by 2041.

Warwick has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that may impact this region. Key projects are Aleva Estate Residential Development, The Rose Estate Residential Subdivision, The Crossroads Development, and Warwick Industrial Estate Water Recycling Pipeline. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Warwick has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Warwick's workforce comprises an equal mix of white and blue-collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with a 5.0% unemployment rate and 3.5% employment growth in the past year, as per AreaSearch data aggregation from statistical areas.

As of September 2025, there are 5,723 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 6.1%, compared to Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation is lower at 51.7% versus the regional average of 59.1%. Dominant sectors for Warwick residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with manufacturing being particularly prominent at 2.1 times the regional level. Conversely, construction has a limited presence at 7.4%, compared to the regional figure of 10.1%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited, indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the year ending September 2025, Warwick's employment grew by 3.5% while labour force increased by 6.6%, resulting in a 2.9 percentage point rise in unemployment. Meanwhile, Rest of Qld saw employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data to November 25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, losing 1,210 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warwick's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Warwick had a median taxpayer income of $41,994 and an average income of $48,651 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national averages for both median ($53,146) and average incomes ($66,593), specifically for the Rest of Qld region. Using a wage growth rate of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $46,156 (median) and $53,472 (average). Census data indicates that Warwick's household, family, and personal incomes all fall between the 4th and 10th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 30.4% of Warwick's population, equating to 3,969 individuals, have incomes within the $400 - $799 range, unlike metropolitan regions where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is dominant at 31.7%. Housing affordability in Warwick is severely strained, with only 83.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Warwick is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warwick's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.1% houses and 15.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 92.3% houses and 7.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick was at 37.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (26.3%) or rented (36.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warwick was $1,170, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,300. The median weekly rent figure in Warwick was $260, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $255. Nationally, Warwick's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warwick features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.7% of all households, including 19.5% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 37.3%, with lone person households at 34.7% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Warwick faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.3%) and certificates (30.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 68 active transport stops operating within Warwick. These stops offer a mix of bus services. There are 5 individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 140 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 289 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 20 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warwick is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Warwick faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent among both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,069 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (10.7%) and mental health issues (9.7%). However, 59.4% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly lower than the Rest of Qld's 62.0%. Warwick has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (26.9%, or 3,512 people). While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they generally perform better than the overall population in health metrics.

Warwick is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick, as per the census data from June 2016, had a cultural diversity index below the national average. Its population was predominantly Australian citizens, with 90.1% holding citizenship, and 90.4% having been born in Australia. English was spoken at home by 95.8% of Warwick's residents.

Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 62.2%, slightly lower than the 63.9% regional average for Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.7%), Australian (30.5%), and Irish (10.0%). Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 5.2% compared to the regional figure of 5.6%. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal and Scottish ancestry showed higher percentages in Warwick than regionally, at 5.3% vs 3.6% and 8.7% vs 8.5%, respectively.

Warwick hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Warwick has a median age of 45, which is higher than Rest of Qld's figure of 41 and the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are particularly prominent, making up 10.2% of the population, while the 35-44 group is smaller at 9.7%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.4% to 12.6%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.0% to 9.5%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Warwick's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 25%, reaching 1,666 people from 1,332 currently. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 57% of total population growth. In contrast, the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.