Goondiwindi

Goondiwindi has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Goondiwindi's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 6,317 by November 2025. This figure shows an increase of 87 individuals (1.4%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,230 people. This change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,310 in June 2024 and an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is around 7.6 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space per person. Natural growth contributed approximately 75.4% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are adopted. However, these state projections lack age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Looking ahead, population projections indicate a decline by 2041, with the area's population expected to decrease by 143 persons. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 25 to 34 age group, projected to increase by 190 people.

The level of residential development activity in Goondiwindi is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Goondiwindi has experienced approximately 12 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, 64 homes were approved, with one more in FY-26 so far. The population decline has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $282,000, below regional norms, offering affordable housing options. This year, commercial approvals totalled $6.8 million, indicating limited commercial development focus. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Goondiwindi's construction is 25.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years, preserving buyer options while sustaining property demand, though activity has moderated recently. Nationally, development activity is lower, reflecting market maturity and possible constraints.

New developments consist of 86.0% detached houses and 14.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density character focused on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 873 people, indicating a quiet development environment. With stable or declining population projections, housing demand pressures should reduce, benefiting potential buyers.

Goondiwindi has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely impacting this region: Goondiwindi Hydrogen, Yelarbon, Talwood water quality project, Queensland Southern Rez, and Queensland New South Wales Interconnector.

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AreaSearch analysis places Goondiwindi well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Goondiwindi has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8%.

As of September 2025, 3,525 residents are employed at an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is higher than standard at 64.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Agriculture, forestry & fishing shows strong specialization with an employment share 3.6 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has limited presence at 11.8% compared to 16.1% regionally.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the past year, employment increased by 4.8% alongside labour force growth of 6.7%, raising unemployment rate by 1.8 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows QLD employment contracted by 0.01%, with a state unemployment rate of 4.2% aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, varying significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Goondiwindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.1% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates that Goondiwindi SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $51,168 and an average of $62,213. This is lower than the national average. The Rest of Qld had a median income of $50,780 and an average of $64,844 during this period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest approximately $58,326 for the median income and $70,917 for the average as of September 2025. Census data shows personal income ranks at the 60th percentile ($859 weekly) and household income at the 43rd percentile in Goondiwindi SA2. Income analysis reveals that 36.1% of locals (2,280 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This is similar to the surrounding region where 31.7% occupy this range. After housing expenses, 86.5% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Goondiwindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Goondiwindi, as evaluated at the Census conducted on 9 August 2016, consisted of 87.1% houses and 13.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro Queensland's structure which was 90.3% houses and 9.7% other dwellings at the same time. Home ownership in Goondiwindi stood at 31.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.9% and rented dwellings at 36.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, higher than Non-Metro Queensland's average of $1,300. The median weekly rent figure in Goondiwindi was recorded as $295, compared to Non-Metro Queensland's $230. Nationally, Goondiwindi's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Goondiwindi has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.9% of all households, including 29.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 26.6% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

Educational outcomes in Goondiwindi fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.9%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common among residents with higher qualifications at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 1.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.7%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 8.5% and certificates at 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (13.5%), secondary education (9.1%), and tertiary education (2.5%).

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Goondiwindi has six operational public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are served by three distinct routes, together facilitating 30 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transports is limited, with residents generally situated 842 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are four trips daily across all routes, which equates to roughly five weekly trips per individual stop.

Goondiwindi's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Goondiwindi's health metrics closely match national benchmarks, with common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~3,227 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.3%) and arthritis (8.1%). A majority, 69.5%, report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Rest of Qld. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 18.7% (1,180 people) of the population. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, outperforming those of the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Goondiwindi placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Goondiwindi's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.6% of its population being citizens, 93.1% born in Australia, and 95.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Goondiwindi, comprising 68.9%, compared to 64.6% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (33.4%), English (29.6%), and Irish (9.7%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 5.9% in Goondiwindi than regionally (6.7%), as is German at 4.4% versus 5.3%, and South African at 0.5% compared to 0.3%.

Goondiwindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Goondiwindi is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38 years. The 0-4 age group makes up 7.6% of the population compared to Rest of Qld, while the 55-64 cohort constitutes 10.9%. Post-2021 Census data reveals that the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 12.5% to 13.6%, whereas the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 14.7% to 13.0% and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Goondiwindi, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 19%, reaching 1,023 people from 857. Conversely, the 65 to 74 and 45 to 54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.