Tura Beach

Population growth drivers in Tura Beach are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Tura Beach, as estimated by AreaSearch using ABS ERP data from June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date in Nov 2021, is around 3,478. This figure reflects an increase of 73 people (2.1%) compared to the 2021 Census population of 3,405. The estimated resident population used for this calculation was 3,474. The suburb's population density is approximately 496 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for development. Over the past decade, Tura Beach has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outperforming its SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed around 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb.

For population projections until 2041, AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2-level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth, with Tura Beach expected to increase by 534 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tura Beach recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis reveals Tura Beach averaged around 16 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 82 homes were approved, with 2 more in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of 1.4 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past five financial years.

The supply and demand appear well-balanced, maintaining stable market conditions. New dwellings are developed at an average value of $526,000. In FY-26, $3.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating Tura Beach's primarily residential nature. Comparatively, Tura Beach shows 17.0% lower construction activity per person than the Rest of NSW, while it ranks among the 67th percentile nationally.

New building activity comprises 53.0% detached dwellings and 47.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a growing mix of housing types to cater to different price points. This shift reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles. Tura Beach currently has around 203 people per approval, indicating a low-density area. Future projections estimate Tura Beach will add 517 residents by 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, although increasing competition among buyers is expected as the population expands.

Tura Beach has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to affect the area: Shearwater Estate, Mirador Residential Development stages 8, 9, and 13, Lakewood Lifestyle Village, and 29-33 Market Street, Merimbula. The following details those most relevant.

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While Tura Beach retains a healthy unemployment rate of 2.9%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Tura Beach has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.9% as of June 2025, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

In this month, 1,374 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.8% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Tura Beach was 44.5%, significantly lower than Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. The area has a particular employment specialization in retail trade, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 2.6% versus the regional average of 5.3%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 3.9% in Tura Beach while employment decreased by 4.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.9 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, the labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer further insight into potential future demand within Tura Beach. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Tura Beach's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Tura Beach's median income among taxpayers was $42,933, with an average of $55,686. Both figures were below the national averages. The Rest of NSW had a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates for Tura Beach would be approximately $48,347 (median) and $62,708 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Tura Beach all fell between the 18th and 20th percentiles nationally. Income distribution showed that 28.9% of the population earned within the $800 - $1,499 range, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category was predominant at 29.9%. Housing costs were modest with 87.9% of income retained. However, total disposable income ranked at just the 23rd percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Tura Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated dwelling structures in Tura Beach, showing 79.2% houses and 20.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 84.3% houses and 15.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tura Beach was 60.6%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (23.6%) or rented (15.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,625, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure in Tura Beach was $420, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $320. Nationally, Tura Beach's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,625 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $420 compared to the national figure of $375.

Tura Beach has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.2% of all households, including 19.6% couples with children, 44.0% couples without children, and 5.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 29.8%, with lone person households at 27.5% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which matches the average for the Rest of NSW.

Tura Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Tura Beach show 25.0% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to NSW's 32.2%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 27.8%.

A significant 21.4% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 7.5% in secondary, 7.1% in primary, and 2.2% in tertiary education. Educational facilities seem to be located outside Tura Beach's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Tura Beach shows 42 active public transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 11 different routes that together offer 105 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 164 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 15 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately two weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tura Beach is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tura Beach faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 49% (~1,704 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent conditions are arthritis (14.0%) and mental health issues (7.8%), while 58.0% report no medical ailments, compared to 59.6% in Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 39.6% (1,377 people), compared to 31.7% in Rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong, even outperforming the general population in certain metrics.

Tura Beach is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tura Beach, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity: 83.1% of residents were Australian-born, 92.2% were citizens, and 95.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion (53.1%). Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% in Rest of NSW.

Ancestry-wise, English (36.2%), Australian (27.8%), and Irish (9.2%) were top groups. Some ethnicities had notable divergences: Hungarian at 0.4% vs regional 0.2%, Dutch at 1.7% vs 1.4%, South African at 0.7% vs 0.2%.

Tura Beach ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Tura Beach has a median age of 58, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and Australia's figure of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 20.6% of Tura Beach's population, compared to Rest of NSW's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 5.9%. This concentration in the 65-74 age group is notably higher than Australia's national figure of 9.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 7.9% to 9.1%, while the 75-84 cohort has risen from 13.3% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 15.9% to 13.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Tura Beach's age profile. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 99%, reaching 311 people from a starting point of 156. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort is expected to decline by 6 people.