Dalmeny

Population growth drivers in Dalmeny are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The suburb of Dalmeny's estimated population as of November 2025 is around 2,178 people. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 2,194 people, indicating a drop of 16 individuals (0.7%). AreaSearch validated this estimate based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 304 persons per square kilometer, offering significant space per person and potential room for further development. Interstate migration primarily drove recent population growth in Dalmeny, contributing approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during these periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilized the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Dalmeny is expected to experience population growth just below the median of non-metropolitan areas nationally by 2041. The suburb is projected to increase its population by 301 persons over these 17 years, reflecting a total increase of 16.2%.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Dalmeny according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Dalmeny has had minimal residential development activity with fewer than one dwelling approval annually over the past five years, totalling just three approvals. This low level of development reflects the rural nature of the area where housing needs are typically specific to local requirements rather than broader market demand. Notably, due to the small number of approvals, individual projects can significantly impact annual growth and relativity statistics in Dalmeny.

Compared to Rest of NSW, Dalmeny has substantially lower levels of residential development activity, which is also below national patterns.

Dalmeny has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No infrastructure changes have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact this area. Key projects include Princes Highway Safety And Capacity: Nowra, NSW To Victorian Border, Low And Mid-Rise Housing Policy, Regional NSW Road Network Safety Improvements, and Corridor Preservation For East Coast High Speed Rail.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Dalmeny faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Dalmeny has a skilled workforce with notable presence in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025816 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.7% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Dalmeny lags at 38.0%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Health care & social assistance is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.5% of Dalmeny's workforce compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as Census data shows a lower working population than resident population. In the 12-month period ending Sep-22, labour force decreased by 3.1%, employment declined by 4.2%, and unemployment rose by 1.2 percentage points in Dalmeny. Meanwhile, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Dalmeny's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Dalmeny's median taxpayer income was $36,584 and average income was $49,808 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below the national average of $51,078 (median) and $73,177 (average). In comparison, Rest of NSW had a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998 in 2022. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Dalmeny would be approximately $41,197 (median) and $56,089 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Dalmeny fall between the 7th and 7th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The earnings profile shows that 29.5% of locals (642 people) earn between $400 - $799 annually, differing from metropolitan regions where the predominant income category is $1,500 - $2,999 at 29.9%. After housing expenses, 86.3% of income remains in Dalmeny, ranking at the 10th percentile nationally.

Dalmeny is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dalmeny's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 84.3% houses and 15.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dalmeny stood at 54.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.6% and rented dwellings at 19.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,408, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent in Dalmeny was $330, compared to Non-Metro NSW's figure of $320. Nationally, Dalmeny's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Dalmeny features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.1% of all households, including 18.3% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.9%, with lone person households at 29.9% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.2.

Dalmeny shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Dalmeny's residents aged 15+ have a lower university degree holders rate at 22.9%, compared to NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.6%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 43.3% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 31.6%. A significant 23.4% of the population is actively pursuing education, including 9.0% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 1.8% in tertiary education.

Educational facilities seem to be outside Dalmeny's immediate boundaries, requiring residents to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Dalmeny has 28 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 9 different routes that together offer 81 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these services is rated excellent, with residents being an average of 174 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 11 trips per day across all routes, which equates to roughly 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Dalmeny is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Dalmeny faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 47% (~1,017 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 14.1% of residents) and mental health issues (9.7%). Conversely, 53.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 59.6% in Rest of NSW. Dalmeny has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 38.6% (840 people), compared to the Rest of NSW's 31.7%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors show some improvements over the general population.

Dalmeny ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Dalmeny's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.9% of its population being citizens, 84.0% born in Australia, and 94.6% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Dalmeny was Christianity, comprising 49.5% of the population, which is similar to the 49.0% across Rest of NSW. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English (33.1%), Australian (28.9%), and Irish (10.4%).

Notably, Polish was overrepresented at 1.0%, compared to 0.5% regionally, Welsh at 0.7% versus 0.5%, and Spanish at 0.5% against 0.2%.

Dalmeny ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Dalmeny's median age is 58, which is significantly higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and Australia's figure of 38. The percentage of people aged 85 and above in Dalmeny is 8.6%, compared to Rest of NSW's figure, while the percentage of people aged 15 to 24 is 6.5%. This concentration of people aged 85 and above is well above the national average of 2.2%. Between 2021 and present, the population of people aged 35 to 44 has grown from 8.4% to 10.3%, while the population of people aged 75 to 84 has increased from 10.8% to 12.2%. Conversely, the population of people aged 55 to 64 has declined from 16.4% to 14.2%, and the population of people aged 65 to 74 has dropped from 19.4% to 17.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Dalmeny's age profile will evolve significantly. The number of people aged 85 and above is expected to grow by 56%, reaching 292 from 187, leading the demographic shift. Conversely, the population of people aged 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 is expected to decline.