Horsley Park

Horsley Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of the Horsley Park statistical area (Lv2), as estimated by AreaSearch, was 1,761 as of November 2025. This figure represents a decrease from the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 1,790 people in the same area. The current population is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 1,668 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), combined with an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 80 persons per square kilometer. The primary driver of population growth in the area has been overseas migration.

AreaSearch's projections for the Horsley Park (SA2) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the Horsley Park (SA2) is expected to experience population growth just below the national median, with an increase of 93 persons projected by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 3.8% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Horsley Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Horsley Park has seen around 3 new homes approved annually. Approximately 18 homes have been approved over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with 4 more approved in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which could benefit buyers.

The average expected construction cost of new homes is $1,304,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year has seen $258.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has significantly less development activity, at 57.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This level is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. All new construction in the area since FY-21 has been standalone homes, maintaining Horsley Park's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 696 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts suggest Horsley Park will gain 67 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Horsley Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Oakdale East Industrial Estate, Horsley Logistics Park Stage 2, Horsley Park Urban Farming Master Plan 2019, and Jacfin Horsley Park Project (Concept Plan). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Horsley Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park has a diverse workforce comprising white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 0.9%.

Over the year ending September 2025, employment grew by 3.7%. As of September 2025947 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 49.7% in Horsley Park, lower than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction, manufacturing, and transport, postal & warehousing.

Construction employment is particularly high, at 2.6 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance has a lower representation of 6.6%, compared to the regional average of 14.1%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.9, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.7% while labour force grew by 3.7%, keeping unemployment stable at 3.2%. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.1%, labour force expanded by 2.4%, and unemployment rose to 4.2%. Statewide in NSW, as of 25-Nov-25, employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Horsley Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.0% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Horsley Park had a median income among taxpayers of $52,482 and an average level of $83,736. These figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Greater Sydney has median and average incomes of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Horsley Park's median income are approximately $57,132 and the average is around $91,155 as of September 2025. The 2021 Census shows that Horsley Park's household income ranks at the 74th percentile ($2,135 weekly) and personal income at the 41st percentile. Income analysis reveals that 24.9% of residents (438 individuals) earn between $1,500 to $2,999 per week, mirroring the regional trend where 30.9% fall into this bracket. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 35.5% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 87.1% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. Horsley Park's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Horsley Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Horsley Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.1% houses and 3.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 73.3% houses and 26.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park stood at 55.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.8% and rented ones at 17.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent in Horsley Park was $428, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Horsley Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,250 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $428.

Horsley Park features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 82.5% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which matches the Greater Sydney average.

Horsley Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (27.1%). Educational participation is high at 28.5%, with 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Horsley Park has 70 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 23 different routes that together offer 271 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in the area is rated as good, with residents on average located 383 meters from their nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 38 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Horsley Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Horsley Park faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (1,056 people), compared to 47.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, impacting 10.0 and 6.8% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 69.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 23.1% of residents are aged 65 and over (406 people), which is higher than the 19.0% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Horsley Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 30.4% of its population born overseas and 41.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Horsley Park, accounting for 83.5% of the population, compared to 55.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Italian (26.0%), Maltese (16.3%), and Australian (13.3%).

These percentages are higher than the regional averages of 5.1%, 1.2%, and 8.0%, respectively. Notably, Serbian (1.8%) and Croatian (1.8%) groups are overrepresented in Horsley Park compared to the regional figures of 1.8% and 1.7%. The Lebanese group is also significantly represented at 3.8%, higher than the regional average of 1.8%.

Horsley Park hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Horsley Park is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.4%), but fewer residents aged 35-44 (8.3%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has increased from 8.6% to 10.4% of the population. Meanwhile, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 14.2% to 12.5%, and the 35-44 age group has dropped from 9.9% to 8.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Horsley Park's age structure. The 65-74 age group is expected to grow by 40%, reaching 242 people from 172. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for all population growth in the area, reflecting its aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 55-64 and 25-34 age groups are projected to decrease in number.