Horsley Park

Horsley Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of February 2026, the estimated population of Horsley Park is around 1,773. This reflects a decrease of 17 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,790. The change was inferred from the resident population of 1,668 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 80 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for Horsley Park was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, Horsley Park is expected to expand by 94 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 3.0% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Horsley Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Horsley Park had around 3 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 18 homes were approved, with 4 more in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to population change.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $1,304,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. This financial year, there have been $258.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has significantly less development activity (57.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, the area's development level is also below average, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints.

All new construction since FY-21 has been standalone homes, maintaining Horsley Park's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 696 people. By 2041, Horsley Park is forecast to gain 54 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Horsley Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include Oakdale East Industrial Estate, Horsley Logistics Park Stage 2, Horsley Park Urban Farming Master Plan 2019, and Jacfin Horsley Park Project (Concept Plan). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Horsley Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent here, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% as of September 2025. Employment in the area grew by 3.8% over the past year.

Compared to Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, Horsley Park has a lower rate of 3.2%. Workforce participation is slightly below average at 67.9%. According to Census data, 41.0% of residents work from home. Major industries for employment in the area are construction, manufacturing, and transport, postal & warehousing.

Construction shows particularly high concentration with levels at 2.6 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 6.6%. The ratio of workers to residents is substantial, indicating good local employment opportunities. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 3.8% while labour force grew by a similar amount, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise slightly. For future insights, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Horsley Park's employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch aggregated postcode-level ATO data released for financial year 2023. Horsley Park had a median taxpayer income of $52,482 and an average income of $83,736, which were among the highest in Australia. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $57,132 and $91,155 respectively, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census ranked Horsley Park's household income at the 74th percentile ($2,135 weekly) and personal income at the 41st percentile. Income analysis showed that 24.9% of residents earned between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (441 individuals), mirroring the regional average of 30.9%. The suburb demonstrated affluence with 35.5% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail services. After housing costs, residents retained 87.1% of income, indicating strong purchasing power. Horsley Park's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Horsley Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Horsley Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.1% houses and 3.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park was at 55.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.8% and rented ones at 17.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $428, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Horsley Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Horsley Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.5% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households at 2.3%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Horsley Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (27.1%). Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Horsley Park has 70 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 23 distinct routes, offering a total of 271 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 383 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most Horsley Park residents travel outwards daily. Cars remain the primary commuting mode at 88%, while 8% walk. Vehicle ownership per dwelling averages 2.4, exceeding regional norms.

According to the 2021 Census, 41% of residents work from home, a figure possibly influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, services run 38 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 3 weekly trips per stop.

Horsley Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Horsley Park shows positive outcomes overall.

Mortality rates and health conditions are largely similar to national averages. Common health conditions are less prevalent among the general population but higher among older, at-risk groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high, with approximately 60% of the total population (1,063 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 10.0 and 6.8% of residents respectively. 69.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Under-65s have better health outcomes than average. Horsley Park has a higher proportion of seniors (24.0%, or 425 people) compared to Greater Sydney (15.4%). While senior health outcomes present challenges, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Horsley Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park's population shows high cultural diversity, with 30.4% born overseas and 41.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Horsley Park, comprising 83.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups are Italian (26.0%), Maltese (16.3%), and Australian (13.3%).

Notable differences exist for Serbian (1.8% vs regional 0.5%), Croatian (1.8% vs regional 0.7%), and Lebanese (3.8% vs regional 2.6%) groups.

Horsley Park hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Horsley Park is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.7%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (8.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the percentage of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 8.6% to 10.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 14.2% to 12.1%, and the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has dropped from 9.9% to 8.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Horsley Park's age structure. The 65-74 age group is expected to grow by 33%, reaching 239 people from 179. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 55-64 and 25-34 age groups are projected to decrease in number.