Horsley Park

Horsley Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The estimated population of Horsley Park, based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validation as of Feb 2026, is around 1,773. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 1,790 people, a change inferred from an estimated resident population of 1,668 in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The current density ratio is 80 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Anticipated demographic trends suggest lower quartile growth nationally, with Horsley Park expected to expand by 81 persons to 2041, reflecting a reduction of 1.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Horsley Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Horsley Park has seen around 3 new homes approved annually. Over the past 5 financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), approximately 18 homes were approved, with a further 6 approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population change, which is positive for buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $1,304,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year (FY-26) has seen $258.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has significantly less development activity, 57.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, the area's level is also below average, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints.

All new construction in the area has been detached houses, preserving its low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 694 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. Population projections suggest stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures in Horsley Park, benefiting potential buyers.

Horsley Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Fourteen projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable ones include Oakdale East Industrial Estate, Horsley Logistics Park Stage 2, Horsley Park Urban Farming Master Plan 2019, and Jacfin Horsley Park Project (Concept Plan). The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Horsley Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.9%.

The area's unemployment rate is 3.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 41.0% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include construction, manufacturing, and transport, postal & warehousing. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 2.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 6.6%. The ratio of 0.9 workers per resident indicates substantial local employment opportunities. During the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.9% and labour force increased by 4.9%, maintaining a stable unemployment rate. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Horsley Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.0% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Horsley Park had a median taxpayer income of $52,482 and an average income of $83,736. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,132 (median) and $91,155 (average). The 2021 Census data shows Horsley Park's household income rank at the 74th percentile ($2,135 weekly), with personal income at the 41st percentile. Income analysis reveals that 24.9% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, mirroring the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 35.5% earning over $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.1% of their income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Horsley Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Horsley Park's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 97.1% houses and 3.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas which had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park was at 55.7%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 26.8% and rented dwellings making up 17.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,250, higher than Sydney's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $428, compared to Sydney's average of $470. Nationally, Horsley Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Horsley Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.5% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7 people.

Horsley Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (27.1%). Educational participation is high at 28.5%, including primary education (10.4%), secondary education (7.6%), and tertiary education (4.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Horsley Park has 70 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 23 different routes that collectively facilitate 271 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 383 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the primary mode of transport, used by 88% of residents, while 8% walk. Vehicle ownership averages 2.4 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 41% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 38 trips per day, equating to approximately three weekly trips per individual stop.

Horsley Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Horsley Park's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national mortality rates and health condition benchmarks.

Common health conditions are low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk residents. Private health cover is exceptionally high, at approximately 60% of the total population (1,063 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 10.0 and 6.8% of residents respectively. 69.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Under-65s have better health outcomes than average. The area has 23.5% residents aged 65 and over (416 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Horsley Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 30.4% of its population born overseas and 41.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Horsley Park, making up 83.5% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Italian (26.0%), Maltese (16.3%), and Australian (13.3%).

These percentages are significantly higher than the regional averages of 3.4%, 1.0%, and 37.8% respectively. Notably, Serbian (1.8%) and Croatian (1.8%) ancestry are overrepresented in Horsley Park compared to the regional averages of 0.5% and 0.7%. Lebanese ancestry is also notably higher at 3.8% versus the regional average of 2.6%.

Horsley Park hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Horsley Park is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (8.6%). According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 increased from 8.6% to 10.6%, while those aged 55-64 grew from 14.3% to 15.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 decreased from 14.2% to 12.2%, and those aged 35-44 dropped from 9.9% to 8.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Horsley Park's age structure. The number of residents aged 65-74 is expected to grow by 30%, reaching 228 from 175. Notably, the combined age groups of 65+ will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both age groups 25-34 and 55-64 are projected to decrease in number.