Horsley Park

Horsley Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, Horsley Park's population is estimated at around 1,769 people, reflecting a decrease of 21 individuals since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 1,790. This decrease is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 1,705 based on ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 80 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration was the primary driver for population growth during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Horsley Park is expected to experience a population increase just below the national median, expanding by 92 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections. This reflects a gain of 3.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Horsley Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Horsley Park has seen approximately 2 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 12 homes have been approved, with an additional 1 approved so far in FY-26. Despite a population decline during this period, development activity has been relatively adequate, which could be positive for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $1,304,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment and upmarket properties. This financial year has seen $86.0 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. When compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has significantly less development activity, at 72.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Additionally, this level is also below the national average, reflecting the area's maturity and potentially indicating planning constraints.

All new construction in Horsley Park has been comprised of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 1160 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Horsley Park will gain 58 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Horsley Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include Oakdale East Industrial Estate, Horsley Logistics Park Stage 2, Horsley Park Urban Farming Master Plan 2019, and Jacfin Horsley Park Project (Concept Plan). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Horsley Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 0.9% and a 4.7% employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of June 2025971 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.3%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 49.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction, manufacturing, and transport, postal & warehousing. Construction employment is notably high, at 2.6 times the regional average.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation, at 6.6% versus the regional average of 14.1%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.9, indicating substantial local job opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.7%, while labour force grew by the same percentage, keeping unemployment stable. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.6%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment rose to 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's Sep-22 national employment forecasts project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Horsley Park's industry mix suggests local employment growth of 5.8% in five years and 12.0% in ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022, Horsley Park had a median income among taxpayers of $52,482 with the average level standing at $83,736. These figures are among the highest in Australia and compare to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year ending June 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,100 (median) and $94,295 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household income ranks at the 74th percentile ($2,135 weekly), while personal income sits at the 41st percentile. Income analysis reveals that 24.9% of individuals (440 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, mirroring the region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. The district demonstrates considerable affluence with 35.5% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 87.1% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Horsley Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Horsley Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.1% houses and 3.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 73.3% houses and 26.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park stood at 55.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.8% and rented ones at 17.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Horsley Park was $428, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Horsley Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,250 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Horsley Park features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 82.5% of all households, including 43.2% who are couples with children, 27.3% who are couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which matches the Greater Sydney average.

Horsley Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.2%, substantially below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (27.1%). Educational participation is high at 28.5%, with 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Horsley Park's three schools have a combined enrollment of 962 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 970) with balanced educational opportunities. There are two primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. It functions as an education hub with 54.4 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.4, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Horsley Park has 66 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 23 different routes that together provide 278 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically located 383 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 39 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Horsley Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Horsley Park faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (1,061 people), compared to 47.7% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, impacting 10.0% and 6.8% of residents respectively. A total of 69.8% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, the area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over (410 people), which is higher than the 19.0% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Horsley Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 30.4% of its population born overseas and 41.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Horsley Park, making up 83.5%. This is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 55.7%.

The top three ancestry groups are Italian (26.0%), Maltese (16.3%), and Australian (13.3%). These percentages are significantly higher than the regional averages of 5.1%, 1.2%, and 8.0% respectively. Notably, Serbian (1.8%) and Croatian (1.8%) ancestry is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.8% and 1.7%. Lebanese ancestry is also notably higher at 3.8% compared to the regional average of 1.8%.

Horsley Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Horsley Park is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.4%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (8.3%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 8.6% to 10.4% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 14.2% to 12.5%, and the 35-44 age group dropped from 9.9% to 8.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Horsley Park's age structure. The 65-74 age group is expected to grow by 38% (66 people), reaching 242 from 175. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 55-64 and 25-34 age groups are projected to decrease in number.