Condon

An assessment of population growth drivers in Condon reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of Condon is estimated at around 6,485, reflecting an increase of 591 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 5,894 people in the suburb. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population as 6,237 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 60 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is estimated at 1,212 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Condon's growth of 10.0% since the 2021 census exceeded that of both the SA4 region (6.9%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with Condon expected to increase by 846 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 9.5% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Condon when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Condon has recorded approximately 26 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 134 homes were approved, with an additional 46 approved so far in FY-26. This reflects an average of 2.5 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built during this period.

The average construction cost value of these dwellings is $332,000, which is below regional norms, suggesting more affordable housing options are available to purchasers. In FY-26 alone, there have been $28.7 million in commercial approvals, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Condon shows comparable construction activity per person, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns.

The majority of new building activity consists of detached houses at 83.0%, with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 17.0%. This maintains the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. There are approximately 150 people per dwelling approval in Condon, suggesting an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Condon is expected to grow by 614 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Condon has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Somers & Hervey Estate, Brookstone on the Park Estate, Limestone Estate, and Rasmussen Village and Community Hub. The following list details projects likely to have the most relevance.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Condon faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Condon has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, prominent essential services sectors, and an unemployment rate of 8.3%. As of June 2025, there are 2,615 employed residents, with the unemployment rate being 4.4% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation is lower at 53.3%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Health care & social assistance has a strong specialization with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.5% compared to the regional average of 4.5%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.0%, while employment declined by 4.5%, resulting in a rise of 2.4 percentage points in unemployment rate compared to Rest of Qld's increase of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Condon, with national employment forecasted to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Condon's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Condon's median taxpayer income is $50,973 and average is $57,113, based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is below national averages of $64,844 (Rest of Qld) for median and $64,844 for average income. As of September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $58,104 and average is $65,103, considering Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Condon fall between the 22nd and 22nd percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income analysis shows that 31.1% (2,016 individuals) of Condon's community earns $1,500 - $2,999 annually, similar to regional levels at 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 83.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 23rd percentile nationally.

Condon is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Condon, as per the latest Census evaluation, 91.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 8.2% comprising semi-detached properties, apartments, and other types. This differs from Non-Metro Qld's figures of 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condon stood at 28.7%, compared to mortgaged dwellings at 33.5% and rented ones at 37.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent in Condon was $310, slightly higher than Non-Metro Qld's figure of $305. Nationally, Condon's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Condon has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 68.1% of all households, including 23.5% couples with children, 29.1% couples without children, and 14.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.9%, with lone person households at 28.5% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Condon faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.4%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.9%) and certificates (30.9%).

Educational participation is high at 30.4%, comprising primary education (11.0%), secondary education (9.5%), and tertiary education (4.7%). The area has two main schools: Thuringowa State High School and Carinity Education - Shalom, serving a total of 858 students. The area's educational conditions are varied, with an ICSEA score of 777. There is one secondary school and one K-12 school in the area. The number of school places per 100 residents is 13.2, below the regional average of 16.7, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 20 active stops operating within Condon, serving a mix of buses. These stops are covered by two routes, offering 363 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 301 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 51 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Condon is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Condon faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 50%, covering about 3,232 people, compared to Rest of Qld's 53.3% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (10.4%) and mental health issues (10.2%).

About 60.4% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than Rest of Qld's 67.8%. Condon has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.5%, or 1,459 people, compared to Rest of Qld's 14.9%. The health outcomes among seniors generally align with the overall population's health profile.

Condon ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Condon had a cultural diversity below average, with 87.6% of its population being Australian citizens, 87.8% born in Australia, and 92.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Condon, comprising 56.2%, compared to 52.7% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (28.6%), English (28.0%), and Australian Aboriginal (8.4%).

Notably, New Zealand (0.9% vs 0.7%), Samoan (0.2% vs 0.1%), and Filipino (1.4% vs 1.1%) groups were overrepresented in Condon compared to regional averages.

Condon's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Condon is 39 years, lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 but close to the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 15-24 are prominent at 15.5%, while the 55-64 group is smaller at 9.5% compared to Rest of Qld. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has grown from 11.5% to 13.2%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 13.2% to 11.2%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 12.4% to 10.7%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Condon's age structure. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to increase by 267 people (31%) from 856 to 1,124. Conversely, both the 55-64 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.