Aitkenvale

Aitkenvale has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Aitkenvale is around 4,879 people. This reflects a growth of 82 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,797. AreaSearch's estimate of 4,875 residents, based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validated new addresses, indicates this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 1,474 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for Aitkenvale's population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 80% of overall population gains recently.

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 (based on 2021 data) are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023. Future population trends indicate a decline by 2041. According to these projections, Aitkenvale's population is expected to contract by 315 persons over this period. However, specific age cohorts like the 25 to 34 group are projected to grow, with an anticipated increase of 128 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Aitkenvale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Aitkenvale shows around 9 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years from FY18 to FY22, totalling an estimated 48 homes. As of FY26, no approvals have been recorded yet. Despite population decline in the area, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $416,000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options for purchasers.

In FY26, $85,000 worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Aitkenvale has seen significantly reduced construction activity, with 53.0% fewer approvals per person than the regional average. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties but building activity has accelerated in recent years. Nationally, Aitkenvale's construction levels are also below average, suggesting possible planning constraints or a mature market. Recent construction comprises 30.0% standalone homes and 70.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 75.0% houses, indicating diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 404 people per approval, Aitkenvale indicates a mature market with stable or declining population projections, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Aitkenvale should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Aitkenvale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three key projects expected to impact the region: Harris Crossing Estate, Willows Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Annandale Christian College Master Plan, and Sanctum Estate. The following details these projects, focusing on those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Aitkenvale faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Aitkenvale has a skilled workforce with prominent essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 9.5%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, 2178 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.6% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation mirrors Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. Notably, public administration & safety has a strong presence with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.2% compared to the regional 4.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio of 0.9 suggests substantial local employment opportunities. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.2%, and employment declined by 5.1%, leading to a 2.7 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. This contrasts with Rest of Qld where employment grew by 1.8% and unemployment rose by only 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's Sep-22 national employment forecasts project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aitkenvale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows median income in Aitkenvale was $49,397 with average income at $58,390. This is lower than national averages of $50,780 and $64,844 across Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,308 and average income $66,559. Census 2021 income data ranks Aitkenvale incomes modestly, between the 26th and 37th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income distribution shows 29.6% of population (1,444 individuals) fall within $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to broader area at 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 84.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 27th percentile.

Aitkenvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Aitkenvale, as per the latest Census evaluation, 74.6% of dwellings were houses while 25.5% were other types such as semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aitkenvale stood at 26.7%, with mortgaged properties at 27.1% and rented ones at 46.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,387, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Weekly rent in Aitkenvale was recorded at $270 compared to Non-Metro Qld's $305. Nationally, Aitkenvale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Aitkenvale features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 15.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 36.1%, with lone person households at 31.5% and group households making up 4.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Aitkenvale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Educational qualifications in Aitkenvale show 23.2% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.4% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (27.0%). Current educational participation is high at 33.2%, with 11.1% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 6.2% in tertiary education.

The area has two schools: Riverside Adventist School and Aitkenvale State School, serving a total of 409 students as of the latest data. These schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. As of the most recent report, there are 8.4 school places per 100 residents in Aitkenvale, below the regional average of 16.7.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 12 operational public transport stops in Aitkenvale, serving a variety of bus routes. These stops are facilitated by 11 distinct routes, offering a total of 1,342 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 385 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 191 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 111 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aitkenvale is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Aitkenvale faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent among both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population, which is around 2,456 people.

This compares to a rate of 53.3% across the rest of Queensland. Mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.0% of residents, followed by arthritis at 8.6%. Approximately 67.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.8% across the rest of Queensland. As of June 2016, 15.7% of Aitkenvale's residents are aged 65 and over, totaling 766 people. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Aitkenvale was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aitkenvale's cultural diversity was above average, with 21.2% of its population born overseas and 16.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity dominated the religious landscape in Aitkenvale, comprising 53.5% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religion category comprised 1.3%, higher than the Rest of Qld's 0.7%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (25.3%), English (24.9%), and Other (12.1%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 5.3% in Aitkenvale compared to 5.0% regionally, Spanish at 0.5% versus 0.4%, and German at 3.9% versus 4.0%.

Aitkenvale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Aitkenvale is 35 years, which is lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 years and under the national average of 38 years. The 15-24 cohort makes up 15.4% of Aitkenvale's population, compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 65-74 year-olds make up 8.7%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.8% to 15.4%, and the 25-34 cohort has grown from 13.9% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 12.3% to 10.3%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Aitkenvale, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 13 people, reaching 852 from 751. However, both the 85+ and 65-74 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.