Vincent

Vincent has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of February 2026, Vincent's estimated population is around 2,274. This reflects an increase of 61 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,213. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,267, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,749 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data are applied for each age cohort. Examining future population trends indicates a projected decline by 2041, with the area's population expected to shrink by 133 persons according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 25-34 age group projected to increase by 68 people.

The level of residential development activity in Vincent is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Vincent's development activity is very limited, averaging less than one approval per year over five years from 2016 to 2020, with a total of four approvals. This low level of development reflects the rural nature of Vincent, where housing needs drive development rather than broad market demand. Yearly growth figures and relativities can vary considerably due to the small number of approvals.

Vincent shows significantly less construction activity compared to the rest of Queensland. The development pattern in Vincent is also below national averages.

Population forecasts for Vincent are stable or declining, which may reduce housing pressure and create favourable conditions for buyers.

Vincent has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No factors influence an area's performance more than changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Harris Crossing Estate, Army Aviation Program of Works - RAAF Base Townsville, Willows Shopping Centre Redevelopment, and Weststate Private Hospital, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Vincent face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Vincent's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate stands at 13.5%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, Vincent has 992 residents employed, an unemployment rate of 9.4% above Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation is lower than the regional average at 62.5%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. Census data shows that only 4.0% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Notably, retail trade employs 1.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.5% of local workers, lower than Rest of Qld's 4.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period, Vincent's labour force decreased by 0.7%, while employment declined by 4.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 3.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Vincent. These projections estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Vincent's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Vincent is below the national average. The median income is $52,867 and the average income stands at $62,144. In contrast, Rest of Qld has a median income of $53,146 and an average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Vincent would be approximately $58,106 (median) and $68,302 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Vincent rank modestly, between the 29th and 33rd percentiles. Distribution data shows that the predominant income cohort spans 36.9% of locals (839 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represents 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Vincent, with only 83.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 28th percentile.

Vincent is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Vincent, as evaluated at the latest Census, 98.2% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 1.8% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Vincent stood at 19.4%, with the rest being mortgaged (35.1%) or rented (45.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, significantly lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655 and the national figure of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Vincent was recorded at $280, substantially below Non-Metro Qld's $345 and the national average of $375.

Vincent features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 68.7% of all households, including 24.3% couples with children, 18.6% couples without children, and 22.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.3%, with lone person households at 25.8% and group households comprising 5.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which matches the average in the Rest of Queensland.

Vincent faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.7%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificates at 35.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows eight active transport stops operating within Vincent, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are serviced by three individual routes, collectively providing 212 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 292 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 92%, with 2% cycling. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions, only 4.0% of residents work from home. Service frequency averages 30 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Vincent is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Vincent faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 52% of Vincent's total population (around 1,178 people). Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Vincent, affecting 11.2 and 8.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 64.8% of residents reported having no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across the rest of Queensland. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Vincent has 10.3% of its population aged 65 and over (234 people), lower than the 20.4% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, with national rankings higher than those of the general population.

Vincent ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Vincent's population showed low cultural diversity, with 83.1% citizens, 85.2% born in Australia, and 88.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 48.2%. The 'Other' religious category had a slight overrepresentation of 0.7%, compared to Rest of Qld's 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (26.4%), English (25.1%), and Other (11.0%) were the most represented groups in Vincent. Notably, Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 8.7% (vs regional 3.9%), Filipino at 2.8% (vs 0.9%), and Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.5%).

Vincent's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Vincent is 35 years, considerably lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 years, and modestly under the national average of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Qld average, the 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 16.6% in Vincent, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 6.6%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 25 to 34 age group grew from 13.0% to 15.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 15.0% to 16.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 16.0% to 13.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Vincent. Leading this shift, the 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 11 people, reaching 380 from 343. Meanwhile, both the 65 to 74 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.