Vincent

Vincent has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of November 2025, Vincent's estimated population is around 2,274. This reflects a 61 person increase (2.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported 2,213 people. The current resident population estimate of 2,267 by AreaSearch follows ABS' June 2024 ERP data release and address validation post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 1,749 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 63.0% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings for age cohorts lacking category splits. Projections indicate an overall population decline by 143 persons to 2041, with the 25 to 34 age group expected to grow by 67 people.

The level of residential development activity in Vincent is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Vincent has consistently shown minimal construction activity over the past five years. Less than one new dwelling has been approved annually in the area, totalling four across this period. This low level of development reflects Vincent's rural nature, where housing needs are typically specific and locally driven rather than market demand based.

The small number of developments means individual projects can significantly influence annual growth statistics. Compared to Rest of Qld and national averages, Vincent has substantially lower development levels.

With population stability or decline expected in the future, pressure on housing is likely to remain reduced, potentially presenting opportunities for buyers.

Vincent has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No factors impact a region's performance more than changes to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially affect this area. Notable projects include Harris Crossing Estate, Army Aviation Program of Works - RAAF Base Townsville, Willows Shopping Centre Redevelopment, and Weststate Private Hospital, with the following list highlighting those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Vincent face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Vincent's workforce comprises an equal distribution of white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate in Vincent is 13.5%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 995 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 9.4% compared to Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Qld's at 59.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade is particularly specialized, with a share 1.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.5% compared to the regional average of 4.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the working population vs resident population count in the Census. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.7%, with a 4.3% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 3.3 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7% and labour force grow by 2.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, losing 1,210 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth varies significantly by industry sector. Applying these projections to Vincent's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Vincent's median income among taxpayers was $52,867 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $62,144 during the same period. This compares to figures for Rest of Qld which were $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,106 (median) and $68,302 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family and personal incomes in Vincent rank modestly, between the 29th and 33rd percentiles. The earnings profile shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 36.9% of residents (839 people), aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Vincent, with only 83.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 28th percentile.

Vincent is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Vincent's dwelling structure, as assessed in the latest Census, consisted of 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Non-Metro Qld's 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Vincent was at 19.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.1% and rented ones at 45.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure was $280, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $305. Nationally, Vincent's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Vincent features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 68.7% of all households, including 24.3% couples with children, 18.6% couples without children, and 22.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for 31.3%, with lone person households at 25.8% and group households making up 5.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of Qld.

Vincent faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.7%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.8%) and certificates (35.0%). Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (13.1%), secondary education (11.6%), and tertiary education (5.1%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Vincent has eight active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with three individual routes in total. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 212.

Residents' accessibility to transport is rated as good, with an average distance of 292 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 30 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Vincent is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Vincent faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 52% (~1,178 people) have private health cover, lower than the Rest of Qld's 53.9%.

Mental health issues and asthma are most common, affecting 11.2% and 8.6% respectively, with 64.8% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 67.8% in Rest of Qld. The area has 10.2% (231 people) aged 65 and over, lower than the state's 14.9%. Senior health outcomes mirror general population trends.

Vincent ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Vincent's population showed low cultural diversity, with 83.1% being citizens, 85.2% born in Australia, and 88.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 48.2%. The 'Other' religious category was slightly overrepresented at 0.7%, compared to the regional average of 0.7%.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (26.4%), English (25.1%), and Other (11.0%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal (8.7%) Filipino (2.8%), and Welsh (0.7%) populations were higher than regional averages of 5.0%, 1.1%, and 0.4% respectively.

Vincent's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Vincent is 35 years, which is lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 years and under the national average of 38 years. The 15-24 cohort makes up 16.6% of Vincent's population, compared to Rest of Qld's average, while the 65-74 year-olds make up only 6.4%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 15.0% to 16.6%, and the 25-34 cohort has grown from 13.0% to 14.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 16.0% to 14.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Vincent. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 15 people, reaching 377 from 327. Meanwhile, both the 35-44 and 45-54 age groups are expected to decrease in number.