Vincent

Vincent has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

According to investigations of ABS demographic releases for the wider region, alongside recent address points verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Vincent contains an estimated 2,236 residents in May 2026. This indicates an expansion of 23 people (1.0%) from the 2021 Census, when the recorded population stood at 2,213 people. This trend is calculated from the resident population of 2,236, calculated by AreaSearch through analysing the June 2025 ABS ERP publication and subsequent address checks. The local population density reaches 1,720 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical level across national areas tracked by AreaSearch. The primary driver of growth was natural increase, which accounted for approximately 63.0% of the overall population gains in the most recent periods.

AreaSearch incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 using 2022 as the base point. For SA2 regions lacking this coverage, and for any timeframe past 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 and based on 2021 records are applied. Because these state figures do not break down age cohorts, AreaSearch distributes growth weightings using the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections, which rely on 2022 data. Looking at the projected demographic trends over this period, estimates show a downward trajectory in the suburb of Vincent, with the overall population projected to fall by 134 persons by 2041. Conversely, expansion is projected in certain age bands, particularly those aged 25 to 34, which should rise by 44 people. See the age section for more details.

The level of residential development activity in Vincent is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Vincent exhibits minimal construction activity, averaging under 1 approvals annually, resulting in a negligible number of new homes over the five-year period. This quiet development environment is typical of rural communities where housing demand remains low and new building is constrained by local needs and infrastructure capacity. The limited volume of projects means that single developments can significantly skew yearly statistics and comparative trends.

The suburb of Vincent naturally shows a much lower level of construction approvals than Rest of Qld, with building volumes also dropping far below national benchmarks.

With demographic forecasts pointing to flat or decreasing numbers, the suburb of Vincent could face less pressure on its housing market, generating advantageous conditions for prospective purchasers.

Vincent has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No local infrastructure changes, major projects, or planning adjustments have been identified by AreaSearch as having an influence on this area. Key regional projects include Willows Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Weststate Private Hospital, Harris Crossing Estate, and Army Aviation Program of Works - RAAF Base Townsville.

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Employment conditions in Vincent face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

The local workforce is split between white-collar and blue-collar occupations, with a notable presence of key service industries, and an overall unemployment rate of 13.5% based on statistical data compiled by AreaSearch. In March 2026938 residents were employed, and the jobless rate was 9.6% higher than the Regional Qld level of 3.9%, highlighting potential for economic progress, while participation in the labor market is slightly soft at 60.0% compared to 64.3% in Regional Qld. Census data shows that a minor 4.0% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 restriction periods.

Local workers are mostly employed in retail trade, health care & social assistance, and construction. Retail trade exhibits a high degree of local specialization, with an employment proportion 1.2 times the regional average. By contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 0.5% of local jobs compared to 4.5% across the region. The residential focus of the neighborhood seems to limit local job openings, as shown by comparing the count of Census workers against resident numbers.

According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics drawn from broader geographical boundaries, during the 12 months leading to March 2026, labor force numbers contracted by 3.3% while total employment fell by 5.2%, leading to a 1.7 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. This trend differed from Regional Qld, where employment ticked up by 0.1%, the labor force expanded by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.1 percentage points. National forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide context on upcoming employment demand in the suburb of Vincent. Map projections over five and ten years have been aligned with local industries to evaluate potential trends. Although overall Australian employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rate of change varies widely by sector. Weighting these sectoral projections against local employment patterns suggests jobs here could grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a basic weighted projection that does not factor in local population changes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to the latest postcode data from the ATO for the 2023 tax year, taxpayers in the suburb of Vincent recorded a median income of $52,867 and an average income of $62,144. These figures sit below national benchmarks, and compare with a median of $53,146 and average of $66,593 in Regional Qld. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates would sit at roughly $58,873 for the median and $69,204 for the average in March 2026. The 2021 Census indicates that household, family, and individual incomes are modest in the suburb of Vincent, ranking between the 29th and 33rd percentiles. Income distributions show that the $1,500 - 2,999 category is the most common, accounting for 36.9% of residents (825 people), which aligns with regional patterns where 31.7% fall into this bracket. Household budgets are tight, with only 83.4% of earnings remaining after housing costs, placing the area in the 28th percentile.

Vincent is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Residential structures in the suburb of Vincent at the time of the latest Census consisted of 98.2% standalone houses and 1.8% other dwelling types like apartments or townhouses, compared to Regional Qld where houses make up 76.4% and alternative dwellings account for 23.6%. The rate of outright home ownership stood at 19.4%, which was lower than the regional rate, with the remaining properties occupied by people with mortgages (35.1%) or tenants (45.5%). The typical monthly home loan payment was $1,300, which is below the Regional Qld average, while the typical weekly rental cost was $280, compared to $1,655 and $345 in Regional Qld. On a national scale, mortgage commitments here are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also well below the national figure of $375.

Vincent features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Families make up 68.7% of all local households, consisting of 24.3% couples with children, 18.6% couples without children, and 22.7% single parent households. The remaining 31.3% are non-family households, with single-person households representing 25.8% and group living situations accounting for 5.6% of the total. The typical household size is 2.5 people, which matches the Regional Qld average.

Vincent faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

Local indicators show educational hurdles, with university graduation rates at 12.7%, far lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This highlights a gap that could be addressed by targeted learning programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas at 1.9% and postgraduate degrees at 1.5%. Vocational skills are highly represented, with 43.8% of residents aged 15+ holding trade or technical certificates, split between advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificate qualifications at 35.0%.

The proportion of residents engaged in study is high, with 36.6% of the population enrolled in an educational program. This comprises 13.1% in primary school, 11.6% in high school, and 5.1% in tertiary studies.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transit data shows 8 active transit stops in the suburb of Vincent, consisting of bus services. These stops serve 3 different routes, facilitating 212 passenger trips each week. Transit links are good, with residents living an average of 292 meters from the nearest stop. Given the residential character of the area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary choice at 92%, and 2% using bicycles. The average number of vehicles per home is 1.4. A low 4.0% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

Transit services run an average of 30 trips per day across all local routes, which translates to roughly 26 weekly trips at each individual stop.

Health performance in Vincent is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch evaluations of mortality patterns and the occurrence of chronic illnesses point to significant health hurdles in the suburb of Vincent across both younger and older age brackets, alongside a low level of private health insurance coverage that sits at approximately 52% of the population, representing about 1,158 people.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most frequent medical conditions, affecting 8.6% and 11.2% of local residents, while 64.8% of the population reported no long-term illnesses compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Residents of working age face notable health difficulties with high rates of chronic illness. The suburb of Vincent has 10.6% of its population aged 65 and over (237 people), which is lower than the Regional Qld proportion of 20.4%. Senior citizens experience notable health concerns, with national rankings for chronic conditions exceeding those of the general population.

Vincent ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Indicators show lower cultural diversity in the suburb of Vincent, where 83.1% of residents are citizens, 85.2% were born in Australia, and 88.5% speak only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 48.2% of the population. The most distinct variance is in the Other category, which represents 0.7% of the population compared to 0.8% across Regional Qld.

Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the three most common ancestries in the suburb of Vincent are Australian at 26.4%, English at 25.1%, and Other at 11.0%. There are also notable differences in other groups: Australian Aboriginal heritage is highly represented at 8.7% compared to 3.9% regionally, Filipino ancestry stands at 2.8% compared to 0.9%, and Welsh ancestry is 0.7% compared to 0.5% in Regional Qld.

Vincent's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age of 35 years in the suburb of Vincent is lower than the Regional Qld average of 41 and slightly below the national median of 38. The 15 - 24 age bracket is highly represented at 16.0% compared to regional levels, whereas the 65 - 74 bracket is underrepresented at 6.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 25 to 34 age bracket expanded from 13.0% to 14.7%, while the 5 to 14 cohort decreased from 16.0% to 13.7%. Projections for 2041 point to notable age shifts in the suburb of Vincent, with the 25 to 34 group leading growth by rising 10% (31 people) to reach 360 from 328. Conversely, numbers in both the 35 to 44 and 45 to 54 brackets are expected to fall.