Aitkenvale

Aitkenvale has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, Aitkenvale's population is approximately 4,879. This figure represents an increase of 82 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,797. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 4,875 as of June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,474 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Future population trends indicate an overall decline by 2041. According to AreaSearch's methodology, the area's population is expected to shrink by 315 persons by that year. However, growth is anticipated within specific age cohorts, notably the 25 to 34 age group, projected to grow by 128 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Aitkenvale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Aitkenvale averaged approximately nine new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, totaling 48 homes. As of FY26, zero new dwellings have been approved so far. The area's population decline suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good housing choices.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $309,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, commercial approvals valued at $15.5 million have been registered, suggesting steady commercial investment activity in the area. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Aitkenvale has significantly lower building activity, 53.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, building activity has increased in recent years. Nationally, Aitkenvale's building activity is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and potential planning constraints. New building activity in Aitkenvale consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium to high-density housing.

This shift towards denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This change is notable compared to the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (75.0%). The reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements are likely factors driving this trend. With approximately 432 people per dwelling approval, Aitkenvale indicates a developed market. Given that population is expected to remain stable or decline, housing pressure in the area should be relatively low, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Aitkenvale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three major projects potentially impacting this region. Notable projects are Harris Crossing Estate, Willows Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Annandale Christian College Master Plan, and Sanctum Estate. The following details projects likely to have the greatest relevance.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Aitkenvale faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Aitkenvale has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 9.1%.

There are 2,150 residents in work while the unemployment rate is 5.1% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation is on par with Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. The area has a particular specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 0.2% employment compared to 4.5% regionally. The ratio of 1.0 workers for each resident indicates substantial local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.3% while employment declined by 1.9%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment rise by 1.7%, labour force grow by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Aitkenvale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2022 shows that median income in Aitkenvale SA2 was $49,397 with an average income of $58,390. This is lower than the Rest of Qld's median income of $50,780 and average income of $64,844. Based on a 13.99% increase in wages as per the Wage Price Index from July 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $56,308 (median) and $66,559 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Aitkenvale rank modestly between the 26th and 37th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 29.6% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, mirroring the regional trend where 31.7% fall into this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 84.7% of income remaining post-housing costs, ranking at the 27th percentile.

Aitkenvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Aitkenvale, as per the latest Census evaluation, 74.6% of dwellings were houses while 25.5% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Queensland's figures of 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aitkenvale stood at 26.7%, similar to Non-Metro Qld. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 27.1% and rented ones made up 46.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,387, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Aitkenvale was $270, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $305. Nationally, Aitkenvale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,387 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $270 compared to the national figure of $375.

Aitkenvale features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 63.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 15.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.1%, with lone person households at 31.5% and group households making up 4.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Aitkenvale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Educational qualifications in Aitkenvale trail regional benchmarks, with 23.2% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. The most common qualification is bachelor degrees at 16.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications. This includes advanced diplomas held by 9.4% of residents and certificates held by 27.0%.

Educational participation is high in Aitkenvale, with 33.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (11.1%), secondary education (9.5%), and tertiary education (6.2%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 12 active stops operating in Aitkenvale, served by buses via 11 routes offering 1,342 weekly passenger trips. Residents' average proximity to the nearest stop is 385 meters, indicating good transport accessibility. Daily service frequency averages 191 trips across all routes, equating to about 111 weekly trips per individual stop.

Service frequency averages 191 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 111 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Aitkenvale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Aitkenvale faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Approximately 49% (~2,385 people) of Aitkenvale's total population has private health cover, compared to 53.3% in the rest of Queensland and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.0%) and arthritis (8.6%), while 67.5% of residents report having no medical ailments, similar to the 67.8% figure for the rest of Queensland.

Aitkenvale has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.8% (769 people). Health outcomes among this age group require more attention than those in the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Aitkenvale was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aitkenvale's cultural diversity is above average, with 21.2% of its population born overseas and 16.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Aitkenvale, accounting for 53.5% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprises 1.3% of Aitkenvale's population, higher than the 0.7% regional average.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (25.3%), English (24.9%), and Other (12.1%) are the top three represented groups in Aitkenvale. Some ethnic groups have notable differences: Australian Aboriginal is slightly overrepresented at 5.3%, Spanish at 0.5%, and German at 3.9%.

Aitkenvale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Aitkenvale is 35 years, which is lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 years and also under the national average of 38 years. The 15-24 age group makes up 15.4% of the population in Aitkenvale, compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 65-74 age group is at 8.8%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.8% to 15.4%, and the 25-34 cohort has risen from 13.9% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 12.3% to 10.4%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Aitkenvale, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 13 people, reaching 853 from 753. Meanwhile, both the 85+ and 65-74 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.