Aitkenvale
Statistical Area - sa2

Aitkenvale has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Aitkenvale's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 4,879 people. This figure represents an increase of 82 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,797. The rise is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 4,875 in June 2024 and the addition of 14 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 1,474 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. Future population trends indicate an overall decline by 2041. According to current methodology, Aitkenvale's population is expected to shrink by 315 persons over this period. However, certain age cohorts are projected to grow, notably the 25 to 34 age group, with a projected increase of 128 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Aitkenvale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Aitkenvale averaged approximately nine new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 48 homes approved during this period. No dwelling approvals have been recorded so far in FY26. The area has experienced population decline, suggesting that new supply may be keeping pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $309,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. In the current financial year, $15.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Aitkenvale records significantly lower building activity, with 53.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, although building activity has accelerated in recent years. Nationally, this activity is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating a shift towards denser development to provide accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This trend represents a considerable change from the current housing mix of 75.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With approximately 432 people per dwelling approval, Aitkenvale demonstrates a developed market. Given that population is expected to remain stable or decline, Aitkenvale may experience reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers in the future.

Aitkenvale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 44thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to impact the area. Notable projects are Harris Crossing Estate, Willows Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Annandale Christian College Master Plan, and Sanctum Estate. The following details these projects in order of likely relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Aitkenvale faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Aitkenvale has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 9.5%.

There are 2178 residents in work while the unemployment rate is 5.6% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation is on par with Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. The area specializes in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.2% compared to 4.5% regionally. The worker-to-resident ratio of 1.0 indicates substantial local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.2% while employment declined by 5.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 2.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment rise by 1.8%, labour force grow by 2.0%, and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aitkenvale's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5%% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Aitkenvale is below the national average. The median income is $49,397 and the average income stands at $58,390. This contrasts with Rest of Qld's figures where the median income is $50,780 and the average income is $64,844. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $56,308 (median) and $66,559 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Aitkenvale, between the 27th and 37th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 29.6% of the community (1,444 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, mirroring the region where 31.7% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Aitkenvale, with only 84.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 28th percentile.

Aitkenvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Aitkenvale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 74.6% houses and 25.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aitkenvale was 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.1% and rented ones at 46.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,387, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Aitkenvale was $270, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $305. Nationally, Aitkenvale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Aitkenvale features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 63.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 15.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.1%, with lone person households at 31.5% and group households comprising 4.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Aitkenvale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Educational qualifications in Aitkenvale trail regional benchmarks, with 23.2% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (27.0%). Educational participation is high, with 33.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.1% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education. Two schools serve Aitkenvale: Riverside Adventist School and Aitkenvale State School, collectively serving 409 students as of 2021. Both schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas from 2022 onwards. School places per 100 residents (8.4) fall below the regional average (16.7), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 12 active stops in Aitkenvale, all bus services. These stops are covered by 11 routes, offering 1,342 weekly passenger trips. Resident accessibility is rated good, with an average distance of 385 meters to the nearest stop.

Services run at a frequency of 191 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 111 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Aitkenvale is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Aitkenvale faces significant health challenges with notable prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 49% of the total population (~2,385 people) have private health cover, compared to 53.3% across the Rest of Qld and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.0%) and arthritis (8.6%), while 67.5% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.8% across the Rest of Qld.

There are 15.8% residents aged 65 and over (769 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Aitkenvale was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Aitkenvale's cultural diversity was above average, with 21.2% of its population born overseas and 16.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Aitkenvale, comprising 53.5% of its population. Notably, the category 'Other' had an overrepresentation in Aitkenvale compared to the rest of Queensland, with 1.3% versus 0.7%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (25.3%), English (24.9%), and Other (12.1%). There were also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 5.3%, Spanish at 0.5%, and German at 3.9%.

Aitkenvale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Aitkenvale is 35 years, considerably lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 years and under the national average of 38 years. The 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.4% locally compared to Rest of Qld's average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 8.8%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has grown from 13.8% to 15.4%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 13.9% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 12.3% to 10.4%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 12.6% to 11.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Aitkenvale, with the 25-34 group expected to grow by 13 people (from 753 to 853). However, both the 85+ and 65-74 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.