Laurieton - Bonny Hills

Population growth drivers in Laurieton - Bonny Hills are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Laurieton-Bonny Hills' population is approximately 19,855 as of November 2025. This figure indicates a growth of 1,371 people (7.4%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,484. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,488 in June 2024 and an additional 698 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 37 persons per square kilometer. Laurieton-Bonny Hills' growth rate exceeded that of its SA4 region (4.7%) and non-metro areas, making it a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 85.3% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For uncovers areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to demographic trends, Laurieton-Bonny Hills is projected to have an above median population growth in Australian non-metropolitan areas. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 4,223 persons, reflecting a total gain of 19.4% over the 17 years based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Laurieton - Bonny Hills among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has averaged approximately 215 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 1077 homes were approved, with an additional 49 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.4 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during this period, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $331,000. This financial year has seen $29.8 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Laurieton - Bonny Hills shows moderately higher building activity, with 46.0% more approvals per person over the past five years. This level is also above the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the area.

The majority of new building activity consists of detached dwellings (89.0%), maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking family homes with space. There are approximately 106 people per dwelling approval in the location, suggesting an expanding market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Laurieton - Bonny Hills is projected to add 3850 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects potentially impacting the area. Notable ones include the Beach to Beach Shared Path project and the Lake Cathie Public School upgrade. The Whitewater Terrace Development in Lake Cathie is also notable. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Laurieton - Bonny Hills maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Laurieton-Bonny Hills has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented, unemployment is low at 3.0%, and employment stability has been maintained over the past year.

As of September 2025, there are 7,722 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation lags significantly at 42.6%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction is particularly strong, employing 1.3 times the regional level.

Public administration & safety employs only 4.6% locally, below Rest of NSW's 7.5%. Employment opportunities may be limited as Census data shows fewer working residents than locals. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels remained stable while labour force increased by 0.6%, raising unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.5% and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Statewide in NSW, employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) as of 25-Nov-25, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Laurieton-Bonny Hills' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Laurieton-Bonny Hills SA2's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2022 was $41,013. The average income stood at $51,026. These figures are below the national averages for Rest of NSW, which were $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $46,185 and average income around $57,460, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Laurieton-Bonny Hills fall between the 6th and 8th percentiles nationally for households, families, and personal incomes. The largest earnings segment comprises 5,916 residents earning $400-$799 weekly, which is 29.8% of the total. This contrasts with regional levels where the highest bracket is $1,500-$2,999 at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Laurieton-Bonny Hills, with only 84.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 9th percentile nationally.

Laurieton - Bonny Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Laurieton-Bonny Hills dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.7% houses and 15.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 75.9% houses and 24.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Laurieton-Bonny Hills stood at 56.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.7% and rented ones at 18.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro NSW's average, while the median weekly rent was $354, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Laurieton-Bonny Hills' mortgage repayments were lower at $1,733 and rents were less at $354 than the Australian averages of $1,863 and $375 respectively.

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 69.1% of all households, including 19.2% couples with children, 40.3% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.9%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Laurieton - Bonny Hills fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent, at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 43.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding them – advanced diplomas account for 10.7% and certificates for 32.8%.

A notable 21.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 8.0% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 2.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has 176 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. There are 86 individual routes serving these stops, providing a total of 807 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents on average located 223 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 115 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately four weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Laurieton - Bonny Hills is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Laurieton - Bonny Hills faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 46% (~9,212 people) have private health cover, lower than Rest of NSW's 48.6% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (14.3%) and mental health issues (8.4%), with 55.5% reporting no medical ailments, compared to Rest of NSW's 59.9%.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 38.5% (7,646 people), compared to Rest of NSW's 28.7%. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they generally perform better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Laurieton - Bonny Hills placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Laurieton-Bonny Hills showed lower cultural diversity with 88.7% of its population born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 97.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 59.4%, compared to 57.5% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (34.5%), Australian (31.2%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry was higher than regional average at 9.2%. Australian Aboriginal ancestry was represented at 3.0%, slightly lower than the regional average of 3.8%. Maltese ancestry was present at 0.4%, similar to the regional figure of 0.4%.

Laurieton - Bonny Hills ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has a median age of 58, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 19.5%, compared to 12.0% in the Rest of NSW and 9.4% nationally. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 6.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.2%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.3% to 10.2%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 20.5% to 19.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Laurieton - Bonny Hills's age profile. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 93%, reaching 1,828 from 949. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 52% of the population growth, with minimal growth (just 1%) in the 55-64 cohort.