Laurieton - Bonny Hills
Statistical Area - sa2

Laurieton - Bonny Hills lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Laurieton-Bonny Hills' population, as of November 2025, is approximately 19,855. This figure reflects a growth of 7.4% since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,484. The increase is inferred from ABS data: an estimated resident population of 19,488 in June 2024 and 698 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 37 persons per square kilometer. Laurieton-Bonny Hills' growth exceeded its SA4 region (4.7%) and non-metro areas, indicating it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 85.3% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For uncovers areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Nationally, non-metropolitan areas are projected to have above median population growth. Laurieton-Bonny Hills is expected to increase by 4,223 persons to 2041, a total increase of 19.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Laurieton - Bonny Hills among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Laurieton-Bonny Hills has averaged approximately 215 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 1,077 homes were approved, with an additional 28 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 1.4 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during this period.

This balance between supply and demand has contributed to stable market conditions. The average expected construction cost of new properties is around $331,000. In terms of commercial activity, approximately $29.8 million in approvals have been registered this financial year. Compared to the rest of NSW, Laurieton-Bonny Hills has shown elevated construction levels, with 46.0% more approvals per person over the past five years.

This level is significantly higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. The majority of new building activity involves standalone homes (89.0%), maintaining the area's traditional low-density character and appealing to those seeking family homes with space. There are approximately 106 people per dwelling approval in the area, suggesting an expanding market. Projections indicate that Laurieton-Bonny Hills is expected to grow by around 3,850 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely influencing the region. Notable initiatives include the Beach to Beach Shared Path project, planned for completion in June 2023, and the Lake Cathie Public School upgrade, scheduled from July 2022 to December 2023. The Whitewater Terrace Development at Lake Cathie is also underway, with an expected finish in September 2024.

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The labour market in Laurieton - Bonny Hills demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 2.9% as of June 2025.

Employment grew by an estimated 0.6% in the past year. There are 7,609 residents employed currently, with an unemployment rate of 0.7%, which is below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 42.6% compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Construction stands out with a share of employment that is 1.3 times the regional level. However, public administration & safety has a smaller share at 4.6%, compared to 7.5% in Rest of NSW. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data analysis. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 0.6% while labour force grew by 0.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia May 2025 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Laurieton - Bonny Hills's employment mix suggests local growth could be approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Laurieton - Bonny Hills has lower income compared to national averages. The median income is $41,013 and the average is $51,026. In contrast, Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 are approximately $46,185 (median) and $57,460 (average). Census 2021 data reveals Laurieton - Bonny Hills' household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 7th and 9th percentiles nationally. Income brackets show 29.8% of residents earn between $400-$799 annually, differing from metropolitan areas where earnings between $1,500-$2,999 prevail at 29.9%. After housing costs, 84.9% of income remains, ranking at the 9th percentile nationally.

Laurieton - Bonny Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Laurieton - Bonny Hills had 84.7% houses and 15.3% other dwellings in its latest Census evaluation, compared to Non-Metro NSW's 75.9% houses and 24.1% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 56.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.7% and rented ones at 18.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro NSW's average. The median weekly rent was $354, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Laurieton - Bonny Hills had lower mortgage repayments ($1,733 vs $1,863) and rents ($354 vs $375).

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 69.1% of all households, including 19.2% couples with children, 40.3% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.9%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Laurieton - Bonny Hills fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has university qualification rates of 16.4%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (32.8%).

A total of 21.6% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.0% in primary, 6.6% in secondary, and 2.1% in tertiary education. Laurieton - Bonny Hills has a robust network of 7 schools educating approximately 2,074 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 976) and balanced educational opportunities. The area has 6 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups, with school places per 100 residents at 10.4, below the regional average of 14.2, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Laurieton-Bonny Hills has 176 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. There are 86 individual routes serving these stops, providing a total of 807 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 223 meters to the nearest stop. On average, there are 115 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately four weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Laurieton - Bonny Hills is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Laurieton - Bonny Hills faces notable health challenges with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 46% (~9,212 people) have private health cover, lower than Rest of NSW's 48.6% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (14.3%) and mental health issues (8.4%), with 55.5% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 59.9% in Rest of NSW.

Residents aged 65 and over comprise 38.5% (7,646 people), higher than the 28.7% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but generally perform better than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Laurieton - Bonny Hills placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Laurieton-Bonny Hills, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 88.7% of residents born in Australia and 93.3% being citizens. English was spoken exclusively at home by 97.7%. Christianity was the predominant religion (59.4%), slightly higher than the Rest of NSW average (57.5%).

Ancestry-wise, the top three groups were English (34.5%), Australian (31.2%), and Irish (9.5%). Notably, Scottish ancestry was relatively high at 9.2% compared to the regional average of 8.3%. Australian Aboriginal ancestry was reported at 3.0%, slightly below the regional average of 3.8%. Maltese ancestry stood at 0.4%, equal to the regional average.

Laurieton - Bonny Hills ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Laurieton - Bonny Hills has a median age of 58, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and Australia's figure of 38. The age group of 65-74 years shows strong representation at 19.5%, compared to Rest of NSW's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 6.0%. This concentration in the 65-74 age group is well above the national figure of 9.4%. From 2021 to present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.2% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.3% to 10.2%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 20.5% to 19.5%. Demographic modeling suggests that Laurieton - Bonny Hills' age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. Leading this demographic shift, the 85+ group is projected to grow by 93%, reaching 1,828 from 949. This growth is anticipated to be driven by residents aged 65 and older, who represent 52% of the expected population increase. In contrast, the 55 to 64 cohort shows minimal growth of just 1%, with an increase of 32 people.