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2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
King Creek lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends
As of November 2025, King Creek's population is estimated at around 1,848 people. This figure reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census population of 1,863 people, marking a decline of 15 individuals (0.8%). AreaSearch validated this estimate following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and additional validation of new addresses since the Census date. This population density translates to approximately 106 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, King Creek has exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.9%, outperforming its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing around 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.
However, all demographic factors including natural growth and overseas migration were positive influences. For future projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia's SA2-level projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered areas. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Considering these projected demographic shifts, King Creek is forecasted to experience significant population growth in the top quartile of national regional areas. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 518 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 34.1% over the 17-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is lower than average in King Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows King Creek recorded around 4 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 22 homes were approved, with no approvals so far in FY-26. Based on this data, an average of 7.8 new residents per year arrived per dwelling constructed over these years.
This indicates demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. In the current financial year, $514,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, King Creek shows substantially reduced construction compared to Rest of NSW, with 70.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Nationally, this level is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.
Recent construction in King Creek comprises 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving its low-density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 99.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Looking ahead, King Creek is expected to grow by 631 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
King Creek has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally
Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting the region. Key projects are Beechwood Road Upgrade Stage 6 including Steels Bridge Wauchope, Fernbank Creek and Sancrox Structure Plan, Pacific Highway Upgrade: Hexham To Brisbane, and Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy. Relevant projects are detailed below.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy
State-wide NSW planning reforms via amendments to the State Environmental Planning Policy to enable more diverse low and mid-rise housing (dual occupancies, terraces, townhouses, manor houses and residential flat buildings up to 6 storeys) in well-located areas within 800 m of selected train, metro and light-rail stations and town centres. Stage 1 (dual occupancies in R2 zones statewide) commenced 1 July 2024. Stage 2 (mid-rise apartments, terraces and dual occupancies near stations) commenced 28 February 2025. Expected to facilitate up to 112,000 additional homes over the next five years.
Fernbank Creek and Sancrox Structure Plan
A strategic planning document that makes land use planning recommendations for the Fernbank Creek and Sancrox area, outlining a vision for sustainable conservation and development as a network of well-serviced villages. It proposes a potential dwelling yield of 4,500 homes across four precincts (including East Sancrox and Fernbank Creek) and guides future rezoning and infrastructure planning to support long-term growth near Thrumster. This plan is a key part of the Port Macquarie-Hastings Local Housing Delivery Plan which was adopted in August 2024.
NSW Renewable Energy Zones (REZ) Program
NSW is delivering five Renewable Energy Zones (Central-West Orana, New England, South West, Hunter-Central Coast and Illawarra) to coordinate new wind and solar generation, storage and high-voltage transmission. The program is led by EnergyCo NSW under the Electricity Infrastructure Roadmap. Construction of the first REZ (Central-West Orana) transmission project commenced in June 2025, with staged energisation from 2028. Across the program, NSW targets at least 12 GW of new renewable generation and 2 GW of long-duration storage by 2030.
Enabling Digital Health Services for Regional and Remote Australia
National initiative to expand and improve digital health access for people in regional and remote Australia. Focus areas include enabling telehealth and virtual care, upgrading clinical systems and connectivity, supporting secure information exchange, and building workforce capability in digital health, aligned with the Australian Government's Digital Health Blueprint and Action Plan 2023-2033.
Enabling Infrastructure for Hydrogen Production
Australia has completed the National Hydrogen Infrastructure Assessment (NHIA) to 2050 and refreshed its National Hydrogen Strategy (2024). The programmatic focus has shifted to planning and enabling infrastructure through measures such as ARENA's Hydrogen Headstart and the Hydrogen Production Tax Incentive (from April 2025). Round 2 of Hydrogen Headstart consultation occurred in 2025. Collectively these actions aim to coordinate investment in transport, storage, water and electricity inputs linked to Renewable Energy Zones and priority hubs, supporting large-scale renewable hydrogen production and future export supply chains.
Bulk Water Supply Security
Nationwide program led by the National Water Grid Authority to improve bulk water security and reliability for non-potable and productive uses. Activities include strategic planning, science and business cases, and funding of state and territory projects such as storages, pipelines, dam upgrades, recycled water and efficiency upgrades to build drought resilience and support regional communities, industry and the environment.
Beechwood Road Upgrade Stage 6 including Steels Bridge Wauchope
Upgrade of Beechwood Road between Waugh Street and Glenview Drive, replacement of timber Steels Bridge with flood-resilient concrete structure above 1% Annual Exceedance Probability flood level, and installation of new shared pathways. Project will unlock access for 1,600 new homes and provide flood-free access to Yippin Creek area.
Queensland New South Wales Interconnector
The proposed Queensland New South Wales Interconnector (QNI Connect) aims to link New England's power to Queensland over approx. 600km, enhancing network capacity by up to 1,700 MW, with anticipated completion by FY2030-31.
Employment
AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees King Creek performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia
King Creek has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0%.
As of June 2025, 1,037 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.0% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was at 61.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, the area has a high concentration in construction with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.
Manufacturing, however, has limited presence with 2.9% employment compared to 5.8% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, while labour force increased by 1.3%, resulting in a rise in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, the labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer further insight into potential future demand within King Creek. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to King Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates King Creek's median income among taxpayers is $48,396. The average income in King Creek for the same period is $59,989. Both figures are below the national average. In comparison, Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for King Creek would be approximately $54,499 (median) and $67,554 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 71st percentile ($2,088 weekly), while personal income sits at the 32nd percentile. The largest segment comprises 33.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (622 residents). After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. King Creek's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
King Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
King Creek's dwelling structure, as assessed in the latest Census, consisted of 98.8% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 75.9% houses and 24.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in King Creek stood at 49.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.6% and rented ones at 4.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in King Creek was $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, King Creek's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
King Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households constitute 87.8% of all households, including 45.5% couples with children, 34.5% couples without children, and 6.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.2%, with lone person households at 10.6% and group households at 2.0%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
King Creek demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics
The area's university qualification rate is 21.7%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 13.4% and certificates for 30.8%. Educational participation is high at 29.2%, with 10.4% in secondary education, 10.0% in primary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.
Educational facilities seem to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
King Creek has 14 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together offer 50 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 506 meters away from the nearest stop.
On average, there are 7 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
King Creek's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts
King Creek's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, with common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level. Approximately 51% (~936 people) of King Creek residents have private health cover, compared to 48.6% in the Rest of NSW.
The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.7% of residents) and asthma (8.4%), while 67.3% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 59.9% in the Rest of NSW. King Creek has 20.0% of residents aged 65 and over (369 people), lower than the 28.7% in the Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors in King Creek are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
The latest Census data sees King Creek placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics
King Creek's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 89.2% born in Australia, 94.3% being citizens, and 97.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the primary religion, comprising 63.3%, compared to 57.5% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.4%), Australian (33.2%), and Irish (7.9%).
Notably, French (0.9%) Dutch (1.6%), and Maltese (0.8%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4%, 1.1%, and 0.4% respectively.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
King Creek hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide
King Creek has a median age of 45 years, which is slightly higher than Rest of NSW's median age of 43 and considerably older than the national norm of 38. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in King Creek at 15.4%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 7.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 11.2% to 12.3% of the population. Conversely, the 65-74 age cohort has decreased from 13.2% to 12.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests King Creek's age profile will significantly change. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to expand by 111 people (39%) from 284 to 396.