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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in King Creek is $1.55m. House values have moved 3.6% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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King Creek has an estimated 1,885 residents. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years, slower than 85% of areas nationally. That puts 108 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of regional ABS updates alongside post-Census address validations, the population of the suburb of King Creek is approximately 1,885 as of Aug 2026. This represents a gain of 22 people (1.2%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 1,863 people. This trend is derived from an estimated resident count of 1,864 from the ABS ERP figures released in June 2025, combined with 9 validated new addresses confirmed after the Census. Consequently, population density stands at 108 persons per square kilometer, offering generous space per resident along with capacity for future expansion.
Over the previous ten-year span, the suburb of King Creek achieved solid momentum with a compound annual growth rate of 1.8%, exceeding the wider SA3 territory. Inward movement from interstate was the core growth driver, accounting for roughly 76.0% of recent population increases, although overseas arrivals and natural expansion also contributed positively. AreaSearch integrates SA2 projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia published in 2024 using 2022 as a base, while turning to 2022 NSW Government SA2 projections (base year 2021) for locations not covered in the federal dataset. Age-specific rates from these datasets are applied to forecast demographic shifts across all territories from 2032 to 2041. Looking forward, the suburb of King Creek is set to outpace median expansion rates for non-metropolitan Australia, with SA2-level modeling indicating an addition of 443 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 22.4% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential building activity in King Creek is remarkably quiet, averaging 2 approvals per year, or 11 dwellings across the five-year period. This subdued building pace aligns with rural settings where housing demand is modest and constrained by local capacity and infrastructure. Because of this small volume, specific individual construction projects can cause substantial shifts in annual statistics and comparative metrics. King Creek records considerably less construction activity relative to Rest of NSW, sitting well below national benchmarks as well. Furthermore, residential building additions have consisted entirely of detached houses, focusing on standalone dwellings tailored for buyers pursuing rural space and lifestyle amenities.
According to the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch, King Creek is on track to welcome 422 residents by 2041. If building volumes remain at their current limited pace, the supply of new dwellings may fall short of demographic growth, which could intensify buyer interest and place upward pressure on property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around King Creek
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 40 current infrastructure and development projects close to King Creek, worth an estimated $3.64 billion. 14 are already under construction and 14 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Regional momentum is heavily guided by capital projects, infrastructure upgrades, and local planning frameworks. AreaSearch has pinpointed 1 key initiative expected to influence the district. Prominent developments include the Beechwood Road Upgrade Stage 6 including Steels Bridge Wauchope, the Fernbank Creek and Sancrox Structure Plan, the Pacific Highway Upgrade: Hexham To Brisbane, and the Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Sovereign Place Town Centre
The commercial heart of the Sovereign Hills master planned community. Stage One is complete. The Town Centre is planned to expand to over 60,000sqm, incorporating diverse retail, a Business and Technology Park, a Health and Wellbeing Precinct, commercial offices, and a community library and town green.
Thrumster Business Park
Thrumster Business Park is an eco-friendly industrial precinct in Port Macquarie covering 120,000 sqm across 60+ lots. The development features two distinct zones: Precinct 1 for community-oriented businesses and Precinct 2 for traditional industrial use. A major expansion approved in late 2025 (PP-2023-2079) rezoned 5.5 hectares to E3 Productivity Support to accommodate 170 residential units, commercial spaces, and medical facilities. As of early 2026, Stages 1, 2, and 3 are registered, with civil works and wastewater infrastructure upgrades currently underway to support the expanded master plan.
Barton Heights Master Plan (Sovereign Hills)
A staged urban development within the Sovereign Hills masterplanned community in the Thrumster urban release area north of the Oxley Highway, Port Macquarie. The overall master plan (DA 2024/900) covers approximately 205 residential lots across multiple precincts, a business technology park, entertainment and leisure area, and associated infrastructure including koala habitat offsets across a 37.2 ha project area. Phase 1 of the Barton Heights residential precinct (91 lots) received development approval from Port Macquarie-Hastings Council and has been constructed and sold, with Barton Ridge Stage 3B and 3C both sold out by late 2025.The broader master plan DA was referred under the EPBC Act and was expected to be determined by Port Macquarie-Hastings Council by November 2025. Lewis Land Group also has a Display Village planned for the Barton Heights precinct.
Fernbank Creek and Sancrox Structure Plan
A strategic long-term vision for the Fernbank Creek and Sancrox area to develop a network of serviced villages. The plan identifies a potential yield of 4,500 dwellings across four key precincts to support Port Macquarie-Hastings region growth through 2046. It guides rezoning, infrastructure sequencing for water and sewer, and environmental conservation, forming a core part of the Local Housing Delivery Plan adopted in late 2024 and supported by NSW Government planning updates in 2025.
The Sanctuary Port Macquarie
Masterplanned residential community offering 245 premium homesites in a relaxed coastal lifestyle setting. Located 10 minutes from Port Macquarie CBD, the development includes 30 hectares of protected nature reserves with flat, elevated blocks.
Glen Eden Estate
A 68-lot residential estate in Lake Cathie offering a mix of coastal and rural living, with lots ranging in size from 465m2 to 2,972m2. The estate is fully sold out and registered, with new home builds largely complete. Located minutes from the local shopping centre, Lake Cathie Public School, Lake Cathie Beach, and walking trails, and around a 20 minute drive to Port Macquarie.
Sovereign Hills Master Planned Community
A $1.5 billion master-planned community by Lewis Land Group spanning 350 hectares in the Thrumster urban release area, planned for over 2,000 residential dwellings and supporting over 3,000 residents[cite: 1]. The community features the Sovereign Place Town Centre, a dedicated Health and Wellbeing precinct, Business and Technology Park, local schools, open parklands, and the Sovereign Rise land lease community[cite: 1]. Active construction continues across residential stages and town centre precinct expansions[cite: 1].
Tuffins Lane Sporting Precinct Drainage
Drainage infrastructure upgrade for the Tuffins Lane sporting precinct to improve field conditions and facility usability during wet weather periods.
913 residents of King Creek are employed, from a labour force of 930. Unemployment sits at 1.8%, with participation at 60.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.8% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,463, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Workforce data aggregated by AreaSearch highlights a proficient local labour pool with solid presence in essential services and an unemployment rate of only 1.8%. As of March 2026, employed residents number 913, with local unemployment tracking 2.3% beneath the 4.1% recorded for Regional NSW, while labour force participation matches the regional benchmark of 60.6%. Census figures show that 14.1% of workers carried out their roles from home, although pandemic-related restrictions during that period should be noted. The primary employment sectors for local workers are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
The local economy displays an exceptionally heavy footprint in construction, engaging workers at 1.4 times the regional norm. Conversely, manufacturing constitutes a minor share, engaging only 2.9% of the local workforce relative to 5.8% across Regional NSW. A comparison between working-age locals and local jobs indicates that the suburb functions largely as a dormitory enclave with scarce on-site employment. AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS and SALM records indicates that over the 12 months to March 2026, the local labour force shrank by 5.1% and total employment dropped by 5.2%, while jobless numbers held steady. By comparison, Regional NSW experienced a 0.9% decrease in employment, a 0.4% reduction in the labour force, and a 0.5 percentage points rise in unemployment. Long-term outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context on potential employment trajectories. While national headcount is anticipated to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, industry trajectories vary widely. Weighting these national sector trends against King Creek's local industry composition points to an estimated local jobs expansion of 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this illustrative extrapolation excludes local demographic projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in King Creek is $2,088 a week (about $109,000 a year), with median personal income at $721 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,396 a year against an average of $59,989. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to ATO postcode figures released for financial year 2023 via AreaSearch, taxpayers in King Creek generated a median income of $48,396 and an average of $59,989, sitting lower than national figures and lagging Regional NSW benchmarks of $52,390 (median) and $65,215 (average). Factoring in a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 brings updated estimates to roughly $53,390 median and $66,180 average as of March 2026. At the Census, household earnings placed at the 71st percentile ($2,088 weekly), whereas individual earnings sat at the 32nd percentile.
In terms of earnings distribution, 33.7% of residents (635 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, closely mirroring the wider regional level of 29.9%. Residents preserve 88.2% of their income after paying for housing, underpinning solid disposable resources and positioning the area within the 6th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
King Creek had 609 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 1% apartments. 46% are owned with a mortgage, 5% rented and 50% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $410 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data reveals that standalone houses make up 98.8% of dwellings in King Creek, with remaining formats like townhouses and apartments accounting for only 1.2%, contrasted with 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings in Regional NSW. Outright ownership is notably elevated at 49.7%, exceeding regional benchmarks, while mortgaged properties make up 45.6% and rental accommodation represents 4.7%. Typical monthly mortgage costs reached $2,167, well above the Regional NSW figure of $1,733 and the Australian benchmark of $1,863. Median weekly rent stood at $410, surpassing both the regional level of $330 and the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
King Creek counted 609 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.0 people each. 46% are couples with children, more than in 90% of areas nationally, against 35% couples without children. 11% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Households in the area are predominantly family-oriented, accounting for 87.8% of the total, with couples with children making up 45.5%, couples without children representing 34.5%, and single-parent homes at 6.8%. The remaining 12.2% consists of non-family living arrangements, encompassing single-person dwellings at 10.6% and shared residences at 2.0%. The typical household comprises 3.0 people, exceeding the 2.4 average recorded across Regional NSW.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
21.7% of adults in King Creek hold a university qualification, including 15.5% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 30.8% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Educational attainment reveals an area for improvement, as tertiary degree holders account for 21.7% of the population, trailing the broader state rate of 32.2% across NSW. Bachelor qualifications constitute 15.5%, graduate diplomas represent 3.4%, and postgraduate degrees make up 2.8%. Meanwhile, technical and trade expertise is well established, with 44.2% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, including 13.4% with advanced diplomas and 30.8% holding certificates. A substantial proportion of the community is engaged in study, with 29.2% actively attending educational institutions. This comprises 10.4% in high school, 10.0% in primary school, and 2.8% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around King Creek means driving: households keep an average of 2.3 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local transit infrastructure includes 17 active transport stops across King Creek accommodating train and bus services. These facilities connect to 12 individual routes that deliver a total of 62 weekly passenger trips, with residents situated an average of 454 meters from their closest boarding point. Given the residential profile, commuting is largely outbound, with private vehicles accounting for 99% of trips. Average motor vehicle ownership is elevated at 2.3 per dwelling, while 14.1% of the workforce operated from home according to the 2021 Census. Transit services operate at an overall rate of 8 trips per day across all available routes, translating to roughly 3 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.3% of residents in King Creek report no long-term health condition. 5.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators compiled by AreaSearch demonstrate positive wellness metrics across King Creek, with both younger cohorts and older demographics displaying low rates of chronic conditions and mortality. Around 51% of the population (~955 people) hold private health insurance, trailing the Australian standard of 55.7%. Asthma and arthritis represent the primary health issues identified locally, diagnosed in 8.4% and 9.7% of locals, respectively, while 67.3% report no long-term medical conditions, outperforming the Regional NSW rate of 63.3%. Working-age health outcomes remain consistent with typical standards, while seniors—who comprise 21.4% of the population (403 people), beneath the 23.3% regional benchmark—exhibit particularly favorable wellness levels that outrank national figures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
King Creek is largely Australian-born, at 89.2% of residents, with 2.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.4%) and Australian (33.2%). 3.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in King Creek is relatively low, with Australian-born residents comprising 89.2% of the community, 94.3% holding citizenship, and 97.8% speaking exclusively English at home. Christianity represents the dominant religious affiliation, embraced by 63.3% of residents compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. Regarding ancestral background, English ancestry is the most widely reported at 33.4%, closely followed by Australian at 33.2% and Irish at 7.9%. Several smaller heritages exhibit higher concentrations than the surrounding region, including Dutch at 1.6% (compared to 1.0% regionally), French at 0.9% (versus 0.4%), and Maltese at 0.8% (versus 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of King Creek is 45, older than 80% of areas nationally. 19.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in King Creek aligns closely with Regional NSW, remaining within 5.3 percentage points of regional shares across all major age tiers. The estimated median age stands at 45 as at August 2026, identical to the 2021 Census figure and higher than both the regional benchmark of 43 and the national median of 38 at that Census. Residents aged 45 - 64 have seen their proportion decline from 30.4% at the Census to 29.1%. Projections suggest this 45 - 64 age group will generate significant expansion by 2041, increasing by 26% (144 residents) to reach 693, while the elderly group (65+) is anticipated to experience the fastest rise, climbing 31% to 530.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for King Creek
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 9 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (1,863 at the 2021 Census → 1,885 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12153). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.