Kendall

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kendall reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, Kendall's estimated population is around 1,515 as of Nov 2025. This reflects a 362 person increase (31.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported 1,153 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1,484 residents in Jun 2024 and 149 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 109 persons per square kilometer. Kendall's growth exceeded the SA4 region (4.7%) and non-metro area, making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 85% to population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, with a base year of 2021. Future trends project above median growth for non-metro areas nationally, with Kendall expected to grow by 264 persons to 2041, reflecting a reduction of 2.6% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Kendall when compared nationally

Between FY-17 and FY-21, Kendall saw approximately 25 new homes approved annually. This totals around 126 homes over these five financial years. As of FY-26, there have been 8 approvals recorded. On average, each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25 has accommodated about 0.7 new residents per year.

The average construction cost for new properties in Kendall is around $431,000, which is somewhat higher than regional norms. This financial year, there have been $250,000 worth of commercial approvals registered, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Kendall has 172.0% more development activity per person, offering buyers ample choice and reflecting robust developer interest in the area. Detached dwellings make up 87.0% of new developments, with attached dwellings comprising the remaining 13.0%, preserving Kendall's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 39 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market.

Despite stable or declining population forecasts, Kendall may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Kendall has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Pacific Highway Upgrade: Hexham To Brisbane, Low And Mid-Rise Housing Policy, Corridor Preservation For East Coast High Speed Rail, and Queensland New South Wales Interconnector. The following list outlines those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Kendall has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Kendall's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services sectors well-represented. The unemployment rate was 3.9% in September 2025, similar to Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Workforce participation was also comparable at 56.4%. Key employment areas include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction had particularly high representation with levels 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, public administration & safety showed lower representation at 3.9% versus the regional average of 7.5%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparison. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 0.2%, labour force by 0.8%, raising unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.5%, labour force contracted by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National unemployment was higher at 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kendall's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released in financial year 2022, Kendall had a median income among taxpayers of $45,951. The average income stood at $57,170. This is lower than the national average and compares to levels of $49,459 and $62,998 across Rest of NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $51,745 for median income and $64,379 for average income as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Kendall all fall between the 18th and 27th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 35.2% of Kendall's population (533 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, 85.3% of income remains, ranking at the 28th percentile nationally.

Kendall is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kendall's housing structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 75.9% houses and 24.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kendall was at 41.5%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (39.6%) or rented (18.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent was $342, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $375. Nationally, Kendall's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Kendall features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.0% of all households, including 27.7% couples with children, 31.7% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 19.3% and group households comprising 4.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Kendall fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (33.9%). Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.2% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kendall has 21 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus services. These stops are covered by 28 different routes, offering a total of 462 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered excellent, with residents on average located 190 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 66 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kendall is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Kendall faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent among both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 50%, covering around 751 people, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most frequent medical issues are arthritis (affecting 11.2% of residents) and mental health problems (impacting 10.4%). A total of 60.9% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of NSW's 59.9%. Kendall has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.2%, with around 336 people, compared to Rest of NSW's 28.7%.

The latest Census data sees Kendall placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kendall's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 92.2% of its population born in Australia, 94.1% being citizens, and 98.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Kendall, comprising 49.5% of people, compared to 57.5% across the Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups in Kendall are English (35.4%), Australian (33.3%), and Irish (9.4%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 4.7% in Kendall than regionally at 3.8%. Hungarian representation is also notably higher at 0.3%, compared to the regional figure of 0.2%, and Spanish representation is higher at 0.5% versus 0.2%.

Kendall hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Kendall's median age is 47 years, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and substantially exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 16.3% of the population, while those aged 25-34 are comparatively smaller at 9.3%. This concentration of those aged 55-64 is well above the national average of 11.2%. Since 2021, the age group of 35 to 44 has grown from 9.7% to 10.8%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 7.7% to 8.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.2% to 12.2%. By 2041, Kendall is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. The 85+ group will grow by 65%, reaching 60 people from 36. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.