Condobolin

Condobolin has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Condobolin's population is around 6,357 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 15 people (0.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,372 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,351 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 46 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 0.40 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. While Condobolin experienced a 0.2% decline since the census, the SA3 area achieved 0.8% growth, highlighting divergent population trends. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 54.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 1,036 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 52 people. See the age section for more details.

The level of residential development activity in Condobolin is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Condobolin has averaged around 10 new dwelling approvals per year, with 50 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 6 so far in FY-26. With population declining over recent years, new supply has likely been keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $471,000, showing that developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. There have also been $6.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against the Rest of NSW, Condobolin shows approximately half the construction activity per person and places among the 20th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New building activity consists of 78.0% detached houses and 22.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 95.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated count of 809 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Condobolin should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Condobolin has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 11 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Lachlan Views Estate (Scott Street Sub-division), GrainCorp Condobolin Rail Siding Upgrade, NSW Heavy Vehicle Rest Stops Program (TfNSW), and NSW Inland Rail Interface Improvements, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Condobolin recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Condobolin has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 4.7%. As of December 2025, 3,200 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.8% above Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (67.0% compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 14.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise agriculture, forestry & fishing, education & training, and health care & social assistance. The area has a particular employment specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 5.7 times the regional level. In contrast, health care & social assistance employs just 11.3% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 16.9%. While local employment opportunities exist in the area, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of Census working population to local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.5% alongside a 3.9% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 1.4 percentage points. By comparison, Regional NSW recorded an employment decline of 1.2%, a labour force decline of 0.8%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Condobolin. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Condobolin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 4.8% over five years and 11.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Condobolin SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $47,084 with the average level standing at $55,303. This is lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $52,390 and $65,215 across Regional NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $51,256 (median) and $60,203 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Condobolin all fall between the 13th and 18th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate the largest segment comprises 30.0% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,907 residents), reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. While housing costs are modest with 91.6% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 22nd percentile nationally.

Condobolin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Condobolin, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.9% houses and 5.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Condobolin was well beyond that of Regional NSW, at 46.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (25.6%) or rented (27.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional NSW average at $867, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $180, compared to Regional NSW's $1,733 and $330. Nationally, Condobolin's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Condobolin features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 66.8% of all households, comprising 26.7% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.2%, with lone person households at 31.4% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people matches the Regional NSW average.

Condobolin faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (15.3%) substantially below the NSW average of 32.2%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (27.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.9% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 317 active transport stops operating within Condobolin comprising a mix of train and buses. These stops are serviced by 42 individual routes, collectively providing 572 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 237 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 8% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. Some 14.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 81 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 1 weekly trip per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Condobolin is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Condobolin, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~3,013 people). This compares to 51.9% across Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 10.6 and 10.2% of residents, respectively, while 63.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 22.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,424 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Condobolin placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Condobolin was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.5% of its population being citizens, 94.4% born in Australia, and 96.1% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Condobolin is Christianity, which makes up 73.0% of people in Condobolin, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Condobolin are Australian, comprising 34.4% of the population, English, comprising 28.2% of the population, and Australian Aboriginal, comprising 13.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.6%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Irish is represented at 8.1% of Condobolin (vs 8.8% regionally) and Scottish at 7.5% (vs 8.0%).

Condobolin's population is slightly older than the national pattern

At 41 years, Condobolin's median age is somewhat lower than the Regional NSW average of 43 yet modestly exceeds the 38-year national average. The 5 - 14 age group shows strong representation at 13.9% compared to Regional NSW, whereas the 75 - 84 cohort is less prevalent at 7.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 11.4% to 12.6% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 9.3% to 10.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 14.7% to 13.9%. Demographic modeling suggests Condobolin's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 7%, adding 29 residents to reach 473. Senior residents (65+) will drive 100% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 25 to 34 cohorts.