Condobolin

Condobolin has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Condobolin is estimated to be 6,348 as of May 2026. This represents a decline of 24 individuals (0.4%) from the 6,372 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This population shift is calculated from the ABS estimated resident population of 6,345 in June 2025 combined with 46 validated new addresses registered since the Census. With this population level, the density stands at 0.40 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious environment for residents. The minor 0.4% contraction in Condobolin was slightly more favorable than the overall SA3 area decline of -0.6%. Overseas migration served as the primary driver of population growth, representing roughly 52.6% of all population increases in recent times.

AreaSearch utilizes the projections published by the ABS and Geoscience Australia in 2024, using 2022 as the base year, for each SA2 area. For SA2 areas where these datasets are unavailable, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 base year are substituted. Growth trajectories across different age cohorts from these sources are likewise applied to all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Based on these demographic models, the overall population is projected to contract, losing 1,024 persons by 2041. Conversely, expansion is expected within select age groups, particularly the 75 to 84 cohort, which is forecast to increase by 35 people.

The level of residential development activity in Condobolin is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Condobolin records an average of approximately 10 residential development approvals annually, with 50 dwellings approved over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and 13 approvals documented so far in FY-26. Relative to the population contraction over this timeframe, construction volumes have been appropriate, representing a favorable scenario for buyers, while the average estimated value of new builds is $471,000, indicating a developer focus on higher-end, premium housing. Additionally, commercial building approvals have reached $6.9 million this financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential character of the locality.

In comparison to the Rest of NSW, building activity per capita in Condobolin is roughly half, placing the area in the 20th percentile of all assessed areas in Australia, which restricts options for prospective buyers and sustains demand for established properties. This construction rate sits below the national benchmark, indicating a mature market and potential regulatory bottlenecks. Detached houses account for 78.0% of new projects, while attached designs make up 22.0%, retaining a low-density character focused on single-family properties that appeal to buyers seeking space. This configuration is a notable shift from the current housing profile, which consists of 95.0% houses, showing that developable land is becoming scarcer and that developers are adapting to shifting buyer budgets and lifestyles. The ratio of 806 people per approved dwelling underscores the quiet nature of local development.

Given that demographic projections point toward stable or contracting numbers, Condobolin is anticipated to experience lighter demand pressure on its housing stock, which is advantageous for prospective buyers.

Condobolin has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and planning schemes are critical drivers of local performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects likely to influence the local area. Key developments include the Lachlan Views Estate (Scott Street Sub-division), the GrainCorp Condobolin Rail Siding Upgrade, the NSW Heavy Vehicle Rest Stops Program (TfNSW), and the NSW Inland Rail Interface Improvements, with details provided for the most significant undertakings.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Condobolin shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

The labor force in Condobolin displays a balanced mix of professional and manual occupations across diverse industries, alongside an unemployment rate of 4.7%. As of March 2026, employed residents count 3,196, while the jobless rate sits 0.6% higher than the Regional NSW average of 4.1%, and the participation rate is notably elevated at 66.7% compared to the regional figure of 60.6%. Census data indicates that 14.3% of the working population performed their duties from home, though this figure may have been influenced by past pandemic restrictions.

The primary employment sectors for local workers are agriculture, forestry & fishing, education & training, and health care & social assistance. The community is heavily specialized in agriculture, forestry & fishing, which employs residents at a rate 5.7 times that of the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance represents an underrepresented sector, employing 11.3% of local workers compared to 16.9% across Regional NSW. A comparison between the Census working population and the local resident count suggests a significant portion of the workforce travels outside the area for employment.

AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics shows that during the 12 months ending March 2026, the local workforce shrank by 1.2% while employment decreased by 2.3%, leading to a 1.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. Meanwhile, Regional NSW saw employment fall by 0.9% and the labor force shrink by 0.4%, resulting in a 0.5 percentage point increase in joblessness. Employment projections released in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future labor demand in Condobolin. These five- and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth. Nationally, employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though these rates vary widely by industry. Weighting these national trends against the local industry mix suggests employment in Condobolin could grow by 4.8% over five years and 11.2% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The latest postcode-level data from the ATO for the 2023 financial year indicates that incomes in the Condobolin SA2 remain below national standards, with a median of $47,084 and an average of $55,303. This is lower than the Regional NSW median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Adjusting for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year yields estimated current figures of approximately $51,943 for the median and $61,010 for the average as of March 2026. According to the Census, household, family, and individual incomes in Condobolin rank within the 13th to 18th percentiles nationally. The largest income bracket contains 30.0% of the local population (1,904 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the metropolitan rate of 29.9% for this group. Although residents retain 91.6% of their income due to low housing expenses, total disposable income sits at the 22nd percentile nationwide.

Condobolin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Residential structures in Condobolin at the time of the latest Census consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.1% alternative dwellings such as townhouses, apartments, or other structures, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings in Regional NSW. Homeownership rates were elevated at 46.7%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 25.6% and rental homes making up 27.7%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $867 was considerably lower than the Regional NSW average of $1,733, while the median weekly rent of $180 was also below the regional benchmark of $330. Nationally, Condobolin's mortgage costs are far lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are much lower than the national figure of $375.

Condobolin features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Families make up the majority of households at 66.8%, consisting of couples with children at 26.7%, couples without children at 28.5%, and single parents at 10.3%. The remaining 33.2% are non-family households, which include single-person households at 31.4% and group shared homes at 1.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, matching the average for Regional NSW.

Condobolin faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

Educational attainment in the region shows some deficits, with university graduation rates at 15.3%, which is much lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This situation presents a clear opportunity for targeted educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees represent 11.1%, postgraduate degrees comprise 2.4%, and graduate diplomas make up 1.8%. Vocational qualifications are common, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 8.5% and certificates at 27.8%.

Enrollment rates are high, with 32.2% of the local population engaged in formal study. This student cohort is divided into 14.9% in primary school, 8.5% in high school, and 2.0% in higher education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport options in Condobolin include 317 active stops offering a combination of train and bus services. These facilities are served by 42 distinct routes, which provide a total of 572 passenger journeys each week. Accessibility is rated as good, with typical residential distances to the nearest stop averaging 237 meters. Given the residential nature of the area, most residents travel outwards for work, with private cars remaining the primary mode at 88% and walking accounting for 8%. Vehicle ownership rates average 1.6 cars per home. Work-from-home arrangements were recorded for 14.3% of workers in the 2021 Census, though this may reflect temporary pandemic conditions.

Service frequency across all local routes averages 81 trips per day, which represents approximately 1 weekly trip per transport stop. The accompanying map illustrates the locations of the 100 nearest stops relative to the center of the area.

Health performance in Condobolin is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health assessments indicate notable issues in Condobolin, with AreaSearch pointing to high mortality rates and chronic illness rates across younger and older demographics, alongside a low private health insurance rate of roughly 47% of the population (~3,008 people). This compares to a coverage rate of 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent health issues, affecting 10.6% and 10.2% of the population respectively, while 63.5% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, close to the Regional NSW average of 63.3%. The working-age cohort faces notable challenges with higher rates of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and older represent 22.7% of the population (1,440 people), and the health profiles of these seniors show challenges that rank higher than those of the broader national population.

The latest Census data sees Condobolin placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cultural diversity in Condobolin is lower than average, with citizens making up 85.5% of the population, 94.4% of residents born in Australia, and 96.1% of households speaking only English. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, representing 73.0% of the community, compared to 55.9% in Regional NSW.

Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the three largest groups in Condobolin are Australian at 34.4%, English at 28.2%, and Australian Aboriginal at 13.1%, with the Aboriginal proportion being significantly higher than the Regional NSW average of 4.6%. Other heritage groups show distinct rates, with Irish heritage recorded at 8.1% (compared to 8.8% regionally) and Scottish heritage at 7.5% (compared to 8.0% regionally).

Condobolin's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Condobolin's median age of 41 years is slightly below the Regional NSW average of 43, but exceeds the national median of 38 years. The 5 - 14 age group is well-represented at 13.9% compared to Regional NSW, whereas the 15 - 24 cohort is less common at 10.7%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 grew from 9.3% to 10.7%, and the 65 to 74 group rose from 11.4% to 12.6%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 group fell from 13.6% to 12.8%. Long-term projections indicate significant changes by 2041, with the 75 to 84 cohort expected to grow by 7%, adding 31 residents to reach 496. Seniors aged 65 and over are projected to account for 100% of net population growth, highlighting the aging trend, while declines are forecast for the 45 to 54 and 0 to 4 brackets.