Narromine

Narromine has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Narromine's population is around 6,611 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 153 people (2.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,458 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,501 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1.1 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Narromine's 2.4% growth since the census positions it within 0.8 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 74.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 845 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to grow by 69 people. See the age section for more details.

The level of residential development activity in Narromine is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Narromine has experienced around 12 dwellings receiving development approval per year, totalling 62 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. With population declining over recent years, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $393,000. There have also been $3.7 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

Compared to the rest of NSW, Narromine has significantly less development activity (67.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This level is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New development consists of 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an expanding range of medium-density options creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 94.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. The estimated count of 577 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Narromine may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Narromine has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 43rdth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 22 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Macquarie Estate, Narromine Water Treatment Plant, Rail Corridor Program - Narromine To Gowrie, and Narromine Industrial Precinct, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Narromine demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Narromine possesses a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of just 2.9%. As of December 2025, 2,936 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.0% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (58.4% compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 14.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 4.8 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 13.0% versus the regional average of 16.9%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 5.4% alongside a 5.7% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional NSW, where employment contracted by 1.2%, the labour force fell by 0.8%, and unemployment rose 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Narromine. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Narromine's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 12.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Narromine SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $49,708 while the average income stands at $57,362. This contrasts with Regional NSW's figures of a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $54,112 (median) and $62,444 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Narromine, between the 21st and 32nd percentiles. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.1% of the community (1,989 individuals), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 29.9%. While housing costs are modest with 89.1% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 28th percentile nationally.

Narromine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Narromine, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 93.9% houses and 6.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Narromine was well beyond that of Regional NSW, at 44.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (30.1%) or rented (25.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional NSW average at $1,200, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $240, compared to Regional NSW's $1,733 and $330. Nationally, Narromine's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Narromine has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 68.5% of all households, comprising 26.4% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 29.1% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Narromine faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (15.7%) substantially below the NSW average of 32.2%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.1%) and certificates (30.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 10.4% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 332 active transport stops operating within Narromine, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 42 individual routes, collectively providing 1,147 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 188 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 90%, with 7% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. Some 14.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 163 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Narromine is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Narromine, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~3,146 people). This compares to 51.9% across Regional NSW. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 10.1 and 9.4% of residents, respectively, while 64.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Working-age residents show an above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 21.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,418 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Narromine placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Narromine was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.6% of its population being citizens, 95.4% born in Australia, and 97.8% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Narromine is Christianity, which makes up 73.3% of people in Narromine, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Narromine are Australian, comprising 33.1% of the population, English, comprising 28.8% of the population, and Australian Aboriginal, comprising 14.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.6%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Irish is represented at 7.9% of Narromine (vs 8.8% regionally) and Scottish at 7.3% (vs 8.0%).

Narromine's population is slightly older than the national pattern

At 41 years, Narromine's median age is somewhat lower than the Regional NSW average of 43 yet modestly exceeds the 38-year national average. The 0 - 4 age group shows strong representation at 7.2% compared to Regional NSW, whereas the 65 - 74 cohort is less prevalent at 10.6%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 10.6% to 12.1% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 14.9% to 13.2% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 13.3% to 12.0%. Demographic modeling suggests Narromine's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 35%, adding 60 residents to reach 232. Senior residents (65+) will drive 100% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 35 to 44 and 45 to 54 cohorts.