Nyngan - Warren
Statistical Area - sa2

Nyngan - Warren has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Nyngan-Warren's population is 4,593 as of Aug 2025. This shows an increase of 2 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 4,591. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 4,550 in June 2024 and additional 35 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 0.20 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Nyngan-Warren has had a compound annual growth rate of -1.4%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.1% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. For years 2032 to 2041, growth rates by age group are applied across all areas. According to these projections, Nyngan-Warren's population is expected to decrease by 1,037 persons by 2041.

The level of residential development activity in Nyngan - Warren is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Nyngan-Warren has seen approximately 9 dwellings receive development approval annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics generates this data on a financial year basis. Between FY20 and FY25, around 46 dwellings were approved, with none yet recorded in FY26. Population decline in recent years suggests new supply has kept pace with demand, offering good buyer choice.

Average construction value is $499,000. Commercial development approvals totaled $11.7 million this financial year, indicating balanced activity compared to the Rest of NSW. Nyngan-Warren exhibits 102.0% higher construction activity per person than the Rest of NSW, though recent easing suggests possible market maturity and development constraints. New developments consist of 78.0% detached dwellings and 22.0% attached dwellings, preserving low density while catering to space-seeking buyers, marking a shift from current housing patterns (93.0% houses). The area's quiet development environment is reflected in its estimated 923 people per dwelling approval. With population stability or decline expected, reduced pressure on housing may create buyer opportunities.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Nyngan - Warren should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Nyngan - Warren has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that may affect this region. Notable initiatives include the Macquarie-Castlereigh Alluvium Water Resource Plan, Newell Highway Upgrade, Inland Rail - Narromine to Narrabri, and Trangie Town Centre Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

While Nyngan - Warren retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.6%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Nyngan-Warren has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 3.6%.

The area's employment aligns with Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7% and workforce participation at 56.4%. Dominant sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, education & training, mining. Nyngan-Warren specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with a sector share 5.3 times the regional level. Health care & social assistance is under-represented at 8.7% compared to Rest of NSW's 16.9%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data analysis. Over June 2024 to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.0%, employment declined by 3.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5% and national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest Nyngan-Warren's local employment growth could be approximately 4.8% over five years and 11.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the area's employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Nyngan - Warren is below the national average. The median income is $49,436 and the average income stands at $61,047. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $49,459 and the average income is $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Nyngan - Warren would be approximately $54,676 (median) and $67,518 (average) as of March 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Nyngan - Warren rank modestly, between the 24th and 39th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the predominant cohort spans 29.7% of locals (1,364 people) in the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to metropolitan regions where this cohort also represents 29.9%. Housing costs are manageable with 91.0% retained, but disposable income sits below average at the 34th percentile.

Nyngan - Warren is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Nyngan-Warren's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 92.8% houses and 7.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Non-Metro NSW had 90.0% houses and 10.0% other dwellings. Nyngan-Warren's home ownership level was higher at 45.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.4% and rented ones at 29.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,083, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $200. Non-Metro NSW's averages were $1,000 for mortgage repayments and $180 for rents. Nationally, Nyngan-Warren's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyngan - Warren features high concentrations of lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.4% of all households, including 25.4% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.6%, with lone person households at 32.4% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Nyngan - Warren faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 15.9%, substantially below the NSW average of 32.2%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 8.4% and certificates at 27.2%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education. A robust network of 8 schools operates within Nyngan - Warren, educating approximately 775 students while Nyngan - Warren demonstrates varied educational conditions across the region. The educational mix includes 6 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyngan-Warren has 195 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 31 individual routes serving these stops, providing a total of 240 weekly passenger trips.

The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 197 meters. On average, there are 34 trips per day across all routes, equating to about one weekly trip per stop.

Health performance in Nyngan - Warren is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Nyngan-Warren faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,296 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.5 and 8.9% of residents respectively. A total of 66.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the 65.9% across Rest of NSW. As of June 2021, 23.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,065 people), which is higher than the 20.2% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, performing similarly to the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Nyngan - Warren placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Nyngan-Warren has a cultural diversity below average, with 87.3% citizens, 93.5% born in Australia, and 96.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion, at 73.8%, compared to 67.2% regionally. The top ancestry groups are Australian (34.3%), English (28.7%), and Australian Aboriginal (12.5%), lower than the regional average of 18.4%.

Irish representation is notably higher at 9.7% versus 8.0%, while French stands at 0.4% compared to 0.2% regionally.

Nyngan - Warren hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Nyngan-Warren's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Nyngan-Warren has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.6%) but fewer aged 35-44 (9.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of those aged 85+ has increased from 3.3% to 4.3%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 has decreased from 13.0% to 10.5%. By 2041, significant shifts in age composition are expected in Nyngan-Warren. The 85+ group is projected to grow by -6 people (-6%), reaching 185 from 197 currently. Meanwhile, the 85+ and 25-34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.