Nyngan - Warren
Statistical Area - sa2

Nyngan - Warren has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Nyngan-Warren's population is approximately 4,593 as of Aug 2025, a rise of 2 people (0.0%) since the 2021 Census figure of 4,591. This increase is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 4,550 in June 2024 and 35 validated new addresses post-Census. The population density ratio is 0.20 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Nyngan-Warren's compound annual growth rate was -1.4%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed about 54.1% of recent population gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 (base year: 2021) are used. Age group growth rates apply to all areas until 2041. By then, the population is projected to decrease by 1,037 persons.

The level of residential development activity in Nyngan - Warren is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Nyngan-Warren has seen approximately 12 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 61 homes were approved, with one already approved in FY26. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has been meeting demand, providing good options for buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $499,000. This financial year has seen $11.7 million in commercial development approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity compared to the rest of NSW. Nyngan-Warren shows 99.0% higher construction activity per person than the Rest of NSW, offering ample choice for buyers, although recent construction activity has eased. Nationally, however, construction activity is lower, reflecting market maturity and potential development constraints. New developments consist of 78.0% detached dwellings and 22.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's low-density nature and appealing to space-seeking buyers. This shift from the current 93.0% houses suggests diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

With an estimated 923 people per dwelling approval, Nyngan-Warren has a quiet development environment. Given expected population stability or decline, housing pressure should remain low, potentially creating buying opportunities.

Nyngan - Warren has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include the Macquarie-Castlereigh Alluvium Water Resource Plan, Newell Highway Upgrade, Trangie Town Centre Plan, and Trangie-Nevertire Syphon Project. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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While Nyngan - Warren retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.6%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Nyngan-Warren has a balanced workforce with white and blue-collar jobs and diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate is 3.6%.

As of June 2025, there are 2130 residents employed, aligning with Rest of NSW's 3.7% unemployment rate and 56.4% participation rate. Dominant sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing (5.3 times regional level), education & training, and mining. Health care & social assistance is under-represented at 8.7%. Some residents commute for work based on Census data.

Between June 2024 to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.0% and employment declined by 3.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project growth of approximately 4.8% over five years and 11.0% over ten years for Nyngan-Warren, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Nyngan - Warren has an income below the national average. The median income is $49,436 and the average income is $61,047. In comparison, Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Nyngan - Warren would be approximately $55,670 (median) and $68,745 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Nyngan - Warren rank modestly, between the 24th and 39th percentiles. Income brackets show that 29.7% of locals (1,364 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 category, which is similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort also represents 29.9%. Housing costs allow for 91.0% retention, but disposable income ranks below average at the 34th percentile.

Nyngan - Warren is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Nyngan-Warren, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.8% houses and 7.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 90.0% houses and 10.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nyngan-Warren was at 45.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.4% and rented ones at 29.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average. The median weekly rent was $200, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $180. Nationally, Nyngan-Warren's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,083 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $200 compared to the national figure of $375.

Nyngan - Warren features high concentrations of lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.4% of all households, including 25.4% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.6%, with lone person households at 32.4% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the average for the Rest of NSW at 2.3.

Nyngan - Warren faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The university qualification rate in the area is 15.9%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificates (27.2%). Educational participation is high at 30.5%, with 12.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Nyngan-Warren has a network of eight schools educating approximately 775 students. The educational mix includes six primary schools, one secondary school, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyngan-Warren has 195 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 31 individual routes that collectively provide 240 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents located an average of 197 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 34 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately one weekly trip per stop.

Health performance in Nyngan - Warren is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Nyngan-Warren faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,296 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.5% and 8.9% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.3% of residents declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.9% across Rest of NSW. As of 2016 Census data, the area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,065 people), which is higher than the 20.2% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Nyngan - Warren placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Nyngan-Warren has a cultural diversity level below average, with 87.3% citizens, 93.5% born in Australia, and 96.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Nyngan-Warren, comprising 73.8%, compared to 67.2% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (34.3%), English (28.7%), and Australian Aboriginal (12.5%), which is lower than the regional average of 18.4%.

Notably, Irish ethnicity is overrepresented at 9.7%, compared to 8.0% regionally, while French ethnicity stands at 0.4%, versus 0.2% regionally.

Nyngan - Warren hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Nyngan-Warren has a median age of 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Nyngan-Warren has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (9.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the percentage of people aged 85+ has increased from 3.3% to 4.3%, while the percentage of those aged 45-54 has decreased from 13.0% to 10.5%. By 2041, Nyngan-Warren's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of people aged 85+ is projected to decrease by -6 (-12 people), reaching 185 from 197. Meanwhile, the 85+ and 25-34 cohorts are both expected to experience population declines.