Nyngan - Warren

Nyngan - Warren has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Nyngan-Warren's population is around 4,609 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase from 4,591 in the 2021 Census. The increase was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 4,548 in June 2024 and 39 validated new addresses since the Census date. Population density is 0.20 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Nyngan-Warren had a compound annual growth rate of -1.4%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.1% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Nyngan-Warren's population is projected to shrink by 1,037 persons according to these methodologies.

The level of residential development activity in Nyngan - Warren is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Nyngan - Warren experienced around 12 dwelling approvals annually. From FY-21 to FY-25, 61 homes were approved, with another 4 approved in FY-26 so far. The population decline suggests new supply has met demand, offering good choice for buyers at an average construction cost of $389,000 per dwelling.

This year, commercial development approvals totaled $11.7 million, indicating balanced commercial activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Nyngan - Warren shows 99.0% higher construction activity per person. New developments consist of 78.0% detached dwellings and 22.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature. This marks a shift from existing housing patterns (currently 93.0% houses), potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 923 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. With stable or declining population expected, Nyngan - Warren may see reduced pressure on housing, presenting opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Nyngan - Warren should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Nyngan - Warren has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 14thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include the Macquarie-Castlereigh Alluvium Water Resource Plan, Newell Highway Upgrade, Trangie Town Centre Plan, and Trangie-Nevertire Syphon Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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While Nyngan - Warren retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.5%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Nyngan-Warren has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, diverse sectors represented, and an unemployment rate of 3.5%. As of September 2025, 2,093 residents are employed with an unemployment rate at 0.3% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%, but workforce participation is lower at 59.5%. Home workership is moderate at 14.0%.

Dominant sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, education & training, mining. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a high share of employment at 5.3 times the regional level. Health care & social assistance is under-represented at 8.7% compared to Rest of NSW's 16.9%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work.

Over Sep-24 to Sep-25, labour force levels decreased by 4.6%, employment declined by 5.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Nyngan-Warren's mix suggests local employment should increase by 4.8% over five years and 11.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Nyngan - Warren SA2 has incomes below the national average. The median income is $50,328 and the average income is $59,249. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $54,787 (median) and $64,498 (average). Census data reveals that household, family, and personal incomes in Nyngan - Warren rank modestly, between the 23rd and 38th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the predominant cohort is 29.7% of locals (1,368 people) in the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to metropolitan regions where this cohort also represents 29.9%. Housing costs are manageable with 91.0% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 33rd percentile.

Nyngan - Warren is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Nyngan-Warren's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.8% houses and 7.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nyngan-Warren stood at 45.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.4% and rented ones at 29.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Nyngan-Warren was $200, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Nyngan-Warren's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,083 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyngan - Warren features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 65.4 percent of all households, including 25.4 percent couples with children, 28.2 percent couples without children, and 10.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.6 percent, with lone person households at 32.4 percent and group households comprising 2.0 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Rest of NSW average.

Nyngan - Warren faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.9%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificates (27.2%). Educational participation is high at 30.5%, with 12.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyngan-Warren has 204 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 31 routes, providing 275 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 198 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, with car being the dominant mode at 84%, while 9% walk. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 14.0% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 39 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately one weekly trip per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Nyngan - Warren is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Nyngan-Warren faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age groups. The area has a low private health cover rate of approximately 48% (around 2,230 people), compared to 51.9% in the Rest of NSW and the national average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.5% and 8.9% of residents respectively. However, 66.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in the Rest of NSW. Working-age residents have a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,069 people). Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even worse than the general population nationally.

The latest Census data sees Nyngan - Warren placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Nyngan-Warren has a cultural diversity index below average, with 87.3% citizens, 93.5% born in Australia, and 96.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, at 73.8%, compared to 55.9% across Rest of NSW. Ancestry shows Australian (34.3%), English (28.7%), and Australian Aboriginal (12.5%) as top groups, with Australian Aboriginal being notably higher than the regional average of 4.6%.

Irish ethnicity is overrepresented at 9.7%, compared to 8.8% regionally, while French remains at 0.4%.

Nyngan - Warren hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Nyngan-Warren has a median age of 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Nyngan-Warren has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (9.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 85+ has increased from 3.3% to 4.3%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 13.0% to 10.5%. By 2041, Nyngan-Warren's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 85+ group is projected to grow by -7 people (-7%), reaching 185 from its current population of 198. Conversely, the 85+ and 25-34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.