Nyngan - Warren

Nyngan - Warren has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Nyngan-Warren's population is approximately 4,604 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 13 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,591. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,552 in June 2024 and an additional 39 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 0.20 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Nyngan-Warren has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of -1.4%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Nyngan-Warren's population is expected to decline over this period, shrinking by 1,037 persons by 2041.

The level of residential development activity in Nyngan - Warren is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Nyngan-Warren has seen approximately 12 dwellings receive development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 61 homes were approved, with one already approved in FY-26. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has likely been meeting demand and providing good options for buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $499,000. This financial year, $11.7 million worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of NSW, Nyngan-Warren shows 99.0% higher construction activity per person, which should provide buyers with ample choice. However, construction activity has eased recently. Nationally, construction activity is lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development in the area consists of 78.0% detached dwellings and 22.0% attached dwellings, preserving its low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 93.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 923 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Nyngan-Warren should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Nyngan - Warren has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 27thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely affecting the area. Notable projects include the Macquarie-Castlereagh Alluvium Water Resource Plan, Newell Highway Upgrade, Trangie Town Centre Plan, and Trangie-Nevertire Syphon Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

While Nyngan - Warren retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.6%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Nyngan-Warren has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, diverse sectors represented, and an unemployment rate of 3.6% as of June 2025. There are 2130 residents employed, with the unemployment rate matching Rest of NSW's 3.7%.

Workforce participation is similar to Rest of NSW at 56.4%. Key employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, education & training, and mining. The area specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 5.3 times the regional level. Health care & social assistance is under-represented, at 8.7% compared to Rest of NSW's 16.9%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over June 2024 to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.0%, employment declined by 3.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between sectors. Applying these projections to Nyngan-Warren's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 4.8% over five years and 11.0% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Nyngan - Warren SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $49,436 and the average income stands at $61,047. In contrast, Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Nyngan - Warren as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,670 (median) and $68,745 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Nyngan - Warren, between the 23rd and 38th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the predominant cohort spans 29.7% of locals (1,367 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which aligns with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 29.9%. Housing costs are manageable with 91.0% retained, however disposable income sits below average at the 33rd percentile.

Nyngan - Warren is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Nyngan-Warren's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 92.8% houses and 7.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 90.0% houses and 10.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Nyngan-Warren stood at 45.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.4% and rented ones at 29.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,000. The median weekly rent in Nyngan-Warren was $200, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $180. Nationally, Nyngan-Warren's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Nyngan - Warren features high concentrations of lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.4% of all households, including 25.4% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.6%, with lone person households at 32.4% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Nyngan - Warren faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.9%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 8.4% and certificates at 27.2%. Educational participation is high, with 30.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.0% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Nyngan-Warren has 195 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 31 individual routes in operation, collectively offering 240 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent accessibility to these stops, with an average distance of 197 meters to the nearest one. Service frequency averages 34 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately one weekly trip per stop.

Health performance in Nyngan - Warren is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Nyngan-Warren faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,302 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.5% and 8.9% of residents respectively. 66.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.9% across Rest of NSW. The area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,068 people), which is higher than the 20.2% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Nyngan - Warren placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Nyngan-Warren has a cultural diversity index below average, with 87.3% citizens, 93.5% born in Australia, and 96.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 73.8%, compared to 67.2% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (34.3%), English (28.7%), and Australian Aboriginal (12.5%), which is lower than the regional average of 18.4%.

Notably, Irish ethnicity is overrepresented at 9.7%, compared to 8.0% regionally, while French ethnicity stands at 0.4%, versus 0.2% regionally.

Nyngan - Warren hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Nyngan-Warren's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Nyngan-Warren has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (9.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 85+ has increased from 3.3% to 4.3%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 13.0% to 10.5%. By 2041, Nyngan-Warren's age composition is expected to change significantly. The population aged 85+ is projected to grow by -7%, resulting in a decrease of 12 people, reaching 185 from the current figure of 197. Meanwhile, both the 85+ and 25-34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.