Condobolin

Condobolin has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, Condobolin's population is estimated at around 3,140, a decrease of 45 people from the 2021 Census figure of 3,185. This decline reflects a resident population estimate of 3,139 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and validation of four new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 0.60 persons per square kilometer. Between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses, Condobolin experienced a 1.4% decline while the SA3 area achieved 0.8% growth, indicating divergent trends. Natural growth contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

These projections indicate an overall population decline by 499 persons by 2041, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to increase by 25 people during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Condobolin is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Condobolin had minimal construction activity between 2015 and 2019 with only two new dwellings approved annually on average (a total of eleven approvals over the five-year period). This low level of development is typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. It should be noted that yearly growth figures and relativities can vary considerably due to the small number of approvals, which may be influenced by individual projects.

Condobolin's development activity was significantly lower compared to the Rest of NSW during this period. Nationally, development levels were also below average. All new constructions approved in Condobolin were standalone homes, reflecting the area's rural character where larger properties and space are typical. The estimated population density per dwelling approval was 1265 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment.

Given stable or declining population forecasts for the area, housing pressure may remain relatively low, presenting favourable conditions for buyers.

Condobolin has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance: Lachlan Views Estate (Scott Street Sub-division), GrainCorp Condobolin Rail Siding Upgrade, NSW Heavy Vehicle Rest Stops Program (TfNSW), and NSW Zero Emissions Buses.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Condobolin faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Condobolin has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 5.9%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025, there are 1,516 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 2.1% higher than Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 65.2%, slightly above Rest of NSW's 61.5%. Census data shows that only 8.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. Key employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs a notable 3.3 times the regional average, while health care & social assistance employs 12.3% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 16.9%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population versus resident population count. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.2%, and employment declined by 5.6%, leading to a 1.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.5%, labour force contract by 0.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with significant variations between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Condobolin's employment mix indicates potential local employment growth of 5.1% over five years and 11.6% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The suburb of Condobolin had a median taxpayer income of $46,600 and an average income of $55,512 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average, with Rest of NSW having a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Condobolin would be approximately $50,729 (median) and $60,430 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Condobolin all fall between the 19th and 22nd percentiles nationally. In terms of income distribution, the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket is dominant with 32.5% of residents (1,020 people), which aligns with broader regional trends showing 29.9% in the same category. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 90.0% income retention, total disposable income ranks at just the 27th percentile nationally.

Condobolin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condobolin's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condobolin was 39.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.7% and rented ones at 31.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,000, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733, while the median weekly rent figure was $200, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Condobolin's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Condobolin features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 66.4% of all households, consisting of 25.3% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 11.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.6%, with lone person households at 31.7% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

Condobolin faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.1%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.9%) and certificates (28.8%). Educational participation is high at 32.0%, comprising primary education (13.8%), secondary education (9.2%), and tertiary education (1.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.8% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condobolin has 127 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 20 routes providing 277 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 189 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car is the dominant mode of transport at 90%, while 7% walk. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 8.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 39 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop. The map accompanying this analysis displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Condobolin is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Condobolin faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 49% of the total population (~1,536 people), compared to 51.9% in Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 10.6 and 8.6% of residents respectively, while 65.4% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Rest of NSW. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 21.3% of residents aged 65 and over (668 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present notable challenges, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Condobolin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Condobolin, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, shows cultural diversity levels below average. Its population composition is 84.6% citizens, with 93.9% born in Australia and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominates religious affiliation in Condobolin, comprising 72.3%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 55.9%.

Ancestry-wise, Australians make up 33.1%, English 27.4%, and Australian Aboriginal 16.3% of Condobolin's population, notably higher than the regional average of 4.6%. Some ethnic groups are overrepresented: Filipino at 1.1% (regional average is 0.6%), Hungarian at 0.2% (same as regional), South African at 0.3% (regional average is 0.2%).

Condobolin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Condobolin is 39 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Condobolin has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.1%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 65 to 74 grew from 10.1% to 11.3%, while the 55 to 64 age group declined from 14.0% to 13.0%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Condobolin's age structure. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 19 people, reaching 105 from 87. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 45 to 54 and 55 to 64 age groups are projected to decrease in number.