Condobolin

Condobolin has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

By May 2026, the estimated population of Condobolin was around 3,126, a decrease of 59 people from the 2021 Census figure of 3,185. This decline represents a 1.9% change since the census. The latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) and four validated new addresses contributed to this estimate. The population density was 0.60 persons per square kilometer. Condobolin's population decline is similar to that of its SA3 area, which decreased by 0.6%. Natural growth accounted for approximately 55% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections (released in 2024 with a base year of 2022) and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections (released in 2022 with a base year of 2021) for areas not covered by the former. These projections indicate a population decline of 487 persons by 2041, with an increase of 18 people expected in the 75 to 84 age group over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Condobolin is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Condobolin had minimal construction activity between January 2017 and December 2021, with an average of two new dwelling approvals per year (totaling twelve). This low development level is typical in rural areas due to modest housing needs and limited construction activity influenced by local demand and infrastructure capacity. Yearly growth figures may vary significantly based on individual projects.

Compared to the Rest of NSW and national averages, Condobolin has much lower development activity. All new constructions during this period were standalone homes, reflecting the area's rural character where larger properties are common. The estimated population per dwelling approval was 1051 people between January 2017 and December 2021. With stable or declining population forecasts, Condobolin may experience less housing pressure, potentially benefiting buyers.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Condobolin may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Condobolin has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Five infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. These include Lachlan Views Estate (Scott Street Sub-division), GrainCorp Condobolin Rail Siding Upgrade, NSW Heavy Vehicle Rest Stops Program (TfNSW), and NSW Zero Emissions Buses.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Condobolin faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Condobolin's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate was 6.6% in an unspecified past period, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. As of December 2025, 1,492 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.6%, which is 2.7% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

The workforce participation rate was 64.7%, slightly above Regional NSW's 60.5%. Census data from an unspecified year showed that only 8.5% of residents worked from home, with Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. Key industries for employment among residents were agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employed 3.3 times the regional average, while health care & social assistance employed 12.3% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 16.9%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.1%, while employment declined by 5.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.9 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW saw employment fall by 1.2%, labour force contract by 0.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggested that Condobolin's employment should increase by 5.1% over five years and 11.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Condobolin suburb has a median taxpayer income of $46,600 and an average of $55,512 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $51,409 (median) and $61,241 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Condobolin fall between the 19th and 22nd percentiles nationally. In terms of income distribution, 32.5% of residents (1,015 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 29.9% in the same category. Housing costs are modest, with 90.0% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 27th percentile nationally.

Condobolin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Condobolin's housing structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Condobolin was 39.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.7% and rented ones at 31.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,000, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733, and the median weekly rent was $200, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Condobolin's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Condobolin features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 66.4% of all households, including 25.3% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 11.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 33.6%, with lone person households at 31.7% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the Regional NSW average.

Condobolin faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.1%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.9%) and certificates (28.8%). Educational participation is high, with 32.0% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 13.8% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 1.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.8% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Condobolin has 127 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 20 routes providing 277 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is high, with residents typically living 189 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters travel outwards, with cars being the dominant mode at 90%, followed by walking at 7%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 8.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 39 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this data, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Condobolin is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Condobolin faces substantial health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 49% of the total population (~1,529 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (10.6%) and asthma (8.6%), while 65.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. Seniors comprise 21.8% of the resident population (681 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present notable challenges, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

Condobolin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Condobolin, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census conducted on 9 August 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 84.6% citizens, 93.9% born in Australia, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 72.3%, compared to regional NSW's 55.9%. Ancestry-wise, Australians made up 33.1%, English 27.4%, and Australian Aboriginal 16.3%, significantly higher than Regional NSW's 4.6%.

Notably, Filipino (1.1% vs 0.6%), Hungarian (0.2% vs 0.2%) and South Australian (0.3% vs 0.2%) groups were relatively overrepresented in Condobolin compared to regional averages.

Condobolin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Condobolin is 39 years, which is significantly lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 years but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Regional NSW, Condobolin has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 65 to 74 increased from 10.1% to 11.3%, while the proportion of those aged 55 to 64 decreased from 14.0% to 13.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Condobolin's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 6%, adding 15 people and reaching a total of 253. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 100% of the total population growth, reflecting Condobolin's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 45 to 54 and the 0 to 4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.