Narromine

Narromine has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Narromine is estimated at around 4,738 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 130 people (2.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,608 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,656 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 46 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2.5 persons per square kilometer. Narromine's 2.8% growth since census positions it within 0.4 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb of Narromine's population expected to shrink by 606 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to grow by 50 people.

The level of residential development activity in Narromine is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Narromine averaged around 9 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 49 homes were approved, with another 8 so far in FY-26. The population decline over recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $589,000, indicating a focus on the premium market and high-end developments. This financial year, there have been $3.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Narromine shows substantially reduced construction, at 63.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, this level is also below average, suggesting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 64.0% detached houses and 36.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets.

This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 93.0% houses, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 518 people, reflecting Narromine's quiet, low activity development environment. With stable or declining population projections, reduced housing demand pressures are expected, benefiting potential buyers.

Narromine has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Macquarie Estate, Rail Corridor Program - Narromine To Gowrie, Narromine Water Treatment Plant, and Narwonah Material Distribution Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Narromine maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Narromine's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 was 2.8%, lower than Regional NSW's 3.9%. There were 2,043 residents employed, with a participation rate of 57.1%, below Regional NSW's 61.3%.

Home-based workers constituted only 11.6% of the workforce. Key employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs 3.5 times more residents than the regional average, while accommodation & food services employ fewer locals (4.6%) than regionally (7.8%). Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 5.3%, employment declined by 5.7%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate.

In comparison, Regional NSW saw a 1.2% employment decline, 0.8% labour force decline, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Narromine's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023 shows Narromine suburb had median taxpayer income of $46,292 and average income of $54,856. Nationally, median income was $52,390 and average was $65,215 in Regional NSW. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $50,393 (median) and $59,716 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. Census 2021 income data ranks Narromine's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between 20th and 30th percentiles. Income brackets indicate largest segment is 30.5% earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly (1,445 residents), similar to broader area's 29.9%. Housing costs are modest with 88.3% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just 26th percentile nationally.

Narromine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Narromine's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.2% houses and 6.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Narromine stood at 42.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (32.4%) or rented (24.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,213, lower than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Narromine was $250, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Narromine's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Narromine has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 69.4% of all households, including 26.1% couples with children, 28.9% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.6%, consisting of 28.4% lone person households and 2.3% group households. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Narromine faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate stands at 15.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with a rate of 12.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 41.4% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 32.8%. Educational participation is high, with 33.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 14.4% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Narromine has 219 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 29 different routes that together facilitate 1,021 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered excellent, with residents typically living just 166 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily, primarily using cars (92%), while 6% walk to their destinations. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in Narromine. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.6% of residents work from home, which may be partly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 145 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately four weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this analysis, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Narromine is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Narromine faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is low at approximately 49% of the total population (around 2,306 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 10.1 and 9.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 63.8% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to the 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 21.1% of residents aged 65 and over (999 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Senior health outcomes present notable challenges, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

The latest Census data sees Narromine placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Narromine's cultural diversity was found to be below average. Its population composition was as follows: 85.8% citizens, 95.7% born in Australia, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 72.4% of Narromine's population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (33.4%), English (29.0%), and Australian Aboriginal (15.3%), which was significantly higher than the regional average of 4.6%. Notably, Maltese ethnicity was overrepresented in Narromine at 0.3% compared to 0.4% regionally.

Narromine's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Narromine is 39 years, which is significantly lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 but aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Regional NSW, Narromine has a higher percentage of residents aged 0-4 (7.5%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (10.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 grew from 10.9% to 12.5%, while the 75-84 age group increased from 7.3% to 8.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 15.6% to 13.8%, and the 55-64 age group decreased from 13.1% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Narromine's age structure. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 33%, reaching 170 people from 127. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all of Narromine's population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 35-44 and 45-54 age groups are projected to decrease in number.