Grenfell

Grenfell is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Grenfell statistical area is around 2,602 people. This represents an increase of 2 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,600. The current resident population estimate of 2,552 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ERP data release from the ABS in June 2024, and the validation of 33 new addresses since the Census date, indicates this increase. This results in a density ratio of 3.0 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, ending in 2025, Grenfell has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of -0.2%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using the 2022 base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an overall decline in the area's population, with a projected decrease of 49 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, notably the 85 and over age group, which is expected to grow by 55 people during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Grenfell is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Grenfell has averaged around 5 dwelling approvals per year. Between financial years FY21-FY25, approximately 25 homes were approved, with none yet in FY26. Despite recent population decline, housing supply has been adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $540,000, indicating focus on the premium market. Commercial approvals this year totalled $520,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Grenfell records about 68% of building activity per person and ranks in the 21st percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and interest in existing dwellings. Recent development has been exclusively detached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 743 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. With stable or declining population projections, Grenfell should experience reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Grenfell has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting this region: Inland Rail - Stockinbingal to Parkes. Other notable projects include Inland Rail - Illabo to Stockinbingal, Olympic Highway Safety Improvements, and NSW Heavy Vehicle Rest Stops Program (TfNSW).

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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While Grenfell retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.1%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Grenfell has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs across various sectors. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 3.1%.

This is below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%, with 1,174 residents employed. Workforce participation in Grenfell lags at 47.2% compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment industries are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a notable concentration with employment levels at 4.3 times the regional average.

Health care & social assistance has limited presence at 12.6% compared to the regional average of 16.9%. Between June 2024 and July 2025, labour force decreased by 3.9%, employment declined by 4.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment contract by 0.5%, labour force fall by 0.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Statewide, as of 25-Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grenfell's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Grenfell's median income among taxpayers is $42,010. The average income in the suburb is $50,335. Both figures are below the national averages. Rest of NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. By September 2025, estimates suggest Grenfell's median income will be approximately $45,732 and the average will be around $54,795, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. Census 2021 data reveals that incomes in Grenfell fall between the 3rd and 7th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The predominant income cohort in Grenfell spans 29.7% of locals (772 people) with incomes between $400 and $799 per week, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 to $2,999 category is most prevalent at 29.9%. Lower income households are notably prevalent in Grenfell, with 40.4% earning below $800 weekly, suggesting affordability pressures for many residents. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 89.2% of income to be retained, total disposable income ranks at just the 6th percentile nationally.

Grenfell is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Grenfell's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.1% houses and 7.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is similar to Non-Metro NSW's composition of 92.0% houses and 8.0% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Grenfell was higher at 52.8%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (25.3%) or rented (21.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,083, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,200. The median weekly rent figure in Grenfell was recorded at $200, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $220. Nationally, Grenfell's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Grenfell features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.2% of all households, including 18.8% couples with children, 31.9% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 38.8%, with lone person households at 36.3% and group households at 2.4%. The median household size is 2.1 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Grenfell faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 9.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 8.9% and certificates at 30.5%. A total of 24.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 8.5% in secondary education, 8.2% in primary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

A substantial 24.6% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.5% in secondary education, 8.2% in primary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grenfell has 182 active public transport stops. These include both train and bus services. There are 16 different routes operating in total, providing 148 weekly passenger trips combined.

Transport accessibility is highly rated, with residents usually located about 160 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 21 trips per day across all routes, which equates to roughly 0 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Grenfell is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Grenfell faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Private health cover is low, at approximately 47% (around 1,220 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 13.2% and 9.0% of residents respectively. Conversely, 57.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 62.4% in Rest of NSW. Grenfell has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 33.4% (869 people), compared to the 23.8% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges, despite performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Grenfell placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Grenfell's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 91.8% of its population being citizens, 93.6% born in Australia, and 98.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Grenfell, comprising 70.4% of people, similar to the 70.4% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (36.0%), Australian (34.4%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal were overrepresented at 3.2%, compared to 7.9% regionally; Scottish were similarly represented at 7.4%; New Zealanders were underrepresented at 0.5%.

Grenfell ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Grenfell is 54 years, significantly higher than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and the national norm of 38. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented in Grenfell at 12.0%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 7.6%. This concentration of the 75-84 age group is well above the national average of 6.0%. Between the 2021 Census and the previous one, the population of Grenfell aged 15 to 24 grew from 8.4% to 10.5%, while those aged 5 to 14 declined from 9.9% to 8.8% and those aged 65 to 74 dropped from 17.4% to 16.3%. By 2041, Grenfell's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow steadily, increasing by 60 people (45%) from 132 to 193. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 74% of total population growth, reflecting Grenfell's aging demographic profile. Conversely, both the 35-44 and 75-84 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.