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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Mansfield (Vic.) has an estimated 11,330 residents, up from 10,517 at the 2021 Census — a change of 813 people, or 7.7%. Growth has averaged 2.3% a year over five years. 329 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 65.7% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Mansfield has a population of approximately 11,330 as of May 2026. This represents an increase of 813 people (7.7%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 10,517 people. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 11,324 from June 2025 and 329 validated new addresses registered since the Census. This population level corresponds to a density of 2.9 persons per square kilometer, offering residents significant personal space. With its 7.7% growth since the 2021 census, the area outpaced the SA4 region (2.9%) and the Rest of Vic., establishing itself as a local growth leader.
The expansion was chiefly fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 65.7% of the total population increase over recent timeframes. For each SA2 locality, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections published in 2024 with 2022 as the baseline. Where these projections are unavailable, regional and LGA projections from the VIC State Government released in 2023 are applied, using a weighted aggregation method to convert LGA-level growth to SA2 boundaries. Age cohort growth rates from these models are also applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future projections suggest a downward trend for the total population, with a projected reduction of 858 persons by 2041 under this framework. Conversely, expansion is projected in specific age groups, particularly the 85 and over cohort, which is expected to grow by 127 people. The age section provides further detail.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
518 new dwellings have been approved in Mansfield (Vic.) over the past five years, an average of 103 a year. That places the area in the 87th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 9 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 73 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 95% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 86, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Mansfield averages approximately 103 residential building approvals per year, with 518 dwellings approved during the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 79 registered so far in FY-26. Over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), an average of 2.3 people moved to the area for each new residence built, indicating solid demand that helps sustain property values. Newly constructed dwellings carry an average estimated cost of $423,000, pointing to developer focus on upscale projects. Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $27.1 million have been recorded this financial year, showing moderate commercial construction activity.
Compared with the Rest of Vic. baseline, development activity in Mansfield is slightly elevated, running at 16.0% above the regional average per capita over the 5 year period. This helps maintain supply options for buyers while supporting property demand, even though construction rates have slowed recently. Standalone houses make up 95.0% of recent building activity, while attached options account for 5.0%, preserving the low-density profile of the area and appealing to buyers seeking spacious detached homes. The area shows typical characteristics of a developing zone, averaging 142 people per approved dwelling. Given that population forecasts indicate stable or contracting numbers, housing demand pressures in Mansfield are likely to ease, creating a more favorable environment for prospective buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Mansfield (Vic.)
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 13 current infrastructure and development projects inside Mansfield (Vic.), worth an estimated $108 million. A further 43 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $2.88 billion. 20 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and energy. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and urban planning decisions are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has tracked 14 projects expected to influence the area. Prominent examples include the Mansfield District Hospital Residential Aged Care Development, Mansfield Common, the Mansfield Station Precinct Activation Project, and Alpine Estate Mansfield, with the list below highlighting the most significant developments.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mansfield District Hospital Residential Aged Care Development
The Victorian Government is investing $62.87 million to redevelop residential aged care at Mansfield District Hospital. The project involves a new 30-bed facility replacing the ageing Buckland House, featuring a 'small household' model with single bedrooms, private ensuites, and dementia-friendly sensory gardens. As of March 2026, the new 30-bed facility is complete and residents have begun moving in. Current works focus on refurbishing the adjacent 42-bed Bindaree Retirement Centre and upgrading the original Buckland House for community and office use.
Mansfield Common
The two-story multi-use development will comprise a restaurant, bar and microbrewery/microdistillery with a cafe, providore, food grocer offerings, and a training facility for chefs, located at the foothills of the Victorian Alps approximately 180km from Melbourne.
Mansfield Station Precinct Activation Project
Council-led renewal of the historic Mansfield Station Precinct to create a community hub. The multi-project transformation includes an all-abilities playground, a bicycle pump track, new car parks, heritage museum upgrades, and cultural landscaping. The masterplan is supported by a $14.1 million grant from the Australian Government's Regional Precincts and Partnerships Program.
Alpine Estate Mansfield
A residential land estate in Mansfield, Victoria, offering 64 lots in the Victorian High Country. Set in the foothills of the Great Dividing Range, it provides a blend of natural beauty and modern conveniences, with proximity to parks, schools, cafes, transport, supermarkets, eateries, retail, and attractions like Mansfield Zoo, Mount Buller, and Mount Stirling. The estate spans 9.37 hectares with lot sizes ranging from 324m2 to 632m2.
Redgum Rise Residential Development
A residential subdivision offering 22 premium titled lots in a family-friendly area on the edge of Mansfield, adjoining Mansfield Botanical Gardens. Features elevated views, mostly flat parcels ranging from 564 to 866 sqm, sealed roads, concrete paths, and some blocks backing onto a landscaped reserve with established red gums. Lots are fully serviced and available for sale.
New Mountain Bike Trails
An ongoing project to expand the mountain bike trail network on Mt Buller, managed by the Mt Buller Resort Management.
Timbuktu Apartments
A multi-level apartment development at Mt Buller by Chalmers Constructions. Specific details on the number of apartments and value are not readily available.
Key Worker Housing
A significant initiative by the Grollo Group to develop up to 400 beds of key worker housing at Mount Buller to address the accommodation shortage for seasonal and essential workers. This is part of a broader plan for regional worker housing.
5,608 residents of Mansfield (Vic.) are employed, from a labour force of 5,745. Unemployment sits at 2.4%, with participation at 60.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Mansfield has a skilled labor force working across various industries, with an unemployment rate of only 2.4%. As of March 2026, there are 5,608 employed residents. The local unemployment rate sits 1.3% below the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, while the rate of workforce participation aligns closely with the Regional Vic. average of 61.1%. According to Census responses, a moderate 18.0% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 restrictions. The local workforce is mainly employed in construction, accommodation & food, and retail trade.
The accommodation & food sector is heavily represented, with its share of local employment reaching 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for only 10.2% of the local workforce, compared to 16.8% in Regional Vic.. A comparison between the Census working population and the total local population suggests that while there are jobs in the area, a significant portion of residents travel outside the locality for employment. An analysis of SALM and ABS statistics shows that during the 12 months ending March 2026, the local labor force contracted by 2.1% and employment fell by 2.2%, while the unemployment level remained steady. This differed from Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.1%, the labor force declined by 0.3%, and unemployment dropped by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia published in May-25 provide additional context for potential future trends in Mansfield. These five and ten-year national models have been applied to the local workforce structure to project growth. Nationally, employment is expected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Applying these sectoral projections to the Mansfield labor profile suggests local employment could grow by 6.0% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, assuming a basic weighted extrapolation that does not account for local population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Mansfield (Vic.) is $1,331 a week (about $69,000 a year), with median personal income at $722 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,334 a year against an average of $60,310. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO records at the postcode level for financial year 2023 show that incomes in the Mansfield SA2 are lower than national averages, with a median of $44,334 and an average of $60,310. In comparison, Regional Vic. recorded a median income of $50,954 and an average of $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be roughly $48,599 for the median and $66,112 for the average. Census data shows household, family, and individual incomes are all positioned in the lower tiers nationally, falling between the 22nd and 32nd percentiles.
The $1,500 - 2,999 income band is the most common, containing 30.2% of residents (3,421 people), which matches the regional distribution where 30.3% fall into this range. Although living costs are moderate with residents retaining 87.2% of their income, total disposable income sits at the 27th percentile nationally, and the SEIFA index places the area in the 5th decile for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Mansfield (Vic.) had 3,882 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 95% detached houses and 1% apartments. 34% are owned with a mortgage, 17% rented and 50% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $320 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,500 a month. Rent absorbs 24.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in Mansfield at the time of the latest Census consisted of 95.0% detached houses and 5.1% alternative dwellings, such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This compares to Regional Vic. percentages of 90.1% houses and 9.9% alternative dwellings. The home ownership rate in Mansfield was significantly higher than the Regional Vic. level at 49.6%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (33.5%) or rented (16.9%). Monthly mortgage payments had a median of $1,500, which is higher than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, while the median weekly rent was $320, compared to $285 in Regional Vic..
On a national scale, mortgage payments in Mansfield are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also well below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Mansfield (Vic.) counted 3,882 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 4,182 today, averaging 2.3 people each. 23% are couples with children, fewer than in 76% of areas nationally, against 37% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 68.0%, consisting of couples with children (23.2%), couples without children (36.6%), and single-parent households (8.0%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 32.0%, with single-person households representing 29.8% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, slightly smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
22.3% of adults in Mansfield (Vic.) hold a university qualification, including 15.1% with a bachelor degree and 3.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.0% hold a vocational qualification. 14 schools serve the area, with 1,423 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,007 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region displays lower rates of higher education, with university qualification levels at 22.3%, well below the VIC average of 33.4%. This highlights a clear opportunity for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.9% and graduate diplomas at 3.3%. Vocational and technical training is very common, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (29.0%). Engagement in learning is high, with 29.1% of the population enrolled in formal studies.
This group comprises 10.7% in primary school, 10.4% in high school, and 2.1% in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Mansfield (Vic.) means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport data shows 19 active stops in Mansfield. These stops are served by 2 distinct routes, which provide a total of 26 passenger trips each week. Transport connectivity is low, with residents living an average of 4210 meters from their nearest stop. Most residents travel outside the area for work, with private cars being the primary mode of transport at 85%, followed by walking at 12%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.7 cars, which is higher than the regional average. Approximately 18.0% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Services average 3 trips per day across all local routes, which translates to roughly 1 weekly trip per transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.0% of residents in Mansfield (Vic.) report no long-term health condition. 5.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics show generally positive trends for Mansfield, with AreaSearch's review of mortality and health conditions indicating results that match national benchmarks. The rate of common health issues is low across all age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is somewhat low, held by approximately 49% of the population (~5,574 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent issues, affecting 9.4 and 7.5% of residents, respectively. Meanwhile, 67.0% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic..
Residents under the age of 65 enjoy better than average health outcomes. People aged 65 and over make up 26.0% of the population (2,941 people), which is higher than the Regional Vic. average of 23.9%. Health outcomes for local seniors are above average, ranking higher nationally than the general local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Mansfield (Vic.) is largely Australian-born, at 87.5% of residents, with 4.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.8%) and Australian (29.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Mansfield has a lower level of cultural diversity compared to wider averages, with citizens making up 87.8% of the population, 87.5% born in Australia, and 95.3% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 44.0% of residents. The most distinct religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.2% of the local population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Vic.. Regarding parent birthplaces, the most common ancestries in Mansfield are English (31.8%), Australian (29.3%), and Irish (10.7%). There are also notable differences in other backgrounds: Scottish ancestry is higher at 9.8% (compared to 8.8% regionally), Dutch is at 1.8% (compared to 1.7%), and German is at 4.0% (compared to 3.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Mansfield (Vic.) is 47, older than 86% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 22.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Mansfield has a median age of 47 years, which is older than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket is especially large at 15.3%, whereas the 35 - 44 cohort is smaller (10.3%) than in Regional Vic.. The proportion of residents aged 65 - 74 is higher than the national average of 9.4%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 age bracket grew from 9.2% to 11.9% of the population, and the 25 to 34 group rose from 9.4% to 10.8%.
In contrast, the 55 to 64 group shrank from 16.4% to 14.2%, and the 5 to 14 cohort fell from 12.9% to 11.7%. By 2041, the age structure is expected to shift, with the 85+ cohort growing by 47% (130 people) to reach 409, up from 278, while the 5 to 14 and 75 to 84 groups are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Mansfield (Vic.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 13 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 329 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (10,517 at the 2021 Census → 11,330 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (204011057). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.