Alexandra (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Alexandra are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Alexandra's population is estimated at around 2,844 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 43 people (1.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,801 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,759 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 16 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 35 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the suburb of Alexandra (Vic.) was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australia's regional areas is forecast, with the suburb expected to increase by 762 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 26.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Alexandra according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Alexandra has averaged approximately 20 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 103 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents arriving per new home is around 0.7 per year between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that supply meets or exceeds demand. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $470,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In this financial year, $428,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, predominantly residential-focused. Compared to Rest of Vic., Alexandra shows 13.0% lower construction activity per person while ranking among the 72nd percentile nationally. New development consists of 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With around 176 people per dwelling approval, Alexandra shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections show Alexandra adding approximately 740 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Alexandra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area. Key projects include North East Rail Line Upgrade, Inland Rail Beveridge to Albury, Telstra InfraCo Intercity Fibre Network, and Additional VLocity Trains.

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The labour market performance in Alexandra lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Alexandra has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 5.5%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025, 1,158 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 3.8% above Rest of Vic.'s rate.

Workforce participation lags significantly at 51.8%. Home-based work accounts for 13.9%, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade is particularly prominent, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Manufacturing, however, is under-represented at 5.7% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.7%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Alexandra's labour force decreased by 1.4%, and employment declined by 3.2%, leading to a 1.7 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alexandra's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Alexandra had a median taxpayer income of $42,520 and an average income of $54,915 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below the national average for that year. The Rest of Vic., however, had a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimates for Alexandra as of September 2025 would be approximately $46,028 (median) and $59,445 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Alexandra all fall between the 6th and 15th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that the majority of residents, 30.4% or 864 people, earn within the $400 - 799 bracket, which differs from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is most prevalent at 30.3%. Despite having modest housing costs that allow for 87.5% of income to be retained, Alexandra's total disposable income ranks at just the 10th percentile nationally.

Alexandra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alexandra's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s dwelling structure was 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alexandra stood at 50.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.2% and rented dwellings at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Alexandra was $1,300, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Alexandra was $240, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Alexandra's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Alexandra features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 60.4% of all households, including 20.5% couples with children, 30.3% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 39.6%, with lone person households at 37.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Alexandra shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 18.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 12.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.2%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 39.3% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 27.5%. A total of 24.5% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 9.4% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 2.2% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.5% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates two operational stops in Alexandra, both serving buses. These stops are served by two distinct routes, collectively offering 34 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 570 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward, with cars being the primary mode at 87%, and walking accounting for 10%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 13.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages four trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Alexandra is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Alexandra's health data shows significant issues based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantially higher than average, particularly among older age cohorts.

Private health cover is low at approximately 49% of the total population (~1,382 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common conditions are arthritis (13.9%) and mental health issues (8.9%). 57.7% report no medical ailments, lower than Rest of Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. 30.6% are aged 65 and over (870 people), higher than Rest of Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Alexandra is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Alexandra's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 88.8% having been born in Australia as of the latest data from 2016. This figure is higher than the regional average. Additionally, 91.8% of Alexandra's residents were citizens, and a significant majority, 96.7%, spoke English only at home.

Christianity was identified as the primary religion in Alexandra, with 44.4% of people adhering to it. However, Judaism was notably underrepresented, comprising 0.0% of the population compared to the regional average of 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (35.0%), Australian (30.0%), and Scottish (10.7%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences in representation: Dutch was overrepresented at 2.0% compared to the regional average of 1.7%, Maltese also showed a similar percentage at 0.5%, while Macedonian was slightly underrepresented at 0.1%.

Alexandra ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Alexandra's median age is 50, which is higher than Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 and above the national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 16.2%, higher than Rest of Vic.'s percentage, while the 5-14 cohort stands at 9.8%. This 65-74 concentration is notably higher than the national figure of 9.5%. Post the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has risen from 8.3% to 10.3%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 8.9% to 10.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 12.1% to 10.2%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 17.5% to 16.2%. Demographic projections indicate Alexandra's age profile will significantly shift by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort is expected to rise markedly, adding 164 people (56%), from 292 to 457. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows modestly by 4% (10 people).