Alexandra (Vic.)

Alexandra has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Alexandra (Vic.) statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,836. This reflects an increase of 35 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,801. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,759 in June 2024, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 35 persons per square kilometer. The primary driver for this population growth was interstate migration, contributing approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering these projections, a significant population increase is forecast for the top quartile of Australia's regional areas. The Alexandra (Vic.) (SA2) is expected to increase by 742 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 25.7% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Alexandra according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Alexandra shows an average of around 20 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 103 homes. As of FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. This averages out to approximately 0.7 new residents per year arriving for each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of new homes is $470,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In comparison, commercial development approvals have reached $428,000 this financial year, predominantly reflecting residential focus. Alexandra's construction activity per person is 13.0% lower than the Rest of Vic., but it ranks among the 72nd percentile nationally for areas assessed. New development consists mainly of standalone homes (91.0%) and townhouses or apartments (9.0%), maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With around 176 people per dwelling approval, Alexandra shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections estimate Alexandra adding 730 residents by 2041, with construction maintaining a reasonable pace for projected growth. However, buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Alexandra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are likely to impact this area. Key projects include North East Rail Line Upgrade, Inland Rail Beveridge to Albury, Telstra InfraCo Intercity Fibre Network, and Additional VLocity Trains, with the following list providing details on those most relevant.

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The labour market performance in Alexandra lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Alexandra has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services.

The unemployment rate is 5.5%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025, Alexandra has 1,160 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% higher than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation is lower at 50.2% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade has notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Manufacturing is under-represented at 5.7%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.7%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Alexandra's labour force decreased by 1.3% and employment declined by 3.0%, increasing unemployment by 1.6 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.7% and labour force contracted by 0.6%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Alexandra's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Alexandra's employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Alexandra had a median taxpayer income of $42,520 and an average income of $54,915 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below the national average. The Rest of Vic., however, had a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Alexandra would be approximately $46,028 (median) and $59,445 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family and personal incomes in Alexandra all fall between the 6th and 15th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that the $400 - 799 income bracket dominates with 30.4% of residents (862 people), unlike regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is predominant at 30.3%. While housing costs are modest with 87.5% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 10th percentile nationally.

Alexandra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alexandra's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s dwelling structure was 93.6% houses and 6.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alexandra stood at 50.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.2% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,500. The median weekly rent figure in Alexandra was $240, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $280. Nationally, Alexandra's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Alexandra features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 60.4% of all households, including 20.5% couples with children, 30.3% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 39.6%, with lone person households at 37.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Alexandra shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 18.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.2%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (27.5%). A total of 24.5% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 9.4% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 2.2% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.5% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates two active transport stops operating within Alexandra. These stops offer a mix of bus services, with two individual routes collectively providing 34 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 570 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages four trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately seventeen weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Alexandra is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Alexandra faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is low at approximately 49%, covering around 1,378 people, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 13.9% of residents) and mental health issues (impacting 8.9%). Conversely, 57.7% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.0% in the Rest of Victoria. In Alexandra, 30.8% of residents are aged 65 or over (873 people), higher than the 25.2% in the Rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly similar to those seen across the general population.

Alexandra is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Alexandra had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 88.8% of its population born in Australia, 91.8% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Alexandra, accounting for 44.4% of its population. Notably, Judaism was not present in Alexandra's population, compared to a regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (35.0%), Australian (30.0%), and Scottish (10.7%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Dutch were overrepresented at 2.0% versus the regional average of 1.5%, Maltese were slightly underrepresented at 0.5% compared to 0.7%, and Macedonian representation was equal to the regional average at 0.1%.

Alexandra ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Alexandra's median age is 50, which is higher than Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 and well above the national average of 38 years. The age group of 75-84 shows strong representation at 11.4%, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 5-14 cohort is less prevalent at 10.0%. This concentration in the 75-84 age group is well above the national figure of 6.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 10.0% to 11.4%, and the 25 to 34 cohort has increased from 8.3% to 9.7%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 17.5% to 16.0%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 12.1% to 11.0%. Demographic modeling suggests that Alexandra's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to increase markedly, expanding by 175 people (64%) from 275 to 451. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 7% (20 people).