Kilmore - Broadford

Kilmore - Broadford lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kilmore - Broadford's population is around 18,020 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,457 people (15.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,563 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,509 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 410 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 39 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Kilmore - Broadford's 15.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (6.9%) and the Rest of Vic., marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 52.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and natural growth, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to increase by 10,158 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 48.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kilmore - Broadford among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Kilmore - Broadford has experienced around 155 dwellings receiving development approval each year, with 779 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 97 so far in FY-26. With an average of 1.8 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand seem well-matched, fostering stable market dynamics, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $277,000. Additionally, $39.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity.

When measured against the Rest of Vic., Kilmore - Broadford has slightly more development (17.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), balancing buyer choice with support for current property values, though building activity has slowed in recent years. New building activity consists of 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 147 people per dwelling approval, Kilmore - Broadford shows characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections show Kilmore - Broadford adding 8,647 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kilmore - Broadford has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 11 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Montana Kilmore, Broadstead Kilmore, Kilmore Village Shopping Centre, and Broadford Secondary College STEM Centre Upgrade, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Kilmore - Broadford has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Kilmore - Broadford possesses a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, and an unemployment rate of 4.7%. As of December 2025, 8,037 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.0% above Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Based on Census responses, a moderate 17.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. The area shows particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 2.2% versus the regional average of 7.5%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.4% combined with employment decreasing by 4.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.5 percentage points. This compares to Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.6%, labour force contracted by 0.7%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kilmore - Broadford. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kilmore - Broadford's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Kilmore - Broadford SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $55,687 with the average level standing at $66,091. This is just below the national average and compares to levels of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,281 (median) and $71,544 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Kilmore - Broadford, between the 35th and 39th percentiles. Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 33.9% of the community (6,108 individuals), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing, 85.0% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kilmore - Broadford is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Kilmore - Broadford, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 90.8% houses and 9.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kilmore - Broadford was lagging that of Regional Vic., at 34.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (47.0%) or rented (18.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional Vic. average at $1,603, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $330, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285. Nationally, Kilmore - Broadford's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kilmore - Broadford has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 72.1% of all households, comprising 31.1% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.0% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kilmore - Broadford aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (16.1%) substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 41.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (29.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 41 active transport stops operating within Kilmore - Broadford, comprising a mix of train. These stops are serviced by 5 individual routes, collectively providing 532 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 617 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 17.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 76 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kilmore - Broadford is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Kilmore - Broadford faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover slightly lags that of the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~9,388 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.6 and 9.5% of residents, respectively, while 64.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 19.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,449 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Kilmore - Broadford is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kilmore - Broadford was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 90.6% of its population being citizens, 88.0% born in Australia, and 93.5% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Kilmore - Broadford is Christianity, which makes up 49.5% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 1.1% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic..

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kilmore - Broadford are Australian, comprising 30.4% of the population, English, comprising 29.5% of the population, and Irish, comprising 10.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maltese is notably overrepresented at 1.6% of Kilmore - Broadford (vs 0.5% regionally), Macedonian at 0.3% (vs 0.2%) and Dutch at 1.5% (vs 1.7%).

Kilmore - Broadford's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The 39-year median age in Kilmore - Broadford is significantly below Regional Vic.'s average of 43 while essentially aligned with Australia's 38 years. Relative to Regional Vic., Kilmore - Broadford has a higher concentration of 25 - 34 residents (13.8%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (10.0%). Following the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 12.3% to 13.8% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 11.7% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.7% to 11.4% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 13.0% to 11.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Kilmore - Broadford's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 70% (1,734 people), reaching 4,212 from 2,477.