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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Kinglake has an estimated 1,873 residents, up from 1,662 at the 2021 Census — a change of 211 people, or 12.7%. Growth has averaged 2.5% a year over five years, faster than 79% of areas nationally. Natural increase accounts for 57.0% of that increase. Density is about 16 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Kinglake's population is estimated at around 1,873 as of May 2026, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS population updates for the wider region and new address verifications. Compared to the 1,662 residents recorded in the 2021 Census, this represents an expansion of 211 individuals (12.7%). This population shift is calculated from the estimated resident population of 1,873, which AreaSearch determined by examining the ABS's latest ERP data release from June 2025 alongside an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census. This population level translates to a density of 16.3 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious residential environment.
The 12.7% rate of expansion in the suburb of Kinglake since the 2021 census outpaced the broader SA3 area (1.8%) and the state, positioning the locality as a regional leader in population gains. Demographic growth in the suburb of Kinglake was primarily underpinned by natural increase, which accounted for approximately 56.99999999999999% of the overall population increase in recent times, though positive contributions were also observed across all other factors, including interstate and overseas migration. Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 regions, published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline, are utilized by AreaSearch. For any SA2 regions lacking this coverage, AreaSearch incorporates the 2023 projections from the VIC State Government for Regions and LGAs, adjusting the figures through a weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age brackets derived from these aggregations are also projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on these anticipated demographic trends, substantial population gains are projected for statistical areas in the nation's top quartile, with the suburb of Kinglake forecast to grow by 549 residents to 2041 using aggregated SA2 projections, representing an overall increase of 29.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
60 new dwellings have been approved in Kinglake over the past five years, an average of 12 a year. That places the area in the 52nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 4, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to building approval figures from the ABS compiled by AreaSearch for the statistical area, Kinglake has seen an average of roughly 12 new home approvals annually. This totals an estimated 60 residential approvals over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 4 during the current FY-26. With an average of 3.6 individuals moving to the area for every new dwelling constructed over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the volume of new supply falls significantly short of demand. This imbalance typically intensifies competition among buyers, putting upward pressure on prices, while new dwellings carry an average construction cost of $560,000, indicating that builders are focusing on premium, high-end housing.
In addition, commercial approvals worth $6.0 million have been recorded in the current financial year, highlighting that the locality remains predominantly residential. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kinglake registers 190.0% more new home approvals per capita, which should offer purchasers diverse options, even though construction activity has moderated in recent years. Additionally, recent residential construction consists entirely of single-family homes, maintaining the low-density character of the area and appealing to buyers seeking extra space. With approximately 337 residents for each dwelling approval, Kinglake presents a developing property market. Long-term forecasts indicate that Kinglake will add 549 residents by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. If current building rates do not accelerate, residential supply may fail to keep pace with population growth, potentially heightening competition among buyers and supporting property value growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kinglake
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 48 current infrastructure and development projects close to Kinglake, worth an estimated $8.39 billion. 11 are already under construction and 13 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and urban planning initiatives are key drivers of regional performance. In total, no developments have been identified by AreaSearch as having an active impact on the immediate area. Major regional initiatives include the North East Link - Tolling Services Package, North East Link - Early Works, Inland Rail Beveridge to Albury, and Regional Housing Fund Projects, with the subsequent list detailing the most relevant projects.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Diamond Creek Trail Extension to Hurstbridge
The extension of the Diamond Creek Trail from Wattle Glen to Hurstbridge provides enhanced shared-use pathways for walking, cycling, and horse riding along the natural creek corridor, completing a continuous 55km trail from Hurstbridge to Melbourne CBD.
Yarra Valley Railway Heritage Line Restoration
Volunteer-led restoration of the historic Yarra Valley Railway between Healesville and Yarra Glen. The project includes reconstruction of rail infrastructure, bridge and station restoration, rolling stock overhaul and eventual expansion of heritage train services. As of 2026, public passenger services have been temporarily paused so volunteers can accelerate track restoration, rolling stock works and preparations for extending operations to Yarra Glen.
Precinct 2A Doreen Development Plan
Approved development plan for Precinct 2A in Doreen, covering about 49.9 hectares across multiple properties. The plan guides future residential subdivision and development, including a local road network, future residential parcels, open space, tree reserves and protection of River Red Gums and other native vegetation. It is intended to deliver about 650 dwellings at a minimum density target of 16.5 dwellings per net developable hectare, with subdivision permit applications to follow the approved plan.
Province Estate
A completed residential estate comprising 60 premium homesites ranging from 328m2 to 513m2. Located in Doreen, this estate offered modern living with large blocks and balanced lifestyle surrounded by established neighborhoods and amenities. The development featured tree-lined streetscapes, beautiful parks, and close proximity to schools, shopping, and transport including Mernda Train Station. All lots are now sold out.
1025 Yan Yean Road Development Plan
The development plan guides future residential subdivision and development for 12 dwellings, creating a residential neighborhood with high amenity, public open space reserve, and efficient movement network, while retaining significant vegetation including the large River Red Gum. The plan was approved by Whittlesea Council in August 2024 following public exhibition.
Maroondah Highway & Don Road Interchange Upgrade
Construction is underway on a grade-separated interchange replacing the existing roundabout at Maroondah Highway and Don Road in Healesville. The project includes a new bridge over Maroondah Highway, upgraded intersections, shared walking and cycling paths, improved safety barriers, drainage upgrades and landscaping to improve traffic flow and safety. Construction remains on track for completion in 2026.
The Memo Healesville Redevelopment
Restoration and expansion of the historic 1930s art-deco cinema and community hall into a modern multi-purpose performing arts and function centre. The venue includes a retractable seating bank auditorium, a hydraulic orchestra pit lift, a gallery space, and multi-purpose hire rooms (Nan Francis Room, Billiard Room, Meeting Room).
Laurimar Estate
Established masterplanned residential community in Doreen developed by Lendlease Communities. The estate includes housing, Laurimar Town Centre, local retail anchored by Woolworths, community facilities, schools, parks, wetlands and waterways. City of Whittlesea material describes Doreen as a suburb developed over the past 25 years with Laurimar as one of its neighbourhood centres, indicating Laurimar is now an established community rather than an active greenfield estate.
1,096 residents of Kinglake are employed, from a labour force of 1,155. Unemployment sits at 5.1%, with participation at 73.2%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,466, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Kinglake has a balanced workforce distributed across professional and manual occupations, with the building sector showing particularly strong representation. The area has an unemployment rate of 5.1% and experienced an estimated employment expansion of 3.4% over the prior year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of local statistical data. As of March 2026, there are 1,096 employed residents, with the unemployment rate tracking 0.3% higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%, while workforce participation is standard at 73.2% compared to 70.2% in Greater Melbourne. Census data indicates a moderate 21.7% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 restrictions.
Resident employment is primarily clustered in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The locality exhibits a strong job specialization in construction, with its share of employment reaching 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, accounting for only 4.9% of the local workforce compared to 10.1% across Greater Melbourne. The local area offers a relatively small number of local jobs, as highlighted by comparing the count of local workers against the resident labor force in the Census. Based on AreaSearch's compilation of SALM and ABS data for the broader statistical area, the 12-month period recorded a 3.4% rise in employment and a 4.7% increase in the labor force, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.1%, the labor force expand by 2.3%, and unemployment tick up by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide context for future labor demand in Kinglake. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to estimate future trends. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change vary by industry. Projecting these industry-specific trends onto the local employment profile indicates that employment among residents should grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation for illustrative purposes that does not incorporate local population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kinglake is $1,737 a week (about $90,000 a year), with median personal income at $788 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,881 a year against an average of $63,744. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year, taxpayer incomes in the suburb of Kinglake sit below the national average. The median income for taxpayers in the suburb of Kinglake is $50,881, and the average income is $63,744, compared to $57,688 and $75,164 in Greater Melbourne. Adjusted for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates would be approximately $55,776 for the median and $69,876 for the average as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census shows that household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of Kinglake are all moderate, placing between the 47th and 49th percentiles.
In terms of distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the most common, accounting for 38.5% of residents (721 people), which is similar to the wider region where 32.8% of the population falls into this range. Discretionary income stands at 85.4% after housing costs, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 5th decile for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kinglake had 608 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 59% are owned with a mortgage, 5% rented and 35% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 17.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The residential mix in Kinglake at the time of the latest Census was dominated by separate houses at 99.2%, with other formats such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative dwellings making up 0.8%, compared to the metropolitan Melbourne split of 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative styles. Home ownership rates in Kinglake stood significantly higher than the Melbourne metropolitan average, with 35.4% owning their homes outright, while the remaining properties were held under a mortgage (59.2%) or rented (5.4%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,733 was well below the Melbourne metropolitan average of $2,000, and the median weekly rent was $300, compared to $390 in metropolitan Melbourne.
Globally across the country, Kinglake's mortgage payments sit below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are considerably lower than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kinglake counted 608 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 685 today, averaging 2.6 people each. 32% are couples with children, against 32% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 73.7%, consisting of couples with children (32.1%), couples without children (31.9%), and single-parent homes (9.2%). The remaining 26.3% are non-family households, with single-person households accounting for 23.7% and group homes making up 2.6%. The median household size of 2.6 people is equal to the Greater Melbourne average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.0% of adults in Kinglake hold a university qualification, including 11.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 76 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,017 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment in the area presents some challenges, with the proportion of residents holding a university degree (18.0%) sitting well below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This gap offers an opportunity for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 11.9%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.1% and postgraduate degrees at 3.0%. Practical and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 48.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (14.3%) and certificates (34.6%). Enrolment rates in education are quite high, with 28.9% of local residents currently participating in formal study.
This comprises 11.5% in primary schools, 8.4% in secondary schools, and 2.7% enrolled in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Kinglake means driving: households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport options in Kinglake consist of 3 active stops providing bus services. These stops are served by 1 separate route, which offers a total of 146 passenger trips per week. Transit access is classified as limited, with residents living an average of 1242 meters from the nearest stop. Given the residential nature of the suburb, most working residents commute out of the area, with private cars being the main mode of travel for 97% of commuters. Average vehicle ownership stands at 1.9 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average.
Around 21.7% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may be associated with pandemic restrictions. Service frequency across all local routes averages 20 runs per day, which translates to roughly 48 weekly departures for each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.6% of residents in Kinglake report no long-term health condition. 4.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Analysis of mortality rates and chronic illness indicators by AreaSearch indicates that Kinglake faces notable health challenges, with common medical issues prevalent among both younger and older populations, while private health insurance coverage is slightly lower than the SA2 average, at approximately 52% of the population (~975 people) compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne. Mental health conditions and asthma are the most common medical diagnoses in the area, affecting 10.7% and 8.2% of the population, respectively, while 67.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne.
The working-age cohort experiences significant health pressures with higher rates of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and older account for 17.5% of the population (327 people), which exceeds the Greater Melbourne level of 15.0%, with national health rankings matching the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kinglake is largely Australian-born, at 89.9% of residents, with 3.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.8%) and Australian (30.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Kinglake displays lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with citizens making up 90.9% of the population, 89.9% born in Australia, and 96.8% using only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 30.3% of residents. The most notable difference in religious affiliation is in the Other category, which represents 1.4% of the population compared to 2.3% in Greater Melbourne. Regarding ancestry, the three most common backgrounds in Kinglake are English at 32.8% of the population (well above the regional average of 20.1%), Australian at 30.4% (well above the regional average of 18.4%), and Irish at 8.9%.
Significant differences also exist for other ancestries: Hungarian is overrepresented at 0.5% (compared to 0.3% regionally), French at 0.8% (compared to 0.5% regionally), and Dutch at 1.7% (compared to 1.2% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kinglake is 43. 22.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 43 in Kinglake is higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the national average of 38. The age distribution shows a high concentration of residents in the 55 - 64 age bracket (16.1%), whereas the 25 - 34 bracket is smaller (10.0%) than in Greater Melbourne. Since 2021, the cohort aged 75 to 84 has increased from 3.2% to 5.5% of the population, and the group aged 65 to 74 grew from 9.7% to 11.0%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 17.5% to 15.3%, and the 5 to 14 age group declined from 12.5% to 11.2%.
Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate notable shifts, with the cohort aged 75 to 84 expected to grow significantly, increasing by 97 residents (95%) from 103 to 201.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kinglake
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 7 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,662 at the 2021 Census → 1,873 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21358). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.