Alexandra
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Alexandra are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Alexandra's population was 6,828 as of the 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, it had increased to around 6,887, a rise of 59 people (0.9%). This increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 6,860 in June 2024 and 31 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 3.3 persons per square kilometer by Nov 2025. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, a population increase of 1,758 persons is forecast, reflecting a total increase of 25.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Alexandra recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Alexandra recorded approximately 46 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 231 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents arriving per new home over these years was 0.7. This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more buying options and potentially accelerating population growth beyond current projections.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings was $421,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $10.5 million, indicating consistent commercial investment activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Alexandra records approximately three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks in the 67th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

New building activity comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The population density is approximately 208 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, Alexandra is projected to grow by 1,730 residents. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with these growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population expands.

Alexandra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified six projects likely impacting this region. Notable ones are Mansfield District Hospital Residential Aged Care Development, Mansfield Common, Mansfield Station Precinct Activation Project, and Alpine Estate Mansfield. Below lists those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Alexandra lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Alexandra has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 4.9%, indicating relative employment stability over the past year.

In comparison to Rest of Vic., Alexandra's unemployment rate is 1.1% higher at 3.8%, and its workforce participation lags behind, at 51.5% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. Notably, the area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 13.0% of Alexandra's workforce compared to Rest of Vic.'s 16.8%.

While local employment opportunities exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data analysis. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels increased by 1.5%, while employment decreased by 0.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.8 percentage points in Alexandra. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alexandra's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Alexandra is below the national average. The median assessed income is $43,467 and the average income stands at $56,138. This contrasts with Rest of Vic.'s figures where the median income is $48,741 and the average income is $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Alexandra would be approximately $48,753 (median) and $62,964 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Alexandra all fall between the 9th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the predominant cohort spans 27.4% of locals (1,887 people) with incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which aligns with regional levels where this cohort represents 30.3%. Housing costs are modest, with 88.4% of income retained, but the total disposable income ranks at just the 14th percentile nationally.

Alexandra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alexandra's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.9% houses and 7.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic had 93.6% houses and 6.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alexandra stood at 53.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.4% and rented ones at 18.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic's average of $1,500. Median weekly rent in Alexandra was $250, compared to Non-Metro Vic's $280. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents averaged $375.

Alexandra features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.7% of all households, including 18.8% couples with children, 35.2% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 37.3%, with lone person households at 34.8% and group households comprising 2.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Alexandra fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.0%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 13.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (29.1%). A total of 22.9% of the population is actively pursuing formal education: 8.2% in primary, 7.0% in secondary, and 2.4% in tertiary education.

Alexandra has a robust network of 7 schools serving approximately 719 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 976) and balanced educational opportunities. The area has 5 primary and 2 secondary schools, with school places per 100 residents at 10.4, below the regional average of 14.0. Some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note that for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Alexandra shows 20 active public transport stops operating, with a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 8 different routes, offering a total of 95 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically located 933 meters away from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 13 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Alexandra is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Alexandra faces significant health challenges with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 48% (~3,305 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.8%) and mental health issues (8.5%). However, 59.3% report being free from medical ailments, compared to 63.0% in Rest of Vic. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 31.4% (2,165 people), higher than the 25.2% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges despite performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Alexandra is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Alexandra's population was found to be predominantly culturally homogeneous, with 89.7% being Australian citizens, 86.6% born in Australia, and 96.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 44.1% of Alexandra's population. Notably, Buddhism was slightly overrepresented compared to the rest of Victoria, with 1.1% of Alexandra's population identifying as Buddhist versus 0.9%.

In terms of ancestry, the most represented groups were English (34.4%), Australian (29.8%), and Scottish (10.2%). However, there were notable differences in the representation of certain ethnicities: Dutch was overrepresented at 2.0% compared to 1.5% regionally, Hungarian at 0.3% versus 0.2%, and Irish at 8.7% compared to 10.4%.

Alexandra ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Alexandra's median age is 53, which is considerably higher than the Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 and substantially exceeds the national norm of 38. Relative to Rest of Vic., Alexandra has a higher concentration of 65-74 residents at 17.4%, but fewer 5-14 year-olds at 8.7%. This 65-74 concentration is well above the national figure of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 8.1% to 9.3%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 18.6% to 17.4%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 12.6% to 11.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Alexandra's age structure. The 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 67% (428 people), reaching 1,070 from 641. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 6% (39 people).