Alexandra

Population growth drivers in Alexandra are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Alexandra's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 7,033, indicating a growth of 205 people, or 3.0%, since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 6,828. This increase is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 6,859 in June 2024 and an additional 31 validated new addresses post-Census date. The population density stands at 3.3 persons per square kilometer. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.0% to recent population gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to increase by 1,758 persons, reflecting a total increase of 22.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Alexandra recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Alexandra has recorded approximately 46 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 231 homes. In FY-26 so far, 12 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.7 new residents per year arrive for every new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and enabling population growth that may surpass current projections.

The average development value of new dwellings is $421,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In this financial year, $10.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Alexandra records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 67th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

The new building activity comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. There are approximately 208 people per dwelling approval in the location, indicating a low density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Alexandra is expected to grow by 1,584 residents through to 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Alexandra has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 28thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects potentially affecting this region. Notable ones are Mansfield District Hospital Residential Aged Care Development, Mansfield Common, Mansfield Station Precinct Activation Project, and Alpine Estate Mansfield. The following details these projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Alexandra lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Alexandra has an unemployment rate of 5.3% as of September 2025, with 3,101 residents employed. This is 1.5% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Alexandra is 54.4%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%.

According to Census responses, 19.7% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, construction, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. Agriculture, forestry & fishing is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented at 13.0% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 16.8%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.7%, employment fell by 3.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.7 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Alexandra's employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Alexandra SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $44,127 and the average income stands at $56,897. This contrasts with Rest of Vic.'s figures where the median income is $50,954 and the average income is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Alexandra as of September 2025 would be approximately $47,767 (median) and $61,591 (average). Census 2021 income data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Alexandra all fall between the 9th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the predominant cohort spans 27.4% of locals (1,927 people) with incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 30.3%. Housing costs are modest, with 88.4% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 13th percentile nationally.

Alexandra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alexandra's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.9% houses and 7.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alexandra was 53.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.4% and rented ones at 18.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Alexandra was $250, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Alexandra features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.7% of all households, including 18.8% couples with children, 35.2% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.3%, with lone person households at 34.8% and group households making up 2.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Alexandra fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.0%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (29.1%). A total of 22.9% of the population is currently engaged in formal education, comprising 8.2% in primary, 7.0% in secondary, and 2.4% in tertiary education.

A substantial 22.9% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.2% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Alexandra shows that there are 20 active transport stops currently operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 4 individual routes providing service. Together, these routes facilitate 66 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is rated as limited, with residents on average located approximately 933 meters away from their nearest transport stop. As Alexandra is predominantly residential, most commuting by residents is outward-bound. The car remains the primary mode of transportation, used by 87% of residents, while walking accounts for 10%.

On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in the area. According to the 2021 Census, 19.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages approximately 9 trips per day, resulting in about 3 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Alexandra is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Alexandra's health data indicates significant challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably high rates are seen across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is found to be very low at approximately 48% of the total population, which amounts to around 3,347 people.

This compares to 50.5% in Rest of Vic., with a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.8% and 8.5% of residents respectively. Conversely, 59.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% in Rest of Vic.. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Alexandra has 31.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,211 people), which is higher than the 23.5% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

Alexandra is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Alexandra's population was found to be relatively homogeneous culturally, with 89.7% being Australian citizens, 86.6% born in Australia, and 96.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Alexandra, comprising 44.1% of its population. Buddhism was slightly overrepresented compared to the rest of Victoria, with 1.1% of Alexandra's population identifying as such, compared to 1.0%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (34.4%), Australian (29.8%), and Scottish (10.2%). Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented in Alexandra at 2.0%, compared to 1.7% regionally, while Hungarian ancestry was also slightly higher at 0.3% versus 0.2%. Irish ancestry was underrepresented at 8.7%, compared to the regional average of 9.7%.

Alexandra ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Alexandra's median age is 53, notably higher than Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 and substantially exceeding the national norm of 38. Compared to Rest of Vic., Alexandra has a higher concentration of 65-74 residents at 17.4%, but fewer 5-14 year-olds at 8.7%. This 65-74 concentration is well above the national figure of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 8.1% to 9.3%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 18.6% to 17.4%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 12.6% to 11.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Alexandra's age structure. The 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 63% (415 people), reaching 1,070 from 654. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 4% (26 people).