Alexandra

Population growth drivers in Alexandra are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Alexandra's population was around 6,849 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 21 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,828. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 6,849 in June 2025 and an additional 51 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3.2 persons per square kilometer. Alexandra's 0.3% growth since census compares to the SA4 region's 2.9%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 50.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to expand by 1,705 persons, reflecting a total increase of 24.9% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Alexandra recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Alexandra has recorded approximately 46 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 231 homes. In FY-26 so far, 24 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.7 new residents per year have arrived for every new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This indicates that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and enabling population growth that could surpass current projections.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $421,000, reflecting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, Alexandra has recorded $10.5 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Alexandra records 19.0% less building activity per person while it ranks among the 67th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

New building activity comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes that appeal to those seeking space. The location has approximately 208 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Alexandra is expected to grow by 1,705 residents through to 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may encounter increased competition as the population grows.

Alexandra has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 25thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects are Mansfield District Hospital Residential Aged Care Development, Mansfield Common, Mansfield Station Precinct Activation Project, and Alpine Estate Mansfield. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Alexandra lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Alexandra has an unemployment rate of 5.8%. As of December 2025, it is 3,075 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 8.5% compared to Regional Vic.'s rate of 6.4%. Workforce participation stands at 54.4%, lower than Regional Vic.'s 61.0%.

According to Census responses, 19.7% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, construction, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. Alexandra is particularly specialized in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented at 13.0% compared to Regional Vic.'s 16.8%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year ending December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.5%, employment fell by 5.7%, and unemployment rose by 2.2 percentage points. In comparison, Regional Vic.'s employment fell by 0.6%, labour force contracted by 0.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alexandra's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Alexandra SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $44,127 and the average income is $56,897. This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s figures of a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Alexandra as of March 2026 would be approximately $48,372 (median) and $62,370 (average). Census 2021 data shows that incomes in Alexandra fall between the 9th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 27.4% of locals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 30.3%. Housing costs are modest in Alexandra, with 88.4% of income retained after housing expenses. However, the total disposable income ranks at just the 13th percentile nationally.

Alexandra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Alexandra's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.9% houses and 7.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Regional Vic.'s dwelling structure was 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alexandra stood at 53.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.4% and rented dwellings at 18.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Alexandra was $250, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Alexandra's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Alexandra features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.7% of all households, including 18.8% couples with children, 35.2% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 37.3%, with lone person households at 34.8% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Alexandra fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.0%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (29.1%). A total of 22.9% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 8.2% in primary, 7.0% in secondary, and 2.4% in tertiary education.

A substantial 22.9% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.2% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Alexandra shows that there are currently 20 operational transport stops, all of which serve buses. These stops are served by four distinct routes that together provide a total of 66 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is considered limited, with residents typically located approximately 933 meters away from the nearest stop. As Alexandra is primarily residential, most residents commute outward to other areas for work or leisure. The dominant mode of transportation among residents is car ownership at 87%, while 10% opt to walk instead. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, 19.7% of residents work from home, which may be partly attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on commuting patterns. The service frequency across all routes averages nine trips per day, resulting in approximately three weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Alexandra is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Alexandra's health data shows significant issues, as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is very low at about 48% of the total population (around 3,260 people), compared to Regional Vic.'s 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.8%) and mental health issues (8.5%). About 59.3% of residents claim no medical ailments, lower than Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age population faces substantial health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. Alexandra has 32.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,211 people), higher than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even worse than the general population nationally.

Alexandra is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Alexandra's population showed low cultural diversity, with 89.7% being citizens, 86.6% born in Australia, and 96.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 44.1%. Buddhism was overrepresented, making up 1.1%, compared to Regional Vic's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (34.4%), Australian (29.8%), and Scottish (10.2%). Dutch (2.0%) and Hungarian (0.3%) were also overrepresented, while Irish (8.7%) was underrepresented compared to regional averages.

Alexandra ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Alexandra's median age is 53, which is higher than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 and substantially exceeds the national norm of 38. Compared to Regional Vic., Alexandra has a higher concentration of residents aged 65-74 at 17.6%, but fewer residents aged 5-14 at 8.9%. This 65-74 concentration is well above the national figure of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 9.7% to 11.7%, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 8.1% to 9.2%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 17.6% to 16.1%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 12.6% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Alexandra's age structure. The 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 57% (359 people), reaching 989 from 629. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 5% (27 people).