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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Warburton (Vic.) has an estimated 2,014 residents. Density is about 15 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of broader regional ABS population updates alongside post-Census validated addresses, the suburb of Warburton (Vic.) has an estimated population of roughly 2,014 as of Aug 2026. This represents a contraction of 6 people (0.3%) from the 2021 Census tally of 2,020 people. Such an adjustment is deduced from an estimated resident count of 2,012 following ABS's release of ERP data in June 2025, combined with 12 validated new addresses registered after the Census. Consequently, population density stands at 15.2 persons per square kilometer, ensuring considerable personal space.
Recent local demographic gains were driven chiefly by natural increase, which generated around 65.0% of overall population growth. Projections compiled by the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with 2022 serving as the baseline year have been implemented by AreaSearch for SA2 areas. Where specific SA2 coverage is absent, 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections are incorporated via a population growth weighted aggregation model transitioning LGA metrics to SA2 scales. Age-specific expansion rates derived from these models are also applied across all areas covering 2032 to 2041. Forward-looking demographic projections for the suburb of Warburton (Vic.) track within the lower quartile of statistical areas studied by AreaSearch, with aggregated SA2-level figures anticipating an increase of 72 persons to 2041, constituting an overall rise of 3.5% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
34 new dwellings have been approved in Warburton (Vic.) over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 0.7 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 3, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Building approval metrics from the ABS, mapped to local statistical levels by AreaSearch, indicate that approximately 6 new residential dwellings receive approval in Warburton each year, totaling roughly 34 homes approved across the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), with 3 approved during FY-25 so far. In light of recent population decline, this pace of residential construction remains relatively healthy for prospective purchasers, with dwellings carrying an average expected construction cost of $461,000. In addition, $626,000 in commercial approvals has been recorded this financial year, underscoring an emphasis on residential building.
Per capita residential construction in Warburton sits 81.0% below regional average per person compared to Greater Melbourne. While construction volume has picked up lately, such limited new supply typically reinforces valuations and buyer demand for existing stock. This subdued volume is likewise lower than nationally, pointing to structural development constraints and overall market maturity. Furthermore, all recent development has consisted exclusively of detached houses, maintaining the locality's low-density profile and attracting buyers in search of spacious living. An estimated ratio of 803 people per approved dwelling highlights the tranquil, low-scale construction environment. According to the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Warburton is projected to add 70 residents through to 2041. Existing levels of residential construction appear well-positioned to satisfy this incoming demand, providing favorable purchasing conditions and potentially enabling residential growth beyond current population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warburton (Vic.)
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 11 current infrastructure and development projects close to Warburton (Vic.), worth an estimated $272 million. 4 are already under construction and 4 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans tourism, transport & logistics and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic infrastructure developments, major works, and urban planning schemes significantly steer local area performance. No major infrastructure initiatives have been identified by AreaSearch as directly affecting the immediate locality. Prominent regional works include the Yarra Valley Railway Heritage Line Restoration, Additional VLocity Trains, Level Crossing Removal Project (Melbourne), and the Goosnargh Housing Development, with key details provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Healesville Sanctuary Precinct Redevelopment (Stage 2)
A major expansion of Healesville Sanctuary focused on modernising visitor facilities and native animal exhibits to support critical wildlife conservation. Key components include a new Threatened Species Quarantine facility, a Raptor Recovery Flight Aviary, and an upgraded Australian Wildlife Health Centre Visitor Gallery. Ongoing works involve the redesign of the active play area and visitor amenity blocks to enhance the educational experience and save priority native species from extinction.
Maroondah Highway & Don Road Interchange Upgrade
Construction is underway on a grade-separated interchange replacing the existing roundabout at Maroondah Highway and Don Road in Healesville. The project includes a new bridge over Maroondah Highway, upgraded intersections, shared walking and cycling paths, improved safety barriers, drainage upgrades and landscaping to improve traffic flow and safety. Construction remains on track for completion in 2026.
Graceburn Gardens Estate
Premium residential land estate offering large lifestyle blocks with Yarra Valley views. The project has been completed in stages, with lots likely fully released by 2024.
The Memo Healesville Redevelopment
Restoration and expansion of the historic 1930s art-deco cinema and community hall into a modern multi-purpose performing arts and function centre. The venue includes a retractable seating bank auditorium, a hydraulic orchestra pit lift, a gallery space, and multi-purpose hire rooms (Nan Francis Room, Billiard Room, Meeting Room).
Yarra Valley Railway Heritage Line Restoration
Volunteer-led restoration of the historic Yarra Valley Railway between Healesville and Yarra Glen. The project includes reconstruction of rail infrastructure, bridge and station restoration, rolling stock overhaul and eventual expansion of heritage train services. As of 2026, public passenger services have been temporarily paused so volunteers can accelerate track restoration, rolling stock works and preparations for extending operations to Yarra Glen.
Morrison Reserve Master Plan 2024-2039
A 15-year master plan for Morrison Reserve adopted by Yarra Ranges Council on 28 May 2024. The first funded implementation stage, the Youth Activation and Bike Park project, is now under construction by Warrandale Industries following contract award. The works include an all-abilities bike park, youth activation spaces, social areas and associated public facilities, with completion expected during 2026. The broader master plan continues to guide future staged upgrades to sporting, recreation and pathway infrastructure through 2039.
Hereford Road Childcare Centre and Development Site
A planning permit for a 104-place childcare centre on a 5014 sqm site at 19-23 Hereford Road, Mount Evelyn was approved by VCAT on 4 December 2024, following a Council refusal that was overturned on appeal. The application, lodged by Planning Property Partners, originally also proposed a 24/7 McDonald's restaurant on the site, but the fast-food component was refused by Council and the refusal was upheld by VCAT. The childcare centre occupies about 43 percent of the supersite, which retains a development scheme allowing for an additional quick-service restaurant / fast-food outlet subject to further approval.The property was the site of Pro Futsal Mt Evelyn, a sports complex and physiotherapy clinic, held on a lease expiring 31 December 2025. The site was taken to market via Expressions of Interest closing 2 July 2025 through Burgess Rawson and Teska Carson, and has since sold; the purchaser has not been publicly disclosed. No construction start date has been confirmed.
Fernhill Road, Mount Evelyn - Drainage Improvements
Drainage infrastructure and stormwater network upgrades along Fernhill Road in Mount Evelyn. Delivered under Yarra Ranges Council's Capital Expenditure Program, the works resolve localized overland flow and flooding impacts associated with surrounding catchment development.
958 residents of Warburton (Vic.) are employed, from a labour force of 1,050. Unemployment sits at 8.8%, with participation at 59.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,753, about 87% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
AreaSearch data aggregations show that Warburton possesses a skilled labor base with strong representation across essential services, an unemployment rate of 8.8%, and steady employment conditions over the preceding year. As of March 2026958 residents are employed; however, the local unemployment rate sits 4.0% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and the participation rate of 59.9% falls substantially behind the metropolitan mark of 70.1%. Census records further show that 27.8% of workers operated from home, a figure potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown restrictions. Local workforce participation is primarily clustered across health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.
Concentration is especially marked in education & training, which employs residents at 1.4 times the regional average. In contrast, finance & insurance accounts for only 1.8% of resident workers, compared with 4.9% across the broader region. Disparities between resident workers and local Census working positions point to a constrained internal job market. Synthesized ABS and SALM figures from AreaSearch across broader statistical zones show that for the 12 months to March 2026, local employment growth was flat with no change recorded, while a 1.3% rise in the labour pool lifted the unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. Over the same timeframe, Greater Melbourne experienced a 2.1% increase in employment, a 2.3% rise in the labor force, and a 0.2 percentage point uptick in unemployment. Broader national projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 outline broader industry trajectories, anticipating nationwide workforce growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Mapping these sectoral projections onto Warburton's specific employment distribution suggests local job numbers could rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (this modeled extrapolation serves illustrative purposes and excludes local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warburton (Vic.) is $1,147 a week (about $60,000 a year), with median personal income at $599 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $41,847 a year against an average of $50,458. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxpayer records for financial year 2023 aggregated at postcode level by AreaSearch show Warburton residents recorded a median income of $41,847 and an average income of $50,458, both falling behind the Greater Melbourne benchmarks of $57,688 and $75,164, as well as national figures. Factoring in Wage Price Index expansion of 9.62% since financial year 2023 yields estimated values of $45,873 (median) and $55,312 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed the area's personal, family, and household earnings between the 9th and 11th percentiles nationally. Additionally, 27.9% of local residents (561 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 band, compared with 32.8% regionally.
Substantial housing affordability strain is evident, with only 83.8% of income remaining, placing the suburb at the 11th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warburton (Vic.) had 810 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 95% detached houses and 2% apartments. 41% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 41% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $290 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,400 a month. Rent absorbs 25.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The dwelling landscape recorded at the most recent Census in Warburton was composed of 94.6% separate houses and 5.4% other dwelling types such as apartments and semi-detached properties, whereas metropolitan Melbourne recorded 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Outright home ownership was significantly higher locally at 40.5%, with mortgaged properties comprising 41.1% and rental housing making up 18.3%. Median mortgage costs stood at $1,400 monthly, substantially below Melbourne metro's $2,000 and the Australian average of $1,863. Median weekly rent was $290, which is considerably more affordable than the metropolitan figure of $390 and the national level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warburton (Vic.) counted 810 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.1 people each. 18% are couples with children, fewer than in 90% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 38% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of local households at 59.9%, comprising couples without children (26.0%), couples with children (18.4%), and single parent families (13.1%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 40.1%, with single-person residences representing 38.0% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 2.1 people, tracking below the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
27.1% of adults in Warburton (Vic.) hold a university qualification, including 15.3% with a bachelor degree and 7.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.7% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 68 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 999 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in Warburton sits below regional figures, with 27.1% of residents aged 15 and over holding higher education degrees, compared to 37.0% across Greater Melbourne. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees represent 15.3%, postgraduate credentials account for 7.1%, and graduate diplomas make up 4.7%. Vocational qualifications are prominent, with 39.4% of the population aged 15+ possessing technical training, split between certificates (24.7%) and advanced diplomas (14.7%). Formal study engagement is substantial throughout the community, with 31.5% of the population attending an educational institution. This proportion includes 11.6% enrolled in primary education, 11.2% in secondary school, and 3.0% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warburton (Vic.) reaches 12 stops on 1 route, timetabled for about 520 services a week. The typical home sits about 510 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local public transit infrastructure includes 12 active stops in Warburton serviced by bus transport. These points are connected across 1 individual routes, supplying 520 passenger services on a weekly basis. Accessibility is moderate, with residents living an average distance of 509 meters from the nearest stop. Private vehicles serve as the primary commuting choice for 92% of traveling residents, and vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.2 per dwelling. Additionally, 27.8% of employed residents worked from home at the 2021 Census, which may reflect COVID-19 circumstances. Across all transit routes, service volume averages 74 trips daily, delivering approximately 43 trips per week for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.4% of residents in Warburton (Vic.) report no long-term health condition. 6.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Mortality figures and chronic illness prevalence compiled by AreaSearch show Warburton's health indicators aligning closely with national standards, exhibiting typical rates of common medical conditions across age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is notably subdued at approximately 47% of all residents (~944 people), trailing both Greater Melbourne (56.7%) and the national benchmark of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent ailments locally, diagnosed in 11.4% and 11.2% of residents respectively, while 63.4% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Chronic illness incidence is elevated among the working-age cohort.
Meanwhile, residents aged 65 and over make up 26.7% of the locality (537 people), higher than the 15.1% seen across Greater Melbourne, with senior health outcomes rating above average and exceeding broader national standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warburton (Vic.) is largely Australian-born, at 78.5% of residents, with 6.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.8%) and Australian (25.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures in Warburton track below broader regional levels, with 82.4% of the population holding citizenship, 78.5% born in Australia, and 93.9% speaking exclusively English at home. Christianity is the predominant faith, representing 31.7% of the populace. The most notable non-mainstream religious classification is Other, encompassing 1.1% of residents compared to 2.3% across Greater Melbourne. Evaluating parental country of birth, the leading ancestries in Warburton are English at 33.8% (outpacing the regional benchmark of 20.1%), Australian at 25.1% (exceeding the regional 18.4%), and Irish at 9.7%. Several European ancestries also show distinct representation above regional averages, notably Dutch at 2.9% (versus 1.2% regionally), Polish at 1.3% (versus 0.8%), and Hungarian at 0.5% (versus 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warburton (Vic.) is 50, older than 91% of areas nationally. 15.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The local demographic structure clearly highlights Warburton's character as a lifestyle and retirement community. Seniors and retirees aged 65 and over constitute 26.7% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 15.1% across Greater Melbourne, whereas individuals aged 25 - 44 represent just 17.0%, compared with 32.1% regionally. The estimated median age of 50 matches the 2021 Census figure and is 13 years older than Greater Melbourne's median of 37 at that Census, as well as the national median of 38. Since the Census, the share of retirees and seniors has expanded from 24.3% to an estimated 26.7%.
Looking ahead to 2041, this 65+ age band is forecast to add 121 residents (23%) to reach 659, while cohorts comprising children, young adults, and individuals aged 25 - 44 are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warburton (Vic.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 12 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,020 at the 2021 Census → 2,014 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22689). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.