Baranduda - Leneva

Baranduda - Leneva lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Baranduda-Leneva's population is 15,107 as of November 2025. This reflects a growth from 12,778 in the 2021 Census, an increase of 2,329 people (18.2%). The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 14,293 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. Population density is 60 persons per square kilometer. Baranduda-Leneva's growth exceeded SA3 area (4.2%) and SA4 region, marking it as a regional growth leader. Migration from interstate contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with base year 2022. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections are used with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation method. Population growth rates by age group applied across all areas from 2032 to 2041. Projected exceptional growth places Baranduda-Leneva in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, expected to expand by 9,676 persons to 2041, reflecting a 58.7% increase over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Baranduda - Leneva was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baranduda - Leneva recorded around 252 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 1,263 homes. So far in FY-26100 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.3 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $281,000.

In FY-26, $2.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Rest of Vic., Baranduda - Leneva records 190.0% more new home approvals per person. New development consists of 98.0% standalone homes and 2.0% townhouses or apartments. The location has approximately 52 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Baranduda - Leneva is forecasted to gain 8,862 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Baranduda - Leneva has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 35thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 47 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones include the Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project), Baranduda Electrical Energy Reserve (BESS), Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, and House Creek Precinct Housing. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Baranduda - Leneva significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Baranduda - Leneva has an unemployment rate of 2.1% as of September 2025, with 7,907 residents employed. The area's unemployment rate is 1.7% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%, and its workforce participation rate is higher at 71.4%.

Key industries include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Public administration & safety is particularly prominent, with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.9% of Baranduda - Leneva's workforce compared to 7.5% in Rest of Vic.. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the area's labour force decreased by 1.1%, employment declined by 1.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points.

Statewide, VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to November 2025, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.0% over ten years for Baranduda - Leneva, based on industry-specific projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows that median income in Baranduda - Leneva SA2 is $54,700, with average income at $62,654. This is compared to Rest of Vic.'s median income of $48,741 and average income of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from financial year ending June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $61,352 and average income is $70,273 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Baranduda - Leneva rank between the 74th and 76th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 43.7% of locals (6,601 people) with incomes between $1,500 and $2,999, aligning with the broader area where this cohort represents 30.3%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Baranduda - Leneva is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

As of the latest Census evaluation in Baranduda - Leneva, 99.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 0.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Non-Metro Vic., where 91.6% of dwellings are houses and 8.5% are other types. Home ownership in Baranduda - Leneva stood at 27.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented ones at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,707, exceeding Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,473. The median weekly rent in Baranduda - Leneva was $385, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $280. Nationally, mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents higher at $375.

Baranduda - Leneva features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.2% of all households, consisting of 42.1% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda - Leneva exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (29.2%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baranduda-Leneva has 23 active public transport stops operating, with a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 10 individual routes, offering a total of 212 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents located an average of 1004 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 30 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Baranduda - Leneva's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Baranduda - Leneva shows relatively positive health outcomes with a low prevalence of common conditions among its general population.

However, this prevalence is higher than the national average among older and at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover in the area is approximately 51% of the total population (~7,719 people), which slightly lags behind the average for SA2 areas. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (affecting 9.0% of residents) and asthma (8.5%). A majority of residents (70.3%) report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in Rest of Vic.. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.6% (1,895 people), compared to the 20.7% in Rest of Vic.. While health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population, they present some challenges that need to be addressed.

Baranduda - Leneva ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda-Leneva had a low cultural diversity, with 88.0% born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 49.5%. Hinduism was overrepresented at 1.7%, compared to 0.8% regionally.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (31.7%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.3%). Dutch (1.7%) and German (4.7%) were notably overrepresented, while Scottish (7.8%) was slightly underrepresented regionally.

Baranduda - Leneva's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Baranduda-Leneva is 33 years, which is considerably lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 years and substantially under the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., the 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.3% in Baranduda-Leneva, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.4%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.4% to 15.3%, and the 35 to 44 cohort has increased from 14.0% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.0% to 15.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Baranduda-Leneva, with the 25 to 34 group expected to grow by 93%, reaching 4,258 people from 2,205.