Baranduda - Leneva

Baranduda - Leneva lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Baranduda-Leneva's population was around 14,981 as of November 2025. This figure shows an increase of 2,203 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,778. The change is inferred from ABS estimates: 14,294 in June 2024 and additional validated addresses since then. This results in a density ratio of 60 persons per square kilometer. Baranduda-Leneva's growth rate, at 17.2% since the 2021 Census, surpassed both its SA3 area (4.8%) and SA4 region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 67.0% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Baranduda-Leneva is projected to grow by 9,676 persons, reflecting a 60.0% increase over the period.

The level of residential development activity in Baranduda - Leneva was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baranduda-Leneva recorded approximately 252 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 1,263 homes. As of FY-26135 approvals have been granted. On average, about 2.3 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $281,000.

In FY-26, $2.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Baranduda-Leneva has seen 190.0% more new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers. This is notably higher than national levels, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New development comprises 98.0% standalone homes and 2.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low-density nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 52 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Baranduda-Leneva is projected to gain 8,988 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Baranduda - Leneva has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 47 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include the Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project), Baranduda Electrical Energy Reserve (BESS), Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, and House Creek Precinct Housing. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Baranduda - Leneva significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Baranduda-Leneva has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 2.1% as of September 2025. It employs 7,907 residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% below the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. The workforce participation rate is 73.0%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%.

According to Census responses, 11.6% of residents work from home. Key industries are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Baranduda-Leneva has a particular employment specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.9% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.1%, employment declined by 1.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Baranduda-Leneva's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Baranduda - Leneva SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $57,301 and the average income is $64,813. This contrasts with Rest of Vic.'s figures where the median income is $50,954 and the average income is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Baranduda - Leneva would be approximately $62,028 (median) and $70,160 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Baranduda - Leneva rank highly nationally, between the 74th and 76th percentiles. The data indicates that the predominant income cohort spans 43.7% of locals (6,546 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which aligns with the broader area where this cohort also represents 30.3%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Baranduda - Leneva is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Baranduda - Leneva, as per the latest Census evaluation, 99.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 0.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This differs from Non-Metro Vic.'s breakdown of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda - Leneva stood at 27.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented ones at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,707, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Baranduda - Leneva was $385 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Baranduda - Leneva's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Baranduda - Leneva features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.2% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda - Leneva exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 29.2%. Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.1% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.2% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baranduda-Leneva has 23 operational public transport stops, served by a mix of buses via 10 routes. These routes facilitate 243 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically residing 1004 meters from the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with outward commuting being common. Cars are the primary mode of transport at 90%, while 8% walk. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 34 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Baranduda - Leneva are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Baranduda - Leneva shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~7,670 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues (9.0%) and asthma (8.5%). 70.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 12.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,880 people), which is lower than the 23.5% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Baranduda - Leneva ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda-Leneva has a below-average cultural diversity, with 88.0% of its population born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 49.5% of the population. Hinduism, at 1.7%, is overrepresented compared to the Rest of Vic's 0.7%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (31.7%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.3%). Notable divergences exist in Dutch representation at 1.7% (vs regional 1.7%), German at 4.7% (vs 3.5%), and Scottish at 7.8% (vs 8.8%).

Baranduda - Leneva's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Baranduda-Leneva is 33 years, which is significantly lower than Victoria's average of 43 and the national average of 38. Compared to the Victorian average, individuals aged 15-24 are notably overrepresented at 15.3% locally, while those aged 65-74 are underrepresented at 7.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.4% to 15.3%, and the 35-44 cohort has risen from 14.0% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 16.0% to 15.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Baranduda-Leneva, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 95%, reaching 4,258 people from its current figure of 2,187.