Baranduda - Leneva

Baranduda - Leneva lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Baranduda - Leneva's population was around 14,605 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 1,827 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,778. The change is inferred from ABS estimates; the resident population was 14,579 in June 2025, with 942 additional validated addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 58 persons per square kilometer. Baranduda - Leneva's growth rate of 14.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (2.4%) and the SA4 region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 59.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, they use VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is predicted to increase by 8,802 persons, reflecting a total increase of 60.1% over the 16-year period based on latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Baranduda - Leneva was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baranduda - Leneva averaged approximately 252 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 1,263 homes were approved, with an additional 211 approved so far in FY-26. Each year, on average, 2.3 new residents were gained for each dwelling built during this period, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average expected construction cost value for new homes is $281,000. This financial year has seen $2.3 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Baranduda - Leneva records 180.0% more development activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and demonstrating strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity consists of 98.0% standalone homes and 2.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With approximately 52 people per dwelling approval, the market is expanding.

By 2041, Baranduda - Leneva is expected to grow by 8,775 residents. Current construction levels should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Baranduda - Leneva has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 41stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 47 projects likely to affect the region. Key initiatives include the Riverina Redevelopment Program, Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project, Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, Baranduda Energy Reserve (BESS), and House Creek Precinct Housing. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Baranduda - Leneva demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Baranduda - Leneva has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 2.1% as of December 2025. It has 7,880 residents in work and its unemployment rate is 1.6% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. The workforce participation rate is higher at 71.1%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%.

According to Census responses, 11.6% of residents work from home. Key industries include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Public administration & safety shows strong specialization with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.9%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.3% and employment declined by 3.7%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s employment fell by 0.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Baranduda - Leneva's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Baranduda - Leneva SA2 has lower income compared to the national average. The median income is $57,301 and the average is $64,813. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s median income is $50,954 with an average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimates for March 2026 would be approximately $62,813 (median) and $71,048 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, Baranduda - Leneva ranks highly nationally for household, family, and personal incomes, between the 74th and 76th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 43.7% of the population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% occupy this range. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Baranduda - Leneva is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Baranduda - Leneva's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.5% houses and 0.4% other dwellings, compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda - Leneva stood at 27.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented ones at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,707, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in the area was $385, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Baranduda - Leneva's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,707 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $385 against the national figure of $375.

Baranduda - Leneva features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.2% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda - Leneva exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 29.2%. Educational participation is high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.1% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baranduda-Leneva has 23 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 10 individual routes, offering a total of 243 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited with residents typically living 1004 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential and most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the dominant mode at 90%, with 8% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 34 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Baranduda - Leneva are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Baranduda - Leneva has below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, with approximately 51% of the total population (~7,477 people). Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.0 and 8.5% of residents respectively. 70.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 12.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,854 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Baranduda - Leneva ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda-Leneva, surveyed in 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 88.0% born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion at 49.5%. Hinduism, at 1.7%, was overrepresented compared to Regional Vic's 0.7%.

Ancestry-wise, Australian (31.7%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.3%) were top groups. Notable differences included Dutch (1.7% vs regional 1.7%), German (4.7% vs 3.5%), and Scottish (7.8% vs 8.8%).

Baranduda - Leneva's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Baranduda-Leneva is 33 years, considerably lower than Regional Vic.'s average of 43 and substantially under the national average of 38 years. Compared to the Regional Vic. average, those aged 15-24 are notably over-represented at 15.4% locally, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 7.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15-24 age group grew from 13.4% to 15.4%, and the 35-44 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.7%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort declined from 15.1% to 13.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Baranduda-Leneva, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 90%, reaching 3,838 people from 2,024.