Baranduda - Leneva
Statistical Area - sa2

Baranduda - Leneva lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Baranduda - Leneva's population is around 14,828 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 2,050 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,778 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,295 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 785 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 59 persons per square kilometer. Baranduda - Leneva's 16.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (3.6%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the area expected to expand by 9,676 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 61.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Baranduda - Leneva was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baranduda - Leneva has recorded approximately 252 residential properties granted approval each year. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, with 1,263 dwellings approved over the past five financial years from FY-2021 to FY-2025. As of FY-2026, there have been 49 approvals so far. On average, 2.3 people per year have moved to the area for each new home constructed over these five financial years, reflecting strong demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $427,000. Additionally, $2.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Baranduda - Leneva records 190.0% more new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers. This is notably higher than the national average, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 98.0% standalone homes and 2.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with a focus on detached housing that attracts space-seeking buyers.

The location has approximately 52 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate Baranduda - Leneva will gain 9,141 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Baranduda - Leneva has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 50 projects likely affecting the region. Key initiatives include the Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project), Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, Baranduda Electrical Energy Reserve (BESS), and Brockley Street Bridge Replacement. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Baranduda - Leneva significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Baranduda-Leneva has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 2.1% as of June 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1%.

The area's employment rate is 1.7% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%, and its workforce participation is 71.4%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Public administration & safety has a particularly high employment share, at 2.9 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.9% of Baranduda-Leneva's workforce compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data analysis. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1%, labour force increased by 1.5%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.9% and a labour force decline of 0.4%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows VIC's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Baranduda-Leneva's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data from financial year 2022 shows that Baranduda - Leneva has incomes below the national average. The median income is $54,700 and the average is $62,654. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., which had a median income of $48,741 and an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for March 2025 would be approximately $60,230 (median) and $68,988 (average). The 2021 Census data ranks Baranduda - Leneva's household, family, and personal incomes between the 75th and 77th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 43.7% of locals (6,479 people), falling within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which aligns with the broader area at 30.3%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The SEIFA income ranking places Baranduda - Leneva in the 6th decile.

Baranduda - Leneva is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Baranduda - Leneva, as per the latest Census data, 99.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 0.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments and other dwelling types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 91.6% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda - Leneva stood at 27.5%, with mortgaged properties at 49.7% and rented dwellings at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,707, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,473. Median weekly rent in the area was $385 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $280. Nationally, Baranduda - Leneva's median monthly mortgage repayment is lower at $1,863 and median weekly rent higher at $375.

Baranduda - Leneva features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.2% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda - Leneva exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.8%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (29.2%). Educational participation is high at 33.3%, with 12.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

The region has five schools with a combined enrollment of 1,576 students. It has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 996) and balanced educational opportunities. There are four primary and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average at 10.6, with some students likely attending schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 23 active stops operating within Baranduda-Leneva area, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 10 distinct routes, collectively facilitating 212 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically situated 1004 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 30 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Baranduda - Leneva's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Baranduda - Leneva residents show relatively positive health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions among the general population, albeit higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population (~7,577 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.0%) and asthma (8.5%), while 70.3% of residents report being free from medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in Rest of Vic.. The area has 12.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,860 people), lower than the 20.7% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Baranduda - Leneva ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda-Leneva, surveyed in 2016, had a below-average cultural diversity with 88.0% of its residents born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 91.9% speaking English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 49.5%. Hinduism was overrepresented at 1.7%, compared to 0.8% regionally.

Ancestry-wise, Australian (31.7%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.3%) were the top groups. Dutch (1.7%) and German (4.7%) showed notable overrepresentation compared to regional averages of 1.6% and 4.8%, respectively, while Scottish representation was slightly lower at 7.8%.

Baranduda - Leneva's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Baranduda-Leneva is 33 years, which is considerably lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and substantially under the national average of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, the 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.3% locally, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 7.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15-24 age group has grown from 13.4% to 15.3%, and the 35-44 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 16.0% to 15.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Baranduda-Leneva, with the 25-34 group expected to grow by 97%, reaching 4,258 people from a base of 2,164.