Baranduda - Leneva

Baranduda - Leneva lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Baranduda - Leneva's population is approximately 14,984 as of February 2026. This figure represents a growth of 2,206 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,778. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,294 in June 2024 and an additional 882 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 60 persons per square kilometer. Baranduda - Leneva's growth rate of 17.3% between 2021 and February 2026 exceeded both its SA3 area (4.9%) and SA4 region, indicating it is a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Baranduda - Leneva is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas. By 2041, its population is projected to increase by 9,676 persons, reflecting a total increase of 60.0% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Baranduda - Leneva was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baranduda - Leneva has recorded approximately 252 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 1,263 homes. As of FY-26135 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.3 people per year have moved to the area for each new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $281,000.

In FY-26, $2.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a primarily residential focus. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Baranduda - Leneva records 190.0% more new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers and suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 98.0% standalone homes and 2.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 52 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, Baranduda - Leneva is forecasted to gain 8,985 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Baranduda - Leneva has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 47 such projects that could potentially impact the area. Notable ones include the Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project), Baranduda Electrical Energy Reserve (BESS), Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, and House Creek Precinct Housing. The following list provides details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Baranduda - Leneva significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Baranduda - Leneva has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 2.1% as of September 2025. There are 7,907 residents employed, which is 1.7% below the Rest of Vic.'s unemployment rate of 3.8%. The workforce participation rate in Baranduda - Leneva is 72.8%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%.

According to Census responses, 11.6% of residents work from home. Key industries include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area has a specialization in public administration & safety with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.9% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.1%, employment declined by 1.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. Nationally, employment is forecast to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Baranduda - Leneva's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Baranduda - Leneva SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $57,301 and the average income stands at $64,813. This contrasts with Rest of Vic.'s figures where the median income is $50,954 and the average income is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $62,028 (median) and $70,160 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Baranduda - Leneva rank highly nationally, between the 74th and 76th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 43.7% of locals (6,548 people) with incomes between $1,500 and $2,999, aligning with the broader area where this cohort also represents 30.3%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Baranduda - Leneva is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

As per the latest Census evaluation in Baranduda - Leneva, 99.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 0.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Non-Metro Vic., where 90.1% were houses and 9.9% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda - Leneva stood at 27.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented ones at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,707, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Baranduda - Leneva was $385, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents higher at $375.

Baranduda - Leneva features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.2% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda - Leneva exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (29.2%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (12.1%), secondary education (8.1%), and tertiary education (3.2%).

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Baranduda - Leneva shows that there are currently 23 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 10 individual routes providing service to the area. Collectively, these routes offer 243 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as limited, with residents typically located approximately one kilometer (1004 meters) from their nearest transport stop. As the area is primarily residential, most commuting is outward-bound. The dominant mode of transportation for residents is by car at 90%, while 8% walk to their destinations.

The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.9, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 34 trips made per day across all routes, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Baranduda - Leneva are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Baranduda - Leneva shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~7,671 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.0%) and asthma (8.5%), while 70.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has 12.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,823 people), lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Baranduda - Leneva ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda-Leneva was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 88.0% of its population born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Baranduda-Leneva is Christianity, comprising 49.5% of the population. Hinduism, however, is notably overrepresented at 1.7%, compared to 0.7% across Rest of Vic..

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (31.7%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.3%). There are also notable differences in the representation of Dutch (1.7% vs regional 1.7%), German (4.7% vs 3.5%), and Scottish (7.8% vs 8.8%) ethnic groups.

Baranduda - Leneva's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Baranduda - Leneva is 32 years, notably under Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Rest of Vic., Baranduda - Leneva has a higher concentration of 15-24 residents at 15.3%, but fewer 65-74 year-olds at 7.1%. Between the 2016 and 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 13.4% to 15.3% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 16.0% to 14.7%. By 2041, Baranduda - Leneva is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 group growing by 89%, reaching 4,258 people from 2,255.