Lavington
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Lavington are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Lavington's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, stands at around 15,848 by August 2025. This figure marks an increase of 183 individuals, representing a 1.2% rise since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 15,665 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,662 reported by the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 190 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 738 persons per square kilometer, roughly aligning with averages observed across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth in the area, contributing approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts and latest population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 2,425 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 13.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lavington according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Lavington has recorded approximately 48 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 240 homes. As of FY-26, 27 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were reported between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this figure has eased to -0.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting better supply availability. The average construction value of development projects in Lavington is $399,000, aligning with broader regional development figures.

This financial year, $11.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Lavington records notably lower building activity, at 58.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This level is also lower than the national average, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 74.0% detached houses and 26.0% attached dwellings, preserving Lavington's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 457 people, reflecting its quiet development environment.

Population forecasts indicate that Lavington will gain approximately 2,187 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Lavington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Lavington Swim Centre Redevelopment, Lavington Social Housing Project, River Gum, and Kerr Road Infrastructure Upgrades. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Lavington faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Lavington's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs, with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.7% as of June 2025, showing a 3.9% employment growth over the past year.

There were 8,123 residents employed by June 2025, with an unemployment rate of 3.1%, higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was similar to Rest of NSW at 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Lavington has a notable specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, comprising only 1.3% of Lavington's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.9%, while labour force grew by 4.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, and a 0.4 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Lavington. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%, with an estimated local growth of approximately 6.1%. Over ten years, national employment is projected to grow by 13.7%, suggesting a local growth rate of around 13.1% (using simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2022 shows median income in Lavington was $47,725 and average income was $52,752. This is lower than Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. By September 2025, estimated median income in Lavington would be approximately $53,743 and average income $59,404, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since June 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Lavington fall between the 9th and 19th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort in Lavington is 28.7% (4,548 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999, similar to the broader area at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 83.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Lavington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Lavington, as evaluated in the latest Census, consisted of 77.9% houses and 22.2% other dwellings such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's structure which was 83.2% houses and 16.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lavington stood at 31.2%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (29.2%) or rented (39.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Lavington was recorded at $250, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $265. Nationally, Lavington's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lavington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 60.3% of all households, including 21.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 39.7%, with lone person households at 35.9% and group households comprising 3.8%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Lavington faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.5%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 9.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (31.8%). Educational participation is high at 28.6%, including 9.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Lavington has a network of 7 schools educating approximately 1,998 students, comprising 5 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. School places per 100 residents (12.6) are below the regional average (17.1), with some students likely attending schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lavington has 228 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 50 different routes that together facilitate 1,424 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's location to the nearest transport stop is 138 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 203 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately six weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lavington is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Lavington faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have a high prevalence of common health conditions. Only approximately 47% (~7,401 people) of Lavington's total population has private health cover, compared to 50.9% in the rest of NSW and the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues affect 11.4% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.9%. Conversely, 60.4% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 64.2% in the rest of NSW. Lavington has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.7% (3,434 people), compared to 20.1% in the rest of NSW. The health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly consistent with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Lavington records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lavington's cultural diversity closely matches the wider region's average. 86.0% of its population are citizens, 83.7% were born in Australia, and 87.5% speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 49.7% of Lavington residents.

The most significant overrepresentation is seen in the 'Other' category, comprising 2.6% of the population compared to the regional average of 1.4%. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (28.9%), English (28.6%), and Irish (8.5%). Notably, German ancestry is overrepresented at 5.7%, Australian Aboriginal at 3.4%, and Filipino at 1.3%, compared to their respective regional averages of 5.9%, 2.7%, and 0.7%.

Lavington's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Lavington is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age cohort makes up 15.2% of Lavington's population, higher than the Rest of NSW average, while the 55-64 age group constitutes 11.2%, lower than the Rest of NSW average. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 15.2% of Lavington's population. Conversely, the 65-74 age cohort has decreased from 12.1% to 11.5%. By 2041, forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Lavington. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 882 people (37%), reaching 3,298 from the current 2,415. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 65-74 age groups are expected to see population declines.