Lavington

Population growth drivers in Lavington are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Lavington's population is approximately 15,861 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 196 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,665. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,664 in June 2024 and an additional 195 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 738 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts and latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 2,425 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 13.7% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lavington according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Lavington has recorded approximately 48 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 240 homes. So far in FY-26, 31 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were added between FY-21 and FY-25. However, this figure has eased to -0.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years due to better supply availability. Development projects averaged $399,000 in construction value, aligning with broader regional development figures.

This year, $11.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Lavington records significantly lower building activity, which is 58.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Recent construction comprises 74.0% detached houses and 26.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population count of 457 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Lavington is forecasted to gain 2,174 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Lavington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Lavington Swim Centre Redevelopment, Lavington Social Housing Project, Kerr Road Infrastructure Upgrades, and Bright Steps Academy Lavington. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Lavington faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Lavington's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs, with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.7% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.9% over the preceding year.

By June 2025, 8123 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 3.1%, slightly higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Lavington had a particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing was under-represented, with only 1.3% of Lavington's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.9%, while labour force grew by 4.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, and a rise in unemployment of 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compared favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected a national employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Lavington's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows median income in Lavington SA2 was $47,725 and average income was $52,752. This is below the national averages of $49,459 (median) and $62,998 (average) for Rest of NSW. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $53,743 (median) and $59,404 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Lavington fall between the 9th and 18th percentiles nationally. In Lavington, 4,552 people (28.7% of locals) earn between $1,500 - $2,999 annually, similar to the broader area where this cohort represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Lavington, with only 83.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 10th percentile nationally.

Lavington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Lavington's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.9% houses and 22.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 83.2% houses and 16.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lavington was at 31.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.2% and rented ones at 39.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Lavington was $250, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $265. Nationally, Lavington's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lavington features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 60.3% of all households, including 21.0% couples with children, 23.9% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 39.7%, with lone person households at 35.9% and group households comprising 3.8%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Lavington faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.5%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 41.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (31.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Lavington shows that there are currently 228 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops offer a mix of bus services. The total number of individual routes servicing these stops is 50.

Together, they facilitate 1,424 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 138 meters to the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 203 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lavington is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Lavington faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 7,407 people), compared to 50.9% in Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues affect 11.4% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.9%. About 60.4% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 64.2% in Rest of NSW. Lavington has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.7% (3,437 people), compared to 20.1% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Lavington ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lavington had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 86.0% being citizens, 83.7% born in Australia, and 87.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.7%. The category 'Other' was overrepresented at 2.6%, compared to 1.4% regionally.

For ancestry, Australian (28.9%), English (28.6%), and Irish (8.5%) were the top groups. Notably, German (5.7%), Australian Aboriginal (3.4%), and Filipino (1.3%) were overrepresented in Lavington compared to regional averages of 5.9%, 2.7%, and 0.7% respectively.

Lavington's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Lavington is 40, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age cohort makes up 15.2% of Lavington's population, notably higher than the Rest of NSW average, while the 55-64 age group is under-represented at 11.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 15.2%, while the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 12.1% to 11.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Lavington. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 880 people (36%), from 2,417 to 3,298. Conversely, the 55-64 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to see population declines.