Baranduda

Baranduda lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the Baranduda statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 4,156 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,115 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,041 people in the Baranduda (SA2). The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,989 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 453 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 137 persons per square kilometer. The Baranduda (SA2)'s growth rate of 36.7% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (4.8%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and utilising VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels for areas not covered by ABS data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Baranduda (SA2) is predicted to grow by 2,271 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 35.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Baranduda among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Baranduda shows around 126 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 630 homes were approved, with 69 more expected by the end of FY-26. On average, 1.1 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years, indicating balanced supply and demand.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $427,000, targeting the premium market. This financial year has seen $2.0 million in commercial approvals, suggesting a residential focus. Compared to Rest of Vic., Baranduda has 520.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice but with slowed activity in recent years. Nationally, developer confidence in the location is strong due to substantially higher activity. New building activity consists of 97.0% detached dwellings and 3.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Baranduda's traditional low density character.

The area has approximately 34 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, Baranduda is forecasted to gain 1,480 residents. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Baranduda has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. Four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the region: Baranduda Electrical Energy Reserve (BESS), Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, Baranduda Fields Sporting Complex, and Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project). The following details those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Baranduda demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Baranduda has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 1.8%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 1,721 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation stands at 64.6%, exceeding Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and public administration & safety, with a notable specialization in the latter (1.9 times the regional level). Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.1% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.0%, while employment declined by 1.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.7% and labour force decline of 0.6%. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13%, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. Nationally, employment growth was 0.14% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Baranduda's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Baranduda suburb has an income level below the national average, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Baranduda is $52,740, with an average income of $60,409. These figures compare to Rest of Vic.'s median and average incomes of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Baranduda's median income are approximately $57,091, and the average is $65,393 as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Baranduda cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 42.0% of residents (1,745 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, mirroring the surrounding region where 30.3% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain 86.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and placing Baranduda's SEIFA income ranking in the 6th decile.

Baranduda is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Baranduda, as per the latest Census evaluation, 99.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 0.5% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic., where 91.6% were houses and 8.5% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda stood at 28.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,684, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,473. The median weekly rent in Baranduda was $355, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $280. Nationally, Baranduda's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,684 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $355 compared to the national figure of $375.

Baranduda features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.0% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates of 22.6%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (4.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (29.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.3% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baranduda has eight active public transport stops, all of which offer bus services. These stops are served by four different routes that combined provide 96 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport options is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 592 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 13 trips per day across all routes, which translates to about 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Baranduda is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Baranduda, with a notably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to averages, particularly amongst older age groups.

Approximately 51% (~2,109 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 9.9% and 9.8% of residents respectively. Conversely, 64.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in the Rest of Vic. Baranduda has 18.4% (764 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the 20.7% in Rest of Vic. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to presenting challenges.

The latest Census data sees Baranduda placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 92.3% of its population born in Australia, 94.9% being citizens, and 97.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Baranduda, making up 51.3% of people there, compared to 48.2% across Rest of Vic.. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.8%), English (31.3%), and Scottish (8.8%).

Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 5.5%, compared to the regional average of 4.8%. Dutch ancestry was also slightly higher at 1.7% versus 1.6%, and Welsh ancestry was marginally more prevalent at 0.5% compared to 0.4%.

Baranduda's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Baranduda is 37 years, which is lower than the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 5-14 years are prominent at 15.8%, while the 65-74 age group is smaller at 7.3% compared to Rest of Vic.. Since 2021, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 9.8% to 11.6%, and the 35-44 cohort has increased from 12.5% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 16.6% to 15.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 25-34 age cohort is expected to rise significantly, with an increase of 338 people (65%) from 523 to 862.