Baranduda

Baranduda lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Baranduda's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at approximately 4,310 people. This figure reflects a growth of 1,269 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,041. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 4,085 in June 2024, based on the latest ABS ERP data release, and an additional 453 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 142 persons per square kilometer. The suburb's growth rate of 41.7% since the 2021 census exceeds both its SA3 area (4.2%) and SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 67.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Baranduda is expected to grow exceptionally over the period, gaining approximately 2,238 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 30.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Baranduda among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Baranduda has seen approximately 138 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 692 homes were approved, with an additional 46 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about one person per year moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years, suggesting new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

The average construction cost value of new properties was $427,000. This financial year, $1.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Baranduda has 573.0% more building activity per person, indicating greater buyer choice and strong developer confidence in the location. The new building activity is predominantly detached houses at 97.0%, with medium and high-density housing comprising 3.0%, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With around 22 people per dwelling approval, Baranduda exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 1,293 residents through to 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Baranduda has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include the Baranduda Electrical Energy Reserve (BESS), Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, Baranduda Fields Sporting Complex, and Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project). The following details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Baranduda significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Baranduda has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.9%, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.1%. As of June 2025, 1,680 residents are employed and workforce participation stands at 64.6%, higher than Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and public administration & safety. The area shows strong specialization in public administration & safety with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 7.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.1%, labour force by 1.6%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.9% and labour force decline by 0.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Baranduda. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific growth rates varying significantly. Applying these projections to Baranduda's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Baranduda's median income is $52,740 and the average income stands at $60,409. This contrasts with Rest of Vic.'s figures of a median income of $48,741 and an average income of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Baranduda's median income would be approximately $59,153 and the average income would be around $67,755 as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data indicates that household, family and personal incomes in Baranduda cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. Income brackets show that the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band captures 42.0% of the community (1,810 individuals), which aligns with the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 30.3%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Baranduda is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Baranduda's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.5% houses and 0.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic.'s 91.6% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda stood at 28.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,684, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,473. Weekly rent in Baranduda was recorded at $355, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $280. Nationally, Baranduda's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Baranduda features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.0% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Vic average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (4.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (29.7%). Educational participation is high at 31.3%, comprising primary education (12.3%), secondary education (8.5%), and tertiary education (2.8%).

Baranduda Primary School and St Francis of Assisi Primary School serve a total of 669 students, offering balanced educational opportunities with an ICSEA score of 1013. Both schools focus on primary education, while secondary options are available in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baranduda has eight active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together offer 84 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate in Baranduda, with residents usually located about 592 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 12 trips per day across all routes, which equates to roughly ten weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Baranduda is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Baranduda, with notably higher prevalence of common conditions compared to averages.

Older age cohorts experience these issues to an even greater extent. Approximately 51% (~2,187 people) have private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.9%) and mental health issues (9.8%). Conversely, 64.2% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to the 64.1% in Rest of Vic. Baranduda has 18.4% (793 people) aged 65 and over, lower than the 20.7% in Rest of Vic. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Baranduda placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 92.3% of its population born in Australia, 94.9% being citizens, and 97.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 51.3%, compared to 48.2% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.8%), English (31.3%), and Scottish (8.8%).

Notably, German ancestry was higher than regional averages at 5.5% versus 4.8%, Dutch at 1.7% compared to 1.6%, and Welsh at 0.5% against 0.4%.

Baranduda's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Baranduda as of 2021 is 37 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and quite close to Australia's national average of 38. The age profile indicates that individuals aged 5-14 years are notably prominent, comprising 15.9% of the population, while those aged 65-74 years form a relatively smaller group at 7.3%. Since 2021, the proportion of Baranduda's population in the 15 to 24 age bracket has increased from 9.8% to 11.7%, and the 35 to 44 age cohort has risen from 12.5% to 14.0%. Conversely, the percentage of individuals aged 5 to 14 years has decreased slightly from 16.6% to 15.9%. Looking forward to the year 2041, demographic projections suggest substantial shifts in Baranduda's age structure. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to significantly expand by 319 people, growing from 543 to 863 individuals. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 age cohort is expected to grow modestly by 8%, adding 24 people.