Baranduda

Baranduda lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of Baranduda's estimated population is 4,088 as of May 2026. This reflects a growth of 1,047 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,041. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate using latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2025) and additional 452 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 134 persons per square kilometer. Baranduda's growth of 34.4% since the 2021 census exceeded its SA3 area (2.4%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 67.0% to population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with base year 2022. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is predicted to grow by 2,232 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 54.6% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Baranduda was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval data indicates Baranduda has averaged around 126 new home approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 630 homes were approved, with a further 106 approved in FY-26 to date. This translates to an average of 1.9 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five years.

The average construction value of new properties is $427,000, suggesting a focus on premium developments. In FY-26, $2.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Rest of Vic., Baranduda has 469.0% more building activity per person. New building activity consists of 97.0% detached dwellings and 3.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density character. The location has approximately 40 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Baranduda to gain 2,232 residents by 2041. Current construction levels are expected to meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potential growth exceeding current forecasts.

Baranduda has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Baranduda Energy Reserve (BESS), Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, Baranduda Fields Sporting Complex, and Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project).

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Employment conditions in Baranduda demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Baranduda has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3%. As of December 2025, 2,187 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8%, below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation was 71.4%, higher than Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. According to Census responses, 11.9% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and public administration & safety, with a particular specialization in the latter at 1.9 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 1.1%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.3% and labour force by 1.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. experienced employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%, with a drop in unemployment rate of 0.1 percentage point. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Baranduda's employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Baranduda's median income at $52,740 and average income at $60,409. This is below the national median of $50,954 and average of $62,728 in Regional Vic. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,814 (median) and $66,220 (average), based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data indicates Baranduda's household, family, and personal incomes are at the 71st percentile nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - $2,999 captures 42.0% of residents (1,716 individuals), similar to metropolitan regions where this cohort represents 30.3%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Baranduda is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Baranduda's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.5% houses and 0.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda stood at 28.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,684, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Baranduda was $355, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Baranduda's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,684 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also lower at $355 than the national figure of $375.

Baranduda features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.0% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (4.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (29.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baranduda has eight active public transport stops serviced by four routes offering 96 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate with residents typically located 592 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential and most commuters travel outward, with cars being the dominant mode at 98%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.9, above the regional average. In 2021 Census data, 11.9% of residents worked from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 13 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Service frequency averages 13 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Baranduda is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Baranduda faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment.

The prevalence of common health conditions is substantially higher than average, particularly among older age cohorts. Approximately 51% (~2,075 people) have private health cover, which is relatively low. Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 9.9% and 9.8% of residents respectively. 64.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 14.8% (605 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Baranduda placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda, as per the findings, had a lower than average cultural diversity with 92.3% of its residents born in Australia, 94.9% being citizens, and 97.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Baranduda, accounting for 51.3% of the population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.8%), English (31.3%), and Scottish (8.8%).

Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 5.5%, compared to 3.5% regionally, while Dutch and Welsh ancestries remained similar to regional levels at 1.7% and 0.5% respectively.

Baranduda's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Baranduda was 36 years as of the 2021 Census, which is significantly lower than Regional Victoria's average of 43 years and slightly younger than Australia's national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group constituted 16.3% of Baranduda's population, higher than that of Regional Victoria, while the 65-74 age cohort made up 6.1%, which is lower compared to Regional Victoria. Post-Census data shows a decrease in median age from 37 years in the previous period to 36 years in 2021. The 15-24 age group grew from 9.8% to 13.0% of the population, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 12.5% to 14.7%. Conversely, the 65-74 age cohort declined from 8.0% to 6.1%, and the 45-54 group decreased from 12.1% to 10.5%. By 2041, Baranduda's population is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition, with the 25-34 age cohort expected to increase by 508 people (93%) from 547 to 1,056 individuals.