Baranduda

Baranduda lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The suburb of Baranduda's population is estimated at around 4,156 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,115 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,041 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,989 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 453 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 137 persons per square kilometer. Baranduda's growth rate of 36.7% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (4.9%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 67.0%.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period, with the suburb expected to grow by 2,287 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 51.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Baranduda among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Baranduda saw approximately 126 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis. From FY-21 to FY-25, around 630 homes were approved, with an additional 82 in FY-26. This results in an average of 1.1 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand.

The average construction cost for new properties is $427,000, suggesting a focus on premium developments. Commercial approvals totalled $2.0 million in FY-26, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Rest of Vic., Baranduda has 492.0% more building activity per person. This high level of activity is also significantly higher than national averages, indicating strong developer confidence. Over 97.0% of new buildings are detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character.

There are approximately 34 people per dwelling approval in Baranduda, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate a gain of 2,120 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to meet this demand and create favourable conditions for buyers.

Baranduda has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Baranduda Electrical Energy Reserve (BESS) project, Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan, Baranduda Fields Sporting Complex, and Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project).

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Employment conditions in Baranduda demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Baranduda has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.9%. The AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data shows that 1,723 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.8% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation is somewhat below standard at 57.2%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Census responses indicate a low 11.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and public administration & safety. The area shows particularly strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.1% of local workers, below Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical areas during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 3.0% while employment declined by 3.4%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. experienced employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Baranduda. These projections suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Baranduda's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Baranduda had an income level below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $52,740 and the average income stood at $60,409. In Regional Vic., the median income was $50,954 and the average income was $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Baranduda would be approximately $57,091 (median) and $65,393 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census showed household, family and personal incomes in Baranduda clustered around the 71st percentile nationally. Income brackets indicated that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominated with 42.0% of residents (1,745 people), mirroring the surrounding region where 30.3% occupied this bracket. After housing costs, residents retained 86.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Baranduda is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Baranduda's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 99.5% houses and 0.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baranduda was at 28.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,684, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Baranduda was $355, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Baranduda's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,684 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were less at $355 compared to the national figure of $375.

Baranduda features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.0% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for 18.0%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Baranduda exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (4.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 13.3% and certificates at 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.3% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baranduda has eight active public transport stops serviced by four routes offering a total of 96 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate with residents located an average of 592 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential and most commuters travel outward by car, which remains the dominant mode at 98%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.9% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 13 trips per day, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Service frequency averages 13 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Baranduda is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Baranduda.

AreaSearch's assessment shows a notably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to averages, with an even greater disparity among older age groups. Approximately 51% (~2,109 people) of Baranduda's total population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.9% of residents) and mental health issues (impacting 9.8%). Conversely, 64.2% of residents report being free from medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Health outcomes among working-age individuals in Baranduda are generally typical. The area has 14.7% (610 people) of its population aged 65 and over, lower than the 23.9% seen in Regional Vic. While health outcomes for seniors present some challenges, they rank lower nationally compared to broader population figures.

The latest Census data sees Baranduda placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Baranduda, surveyed in June 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 92.3% born there. Citizenship was high at 94.9%, and English was the primary language spoken at home by 97.1%. Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 51.3% of residents, compared to 47.3% regionally.

Ancestry showed Australian heritage as the highest at 33.8%, followed by English at 31.3%, and Scottish at 8.8%. Notably, German ancestry was higher than regional averages at 5.5% versus 3.5%, Dutch was similar at 1.7%, and Welsh was slightly higher at 0.5% compared to 0.4%.

Baranduda's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Baranduda was 36 years as of the 2021 Census, which was significantly below Regional Victoria's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group showed strong representation at 15.1%, compared to Regional Victoria. However, the 65-74 cohort was less prevalent at 6.1%. Post-Census data indicated a drop in median age by 1.3 years to 36 from 37 between censuses. Specifically, the 15-24 age group grew from 9.8% to 12.6%, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 12.5% to 14.7%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort declined from 8.0% to 6.1%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 12.1% to 10.3%. By 2041, Baranduda is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to increase markedly by 487 people (78%) from 627 to 1,115.