Leneva

Leneva lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Leneva is estimated at around 1,856 people. This reflects an increase of 539 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,317 people. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 1,785, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 342 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 22 persons per square kilometer. Leneva's growth rate of 40.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (4.9%) and the SA4 region, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Leneva is predicted to grow exceptionally over the period, with an expected increase of 1,944 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 100.9% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Leneva among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Leneva had around 94 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 471 homes. By FY26, 48 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.7 new residents per year per dwelling were constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of new dwellings was $427,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment.

In FY26, $147,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, predominantly residential-focused. Compared to Rest of Vic., Leneva records 922.0% more development activity per person. New development consists of 97.0% detached dwellings and 3.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character. As of around 13 people per approval, Leneva reflects a developing area. Future projections estimate Leneva adding 1,873 residents by 2041, with current development rates comfortably meeting demand and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Future projections show Leneva adding 1,873 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Leneva has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. Nine projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include Riverina Redevelopment Program (Albury Wodonga Military Area Redevelopment Project), 92 Martins Road Leneva Residential Development, Hydrogen Park Murray Valley (HyP Murray Valley), and Leneva-Baranduda Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Leneva rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Leneva has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.0%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025899 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.7% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation in Leneva stands at 67.6%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. According to Census responses, 11.9% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a notable specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 4.0% of Leneva's workforce compared to Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. The ratio of 0.9 workers per resident indicates substantial local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.0%, alongside a 3.2% employment decline, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.6%, labour force contracted by 0.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Leneva's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Leneva's income level is slightly above average nationally according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Leneva's median income among taxpayers is $60,130 and the average income stands at $68,874. This compares to Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $65,091 (median) and $74,556 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 83rd percentile nationally in Leneva. Family incomes are at the 84th percentile. Personal incomes also rank highly, though the exact percentile is not specified. The data shows 46.5% of Leneva's population (863 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 30.3% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain 87.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Leneva is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Leneva, as per the latest Census evaluation, all dwellings were houses (100.0%) with none being semi-detached, apartments, or other types (0.0%). This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Leneva stood at 24.5%, with mortgaged properties at 59.2% and rented ones at 16.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent in Leneva was $390, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Leneva's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $375.

Leneva features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.6% of all households, including 47.6% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.4%, with lone person households at 13.3% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Leneva exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Leneva trail regional benchmarks, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 33.4% in VIC as of 2021. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (29.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2021. This includes 13.7% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows two active transport stops operating within Leneva. These stops offer a mix of bus services. Three individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 55 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 399 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 97%.

Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 11.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 7 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Leneva's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Leneva indicates positive outcomes, with AreaSearch's analysis showing mortality rates and health conditions largely aligned with national benchmarks. Common health conditions were seen across both young and old age cohorts at a standard level.

Private health cover was found to be high at approximately 54% of the total population (~1,003 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.. The most common medical conditions were mental health issues (8.4%) and asthma (8.3%). A total of 72.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. As of 2021, the area had 9.6% of residents aged 65 and over (178 people), lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Leneva is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Leneva's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 88.6% born in Australia, 92.4% being citizens, and 93.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.2% of Leneva's population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (31.1%), English (28.7%), and Irish (8.9%).

Notable disparities existed in Dutch (2.3% vs regional 1.7%), Polish (1.1% vs 0.5%), and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.4%) groups.

Leneva's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

The median age in Leneva is 32 years, which is notably lower than Regional Vic.'s average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Regional Vic., Leneva has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (19.9%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (6.0%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, Leneva has seen a rejuvenation, with its median age falling from 33 to 32 years. During this period, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 17.7% to 19.9%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.6% to 12.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 12.7% to 9.5%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 17.3% to 15.6%. By 2041, Leneva is expected to experience significant shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 132% (414 people), reaching 728 from an initial figure of 313.