Lavington

Population growth drivers in Lavington are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The estimated population of the suburb of Lavington is around 13,396 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 323 people from the 2021 Census total of 13,073. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 13,019 in June 2024 and an additional 268 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 906 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively aligned with averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. For the period from 2032 to 2041, growth rates by age group are applied across all areas. Future population trends project an above median growth for Australia's regional areas, with Lavington expected to increase by 2,061 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 12.6% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lavington according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Lavington has experienced around 43 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 215 homes. So far in FY-26, 38 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.1 new residents arrive per new home built annually between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this has eased to 0.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating better supply availability. New properties are constructed at an average value of $399,000, slightly above the regional average, reflecting a focus on quality developments.

In FY-26, $9.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating Lavington's primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Lavington shows substantially reduced construction activity (55.0% below regional average per person), which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New development consists of 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Lavington's low density nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 415 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Lavington is expected to grow by 1,684 residents through to 2041. Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Lavington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Lavington Swim Centre Redevelopment, Lavington Social Housing Project, Bright Steps Academy Lavington, and Kerr Road Infrastructure Upgrades. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Lavington face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Lavington has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs, particularly in essential services. Its unemployment rate is 6.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 6,559 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 2.9% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Lavington is 64.6%, slightly above Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, only 6.7% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Manufacturing stands out with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.1% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 5.3%.

Over the year to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.0% and employment declined by 3.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced an employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lavington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 29th, 2023, Lavington had a median income among taxpayers of $47,688 with the average level standing at $52,735. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $52,390 and $65,215 across Regional NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $51,913 (median) and $57,407 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Lavington all fall between the 9th and 19th percentiles nationally. Looking at income distribution, the largest segment comprises 28.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (3,817 residents), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 10th percentile.

Lavington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Lavington, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.8% houses and 24.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lavington stood at 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.9% and rented ones at 41.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,257, lower than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Lavington was recorded at $250, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Lavington's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lavington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.0% of all households, including 20.0% couples with children, 24.0% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 41.0%, with lone person households at 37.0% and group households making up 3.9%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Lavington faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 13.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (31.5%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lavington has 217 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 49 different routes, offering a total of 1,559 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 135 meters from the nearest stop. Most Lavington residents commute outward daily, primarily using cars (94%). The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.1, lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 6.7% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 222 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 7 weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies this report, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Health performance in Lavington is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Lavington faces substantial health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably, both younger and older age cohorts exhibit high prevalence of common health conditions. Only approximately 48% (~6,409 people) have private health cover, compared to Regional NSW's 51.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 11.5 and 9.7% of residents respectively, while 60.5% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Regional NSW's 63.3%. The working-age population experiences significant health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Lavington has 22.1% (2,960 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning broadly with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Lavington records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lavington's cultural diversity was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average, with 85.5% of its population being citizens, 83.6% born in Australia, and 87.1% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Lavington was Christianity, accounting for 49.8% of people. However, the most notable overrepresentation was in the 'Other' category, comprising 2.8% of the population compared to 0.8% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were Australian (28.6%), English (28.4%), and Irish (8.7%). There were notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: German was notably overrepresented at 5.7% compared to 3.1% regionally, Dutch at 1.4% versus 1.0%, and Australian Aboriginal at 3.3% compared to 4.6%.

Lavington's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Lavington is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 15.9% of Lavington's population, higher than the Regional NSW average, while the 55-64 age group constitutes 11.3%, lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 15.9% of Lavington's population, while the 55-64 age group has decreased from 12.1% to 11.3%. By 2041, forecasts suggest significant demographic changes in Lavington. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 643 people (30%), from 2,129 to 2,773. Conversely, the 55-64 and 65-74 age cohorts are expected to decrease in population.