Lavington

Population growth drivers in Lavington are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Lavington is around 13,396, reflecting an increase of 323 people since the 2021 Census. The resident population was estimated at 13,019 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, with an additional 268 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 906 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, accounting for approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

These projections indicate an above median population growth for Australia's regional areas, with the suburb of Lavington expected to expand by 2,062 persons to 2041, reflecting a 12.8% increase over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lavington according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Lavington has recorded around 43 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 215 homes were approved, with an additional 33 approved in FY26 so far. On average, these developments have attracted about 1.1 new residents per dwelling constructed over the last 5 financial years. However, this has moderated to -0.1 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years.

Development projects in Lavington typically have a construction value of $399,000, slightly above the regional average. This year, there have been $9.2 million in commercial development approvals recorded. Compared to Rest of NSW, Lavington shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 55.0% below the regional average per person. Recent construction comprises 75.0% standalone homes and 25.0% medium and high-density housing. The estimated population density is 415 people per dwelling approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Lavington is expected to grow by 1,717 residents through to 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections.

Lavington has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 26 projects that could affect this region. Notable initiatives include the Lavington Swim Centre Redevelopment, Lavington Social Housing Project, Bright Steps Academy Lavington, and Kerr Road Infrastructure Upgrades. The following list details those most likely relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Lavington face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Lavington has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs well represented. Essential services sectors are prominent. The unemployment rate was 7.0% as of an unspecified date, with relative employment stability over the past year according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 6,666 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.1% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was 66.3%, slightly above Rest of NSW's 61.5%. Census data shows a low 6.7% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Manufacturing has notable concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 1.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending unspecified, labour force increased by 1.1% while employment decreased by 0.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.4 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.5%, labour force decline of 0.1%, and unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lavington's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Lavington's median income among taxpayers was $47,688 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $52,735 during the same period. This compares to figures for Rest of NSW which were $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates project median income to be approximately $51,913 and average income to be around $57,407 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Lavington all fall between the 9th and 19th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 28.5% of residents (3,817 people), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Lavington, with only 83.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 10th percentile nationally.

Lavington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Lavington, as per the latest Census evaluation, 75.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 24.3% comprising semi-detached properties, apartments, and other dwelling types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NSW's figures of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lavington stood at 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 27.9% and rented properties making up 41.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,257, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Lavington was recorded at $250, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Lavington's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lavington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.0% of all households, including 20.0% couples with children, 24.0% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 41.0%, with lone person households at 37.0% and group households making up 3.9%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Lavington faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 9.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (31.5%).

Educational participation is high at 28.0%, including primary education (9.6%), secondary education (7.1%), and tertiary education (2.9%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lavington has 217 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 49 different routes, together offering 1,559 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is excellent, with residents typically living 135 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Lavington's residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 1.1 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 6.7% of residents work from home, a figure that might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 222 trips per day, translating to roughly 7 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Health performance in Lavington is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Lavington faces substantial health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very low, at approximately 48% of the total population (~6,409 people), compared to 51.9% in Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (11.5%) and arthritis (9.7%). 60.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Rest of NSW. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 21.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,933 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Lavington records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lavington's cultural diversity aligns with the wider region, with 85.5% citizens, 83.6% born in Australia, and 87.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 49.8%. The most notable overrepresentation is 'Other', comprising 2.8% compared to 0.8% regionally.

For ancestry, Australian (28.6%), English (28.4%), and Irish (8.7%) are the top groups. There's an overrepresentation of German (5.7% vs 3.1%), Dutch (1.4% vs 1.0%), and Australian Aboriginal (3.3% vs 4.6%).

Lavington's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Lavington is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 15.8% of the population in Lavington, higher than the Rest of NSW average, while the 55-64 age group constitutes 11.3%, lower than the Rest of NSW average. According to the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 15.8% of Lavington's population since the previous census. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 12.1% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Lavington. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 653 people (31%), from 2,116 to 2,770. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 65-74 age groups are expected to experience population declines.