Yarralumla

Yarralumla has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Yarralumla is around 3,238. This figure reflects an increase of 118 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,120. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,102 as of June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 392 persons per square kilometer. The suburb's population growth rate of 3.8% since the census is within 2.9 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 6.7%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, using 2022 as the base year. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an increase just below the median for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. The suburb is expected to expand by 324 persons to reach a total population of approximately 3,562 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 5.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarralumla according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Yarralumla averaged around 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 55 homes were approved, with 1 so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, there was an average of 0.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed.

This indicates that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and potentially enabling population growth to exceed current expectations. The average value of new dwellings developed is $666,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $31.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Yarralumla has significantly less development activity (60.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, although construction activity has intensified recently.

The area reflects a low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing, attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. At around 207 people per approval, Yarralumla reflects a low density area. Population forecasts indicate Yarralumla will gain 188 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Yarralumla has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Yarralumla Apartments, 2 Schlich Street Public Housing, Canberra Brickworks Precinct, and Forestry Place. The following details projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Yarralumla shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Yarralumla has a highly educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.6%. As of September 2025, 1,569 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.3% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation lagged at 60.3%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.5%. According to Census responses, 18.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The leading employment industries were public administration & safety, professional & technical, and health care & social assistance. Professional & technical services showed strong specialization with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level, while public administration & safety had lower representation at 27.0% compared to the regional average of 30.4%.

Many residents appeared to commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.6% and labour force grew by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. By comparison, Australian Capital Territory recorded employment growth of 1.4%, labour force growth of 1.2%, with unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Yarralumla's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Yarralumla suburb's income level ranks among the top percentile nationally according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2023. Median income among taxpayers in Yarralumla is $86,986 with average income at $132,955, compared to ACT's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $95,041 (median) and $145,267 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Yarralumla rank between the 98th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 43.3% of residents (1,402 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, differing from metropolitan regions where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 34.3%. High proportion of high earners (55.6% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity in Yarralumla. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Yarralumla displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Yarralumla, as per the latest Census, 65.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 34.9% being semi-detached properties, apartments, or other types. This is compared to the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) figures of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarralumla stood at 49.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.8% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,425, exceeding the ACT average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Yarralumla was $547, compared to the ACT's $450. Nationally, Yarralumla's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Yarralumla has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.5%, with lone person households at 26.4% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Yarralumla shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Yarralumla's residents aged 15+ have higher educational attainment than broader benchmarks. 62.4% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (33.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.9%) and graduate diplomas (6.4%). Vocational pathways account for 15.9%, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 6.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 7.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarralumla has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 71 different routes that together facilitate 4,395 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as good, with residents living an average of 215 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting in Yarralumla is outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 86% of residents, while cycling accounts for 5%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 627 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 219 weekly trips per individual stop.

Yarralumla's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Yarralumla, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 80% of the total population (2,580 people), compared to 62.4% in Australian Capital Territory and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively, while 67.0% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 30.3% of residents aged 65 and over (981 people), higher than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Yarralumla was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarralumla, as of the 2016 Census, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas with 17.6% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 29.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Yarralumla, accounting for 47.2% of people. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, comprising 0.6% of Yarralumla's population.

The top three ancestry groups were English (25.8%), Australian (20.6%), and Irish (11.5%). Some ethnic groups had notable differences in representation: Welsh at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 0.6%, Croatian at 1.1% versus 0.9%, and Russian at 0.5% against a regional average of 0.3%.

Yarralumla ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yarralumla's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 75-84 year-old group comprises 13.4%, which is prominent compared to the ACT's 6.1%. Conversely, the 25-34 year-old group constitutes only 5.5%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of 75-84 year-olds has increased from 8.6% to 13.4%, while the 15-24 cohort has risen from 10.4% to 12.1%. However, the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 17.0% to 13.2%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 6.7% to 5.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Yarralumla. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 79%, adding 94 residents to reach a total of 214. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 53% of the population growth, emphasizing the trend towards an aging demographic. Meanwhile, populations in the 0-4 and 25-34 age cohorts are projected to decline.