Yarralumla

Yarralumla has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of the Yarralumla statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at approximately 3,253 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 133 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,120. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,102 residents in Jun 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 35 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 393 persons per square kilometer. The Yarralumla (SA2) has seen a growth rate of 4.3% since the census, which is within 2.1 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 6.4%. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and ACT Government's SA2 area projections for years post-2032. By 2041, the Yarralumla (SA2) is projected to increase by approximately 324 persons, reflecting a gain of around 5.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarralumla according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Yarralumla averaged around 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY2021 and FY2025, an estimated 55 homes were approved, with one more approved so far in FY2026. On average, over these five years, only 0.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were recorded.

This suggests that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations. The average value of new dwellings developed was $666,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY2026, there have been $31.4 million in commercial approvals, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Yarralumla has significantly less development activity, 60.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though construction activity has intensified recently.

The area's population density is around 207 people per approval, reflecting a low-density area. Population forecasts indicate Yarralumla will gain 173 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Yarralumla has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Yarralumla Apartments, 2 Schlich Street Public Housing, Canberra Brickworks Precinct, and Forestry Place. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Yarralumla shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Yarralumla has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.6%.

As of September 2025, 1,569 residents are employed at an unemployment rate of 1.3%, which is below the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation lags at 58.1% compared to the ACT's 69.6%. Leading employment industries include public administration & safety, professional & technical, and health care & social assistance. The area specializes in professional & technical services with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level, while public administration & safety shows lower representation at 27.0% versus the regional average of 30.4%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the past year, employment increased by 1.6% alongside labour force growth of 0.9%, reducing unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. Comparatively, ACT recorded employment growth of 1.4% with unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. As of 25-Nov, ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yarralumla's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Yarralumla suburb's income level is among the top percentile nationally according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2023. Median income among taxpayers in Yarralumla was $86,986 with average income at $132,955. These figures compare to ACT's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $95,041 (median) and $145,267 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Yarralumla, between the 98th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 43.3% of population (1,408 individuals) fall within $4000+ income range, differing from metropolitan region where $1,500 - $2,999 category predominates at 34.3%. High proportion of earners above $3,000/week indicates strong economic capacity in suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Yarralumla displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Yarralumla's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 65.2% houses and 34.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 40.7% houses and 59.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarralumla stood at 49.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.8% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,425, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,275. The median weekly rent figure in Yarralumla was $547, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $500. Nationally, Yarralumla's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,425 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Yarralumla has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.5%, with lone person households at 26.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.2.

Yarralumla shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Yarralumla's educational attainment significantly exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 62.4% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 46.8%. This strong educational advantage positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 33.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.9%) and graduate diplomas (6.4%).

Vocational pathways account for 15.9% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 6.5%. Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 7.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 20 active transport stops in Yarralumla, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 71 unique routes, offering a total of 4395 weekly passenger trips. Residential accessibility to public transport is rated good, with residents located an average of 215 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 627 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 219 weekly trips per individual stop.

Yarralumla's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Yarralumla residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 80% of the total population (2,592 people) has private health cover, which is exceptionally high compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively. A total of 67.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.8% across the Australian Capital Territory. As of 2016, 29.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (969 people), which is higher than the 19.9% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors in Yarralumla are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Yarralumla was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarralumla's population, as of the 2016 Census, had 17.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion with 47.2%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, comprising 0.6% of Yarralumla's population.

The top three ancestry groups were English (25.8%), Australian (20.6%), and Irish (11.5%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Croatian (1.1%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Russian was also slightly higher at 0.5%.

Yarralumla ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yarralumla's median age is 50 years, which is significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 75-84 year-old group is particularly prominent at 12.8%, while the 25-34 year-old group is smaller at 5.6% compared to the Australian Capital Territory. This concentration of the 75-84 year-old group is well above the national average of 6.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 8.6% to 12.8%, while the 15-24 age cohort increased from 10.4% to 12.0%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has declined from 17.0% to 13.6%, and the 25-34 year-old group dropped from 6.7% to 5.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Yarralumla, with the 85+ age cohort projected to grow by 93%, adding 103 residents to reach 214. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 56% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 25-34 age cohorts.