Yarralumla

Yarralumla has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Yarralumla is around 3,177, reflecting an increase of 57 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 1.8% change from the previous population count of 3,120 residents. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validated new addresses, is 3,103. This results in a population density ratio of 384 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration was the primary driver for this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and ACT Government's SA2 area projections for areas not covered by ABS data or years post-2032. According to these projections, the suburb is expected to increase its population by approximately 324 persons to reach around 3,501 by 2041, representing a gain of about 7.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarralumla according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Yarralumla averaged approximately 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, about 55 homes were approved, with one more in FY26 so far. On average, this results in around 0.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

This pace suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing buyers with more options and potentially enabling population growth beyond current projections. The average value of these new dwellings is approximately $666,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY26, there have been $77,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting a predominantly residential development focus. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory's regional averages, Yarralumla has significantly less development activity, with 60.0% fewer approvals per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties but recent construction activity has increased.

New construction in Yarralumla consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density nature. This focus on detached housing attracts space-seeking buyers and indicates strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (65.0% at Census), further emphasizing this trend. Yarralumla reflects a low-density area, with approximately 207 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 249 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Yarralumla has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely to impact the region. Notable projects include Yarralumla Apartments, 2 Schlich Street Public Housing, Canberra Brickworks Precinct, and Forestry Place. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Yarralumla shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Yarralumla has a highly educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 2.3% as of June 2025, which is below the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.4%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. Workforce participation in Yarralumla lags behind the Australian Capital Territory's rate, with 58.1% compared to 69.6%. The leading employment industries among residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical, and health care & social assistance. Notably, there is a strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, public administration & safety shows lower representation at 27.0% compared to the regional average of 30.4%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work, as indicated by the count of Census working population to local population. In a 12-month period ending in Sep-22, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force grew by 1.6%, and unemployment fell by 0.7 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yarralumla's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Yarralumla's income level is among the top percentile nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Yarralumla's median income among taxpayers is $86,986 and the average income stands at $132,955. These figures compare to those of the Australian Capital Territory, which are $68,678 and $83,634 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $98,816 (median) and $151,037 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Yarralumla, between the 98th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 43.3% of the population (1,375 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, unlike the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 34.3%. The substantial proportion of high earners (55.6% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout this suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Yarralumla displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated dwelling structures in Yarralumla as 65.2% houses and 34.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory had 40.7% houses and 59.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarralumla was 49.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.8% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,425, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,275. The median weekly rent figure for Yarralumla was $547, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $500. Nationally, Yarralumla's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,425 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Yarralumla has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 34.9% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.5%, with lone person households at 26.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.2.

Yarralumla shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Yarralumla's educational attainment is notably higher than broader standards. Among residents aged 15 and above, 62.4% possess university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 46.8%. This high level of education positions the area favourably for knowledge-based prospects. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 33.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.9%) and graduate diplomas (6.4%).

Vocational pathways account for 15.9% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 6.5%. Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 7.4% pursuing tertiary education. Yarralumla Primary School serves the local area, with an enrollment of 322 students as of a recent report. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas due to limited local capacity (10.1 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 31.1).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarralumla has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together facilitate 1,987 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is deemed good, with residents on average being located 215 metres from their nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 283 trips across all routes, which amounts to approximately 99 weekly trips per individual stop.

Yarralumla's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Yarralumla residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is low across younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 80% of the total population (2,532 people) has private health cover, which is higher than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8% and 8.4% of residents respectively. 67.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.8% in the Australian Capital Territory. The area has 29.8% of residents aged 65 and over (946 people), higher than the 19.9% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Yarralumla was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarralumla had a higher level of cultural diversity compared to most other local markets, with 17.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 29.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Yarralumla, making up 47.2% of its population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented in Yarralumla compared to the Australian Capital Territory, with 0.6% of its population identifying as Jewish.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English at 25.8%, Australian at 20.6%, and Irish at 11.5%. There were also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Welsh was overrepresented at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 0.7%, Croatian at 1.1% versus 0.9%, and Russian at 0.5% compared to 0.4%.

Yarralumla ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Yarralumla's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are particularly prominent, making up 12.8% of the population, compared to the national average of 6%. This is a substantial increase from 8.6% in 2021. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group comprises only 5.6%, lower than the Australian Capital Territory average. The 15-24 cohort has increased from 10.4% to 12.0% since 2021, while the 65-74 cohort has declined from 17.0% to 13.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Yarralumla. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 98%, adding 105 residents to reach 214. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 54% of population growth, reflecting the trend of demographic aging. Conversely, populations in the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are projected to decline.