Tolland

Tolland is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Tolland is around 3581, reflecting a 122 person increase (3.5%) since the 2021 Census which reported 3459 people. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 3537 residents based on June 2024 ABS ERP data and additional 26 validated new addresses since the Census date. Tolland's population density is 1713 persons per square kilometer, above national averages. The suburb's 3.5% growth since census compares favorably to its SA3 area (4.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 58% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 259 persons to 2041, reflecting a 6% total increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tolland according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Tolland has averaged around 6 new dwelling approvals each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 31 homes were approved, with a further 3 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 5.3 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five financial years.

This substantial lag between supply and demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $393,000. In FY-26, there have been $739,000 in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Tolland records markedly lower building activity, 65.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, Tolland also reflects lower building activity, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows an equal split between detached dwellings (50.0%) and attached dwellings (50.0%), marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 84.0% houses.

This shift may indicate diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Tolland reflects a highly mature market with around 898 people per dwelling approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Tolland is projected to add 215 residents by 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Tolland has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that could impact the area due to changes in local infrastructure. These include the Wagga Wagga Special Activation Precinct, Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct, Riverina Intermodal Freight and Logistics (RiFL) Hub, and Wagga Wagga Health Service Redevelopment Stage 3.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tolland face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Tolland has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented, and the unemployment rate is 7.6%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 1,440 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.6% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Tolland lags at 55.8%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. Census data shows that only 5.1% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence in Tolland, with only 2.1% of employment compared to 5.3% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 3.3% while employment declined by 3.8%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. This compares to Regional NSW where employment fell by 1.2%, labour force contracted by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Tolland. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Tolland's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Tolland is below the national average. The median assessed income is $44,972 and the average income stands at $54,857. In comparison, Regional NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tolland's median income would be approximately $48,957 and the average income would be around $59,717 as of September 2025. Census 2021 data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Tolland all fall between the 13th and 22nd percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 30.1% of locals (1,077 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with Regional NSW where this cohort also represents 29.9%. After housing costs, 85.2% of income remains, ranking at only the 16th percentile nationally.

Tolland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Tolland, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 83.9% houses and 16.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tolland was at 28.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.0% and rented ones at 44.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was $220, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Tolland's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tolland features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 66.7% of all households, including 24.5% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 15.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 33.3%, with lone person households at 29.2% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Tolland faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.3%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (28.9%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tolland has 31 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by a total of 44 routes that facilitate 1,000 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as good, with residents typically located 244 meters from the nearest stop. As it is predominantly residential, most residents commute outward using private vehicles, which remain the dominant mode of transport at 97%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling in Tolland, lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 5.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 142 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tolland is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tolland faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions impact both younger and older age groups, with a notably low private health cover rate of approximately 49% (1,743 people), compared to Regional NSW's 51.9% and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 11.1% and 10.4% of residents respectively.

Conversely, 62.6% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The working-age population faces substantial health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. Tolland has 18.4% of residents aged 65 and over (658 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, largely aligning with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tolland records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tolland's cultural diversity is above average, with 17.5% of its population born overseas and 16.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tolland, comprising 60.4% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' category makes up 5.4% of Tolland's population, compared to 0.8% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (27.8%), English (27.1%), and Other (11.2%) are the top groups in Tolland, with Other being substantially higher than the regional average of 4.8%. Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 9.5% in Tolland compared to 4.6% regionally, Filipino at 1.9% versus 0.6%, and Samoan at 0.3% versus 0.1%.

Tolland hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

The median age in Tolland is 33 years, which is lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 years and under the national average of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort makes up 16.7% of Tolland's population, notably higher than Regional NSW's average, while the 55-64 age group constitutes 8.8%, lower than the regional average. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15-24 age group grew from 12.4% to 13.8%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 15.3% to 16.7%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 10.6% to 9.3%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 9.9% to 8.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Tolland. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 17 people, reaching 701 from 598. Meanwhile, both the 55-64 and 65-74 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.