Tolland

Tolland is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Tolland is around 3515. This figure reflects a growth of 56 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3459. The current resident population estimate of 3509 by AreaSearch, following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2025 and validation of additional 26 new addresses since the Census date, indicates this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 1681 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tolland's 1.6% growth since census compares to the SA4 region's 2.2%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, the suburb of Tolland is expected to grow by approximately 211 persons by 2041, reflecting a gain of around 5.8% in total over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tolland, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Tolland averaged around 6 new dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 31 homes. So far in FY-26, 4 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year for each dwelling over the past 5 financial years (FY-21 to FY-25) is 2.3, indicating healthy demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $393,000.

In FY-26, there have been $739,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Tolland has significantly less development activity (64.0% below regional average per person), which usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This level is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 84.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. Tolland has around 884 people per approval, showing a mature, established area. Population forecasts indicate Tolland will gain 205 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate).

Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Tolland has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Three projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Wagga Wagga Special Activation Precinct, Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct, Riverina Intermodal Freight and Logistics (RiFL) Hub, and Wagga Wagga Health Service Redevelopment Stage 3.

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Employment conditions in Tolland face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Tolland's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate stands at 7.7% according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of December 2025, 1,415 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.8% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Tolland is lower at 55.9%, compared to Regional NSW's 60.5%. Census responses indicate that only 5.1% of residents work from home, with potential Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing notably has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 2.1%, compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.8% with employment decreasing by 4.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced an employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Tolland over five and ten-year periods. Applying these projections to Tolland's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Tolland is below national average. Median income is $44,972 and average income is $54,857. This contrasts with Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tolland would be approximately $49,613 (median) and $60,518 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Tolland all fall between the 13th and 22nd percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows that 30.1% of Tolland's population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 29.9% in the same category. After housing costs, 85.2% of income remains, ranking at only the 16th percentile nationally.

Tolland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Tolland's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 83.9% houses and 16.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 83.9% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tolland stood at 28.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.0% and rented dwellings at 44.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Tolland was $220, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Tolland's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tolland features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 66.7% of all households, including 24.5% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 15.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 33.3%, with lone person households at 29.2% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Tolland faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (28.9%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Tolland shows there are currently 31 operational transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 44 distinct routes that together facilitate around 1,000 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents generally located about 244 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most inhabitants commute outwards, with cars being the prevalent mode of transport at 97%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per household, lower than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census data, only 5.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages around 142 trips daily, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tolland is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tolland faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Several health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 49% of Tolland's total population (around 1,711 people), compared to Regional NSW's 51.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 11.1% and 10.4% of residents respectively. However, 62.6% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to Regional NSW's 63.3%. The working-age population in Tolland faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 18.8% of residents aged 65 and over (660 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally aligned with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tolland records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tolland's cultural diversity is above average, with 17.5% of its population born overseas and 16.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tolland, accounting for 60.4% of people. Notably, the 'Other' category comprises 5.4% of Tolland's population compared to regional NSW's 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians make up 27.8%, English 27.1%, and Other 11.2%, significantly higher than Regional NSW's average of 4.8%. There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 9.5% compared to regional NSW's 4.6%, Filipino at 1.9% versus regional NSW's 0.6%, and Samoan at 0.3% compared to regional NSW's 0.1%.

Tolland hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Tolland's median age is 34, which is lower than Regional NSW's figure of 43 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is over-represented in Tolland at 16.2%, compared to the Regional NSW average. Meanwhile, the 55-64 age group is under-represented at 8.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.4% of Tolland's population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 10.6% to 9.3%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 9.9% to 8.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Tolland's age profile. The 25-34 cohort is projected to expand by 99 people (17%), growing from 569 to 669. Conversely, both the 55-64 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.