Tolland

Tolland is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Tolland is around 3,581, reflecting an increase of 122 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,459. This change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,537 in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,713 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Tolland has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%, outpacing the SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas, with Tolland expected to grow by 263 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 8.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tolland according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Tolland has averaged around 5 new dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years ending FY-25. This totals an estimated 29 homes. So far in FY-26, 3 approvals have been recorded. On average, each home built between FY-21 and FY-25 accommodates approximately 5.8 new residents per year, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply.

Consequently, this typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. The average construction value of new homes over the past 5 financial years is $393,000. In FY-26, there have been $739,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Tolland has significantly less development activity, at 67.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, this level is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments consist of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings, indicating a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, currently at 84.0% houses. Tolland shows a mature, established area with around 897 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tolland is forecasted to gain approximately 290 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Tolland has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that could impact the area significantly due to changes in local infrastructure. These key projects are: Wagga Wagga Special Activation Precinct, Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct, Riverina Intermodal Freight and Logistics (RiFL) Hub, and Wagga Wagga Health Service Redevelopment Stage 3.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tolland face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Tolland has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 8.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.7% in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, 1,476 residents are employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Rest of NSW's at 4.3%.

Workforce participation is lower too, at 59.2%. Only 5.1% work from home (Census data, considering Covid-19 impacts). Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with manufacturing notably high at 1.7 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 2.1%, compared to 5.3% regionally.

Local job opportunities seem limited, indicated by Census population data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.7% while labour force rose by 4.6%, raising unemployment by 2.6 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.5% and labour force drop by 0.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tolland's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Tolland is below the national average. The median income is $44,972 and the average income stands at $54,857. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $52,390 and the average income is $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tolland would be approximately $48,957 (median) and $59,717 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Tolland all fall between the 13th and 22nd percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows that 30.1% of the population (1,077 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 29.9% in the same category. After housing costs, 85.2% of income remains, ranking at only the 16th percentile nationally.

Tolland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census showed that in Tolland, 83.9% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 16.1% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tolland was at 28.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.0% and rented ones at 44.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tolland was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Tolland was recorded as $220, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Tolland's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tolland features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 66.7% of all households, including 24.5% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 15.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 33.3%, with lone person households at 29.2% and group households comprising 3.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Tolland faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (28.9%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tolland has 31 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by a total of 44 routes that facilitate 1,000 weekly passenger trips combined. The accessibility to these transport services is deemed good, with residents typically residing 244 meters away from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most inhabitants commute outward, predominantly using cars (97%). On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling in Tolland, which is below the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, only 5.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 142 trips daily, translating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tolland is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tolland faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions are high, affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 49% of the total population (around 1,743 people), compared to 51.9% in Rest of NSW and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 11.1% and 10.4% of residents respectively. However, 62.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Rest of NSW. The working-age population has notably high chronic condition rates. Tolland has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over (637 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, largely aligned with national rankings.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tolland records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tolland's cultural diversity is above average, with 17.5% of its population born overseas and 16.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tolland, making up 60.4% of its people. Notably, the 'Other' category comprises 5.4% of Tolland's population, compared to 0.8% across Rest of NSW.

In terms of ancestry, Australians make up 27.8%, English 27.1%, and Other 11.2%, significantly higher than the regional average of 4.8%. Some ethnic groups are notably overrepresented: Australian Aboriginal at 9.5% (vs regional 4.6%), Filipino at 1.9% (vs 0.6%), and Samoan at 0.3% (vs 0.1%).

Tolland hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Tolland's median age is 34, which is lower than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Rest of NSW average, Tolland has a notably higher proportion of 25-34 year-olds (16.6%) but fewer people aged 55-64 (8.5%). Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group grew from 15.3% to 16.6%, while the 45-54 cohort decreased from 10.6% to 8.9% and the 55-64 group dropped from 9.9% to 8.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tolland's age profile. The 25-34 age cohort is expected to expand by 117 people (20%), growing from 594 to 712. Conversely, both the 55-64 and 65-74 age groups are projected to decrease in number.